Flemington

An assessment of population growth drivers in Flemington reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Flemington's population is around 9,935 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 870 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,065 people. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 9,935 from the ABS as of June 2025 and an additional 549 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 6,288 persons per square kilometer, placing Flemington in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Flemington's growth rate of 9.6% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA3 area (9.0%) and the state level, indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 87.9% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth, with Flemington expected to grow by 1,515 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 15.2% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Flemington among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Flemington has received approximately 165 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 826 homes. As of FY-26, there has been one recorded approval. The population has declined in recent years, yet development activity has been adequate relative to this decline, indicating positive conditions for buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $442,000, which is higher than regional norms but reflects quality-focused development.

In FY-26, $2.8 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, highlighting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Flemington has 94.0% more construction activity per person, offering buyers greater choice and indicating strong developer confidence in the location. New development consists of 1.0% detached houses and 99.0% townhouses or apartments, providing affordable entry pathways for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 20.0% houses) suggests decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and demand for diverse, affordable housing options. Flemington has approximately 507 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established area. According to AreaSearch quarterly estimates, Flemington is projected to grow by 1,515 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Looking ahead, Flemington is expected to grow by 1,515 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Flemington has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 34thth percentile nationally

AreaSearch has identified a total of 19 projects that are expected to impact the area significantly due to their influence on local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. Among these key projects are Holland Court, Flemington housing, Flemington Estate Renewal (Public Housing Revitalisation Program), Younghusband Kensington, and The Archer - Flemington Racecourse Residential Development. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Flemington recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Flemington's workforce is highly educated with professional services well-represented. As of December 2025, its unemployment rate was 12.4%. Over the past year, there was an estimated employment growth of 5.0%.

In December 2025, 5,882 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 7.7%, above Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. Workforce participation in Flemington was 76.5% compared to Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. According to Census responses, 45.5% of residents worked from home, potentially impacted by Covid-19 lockdowns. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training sectors.

Flemington has a particular specialization in professional & technical employment with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level. Conversely, construction shows lower representation at 4.8% compared to the regional average of 9.7%. The predominantly residential area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 5.0% alongside a labour force increase of 4.7%, resulting in an unemployment rate decrease of 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 2.4%, the labour force grow by 2.8%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Flemington's employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.6% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections against the local employment mix.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023. Flemington SA2 had a median income of $65,720 and an average of $83,799 among taxpayers. Nationally, these figures are high compared to Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. As of March 2026, estimated incomes would be approximately $72,042 (median) and $91,860 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Census data shows personal income ranks at the 71st percentile ($927 weekly) and household income at the 39th percentile. Income distribution reveals that 30.0% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999, mirroring regional levels at 32.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 80.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 36th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Flemington features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Flemington's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 20.1% houses and 79.8% other types (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Flemington stood at 15.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 23.2% and rented ones at 61.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, matching Melbourne metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $324, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390 respectively. Nationally, Flemington's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, but rents were lower than the national figure of $375.

Flemington features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 50.4% of all households, including 15.7% couples with children, 22.9% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 49.6%, with lone person households at 42.1% and group households making up 7.4%. The median household size is 2.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Flemington exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Flemington's educational attainment is notably high, with 52.2% of residents aged 15+ having university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 33.4% in Victoria. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 30.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (16.7%) and graduate diplomas (4.9%). Vocational pathways make up 19.2%, comprising advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (10.2%). Educational participation is high, with 31.1% currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.7% in tertiary, 6.4% in primary, and 4.8% in secondary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.7% in tertiary education, 6.4% in primary education, and 4.8% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Flemington has 27 active public transport stops offering a mix of lightrail and buses. These are served by six routes, facilitating 6,405 weekly passenger trips in total. The average distance to the nearest stop for residents is 191 meters, indicating excellent accessibility. Flemington, being predominantly residential, sees most commuters traveling outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 55%, with trains used by 17% and walking by 6%. On average, there are 0.5 vehicles per dwelling, lower than the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 45.5% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Daily service frequency averages 915 trips across all routes, equating to about 237 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Flemington is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Flemington faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 61% of the total population (6,040 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and 55.7% nationally.

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues impacting 11.2% of residents and asthma affecting 8.2%. Only 70.6% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among the working-age population are typical. Flemington has 11.4% of residents aged 65 and over (1,133 people), lower than Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Flemington is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Flemington's population includes 39.7% born overseas and 36.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, with 30.0%. Islam comprises 12.1%, higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 5.6%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (19.4%), Other (19.2%), and Australian (16.6%). Notably, Vietnamese (3.1%) is more represented in Flemington compared to the regional figure of 1.9%, Spanish at 0.6% (regional: 0.4%), and Chinese at 6.8% (regional: 6.5%).

Flemington hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Flemington's median age is 33, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Flemington has a higher percentage of residents aged 25-34 (28.6%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (6.6%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is significantly higher than the national figure of 14.6%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the proportion of Flemington's population aged 25 to 34 has increased from 26.4% to 28.6%, while the 15 to 24 age group has risen from 11.9% to 13.8%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group has decreased from 11.6% to 9.7%, and the 5 to 14 age group has dropped from 7.6% to 6.6%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic shifts in Flemington. The 55 to 64 age cohort is projected to grow by 43%, adding 372 residents to reach a total of 1,238. Meanwhile, the 5 to 14 age group is expected to decrease by 18 residents.