Werrington Downs

Werrington Downs has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of Feb 2026, the population of the suburb of Werrington Downs is estimated at around 3,227 people. This reflects an increase of 6 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,221 people. The current resident population estimate of 3,195 by AreaSearch is based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,907 persons per square kilometer, placing Werrington Downs in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Natural growth contributed approximately 74.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends anticipate lower quartile growth, with the suburb expected to grow by 138 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 5.6% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Werrington Downs is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Werrington Downs has had no new homes approved in the past five-year period. This indicates a fully developed suburb with limited opportunities for new construction. The absence of new supply generally supports demand for established properties and contributes to price stability.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Werrington Downs records markedly lower building activity. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. Nationally, this is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

Werrington Downs has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects likely impacting the region: Nepean Hospital Redevelopment, Cambridge Gardens Estate (Stage 3 & 4), Oxford Green Estate, and The Quarter - Penrith Health & Education Precinct. These are key projects of relevance.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Werrington Downs significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Werrington Downs has a balanced workforce comprising white and blue-collar jobs, with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate is 2.2%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, 1,865 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.0% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in Werrington Downs is 75.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Census responses indicate that 30.2% of residents work from home. Dominant employment sectors include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction is particularly strong, with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services are under-represented at 3.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's 11.5%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Werrington Downs' labour force decreased by 3.8% while employment declined by 3.2%, causing unemployment to fall by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1%, the labour force grow by 2.4%, and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Werrington Downs' employment mix indicates local employment growth of 6.2% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023. Werrington Downs' median income among taxpayers was $58,832, with an average of $66,432. Nationally, the median income is higher at $71,952 and the average is $103,214. In Greater Sydney, the median income is $60,817 and the average is $83,003. As of September 2025, estimated incomes in Werrington Downs would be approximately $64,045 (median) and $72,318 (average), based on an 8.86% increase since financial year 2023. Census 2021 data shows that income levels in Werrington Downs cluster around the 72nd percentile nationally. The $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 39.2% of the community (1,264 individuals), similar to regional patterns where 30.9% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 15.7% of income. Despite this, disposable income is at the 75th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Werrington Downs is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Werrington Downs, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, comprised 98.5% houses and 1.4% other dwellings including semi-detached, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Sydney metropolitan area's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Werrington Downs stood at 30.1%, similar to Sydney metro's level, with mortgaged dwellings at 52.6% and rented dwellings at 17.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, below the Sydney metro average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Werrington Downs was $425, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Werrington Downs' mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Werrington Downs features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 82.9% of all households, consisting of couples with children (38.9%), couples without children (29.1%), and single parent families (13.9%). Non-family households make up the remaining 17.1%, with lone person households at 15.3% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Werrington Downs shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 14.9%, significantly lower than Greater Sydney's average of 38.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common (10.5%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 42.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.6%) and certificates (31.9%). Educational participation is high at 29.1%, with 11.7% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.7% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Werrington Downs has 17 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 19 different routes that together facilitate 309 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents on average located just 181 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature, and cars remain the primary mode of transportation at 94%. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling, which exceeds the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a high proportion of residents, 30.2%, work from home, a figure that may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 44 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 18 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Werrington Downs is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Werrington Downs faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~1,717 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney. The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and arthritis, impacting 8.8 and 7.6% of residents respectively. 68.1% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Working-age residents show above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 15.4% of residents aged 65 and over (496 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Werrington Downs ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Werrington Downs, surveyed in June 2016, had a population where 84.1% were born in Australia, 91.9% were citizens, and 90.1% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, with 57.0%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (30.6%), English (27.4%), and Other (7.0%).

Notably, Maltese (2.3%) and Polish (1.0%) groups were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.0% and 0.6%, respectively. Samoan representation was also higher at 0.8%.

Werrington Downs's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Werrington Downs's median age is nearly 36 years, closely matching Greater Sydney's average of 37 years, which is slightly below the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Werrington Downs has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (14.7%) but fewer residents aged 45-54 (10.1%). Between the 2021 Census and the present day, the population aged 75-84 has grown from 2.5% to 5.0%, while the 55-64 age group has declined from 13.7% to 11.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Werrington Downs's age profile. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 39%, adding 63 residents to reach a total of 225. In contrast, both the 5-14 and 65-74 age groups are expected to decrease in number.