Seddon - Kingsville

An assessment of population growth drivers in Seddon - Kingsville reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Seddon - Kingsville's population is around 9,794 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 547 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,247. The change is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 9,782 in June 2024 and 32 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 5,829 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 73.0%.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 adjusted employing weighted aggregation method for areas not covered by the first data set. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas from 2032 to 2041. Based on demographic trends, an above median population growth is projected, with the area expected to increase by 1,825 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 18.5% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Seddon - Kingsville among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Seddon-Kingsville has averaged approximately 107 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 539 homes. As of FY26, 9 approvals have been recorded. The population has declined in recent years, suggesting that new supply has likely kept pace with demand, offering buyers good choice while new properties are constructed at an average value of $363,000. This financial year has seen $35.7 million in commercial approvals, indicating robust local business investment.

Compared to Greater Melbourne, Seddon-Kingsville maintains similar construction rates per person, supporting market stability in line with regional patterns, although recent activity has intensified. Nationally, this is well above average, reflecting strong developer confidence in the area. Recent construction comprises 5% detached dwellings and 95% townhouses or apartments, creating more affordable entry points and suiting downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This represents a significant shift from the current housing mix of 65% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. With around 224 people per dwelling approval, Seddon-Kingsville exhibits characteristics of a low-density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by 1,813 residents through to 2041.

At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Seddon - Kingsville has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 18 projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Yarraville Green, Bradmill Yarraville, West Footscray Neighbourhood Plan, and Kinnear's Precinct (Live City). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Seddon - Kingsville shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Seddon - Kingsville has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in the technology sector. The unemployment rate was 3.5% as of September 2025, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%.

Over the past year, there was an estimated employment growth of 5.1%. As of September 2025, 6,553 residents were in work and the unemployment rate was 3.5%, with workforce participation at 74.9% compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment among residents is concentrated in professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training sectors. The area shows strong specialization in professional & technical, with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, construction shows lower representation at 6.1% compared to the regional average of 9.7%. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 5.1%, while labour force increased by 5.6%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.5 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Melbourne recorded employment growth of 3.0%, labour force growth of 3.3%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. To provide broader context, state-level data from November 25 shows that Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. Jobs and Skills Australia projects national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Seddon - Kingsville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The Seddon-Kingsville SA2 has an income level higher than average nationally according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year ended June 2022. Its median income among taxpayers is $56,867 and the average income stands at $68,859. Comparing these figures with Greater Melbourne's median of $54,892 and average of $73,761 shows Seddon-Kingsville SA2's incomes are higher. Based on Wage Price Index growth rate of 12.16% from financial year ended June 2022 to September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $63,782 and average income around $77,232 by that date. Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes in Seddon-Kingsville SA2 rank highly nationally, between the 86th and 92nd percentiles. Income brackets show largest segment comprises 27.4% earning $1,500-$2,999 weekly (2,683 residents), consistent with broader trends across regional levels at 32.8%. The district demonstrates considerable affluence with 40.4% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 16.3% of income, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 84th percentile nationally. Area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Seddon - Kingsville displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Seddon - Kingsville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 65.1% houses and 34.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Melbourne metro had 49.7% houses and 50.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Seddon - Kingsville was 22.2%, similar to Melbourne metro's level. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (38.7%) or rented (39.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,500, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,100 and the national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure for Seddon - Kingsville was $414, above Melbourne metro's $376 and the national average of $375.

Seddon - Kingsville features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 66.3% of all households, including 31.3% couples with children, 25.2% couples without children, and 7.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 33.7%, with lone person households at 27.9% and group households comprising 5.9%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which matches the Greater Melbourne average.

The educational profile of Seddon - Kingsville exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Seddon-Kingsville shows significant surpassing of broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 51.6% hold university qualifications compared to Australia's 30.4% and the SA4 region's 32.0%. Bachelor degrees lead at 31.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.7%) and graduate diplomas (6.3%). Vocational pathways account for 22.1% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 10.0% and certificates at 12.1%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.8% in primary education, 6.7% in tertiary education, and 5.1% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Seddon - Kingsville has 28 active public transport stops serving a mix of train and bus routes. These stops are covered by 9 individual routes, offering a total of 5,222 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 137 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 746 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 186 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Seddon - Kingsville is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Seddon-Kingsville shows better-than-average health results with lower prevalence of common conditions among its general population compared to older, at-risk groups nationally. Around 54% (~5,259 people) have private health cover, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 56.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent, affecting 10.3% and 9.5% respectively, while 70.6% report no medical ailments, close to Greater Melbourne's 72.7%. The area has 10.7% (1,047 people) aged 65 and over, with health outcomes requiring more attention than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Seddon - Kingsville was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Seddon-Kingsville has a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 27.7% of its population born overseas and 22.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Seddon-Kingsville, comprising 31.6% of the population. Notably, Buddhism is overrepresented at 4.0%, compared to 8.7% across Greater Melbourne.

The top three ancestry groups are English (23.5%), Australian (20.3%), and Irish (10.7%). Macedonian (1.4%) and Maltese (1.0%) are also notably overrepresented in Seddon-Kingsville, while Vietnamese is underrepresented at 2.9%.

Seddon - Kingsville's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Seddon-Kingsville is 37 years, matching Greater Melbourne's figure and closely aligning with Australia's median of 38 years. The 35-44 age bracket is strongly represented at 20.0%, compared to Greater Melbourne's percentage, while the 15-24 cohort is less prevalent at 9.6%. This concentration in the 35-44 group is notably higher than Australia's figure of 14.2%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has risen from 7.8% to 9.6%, while the 65-74 cohort increased from 5.0% to 6.0%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has decreased from 12.0% to 10.8%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Seddon-Kingsville's age structure. Notably, the 55-64 group is expected to grow by 46%, adding 451 people and reaching a total of 1,435 from its current figure of 983. Meanwhile, the 5-14 age group is projected to decrease by 54 residents.