Flemington
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Flemington reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Flemington's population is 10,923 as of August 2025. This reflects a 20.5% increase from the 2021 Census figure of 9,065 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,341 in June 2024 and an additional 533 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 6,913 persons per square kilometer, placing Flemington in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Flemington's growth exceeded the national average of 8.6%, with overseas migration contributing approximately 88.0% of overall population gains recently. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024, based on 2022 data for each SA2 area.

For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends project above median population growth, with the area expected to grow by 1,763 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, indicating a total increase of 10.3% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Flemington among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Flemington has received approximately 165 dwelling approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics reports that between financial years FY-21 to FY-25, Flemington had a total of 826 dwelling approvals, with none recorded yet in FY-26. Despite a decrease in population during this period, the development activity has been relatively adequate, which is beneficial for buyers. The average construction cost value of new dwellings is $540,000.

In FY-26, commercial development approvals totalled $2.8 million, indicating Flemington's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Flemington has 86.0% more construction activity per person, offering buyers greater choice and reflecting strong developer confidence in the location. New developments comprise 1.0% detached houses and 99.0% townhouses or apartments, providing affordable entry pathways for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 20.0% houses) suggests decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles requiring diverse housing options. Flemington has approximately 507 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established area. By 2041, Flemington is projected to grow by 1,130 residents. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Looking ahead, Flemington is expected to grow by 1,130 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Flemington has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 17 projects potentially impacting the area. Key projects include Public Housing Revitalisation Program - Flemington Towers, Younghusband Kensington, Flemington Racecourse Development, and Metro Tunnel Project - Kensington Entrance. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Flemington recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Flemington has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 13.3% in the past year, showing an estimated employment growth of 4.2%.

As of June 2025, 5794 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 8.7%, higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%. Workforce participation is fairly standard at 66.2% compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. The area specializes particularly in professional & technical jobs with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

Conversely, construction shows lower representation at 4.8% compared to the regional average of 9.7%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in June 2025, employment increased by 4.2%, labour force grew by 7.1%, leading to an unemployment rise of 2.4 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne where employment rose by 3.5% and unemployment by only 0.5%. In Victoria as of Sep-25, employment grew by 1.08% year-on-year adding 39,880 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%, slightly higher than the national rate of 4.5%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest a growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Flemington's employment mix, local growth is estimated at approximately 7.2% over five years and 14.6% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Flemington's median income among taxpayers is $63,463, with an average of $81,902. Nationally, these figures are extremely high. In Greater Melbourne, the median is $54,892 and the average is $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.11% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Flemington would be approximately $69,879 (median) and $90,182 (average) as of March 2025. According to census data, personal income ranks at the 71st percentile ($927 weekly), while household income sits at the 40th percentile. Distribution data shows that 30.0% of Flemington's community falls within the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band (3,276 individuals), which is similar to regional levels where 32.8% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Flemington, with only 80.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 37th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Flemington features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Flemington, as recorded at the latest Census, 20.1% of dwellings were houses while 79.8% were other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and others. This differs from Melbourne metropolitan area's figures which stood at 42.6% houses and 57.4% other dwellings respectively. Home ownership in Flemington was recorded at 15.7%, with mortgaged properties at 23.2% and rented ones at 61.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,000, lower than Melbourne metro's average of $2,200. The median weekly rent figure for Flemington was $324, compared to Melbourne metro's $370. Nationally, Flemington's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially lower at $324 compared to the national figure of $375.

Flemington features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 50.4% of all households, including 15.7% couples with children, 22.9% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 49.6%, with lone person households at 42.1% and group households comprising 7.4%. The median household size is 2.0 people, smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.3.

The educational profile of Flemington exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Flemington's educational attainment is notably higher than national averages. 52.2% of residents aged 15+ have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and Victoria's 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent (30.6%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (16.7%) and graduate diplomas (4.9%). Vocational pathways account for 19.2%, with advanced diplomas at 9.0% and certificates at 10.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.7% in tertiary, 6.4% in primary, and 4.8% in secondary education. Flemington's five schools have a combined enrollment of 1,287 students. The area has typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1023) with balanced educational opportunities. There are three primary and two secondary schools serving distinct age groups.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates that Flemington has 28 active public transport stops. These comprise a mix of train, light rail, and bus services. Six individual routes operate in total, facilitating approximately 4,000 weekly passenger trips.

Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average proximity of 193 meters to the nearest stop. Service frequency stands at around 571 trips per day across all routes, translating to roughly 142 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Flemington is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Flemington shows superior health outcomes, with low prevalence of common conditions across all ages. Private health cover is high at approximately 61%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 67.2% and Australia's national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues affect 11.2% and asthma impacts 8.2% of residents, with 70.6% reporting no medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Melbourne's 72.0%.

Flemington has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 11.7% (1,275 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 16.0%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, mirroring the general population's health profile.

Flemington is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Flemington's population shows high cultural diversity, with 39.7% born overseas and 36.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, accounting for 30.0%. Islam is overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, comprising 12.1% versus an average of 4.4%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (19.4%), Other (19.2%), and Australian (16.6%). Notably, Vietnamese (3.1%) and Chinese (6.8%) are overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.8% and 4.0%, respectively. Spanish is also slightly higher at 0.6%.

Flemington hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Flemington has a median age of 33, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Flemington has a higher percentage of residents aged 25-34 (28.1%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (6.5%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is significantly higher than the national figure of 14.5%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 11.9% to 13.9%, while the 25-34 age group increased from 26.4% to 28.1%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has declined from 11.6% to 10.1%, and the 5-14 age group has dropped from 7.6% to 6.5%. Population forecasts for Flemington in 2041 indicate significant demographic shifts. The 55-64 age cohort is projected to grow by 41%, adding 397 residents to reach a total of 1,367. Meanwhile, both the 15-24 and 35-44 age groups are expected to decrease in number.