South Kingsville

South Kingsville lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for South Kingsville's broader area, its population is estimated at around 2,119 as of Nov 2025. This reflects a decrease of 37 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,156. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,083, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 93 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,310 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, South Kingsville has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.9%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 62.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is projected for statistical areas across the nation, with South Kingsville expected to expand by 466 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 28.7% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees South Kingsville recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

South Kingsville has seen approximately 34 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 172 homes. As of FY-26 so far, there have been 4 approvals recorded. On average, 0.3 new residents arrive per new home each year between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating supply meeting or exceeding demand. The average construction value for new homes is $420,000, aligning with regional trends.

This financial year has seen $10.5 million in commercial approvals, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Comparatively, South Kingsville shows 68.0% higher building activity per person than Greater Melbourne, indicating robust developer interest in the area. New developments consist of 8.0% standalone homes and 92.0% townhouses or apartments, offering affordable entry pathways for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This shift reflects decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles. The location has around 155 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, South Kingsville is projected to grow by approximately 609 residents through to 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Looking ahead, South Kingsville is expected to grow by 609 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

South Kingsville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects likely affecting this region: Newport Village, South Kingsville Place, West Gate Tunnel Project, and Better Places Spotswood & South Kingsville. The following details these key projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in South Kingsville rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

South Kingsville has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.0% in the past year, showing strong growth of 5.6%.

As of June 2025, 1,566 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.6%, below Greater Melbourne's 4.6%. Workforce participation is high at 75.5%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. Finance & insurance has a strong presence, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level.

Manufacturing, however, has limited presence at 4.5%, compared to 7.2% regionally. Local employment opportunities appear limited due to the predominantly residential nature of the area. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 5.6% and labour force by 5.9%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.5%, labour force expand by 4.0%, and unemployment rise by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to South Kingsville's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

South Kingsville's median income among taxpayers was $75,269 and average income stood at $92,487 in financial year 2022, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This compares to Greater Melbourne's figures of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively. By September 2025, current estimates suggest median income would be approximately $84,422 and average income $103,733, based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022. In South Kingsville, household, family, and personal incomes ranked highly nationally, between the 81st and 93rd percentiles, according to 2021 Census figures. The largest income segment comprised 29.6% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (627 residents). Economic strength was evident with 37.4% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000. High housing costs consumed 15.7% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 80th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 8th decile.

South Kingsville displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

South Kingsville's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 41.5% houses and 58.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 68.7% houses and 31.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in South Kingsville stood at 22.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.7% and rented ones at 37.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,313, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,167. Median weekly rent was $381, similar to Melbourne metro's $386. Nationally, South Kingsville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,313 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were also higher at $381 versus the national figure of $375.

South Kingsville features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 65.8 percent of all households, including 32.0 percent couples with children, 22.6 percent couples without children, and 8.9 percent single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 34.2 percent, with lone person households at 31.3 percent and group households making up 3.1 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.5.

South Kingsville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

South Kingsville's educational attainment is notably high, with 42.0% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and the SA4 region's 32.0%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 28.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.4%) and graduate diplomas (4.7%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 28.4% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 12.6% and certificates at 15.8%. Educational participation is high, with 28.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.9% in primary, 5.5% in tertiary, and 5.0% in secondary education.

Educational facilities appear to be located outside South Kingsville's immediate boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

South Kingsville has 16 active public transport stops. These are served by buses only. There is 1 route operating, which provides a total of 797 weekly passenger trips.

Residents have excellent accessibility to these stops, with an average distance of 129 meters to the nearest one. The service frequency is 113 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 49 weekly trips per stop.

South Kingsville's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

South Kingsville's health outcomes show excellent results, with younger age groups having particularly low prevalence rates for common health conditions. Approximately 63% of South Kingsville's total population (1,340 people) has private health cover, compared to Greater Melbourne's 60.9%. Nationally, the average is 55.3%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in South Kingsville, affecting 8.3% and 7.7% of residents respectively. 75.2% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 70.7%. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 10.3% (218 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 17.8%.

South Kingsville was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

South Kingsville's population showed greater cultural diversity than most local areas, with 27.5% born overseas and 23.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in South Kingsville, comprising 41.0% of its population. Islam's representation stood out at 4.8%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 5.3%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (21.5%), Australian (20.7%), and Other (10.2%). Notably, Serbian (1.1%) was overrepresented compared to the regional figure of 0.8%, as were Hungarian (0.5% vs 0.3%) and Welsh (0.8% vs 0.5%).

South Kingsville's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

South Kingsville's median age is 37, matching Greater Melbourne and closely resembling Australia's figure of 38 years. The 35-44 age group comprises 21.2%, higher than Greater Melbourne but lower than the national average of 14.2%. The 15-24 cohort stands at 9.3%, lower than both Greater Melbourne and the national average. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has risen from 8.0% to 9.3%, while the 65-74 cohort increased from 5.2% to 6.3%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 17.2% to 16.3%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in South Kingsville's age structure. The 55-64 group is projected to grow by 57%, adding 123 people and reaching 342 from 218. Meanwhile, the 0-4 cohort grows modestly by 9%, adding 15 people.