Flemington

An assessment of population growth drivers in Flemington reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Flemington's population is around 11,500 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 2,435 people (26.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,065 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,290 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 548 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 7,278 persons per square kilometer, which lies in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch, making land in the area a highly sought resource. Flemington's 26.9% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.9%) and the state average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 88.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilizing the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. As we examine future population trends, an above-median population growth of national statistical areas is projected, with the area expected to grow by 1,763 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 4.8% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Flemington among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Flemington has experienced around 165 dwellings receiving development approval per year, totalling 826 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 1 approvals have been recorded. With population declining over recent years, development activity has been adequate in relative terms, a positive for buyers, while new properties are constructed at an average value of $442,000—somewhat higher than regional norms—reflecting quality-focused development. Additionally, $2.8 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature.

When measured against Greater Melbourne, Flemington has 86.0% more construction activity (per person), offering buyers greater choice. This is substantially higher than nationally, suggesting strong developer confidence in the location. New development consists of 1.0% detached houses and 99.0% townhouses or apartments. This skew toward compact living offers affordable entry pathways and attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing (currently 20.0% houses), indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. The location has approximately 507 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area.

Looking ahead, Flemington is expected to grow by 553 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Flemington has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 33rdth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 19 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Flemington Green, Holland Court, Flemington housing, Flemington Estate Renewal (Public Housing Revitalisation Program), and Younghusband Kensington, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Flemington recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Flemington has a highly educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of 12.4%, and 5.0% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 5,882 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 7.7% above Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%, showing room for improvement, and workforce participation is fairly standard (73.7% compared to Greater Melbourne's 71.3%). Based on Census responses, a high 45.5% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. The area has a particular employment specialization in professional & technical services, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level. Conversely, construction shows lower representation at 4.8% versus the regional average of 9.7%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw employment increase by 5.0% alongside a labour force increase of 4.7%, resulting in unemployment falling by 0.3 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne, where employment rose by 2.4%, the labour force grew by 2.8%, and unemployment rose 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Flemington. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Flemington's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.6% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Flemington SA2's median income among taxpayers is $65,720, with an average of $83,799. This is extremely high nationally, and compares to Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $71,142 (median) and $90,712 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals personal income ranks at the 71st percentile ($927 weekly), while household income sits at the 39th percentile. Distribution data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 30.0% of the community (3,450 individuals), mirroring regional levels where 32.8% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 36th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Flemington features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure within Flemington, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 20.1% houses and 79.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Flemington was lagging that of Melbourne metro, at 15.7%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (23.2%) or rented (61.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was in line with the Melbourne metro average at $2,000, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $324, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390. Nationally, Flemington's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Flemington features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 50.4% of all households, comprising 15.7% couples with children, 22.9% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 49.6%, with lone person households at 42.1% and group households comprising 7.4% of the total. The median household size of 2.0 people is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Flemington exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Flemington significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 52.2% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 30.4% in Australia and 33.4% in VIC. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 30.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (16.7%) and graduate diplomas (4.9%). Vocational pathways account for 19.2% of qualifications among those aged 15+; advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (10.2%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.7% in tertiary education, 6.4% in primary education, and 4.8% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 27 active transport stops operating within Flemington, comprising a mix of light rail and buses. These stops are serviced by 6 individual routes, collectively providing 6,405 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 191 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 55%, with 17% by train and 6% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 0.5 per dwelling, which is below the regional average. A high 45.5% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 915 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 237 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Flemington is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Flemington faces significant health challenges, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 61% of the total population (6,992 people). This compares to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 11.2% and 8.2% of residents, respectively, while 70.6% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 12.1% of residents aged 65 and over (1,389 people), which is lower than the 15.1% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Flemington is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Flemington scores highly on cultural diversity, with 39.7% of its population born overseas and 36.8% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Flemington is Christianity, which makes up 30.0% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Islam, which comprises 12.1% of the population, substantially higher than the Greater Melbourne average of 5.6%.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Flemington are English, comprising 19.4% of the population, Other, comprising 19.2% of the population, and Australian, comprising 16.6% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Vietnamese is notably overrepresented at 3.1% of Flemington (vs 1.9% regionally), Spanish at 0.6% (vs 0.4%) and Chinese at 6.8% (vs 6.5%).

Flemington hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

At 34 years, Flemington's median age is somewhat lower than the Greater Melbourne average of 37 and similarly considerably younger than Australia's 38 years. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Flemington has a higher concentration of 25 - 34 residents (27.7%) but fewer 5 - 14 year-olds (6.3%). This 25 - 34 concentration is well above the national 14.4%. Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 11.9% to 14.0% of the population, while the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 26.4% to 27.7%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 11.6% to 10.2% and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 7.6% to 6.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Flemington. The 55 to 64 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 29%, adding 311 residents to reach 1,367. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 cohorts.