Flemington

An assessment of population growth drivers in Flemington reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Flemington's population was approximately 11,500 as of February 2026. This figure reflects a growth of 2,435 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 9,065. The increase is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 10,290 in June 2024 and an additional 548 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a density ratio of 7,278 persons per square kilometer, placing Flemington among the top 10% most densely populated areas assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 26.9% since the 2021 Census surpassed both national (9.9%) and state averages, indicating it as a regional growth leader. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 88.0% of Flemington's population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch's projections are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 for areas not covered by the former. Future trends suggest an above-median population growth, with Flemington projected to add 1,763 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 4.8% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Flemington among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Flemington has seen approximately 165 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 826 homes. As of FY-26, one approval has been recorded. The population decline in recent years has made development activity relatively adequate, benefiting buyers while new properties are constructed at an average cost of $442,000, higher than regional norms due to quality-focused development. This financial year, $2.8 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting Flemington's primarily residential nature.

Compared to Greater Melbourne, Flemington has 86.0% more construction activity per person, offering buyers greater choice and indicating strong developer confidence in the location. New developments consist of 1.0% detached houses and 99.0% townhouses or apartments, providing affordable entry pathways for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This shift from the area's existing housing (currently 20.0% houses) suggests decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and demand for diverse, affordable housing options. Flemington has approximately 507 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Flemington is expected to grow by 553 residents by 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Looking ahead, Flemington is expected to grow by 553 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Flemington has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 33rdth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 19 projects potentially impacting this region. Notable ones are Flemington Green, Holland Court, Flemington housing, Flemington Estate Renewal (Public Housing Revitalisation Program), and Younghusband Kensington. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Flemington recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Flemington has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 12.4% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 5.3%.

As of that month, 5830 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 7.8%, above Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation in Flemington was 73.0%, slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's 71.0%. Census responses indicated that 45.5% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training sectors.

Flemington shows particular employment specialization in professional & technical services, with a share 1.5 times the regional level. Conversely, construction has lower representation at 4.8% compared to the regional average of 9.7%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as suggested by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 5.3%, accompanied by a labour force increase of 5.3%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged at 7.8%. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne, where employment rose by 3.0%, the labour force grew by 3.3%, and unemployment rose to 4.7%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Flemington's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.6% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localized population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Flemington SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $65,720 and an average of $83,799. Nationally, these figures are very high compared to Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, current estimates for Flemington SA2 would be approximately $71,142 (median) and $90,712 (average) as of September 2025. Census data indicates personal income ranks at the 71st percentile ($927 weekly), with household income at the 39th percentile. Distribution data shows that 30.0% of the community earns between $1,500 and $2,999 (3,450 individuals), similar to regional levels where 32.8% fall into this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.6% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 36th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Flemington features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Flemington's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, comprised 20.1% houses and 79.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Melbourne metro had 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Flemington was at 15.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 23.2% and rented ones at 61.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Flemington was $2,000, aligning with Melbourne metro's average. The median weekly rent figure was $324, compared to Melbourne metro's $2,000 and $390 respectively. Nationally, Flemington's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially lower at $375.

Flemington features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 50.4% of all households, including 15.7% couples with children, 22.9% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 49.6%, with lone person households at 42.1% and group households comprising 7.4%. The median household size is 2.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Flemington exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Flemington exceeds broader benchmarks significantly, with 52.2% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to Australia's 30.4% and Victoria's 33.4%. This educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 30.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (16.7%) and graduate diplomas (4.9%). Vocational pathways account for 19.2% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 9.0% and certificates at 10.2%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.7% in tertiary education, 6.4% in primary education, and 4.8% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Flemington has 27 active public transport stops serving a mix of light rail and bus services. These stops are covered by six different routes that facilitate 6,045 weekly passenger trips in total. The average distance from residents' homes to the nearest transport stop is 191 meters, indicating excellent accessibility. As a predominantly residential area, most commutes are outward-bound. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation for 55% of residents, with trains used by 17% and walking by 6%. On average, there are 0.5 vehicles per dwelling, which is below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 45.5% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 915 trips per day, equating to approximately 237 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Flemington is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Flemington faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 61% of the total population (6,992 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne and 55.7% nationally.

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues affecting 11.2% of residents and asthma impacting 8.2%. Only 70.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. Flemington has 12.1% of residents aged 65 and over (1,389 people), lower than Greater Melbourne's 15.1%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

Flemington is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Flemington has a high level of cultural diversity, with 39.7% of its population born overseas and 36.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Flemington, comprising 30.0% of the population. Islam, however, is significantly overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne's average, making up 12.1% of Flemington's population.

The top three ancestry groups are English (19.4%), Other (19.2%), and Australian (16.6%). Notably, Vietnamese (3.1%) and Spanish (0.6%) populations are overrepresented compared to regional averages, while Chinese (6.8%) is slightly higher than the regional average of 6.5%.

Flemington hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Flemington's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Flemington has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (27.7%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (6.3%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 14.4%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 has grown from 11.9% to 14.0%, while the proportion of those aged 25-34 has increased from 26.4% to 27.7%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 45-54 has declined from 11.6% to 10.2%, and the proportion of those aged 5-14 has dropped from 7.6% to 6.3%. Population forecasts for Flemington in the year 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes, with the strongest projected growth occurring in the 55-64 age cohort (29%), adding 311 residents to reach a total of 1,367. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 5-14 age cohorts.