South Kingsville

Population growth drivers in South Kingsville are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The suburb of South Kingsville's population is estimated at around 2,535 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 379 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,156 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of resident population at 2,256 following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 97 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,960 persons per square kilometer, placing South Kingsville in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 17.6% since the 2021 census exceeded both the national average (9.9%) and state averages. Overseas migration contributed approximately 62.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in South Kingsville.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, South Kingsville is expected to expand by 447 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 6.6% in total over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within South Kingsville when compared nationally

South Kingsville has seen approximately 37 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 189 homes. In FY26 up to now, 8 approvals have been recorded. The average new resident arrival per new home is about 0.3 persons yearly between FY21 and FY25, indicating that supply meets or exceeds demand. Average dwelling construction value stands at $420,000, slightly above the regional norm.

Commercial approvals this year total $6.1 million, reflecting South Kingsville's residential character. Compared to Greater Melbourne, South Kingsville exhibits 85.0% higher building activity per capita, suggesting robust developer interest and greater buyer choice, although recent construction activity has eased somewhat. New developments comprise 10.0% standalone homes and 90.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating a shift towards compact living and affordable entry pathways for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. The area currently hosts about 94 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market. South Kingsville is projected to grow by approximately 168 residents by the year 2041, according to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth beyond current forecasts.

Looking ahead, South Kingsville is expected to grow by 168 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

South Kingsville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects likely to impact the region. Notable projects are Newport Village, South Kingsville Place, West Gate Tunnel Project, and Better Places Spotswood & South Kingsville. Relevant details follow.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in South Kingsville rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

South Kingsville has a highly educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 2.2% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.2%. As of December 2025, 1,573 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.6%, below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation is high at 87.7% compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%. Census responses show that 45.1% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction. The area has a strong specialization in finance & insurance, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level.

Manufacturing's presence is limited at 4.5% compared to the regional average of 7.2%. Local employment opportunities appear limited due to the predominantly residential nature of the area. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 4.2%, and labour force grew by 4.8%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 2.4%, labour force expand by 2.8%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to South Kingsville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The suburb of South Kingsville has an extremely high income level nationally, according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in South Kingsville is $75,269, with the average income standing at $92,487. These figures compare to Greater Melbourne's median and average incomes of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for South Kingsville would be approximately $81,479 (median) and $100,117 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in South Kingsville rank highly nationally, between the 81st and 93rd percentiles. The largest income segment comprises 29.6% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (750 residents). Economic strength is evident with 37.4% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 15.7% of income, yet strong earnings place disposable income at the 80th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

South Kingsville displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

South Kingsville's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 41.5% houses and 58.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in South Kingsville stood at 22.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.7% and rented ones at 37.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,313, above Melbourne metro's average of $2,000, while the median weekly rent was $381 compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, South Kingsville's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,313 against Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were $381 compared to the national figure of $375.

South Kingsville features high concentrations of lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 65.8% of all households, including 32.0% couples with children, 22.6% couples without children, and 8.9% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 34.2%, with lone person households at 31.3% and group households making up 3.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

South Kingsville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

South Kingsville's educational attainment is notably higher than national averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 42.0% have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and the SA4 region's 32.0%. University graduates make up 28.9%, postgraduate qualifications are held by 8.4%, and graduate diplomas by 4.7%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 28.4% of residents holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.6%) and certificates (15.8%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.5% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.9% in primary, 5.5% in tertiary, and 5.0% in secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

South Kingsville has 16 active public transport stops, all serving bus routes. These stops collectively facilitate 535 weekly passenger trips via a single route. The average distance to the nearest stop for residents is 129 meters, indicating excellent transport accessibility. Most residents commute outward from South Kingsville, with cars being the dominant mode of transport at 88%. Train usage stands at 6%. The area has an average vehicle ownership of 1.1 per dwelling, lower than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 45.1% of residents work from home, which may be due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 76 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 33 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in South Kingsville is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

South Kingsville shows superior health outcomes, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is low among the general population but higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts. Approximately 63% of South Kingsville's total population (1,603 people) has private health cover, compared to Greater Melbourne's 56.7% and the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 8.3 and 7.7% of residents respectively. A total of 75.2% of residents declare themselves completely free from medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. South Kingsville has 10.8% of residents aged 65 and over (273 people), lower than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%, but still ranks lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in South Kingsville was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

South Kingsville's population showed higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 27.5% born overseas and 23.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the dominant religion in South Kingsville, accounting for 41.0%. Islam was overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, comprising 4.8% of South Kingsville's population versus 5.6%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (21.5%), Australian (20.7%), and Other (10.2%). Notably, Serbian (1.1%) was overrepresented compared to the regional average of 0.4%, as were Hungarian (0.5% vs 0.3%) and Welsh (0.8% vs 0.4%).

South Kingsville's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in South Kingsville is 38 years, close to Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and equivalent to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, South Kingsville has a higher percentage of residents aged 35-44 (20.8%) but fewer residents aged 15-24 (9.3%). This 35-44 concentration is significantly higher than the national average of 14.3%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the age group 15 to 24 has increased from 8.0% to 9.3%, while the age group 65 to 74 has risen from 5.2% to 6.5%. Conversely, the age group 25 to 34 has declined from 17.2% to 15.7%, and the age group 5 to 14 has decreased from 11.8% to 10.7%. By 2041, South Kingsville's age composition is expected to shift notably. The 55 to 64 age group is projected to grow by 30%, increasing from 256 to 332 people. Meanwhile, both the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 age groups are expected to see a decrease in numbers.