Flemington
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Flemington reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Flemington's population is 10,956 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 1,891 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,065. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,346 in June 2024 and an additional 547 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 6,934 persons per square kilometer, placing Flemington in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Flemington's growth rate of 20.9% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average of 8.9%. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 88.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth, with the area expected to grow by 1,763 persons to 2041 based on the latest numbers, indicating a total increase of 10.0% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Flemington among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Flemington has received approximately 165 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling 826 homes. As of FY-26, one approval has been recorded so far. The population has declined in recent years, yet development activity has remained adequate relative to this decline, benefiting buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $442,000, which is higher than regional norms due to quality-focused development.

This financial year, $2.8 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting Flemington's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Flemington has 86.0% more construction activity per person, offering buyers greater choice. This high level of developer confidence is also notable when compared nationally. New development consists of 1.0% detached houses and 99.0% townhouses or apartments, providing affordable entry pathways for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This shift from the area's existing housing stock (currently 20.0% houses) indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and demand for diverse, affordable housing options. Flemington has approximately 507 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established area. By 2041, Flemington is projected to grow by 1,097 residents.

Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Flemington has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 19 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects are Flemington Green, The Archer - Flemington Racecourse Residential Development, Flemington Estate Renewal under the Public Housing Revitalisation Program, and Holland Park Precinct Redevelopment. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Flemington recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Flemington has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 13.3% as of June 2025, which is 4.1 percentage points higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 9.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.2%. There are 5,794 residents in work, with an unemployment rate of 8.7%, showing room for improvement compared to Greater Melbourne's 4.6%. Workforce participation is fairly standard at 66.2% compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training.

The area has particular employment specialization in professional & technical services, with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level. Conversely, construction shows lower representation at 4.8% versus the regional average of 9.7%. Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data for the 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 4.2%, while labour force grew by 7.1%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 2.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.5%, labour force grow by 4.0%, and unemployment rise by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest that Flemington's local employment growth over five years could be approximately 7.2% and over ten years, around 14.6%. These projections are based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections against Flemington's employment mix.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Flemington had a median taxpayer income of $63,463 and an average of $81,902. Nationally, these figures are very high compared to Greater Melbourne's median of $54,892 and average of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022, current estimates for Flemington as of September 2025 would be approximately $71,180 (median) and $91,861 (average). Census data indicates personal income ranks at the 71st percentile ($927 weekly), while household income is at the 40th percentile. Income distribution shows that 30.0% of Flemington residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week (3,286 individuals), similar to regional levels where 32.8% fall into this bracket. Housing affordability is severe in Flemington, with only 80.6% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 37th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Flemington features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

As of the latest Census, Flemington's dwelling structure consisted of 20.1% houses and 79.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 42.6% houses and 57.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Flemington was at 15.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 23.2% and rented ones at 61.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Flemington was $2,000, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,200. The median weekly rent in Flemington was recorded at $324, compared to Melbourne metro's $370. Nationally, Flemington's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially lower than the national figure of $375.

Flemington features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 50.4% of all households, including 15.7% that are couples with children, 22.9% that are couples without children, and 9.5% that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 49.6%, with lone person households at 42.1% and group households comprising 7.4%. The median household size is 2.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.3.

The educational profile of Flemington exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational attainment in Flemington is significantly higher than broader benchmarks. 52.2% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 33.4% in Victoria. This educational advantage positions the area well for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 30.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (16.7%) and graduate diplomas (4.9%).

Vocational pathways account for 19.2% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above – advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (10.2%). Educational participation is high, with 31.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.7% in tertiary education, 6.4% in primary education, and 4.8% pursuing secondary education. Flemington has 5 schools with a combined enrollment of 1,287 students as of the latest data. The area's ICSEA score is 1023, indicating typical Australian school conditions with balanced educational opportunities. Education provision is balanced with 3 primary and 2 secondary schools serving distinct age groups. Note: for schools showing 'n/a' in enrolments, please refer to their parent campus.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Flemington has 28 active public transport stops. These include train, light rail, and bus services. Six routes serve these stops, collectively handling 4000 weekly passenger trips.

Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 193 meters to the nearest stop. Service frequency is high, with 571 daily trips across all routes, equating to around 142 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Flemington is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Flemington demonstrates a low prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover in Flemington is approximately 61% of its total population of 6,661 people, compared to 67.2% across Greater Melbourne and the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in Flemington, impacting 11.2 and 8.2% of residents respectively.

A total of 70.6% of Flemington residents declare themselves as completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.0% across Greater Melbourne. Flemington has 11.7% of its population aged 65 and over (1,279 people), which is lower than the 16.0% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors in Flemington are above average, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Flemington is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Flemington's population shows high cultural diversity, with 39.7% born overseas and 36.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, accounting for 30.0%. Islam, at 12.1%, is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 4.4%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (19.4%), Other (19.2%), and Australian (16.6%). Notably, Vietnamese (3.1% vs regional 1.8%), Spanish (0.6% vs 0.5%), and Chinese (6.8% vs 4.0%) populations are overrepresented in Flemington compared to the region.

Flemington hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Flemington's median age is 33, which is younger than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Flemington has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (28.1%), but fewer residents aged 5-14 (6.5%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is significantly higher than the national figure of 14.5%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the proportion of Flemington's population aged 15-24 has grown from 11.9% to 13.9%, while the 25-34 age group increased from 26.4% to 28.1%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has declined from 11.6% to 10.1%, and the 5-14 age group dropped from 7.6% to 6.5%. By 2041, Flemington's population is projected to see substantial demographic changes. The 55-64 age cohort is expected to grow by 41%, adding 394 residents to reach a total of 1,367. Meanwhile, both the 15-24 and 35-44 age groups are forecasted to decrease in numbers.