South Kingsville

Population growth drivers in South Kingsville are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, the suburb of South Kingsville had an estimated population of around 2,211 as of May 2026. This reflects a growth of 55 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,156. The increase is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 2,207 in June 2025 and an additional 109 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 3,454 persons per square kilometer, placing South Kingsville in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, South Kingsville has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.9%, outpacing its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 62.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch's projections for South Kingsville are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024, using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made through weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. According to these projections, South Kingsville's overall population is expected to decline by 5 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, notably the 55 to 64 age group, which is projected to expand by 60 people.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within South Kingsville when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in South Kingsville shows approximately 37 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling around 189 homes. In FY-26 so far, 45 approvals have been recorded. The average new resident arrival rate per new home is about 0.4 persons per year between FY-21 and FY-25. New supply meets or exceeds demand, offering ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

Average construction value of new properties is $420,000, moderately above regional levels. Commercial approvals in South Kingsville totalled $6.1 million this financial year, indicating a primarily residential area. Compared to Greater Melbourne, South Kingsville has 85.0% more construction activity per person. Development activity has moderated recently but remains well above national averages, reflecting strong developer confidence. New building activity comprises 10.0% standalone homes and 90.0% attached dwellings, marking a significant shift from existing housing patterns (currently 42.0% houses). South Kingsville's population density is around 93 people per approval, reflecting a low-density area. Population stability or decline is expected, potentially reducing housing pressure and creating buying opportunities.

With population expected to remain stable or decline, South Kingsville should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

South Kingsville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects likely affecting the region: Newport Village, South Kingsville Place, West Gate Tunnel Project, and Better Places Spotswood & South Kingsville. The following details these key initiatives.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees South Kingsville performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

South Kingsville has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 2.0% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.3%.

As of this date, 1,446 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.7%, below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. Workforce participation was high at 82.8% compared to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. A significant proportion, 45.1%, of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. The leading employment industries were health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction.

Finance & insurance showed particular specialization with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level. Conversely, manufacturing had lower representation at 4.5% compared to the regional average of 7.2%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited as indicated by the working population count versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 2.3% while labour force grew by 2.7%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 2.4% and labour force growth of 2.8%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within South Kingsville. Over five years, national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6%, and over ten years by 13.7%. Applying these projections to South Kingsville's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.6% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released on 1st July 2023, South Kingsville's median income among taxpayers is $75,269. The average income for the suburb is $92,487. Nationally, this is extremely high compared to Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates for South Kingsville would be approximately $82,510 (median) and $101,384 (average) as of March 2026. According to the Census conducted on 10th August 2021, household, family and personal incomes in South Kingsville rank highly nationally, between the 81st and 93rd percentiles. In terms of income distribution, 29.6% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, reflecting a pattern seen across broader areas where 32.8% fall into this earnings band. The suburb demonstrates considerable affluence with 37.4% earning over $3,000 per week. This supports premium retail and service offerings in the area. High housing costs consume 15.7% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 80th percentile nationally. South Kingsville's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

South Kingsville displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

South Kingsville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 41.5% houses and 58.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in South Kingsville stood at 22.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.7% and rented ones at 37.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,313, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent was $381, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, South Kingsville's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were above the national figure of $375.

South Kingsville features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 65.8% of all households, including 32.0% couples with children, 22.6% couples without children, and 8.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for 34.2%, with lone person households at 31.3% and group households comprising 3.1%. The median household size is 2.3 people, smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

South Kingsville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

South Kingsville's educational attainment is notably higher than national averages. Among residents aged 15+, 42.0% have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and the SA4 region's 32.0%. University graduates make up 28.9%, postgraduate degree holders are at 8.4%, and graduate diploma holders stand at 4.7%. Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 28.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas account for 12.6% and certificates for 15.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.5% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.9% in primary, 5.5% in tertiary, and 5.0% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

South Kingsville has 16 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by one route, offering a total of 535 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically living 129 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most commutes are outward-bound. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 88% of residents, while trains account for 6%. On average, there are 1.1 vehicles per dwelling, below the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 45.1% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 76 trips daily across all routes, equating to roughly 33 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in South Kingsville is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

South Kingsville shows superior health outcomes, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among its general population but higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts. Approximately 63% of South Kingsville's total population (1,398 people) has private health cover, compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7% and the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 8.3% and 7.7% of residents respectively, while 75.2% report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. The under-65 population in South Kingsville has better health outcomes than average. As of the latest data (20XX), 11.0% of South Kingsville residents are aged 65 and over (243 people), which is lower than Greater Melbourne's 15.0%, but still ranks lower nationally compared to the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in South Kingsville was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

South Kingsville's population was found to be more culturally diverse than most other local areas, with 27.5% born overseas and 23.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in South Kingsville, comprising 41.0% of its population. Islam is notably overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, making up 4.8% versus 5.6%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (21.5%), Australian (20.7%), and Other (10.2%). Notably, Serbian (1.1%) and Hungarian (0.5%) populations are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively. Welsh population is also relatively high at 0.8%.

South Kingsville's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in South Kingsville is 38 years, close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and equivalent to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, South Kingsville has a higher percentage of residents aged 35-44 (21.2%) but fewer residents aged 15-24 (6.6%). The concentration of residents aged 35-44 is well above the national average of 14.3%. Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the percentage of residents aged 65-74 increased from 5.2% to 6.8%, while the percentages for those aged 15-24 decreased from 8.0% to 6.6% and those aged 0-4 dropped from 8.9% to 7.6%. By 2041, South Kingsville's age composition is expected to shift notably. The 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 15 people, reaching 424 from 369, while both the 85+ and 15-24 age groups are expected to decrease in number.