Seddon - Kingsville

An assessment of population growth drivers in Seddon - Kingsville reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Seddon - Kingsville's population was 9,247 as of the 2021 Census. By May 2026, it had increased to around 9,784, a rise of 537 people (5.8%). This increase is inferred from ABS' June 2025 estimate of 9,748 and 44 new addresses validated since the Census date. The population density was 5,823 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the top 10% nationally. Overseas migration contributed approximately 75.2% of recent growth.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for SA2 areas. For uncovered areas, it uses VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted via weighted aggregation to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas until 2041. The area is projected to have above median population growth nationally, increasing by 1,705 persons to 2041, a gain of 17.1% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Seddon - Kingsville among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Seddon - Kingsville has averaged approximately 107 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 539 homes. As of FY26, 10 approvals have been recorded. The population has declined in recent years, suggesting that new supply has kept pace with demand, offering buyers good choice while new properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $363,000. This financial year has seen $35.7 million in commercial approvals, indicating robust local business investment.

Compared to Greater Melbourne, Seddon - Kingsville maintains similar construction rates per person, supporting market stability in line with regional patterns, though activity has intensified recently. Nationally, this rate is well above average, reflecting strong developer confidence in the area. Recent construction comprises 5% detached dwellings and 95% townhouses or apartments, creating more affordable entry points and suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This marks a significant shift from the current housing mix of 65% houses, likely due to reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 224 people per dwelling approval, Seddon - Kingsville exhibits characteristics of a low-density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Seddon - Kingsville is expected to grow by 1,669 residents through to 2041.

At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Seddon - Kingsville has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects likely to impact the area. Notable ones include Yarraville Green, Bradmill Yarraville, West Footscray Neighbourhood Plan, and Kinnear's Precinct (Live City), with the following list detailing those of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Seddon - Kingsville shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Seddon - Kingsville has an educated workforce with a notable representation in the technology sector. The unemployment rate was 3.4% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4%.

As of that date, 6,550 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.3% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. Workforce participation was high at 83.8%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. According to Census responses, 52.5% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training sectors.

The area shows strong specialization in professional & technical services with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level. Conversely, construction shows lower representation at 6.1%, compared to the regional average of 9.7%. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 4.0% while labour force increased by 4.4%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 2.4%, labour force growth of 2.8%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Seddon - Kingsville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Seddon - Kingsville SA2 has an above-average national income level according to AreaSearch data from the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in this area is $59,531, with an average income of $71,624. These figures compare to Greater Melbourne's median income of $57,688 and average income of $75,164. Based on a 9.62% growth rate in wages since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $65,258 (median) and $78,514 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Seddon - Kingsville rank highly nationally, between the 86th and 92nd percentiles. The largest income bracket comprises 27.4% of residents earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly. This is consistent with broader regional trends where 32.8% fall into the same category. Notably, 40.4% of residents earn over $3,000 per week, reflecting the area's affluence and ability to support premium retail and service offerings. Despite high housing costs consuming 16.3% of income, strong earnings place disposable income at the 84th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Seddon - Kingsville displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Seddon-Kingsville, as per the latest Census evaluation, 65.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 34.9% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This differs slightly from Melbourne's metropolitan average, which is 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Seddon-Kingsville stood at 22.2%, with mortgaged properties making up 38.7% and rented dwellings accounting for 39.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,500, higher than Melbourne's metropolitan average of $2,000. The median weekly rent in Seddon-Kingsville was recorded at $414, compared to Melbourne's metro average of $390. Nationally, Seddon-Kingsville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Seddon - Kingsville features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 66.3% of all households, including 31.3% couples with children, 25.2% couples without children, and 7.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 33.7%, comprising 27.9% lone person households and 5.9% group households. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Seddon - Kingsville exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Seddon-Kingsville is notably high, with 51.6% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications as of the latest data. This compares to national figures of 30.4% and regional SA4 benchmarks of 32.0%. The area's educational advantage is evident in its Bachelor degree holders (31.6%), postgraduate graduates (13.7%), and graduate diploma recipients (6.3%). Vocational qualifications are also well-represented, with advanced diplomas at 10.0% and certificates at 12.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.8% in primary, 6.7% in tertiary, and 5.1% in secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 29 operational stops in Seddon - Kingsville, serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 10 individual routes, offering 3795 weekly passenger trips collectively. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 138 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode at 66%, followed by train at 18% and walking at 5%. Vehicle ownership averages 0.8 per dwelling, below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 52.5% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 542 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 130 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Seddon - Kingsville is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Seddon-Kingsville faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is found to be fairly high at approximately 55% of the total population, which totals around 5,371 people. The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 10.3 and 9.5% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 70.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 10.8% of residents aged 65 and over, totaling around 1,060 people, which is lower than the 15.0% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Seddon - Kingsville was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Seddon-Kingsville, surveyed between July 2016 and June 2021, had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas. Its population born overseas was 27.7%, and those speaking a language other than English at home were 22.4%. Christianity was the dominant religion, with 31.6% of residents identifying as such.

Buddhism, however, was more prevalent in Seddon-Kingsville compared to Greater Melbourne, making up 4.0% versus 4.2%. The top three ancestry groups were English (23.5%), Australian (20.3%), and Irish (10.7%). Notably, Macedonian (1.4%) was overrepresented in Seddon-Kingsville compared to the regional average of 0.7%, as were Vietnamese (2.9% vs 1.9%) and Maltese (1.0% vs 1.1%).

Seddon - Kingsville's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Seddon-Kingsville has a median age of 37, matching Greater Melbourne's figure and closely resembling Australia's median age of 38 years. The 35-44 age group is prominently represented at 20.3%, compared to Greater Melbourne's percentage, while the 15-24 cohort is less prevalent at 9.6%. Notably, the 35-44 concentration in Seddon-Kingsville exceeds Australia's national figure of 14.3%. Between 2021 and present day, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 7.8% to 9.6%, while the 65 to 74 cohort has risen from 5.0% to 6.3%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has decreased from 12.0% to 10.6%. Looking forward to the year 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Seddon-Kingsville's age structure. The 55 to 64 age group is projected to grow by 41%, adding 393 people and reaching a total of 1,353 from its current figure of 959. Meanwhile, the 5 to 14 age group is expected to decrease by 44 residents.