Flemington

An assessment of population growth drivers in Flemington reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Flemington's population was around 10,956 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 1,891 people from the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,065. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,346 in June 2024 and an additional 547 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 6,934 persons per square kilometer, placing Flemington in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Flemington's growth rate of 20.9% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average of 8.9%. This growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 88.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends project an above median population growth, with the area expected to grow by 1,763 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 10.0% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Flemington among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Flemington has received approximately 165 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 826 homes. As of FY-26, there is 1 recorded approval so far. The population decline in recent years has been accompanied by adequate development activity relative to population size, which benefits buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $442,000, higher than regional norms due to quality-focused development.

In FY-26, $2.8 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting Flemington's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Flemington has 86.0% more construction activity per person, offering buyers greater choice and indicating strong developer confidence in the location. New development consists of 1.0% detached houses and 99.0% townhouses or apartments, providing affordable entry pathways for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers, marking a shift from Flemington's existing housing composition of 20.0% houses. The area has approximately 507 people per dwelling approval, reflecting its established nature. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Flemington is projected to grow by 1,097 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, creating good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Looking ahead, Flemington is expected to grow by 1,097 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Flemington has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 38thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 19 projects that may impact this area. Notable projects include Flemington Green, Flemington Estate Renewal (Public Housing Revitalisation Program), Holland Park Precinct Redevelopment, and Younghusband Kensington. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Flemington recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Flemington has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 12.4% as of an unspecified past year.

Employment growth over the previous year was estimated at 5.3%. As of September 2025, 5,830 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 7.8%, higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation was 66.2%, slightly above Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training.

The area specializes in professional & technical employment, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level. Conversely, construction shows lower representation at 4.8% compared to the regional average of 9.7%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 5.3%, while labour force grew by 5.3%, and unemployment remained essentially unchanged. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0%, labour force grow by 3.3%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Flemington's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.6% over ten years, assuming population projections remain constant for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Flemington SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $63,463 and an average of $81,902. Nationally, these figures are extremely high. In comparison, Greater Melbourne's median was $54,892 with an average of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Flemington SA2 would be approximately $71,180 (median) and $91,861 (average) as of September 2025. According to census data, personal income ranks at the 71st percentile ($927 weekly), while household income is at the 39th percentile. Distribution data indicates that 30.0% of the community falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 earnings band (3,286 individuals), similar to regional levels where 32.8% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 36th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Flemington features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Flemington's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, had 20.1% houses and 79.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Melbourne metro's 42.6% houses and 57.4% other dwellings. Flemington's home ownership rate was 15.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 23.2% and rented ones at 61.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Flemington was $2,000, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,200. The median weekly rent in Flemington was $324, compared to Melbourne metro's $370. Nationally, Flemington's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially lower at $324 versus the national figure of $375.

Flemington features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 50.4% of all households, including 15.7% couples with children, 22.9% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 49.6%, with lone person households at 42.1% and group households comprising 7.4%. The median household size is 2.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.3.

The educational profile of Flemington exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Flemington's educational attainment is notably higher than broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 52.2% have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and Victoria's 33.4%. This high level of educational attainment positions the area favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 30.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (16.7%) and graduate diplomas (4.9%).

Vocational pathways account for 19.2% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 9.0% and certificates at 10.2%. Educational participation is notably high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes tertiary education (11.7%), primary education (6.4%), and secondary education (4.8%).

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Flemington has 28 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops offer a mix of train, light rail, and bus services. Six individual routes serve these stops, collectively facilitating 4,000 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 193 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 571 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 142 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Flemington is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Flemington shows healthier-than-average results with low prevalence of common conditions across all ages. Approximately 61% of Flemington's total population (6,661 people) has private health cover, higher than Greater Melbourne's 67.2%, but lower than the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 11.2% and 8.2% respectively.

About 70.6% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly below Greater Melbourne's 72.0%. Flemington has a lower proportion of seniors (aged 65 and over) at 11.7% (1,279 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 16.0%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Flemington are above average, mirroring the general population's profile.

Flemington is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Flemington has a high level of cultural diversity, with 39.7% of its population born overseas and 36.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Flemington, comprising 30.0% of people. Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne's average, making up 12.1%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (19.4%), Other (19.2%), and Australian (16.6%). Notably, Vietnamese (3.1%) and Spanish (0.6%) are also overrepresented in Flemington compared to regional averages of 1.8% and 0.5%, respectively. Additionally, the Chinese population is higher than the regional average at 6.8%.

Flemington hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Flemington's median age is 33 years, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Flemington has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (28.1%), but fewer residents aged 5-14 (6.5%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is significantly higher than the national figure of 14.5%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 has increased from 11.9% to 13.9%, while those aged 25-34 have risen from 26.4% to 28.1%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 has decreased from 11.6% to 10.1%, and those aged 5-14 have dropped from 7.6% to 6.5%. By 2041, Flemington's population is projected to undergo significant demographic changes. The 55-64 age group is expected to show the strongest growth, increasing by 41% to reach 1,367 residents. However, both the 15-24 and 35-44 age groups are forecasted to decrease in numbers.