Flemington

An assessment of population growth drivers in Flemington reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Flemington's population was approximately 11,500 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 2,435 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,065. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,290 in June 2024 and an additional 547 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 7,278 persons per square kilometer, placing Flemington in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 26.9% from the 2021 Census exceeded both the national average (9.7%) and state averages, marking it as a region leader in population growth. Overseas migration contributed approximately 88.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises Victorian State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth for national statistical areas, with Flemington expected to grow by 1,763 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 4.8% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Flemington among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Flemington has received approximately 165 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 826 homes. As of FY-26, one approval has been recorded. The population decline in recent years has been accompanied by adequate development activity relative to population size, which is beneficial for buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $442,000, higher than regional norms, indicating quality-focused development.

In the current financial year, $2.8 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting Flemington's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Flemington has 86.0% more construction activity per person, offering buyers greater choice and suggesting strong developer confidence in the location. New developments consist of 1.0% detached houses and 99.0% townhouses or apartments, providing affordable entry pathways for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This shift away from the area's existing housing composition (currently 20.0% houses) indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and demand for diverse, affordable housing options. Flemington has approximately 507 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Flemington is expected to grow by 553 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, creating good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Looking ahead, Flemington is expected to grow by 553 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Flemington has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 33rdth percentile nationally

The performance of an area can be significantly influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 19 projects that are likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Flemington Green, Holland Court, Flemington housing, Flemington Estate Renewal (Public Housing Revitalisation Program), and Younghusband Kensington. The following list details those projects most relevant to the area.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Flemington recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Flemington's workforce is highly educated with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate was 12.4% in the past year, showing an estimated employment growth of 5.3%. As of September 2025, 7.8% more residents were unemployed compared to Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%, indicating room for improvement.

Workforce participation was at 73.2%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. Census responses revealed that 45.5% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. The area specializes in professional & technical jobs, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level, but has lower representation in construction at 4.8% compared to the regional average of 9.7%.

Limited local employment opportunities are suggested by the resident-to-working population ratio. In the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 5.3%, matching the labour force growth rate, with unemployment remaining stable. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne's 3.0% employment growth, 3.3% labour force increase, and 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in May-25, project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Flemington's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.6% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates Flemington SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $65,720 and an average of $83,799. These figures are high compared to national levels and Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. As of September 2025, estimates based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023 suggest the median income would be approximately $71,142 and the average $90,712. Census data shows personal income ranks at the 71st percentile ($927 weekly) and household income at the 39th percentile. Distribution data reveals that 30.0% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999, mirroring regional levels where 32.8% fall within this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 80.6% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 36th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Flemington features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Flemington's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 20.1% houses and 79.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Flemington was at 15.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 23.2% and rented ones at 61.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, aligning with Melbourne metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $324, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390 respectively. Nationally, Flemington's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower than the national figure of $375.

Flemington features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 50.4% of all households, including 15.7% couples with children, 22.9% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 49.6%, with lone person households at 42.1% and group households comprising 7.4%. The median household size is 2.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Flemington exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Flemington is notably high, with 52.2% of residents aged 15 years and above holding university qualifications as of the latest data. This figure surpasses both national (30.4%) and Victorian state (33.4%) averages. University graduates make up the largest proportion at 30.6%, followed by postgraduate degree holders at 16.7% and graduate diploma holders at 4.9%. Vocational qualifications account for 19.2% of residents aged 15 years and above, with advanced diplomas making up 9.0% and certificates comprising 10.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the latest figures. This includes 11.7% in tertiary education, 6.4% in primary education, and 4.8% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Flemington has 27 operational public transport stops offering a mix of lightrail and bus services. These are served by six distinct routes that facilitate 6,405 weekly passenger trips collectively. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically residing 191 meters from their nearest stop. Primarily residential, Flemington sees most commuters traveling outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation at 55%, followed by trains at 17% and walking at 6%. Vehicle ownership averages 0.5 per dwelling, below the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 45.5% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 915 trips daily, equating to approximately 237 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Flemington is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Flemington faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence for common health conditions were found to be somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover was exceptionally high at approximately 61% of the total population (6,992 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and the national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions were mental health issues impacting 11.2% of residents and asthma impacting 8.2%. Meanwhile, 70.6% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 11.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,343 people), lower than the 14.9% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Flemington is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Flemington has a high level of cultural diversity, with 39.7% of its population born overseas and 36.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Flemington, comprising 30.0% of the population. Islam is overrepresented in Flemington compared to Greater Melbourne, making up 12.1% of the population versus the regional average of 5.6%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (19.4%), Other (19.2%), and Australian (16.6%). Notably, Vietnamese (3.1%) and Spanish (0.6%) populations are overrepresented in Flemington compared to the region, while Chinese (6.8%) is slightly higher than the regional average of 6.5%.

Flemington hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Flemington's median age is 33, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's 37 and Australia's 38. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Flemington has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (28.1%), but fewer residents aged 5-14 (6.5%). This 25-34 concentration is notably higher than the national figure of 14.5%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 15 to 24 has grown from 11.9% to 13.9%, while the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 26.4% to 28.1%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 group declined from 11.6% to 10.1% and the 5 to 14 age group dropped from 7.6% to 6.5%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic shifts in Flemington. The 55 to 64 cohort is projected to grow by 34%, adding 345 residents to reach a total of 1,367. Meanwhile, both the 0 to 4 and 15 to 24 age groups are expected to decrease in number.