Kingsville

An assessment of population growth drivers in Kingsville reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, Kingsville's population is estimated at around 4,144, reflecting an increase of 224 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,920. This change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 4,137 residents following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and an additional 13 validated new addresses since the Census date. Kingsville's population density ratio is 5,676 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration primarily drove recent population growth, contributing approximately 73.0%. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered, it utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusting using weighted aggregation methods. Considering these projections, Kingsville is expected to grow by 767 persons to 2041, reflecting an 18.1% increase over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kingsville according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Kingsville has experienced around 21 dwellings receiving development approval each year. An estimated 105 homes were approved over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, with three more approved so far in FY-26.

The population has fallen during this period, yet housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, creating a well-balanced market with good buyer choice. New dwellings are developed at an average construction cost value of $588,000, indicating that developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kingsville has significantly less development activity, 55.0% below the regional average per person, which typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. However, development activity has picked up in recent periods. New development consists of 4.0% standalone homes and 96.0% townhouses or apartments, reflecting a trend toward denser development to provide accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix, which is currently 61.0% houses, due to reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

Kingsville shows characteristics of a low density area, with around 85 people per dwelling approval. Looking ahead, Kingsville is expected to grow by 751 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Development is keeping reasonable pace with projected growth, though buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Kingsville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified six projects likely affecting this region. Notable initiatives include the West Footscray Neighbourhood Plan, 590-596 Barkly Street Development, West Footscray Station Upgrade, and New Footscray Hospital. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Kingsville shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Kingsville has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 3.6% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.2%, based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, 2,720 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.1% below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation in Kingsville was 83.1%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. Census responses indicated that 50.2% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The dominant employment sectors among residents were health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training.

Kingsville showed strong specialization in public administration & safety, with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level. However, construction was under-represented, with only 6.1% of Kingsville's workforce compared to Greater Melbourne's 9.7%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. During the year to September 2025, employment levels increased by 5.2%, and labour force increased by 5.8%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 3.0% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insight into potential future demand within Kingsville. These projections suggest national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Kingsville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 indicates that median income in Kingsville is $55,124, with an average income of $66,748. This is lower than the national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively for median and average incomes in Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% from July 2023 to September 2025, current estimates suggest median income would be approximately $59,672 and average income $72,255 by the latter date. The 2021 Census data ranks Kingsville's household, family, and personal incomes between the 77th and 91st percentiles nationally. In Kingsville, 26.7% of locals (1,106 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, slightly lower than the metropolitan region's 32.8%. Notably, 37.0% of households in Kingsville achieve high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, contributing to elevated consumer spending despite high housing costs consuming 16.6% of income. This places disposable income at the 76th percentile and positions the area's SEIFA income ranking in the 8th decile.

Kingsville displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Kingsville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 61.4% houses and 38.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kingsville stood at 20.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.9% and rented ones at 37.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,370, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent in Kingsville was $355, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Kingsville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents lower at $375.

Kingsville features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 64.2% of all households, including 32.7% couples with children, 22.5% couples without children, and 7.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 35.8%, with lone person households at 31.4% and group households comprising 4.5%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Kingsville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Kingsville's educational attainment significantly exceeds broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 49.5% hold university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and the SA4 region's 32.0%. This notable advantage positions Kingsville strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 30.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.2%) and graduate diplomas (6.1%).

Vocational pathways account for 23.7% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.0% and certificates at 12.7%. Educational participation is particularly high, with 29.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 6.0% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kingsville has nine active public transport stops, all serving buses. These are covered by five different routes, offering 1,421 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is excellent, with residents usually within 150 meters of the nearest stop. Most commutes are outward-bound due to the residential nature of the area. Cars are used predominantly (70%), followed by trains (16%) and walking (4%). On average, there are 0.8 vehicles per dwelling, below the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 50.2% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 203 trips daily across all routes, equating to about 157 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Kingsville is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Kingsville faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment as of July 20XX. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high across both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover is prevalent at approximately 53% of the total population (~2,205 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. The most common medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 10.2 and 10.2% of residents respectively. However, 68.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Working-age residents show above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 12.2% of residents aged 65 and over (505 people), lower than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Kingsville was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Kingsville's cultural diversity was notable, with 28.0% of its population born overseas and 22.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Kingsville, comprising 34.2% of the population. While this figure was higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 1.0%, Judaism's representation in Kingsville was relatively low at 0.2%.

The top three ancestry groups in Kingsville were English (23.6%), Australian (20.2%), and Irish (10.7%). Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Macedonian was overrepresented at 1.1% compared to the regional average of 0.7%, Polish at 1.0% versus 0.8%, and Vietnamese at 2.0% against a regional average of 1.9%.

Kingsville's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Kingsville has a median age of 37, matching Greater Melbourne's figure and remaining close to Australia's median age of 38 years. The 35-44 age group is strongly represented at 20.3%, compared to Greater Melbourne, while the 15-24 cohort is less prevalent at 8.9%. This concentration in the 35-44 age group is significantly higher than the national figure of 14.3%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 7.2% to 8.9%, while the 65-74 cohort rose from 4.9% to 6.4%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort decreased from 13.6% to 12.2%, and the 0-4 group fell from 7.3% to 6.2%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Kingsville's age structure. Notably, the 55-64 group is expected to grow by 39 people (from 389 to 543), while the 5-14 group is projected to decrease by 10 residents.