Seddon (Vic.)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Seddon reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The population of the suburb of Seddon (Vic.) is estimated to be around 5,447 as of May 2026. This represents an increase of 304 people from the 2021 Census figure of 5,143. The latest estimate by AreaSearch, based on ERP data released by the ABS in June 2025 and additional validated addresses since the Census date, is 5,427 residents. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 5,920 persons per square kilometer, placing Seddon in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed significantly to this growth, accounting for around 73% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch's projections for Seddon are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia figures released in 2024 using a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, VIC State Government Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are used with adjustments made through weighted aggregation methods. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, the suburb of Seddon is expected to experience above median population growth, increasing by 954 persons to reach a total of 6,401 residents by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 17.1% over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Seddon among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis using ABS building approval numbers, Seddon had around 91 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years ending June 2021. This totals an estimated 458 homes. By February 2026, 7 approvals have been recorded so far this financial year. The population has declined in recent years, but development activity has remained adequate relative to population changes, benefiting buyers.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $588,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. This financial year, $35.7 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, showing high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Seddon records elevated construction activity at 48.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period, balancing buyer choice and supporting current property values. This activity is significantly higher than the national average, indicating robust developer interest in the area. New building activity shows 5.0% standalone homes and 95.0% medium and high-density housing, appealing to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This trend reflects reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements, differing from the current housing mix of 67.0% houses.

Seddon has around 28 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density area. AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Seddon to add 934 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Seddon has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 12 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects are Yarraville Green, Kinnear's Precinct (Live City), Bradmill Yarraville, and Victoria Square by Growland. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Seddon demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Seddon's workforce is highly educated with notable representation in the technology sector. The unemployment rate as of December 2025 was 3.4%. Over the past year, employment grew by an estimated 3.9%, according to AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data.

In December 2025, 3,707 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.3% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. Workforce participation in Seddon was 83.8%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. Census responses indicated that 53.9% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in professional & technical (1.4 times the regional average), health care & social assistance, and education & training sectors.

Construction employment is under-represented at 6.0%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 9.7%. Over a 12-month period ending December 2025, employment increased by 3.9% while labour force grew by 4.4%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 2.4%, labour force expand by 2.8%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Seddon's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended June 2023, the suburb of Seddon had a median income among taxpayers of $58,426 with the average level standing at $70,747. These figures are higher than national averages and compare to levels of $57,688 and $75,164 across Greater Melbourne respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth rate of 9.62% from financial year ended June 2023 to March 2026, current estimates would be approximately $64,047 (median) and $77,553 (average). According to Australian Bureau of Statistics Census data from 2021, household incomes in Seddon rank at the 90th percentile nationally. Family incomes are also high, ranking at the 92nd percentile, while personal incomes rank at the 94th percentile. The largest income segment comprises 27.6% of residents earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly. This pattern is similar to the regional trend where 32.8% of residents earn within this range. A substantial proportion of high earners, 42.8%, have incomes above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity in the area. Despite high housing costs consuming 16.2% of income, disposable income ranks at the 89th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Seddon displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The latest Census evaluated Seddon's dwelling structures as 67.4% houses and 32.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Comparatively, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Seddon was at 23.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 36.7% and rented ones at 40.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Seddon was $2,551, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. The median weekly rent in Seddon was $460, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Seddon's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,551 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Seddon features high concentrations of group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 67.2% of all households, including 29.6% couples with children, 27.3% couples without children, and 7.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 32.8%, with lone person households at 25.4% and group households making up 7.2%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Seddon demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Seddon shows a significant advantage with 53.3% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications. This is higher than the Australian average of 30.4% and the SA4 region average of 32.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 32.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 14.1% and graduate diplomas at 6.4%. Vocational pathways account for 20.9% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 9.3% and certificates at 11.6%.

Educational participation is high in the area, with 27.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.1% in primary education, 7.2% in tertiary education, and 4.4% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 20 active stops operating in Seddon, with a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 9 individual routes, collectively offering 3,473 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 126 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Car remains dominant at 63%, followed by train at 21% and walking at 6%. Vehicle ownership averages 0.8 per dwelling, below regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 53.9% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 496 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 173 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Seddon is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Seddon demonstrates above-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

Both young and old age cohorts show low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover is found to be high at approximately 55% of the total population, which totals around 2,983 people. The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 10.5 and 8.8% of residents respectively. A total of 71.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 10.2% of residents aged 65 and over, which totals 555 people, lower than the 15.0% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Seddon was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Seddon had a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 27.5% of its population born overseas and 22.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Seddon, comprising 29.3% of its population. Notably, Buddhism was overrepresented in Seddon at 4.8%, compared to 4.2% across Greater Melbourne.

The top three ancestry groups were English (23.2%), Australian (20.1%), and Irish (10.8%). There were significant differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Macedonian was overrepresented at 1.7% (vs regional 0.7%), Vietnamese at 3.5% (vs 1.9%), and Welsh at 0.8% (vs 0.4%).

Seddon's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Seddon's median age is nearly matching Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years, which is modestly under the Australian median of 38 years. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Seddon has a higher concentration of residents aged 35-44 (20.1%) but fewer residents aged 15-24 (10.3%). This concentration of residents aged 35-44 is well above the national average of 14.3%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 15 to 24 has grown from 8.0% to 10.3%, while the population aged 65 to 74 increased from 5.2% to 6.4%. Conversely, the population aged 5 to 14 has declined from 10.9% to 9.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Seddon's age profile will evolve significantly. The population aged 55-64 is projected to grow by 43%, adding 245 residents to reach a total of 817. Meanwhile, the population aged 5-14 is expected to contract by 30 residents.