Warrane

Warrane has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As per ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, the estimated population of the suburb of Warrane as of May 2026 is approximately 2,655. This figure represents a decrease of 40 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,695. The current estimate is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population count of 2,642 in June 2025 and an additional 72 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 665 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth in recent periods for Warrane.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Future population trends suggest an increase just below the median of statistical areas nationally, with Warrane expected to grow by 215 persons to reach approximately 2,870 by 2041, reflecting a gain of 7.6% over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Warrane, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Warrane has recorded around 17 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 87 homes were approved, with another 8 so far in FY-26. On average, over these years, about 1.1 new residents per year per dwelling constructed have been recorded. However, this has decreased to -1.1 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years.

The average construction value of new homes is $376,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year, there have been $6.3 million in commercial approvals, reflecting Warrane's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Hobart, Warrane has similar development levels per person, supporting market stability aligned with regional patterns.

Notably, all new construction in Warrane has consisted of detached houses, maintaining the area's traditional low density character appealing to those seeking space. The estimated population count is 790 people per dwelling approval, indicating a quiet, low activity development environment. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Warrane is expected to grow by 202 residents through to 2041. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Warrane has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 18thth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that are projected to impact this area. Notable projects include Clarence City Heart Plan, Cambridge-Clarence Recycled Water Interconnector, Hobart City Deal, and Tasman Highway Duplication Project, with the following list outlining those most likely to be relevant.

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Employment conditions in Warrane face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Warrane has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 6.9% in the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. As of December 2025, 1,208 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.9% above Greater Hobart's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation was somewhat lower at 59.1%, compared to Greater Hobart's 63.7%. According to Census responses, only 5.1% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction, while education & training employs just 6.1% of local workers, below Greater Hobart's 10.8%.

Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 0.4%, while labour force increased by 0.4%, leaving unemployment broadly flat. In contrast, Greater Hobart saw employment rise by 0.1%, labour force fall by 0.1%, and unemployment fall by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Warrane's employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections against the local employment profile.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Warrane's median income among taxpayers is $36,894. The average income is $44,860. Both figures are below the national average. Greater Hobart has a median income of $54,577 and an average of $65,190. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.95% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for Warrane as of March 2026 would be approximately $40,934 (median) and $49,772 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Warrane fall between the 7th and 8th percentiles nationally. The largest income bracket comprises 28.0% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly, with 743 residents in this category. This aligns with the region where this cohort represents 32.2%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 78.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 6th percentile nationally.

Warrane is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Warrane's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.7% houses and 10.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Hobart metro's 85.3% houses and 14.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warrane was at 21.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 25.7% and rented ones at 52.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,257, below Hobart metro's average of $1,517. The median weekly rent figure was $300, compared to Hobart metro's $350. Nationally, Warrane's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Warrane features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 59.0% of all households, including 18.7% couples with children, 19.0% couples without children, and 18.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 41.0%, with lone person households at 36.3% and group households making up 4.8%. The median household size is 2.2 people, smaller than the Greater Hobart average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Warrane fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 22.0%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 32.8%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 30.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (7.2%) and certificates (23.7%). Educational participation is high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 10.4% in primary, 7.2% in secondary, and 4.4% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 7.2% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warrane has 27 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 47 different routes that collectively facilitate 4,315 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 151 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 82% of residents, while buses are used by 11%. On average, there is one car per dwelling, which is below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 5.1% of residents work from home, a figure that may have been influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 616 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 159 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Warrane is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Warrane faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and prevalence of chronic conditions are high, affecting both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 45% (~1,193 people), compared to Greater Hobart's 51.7% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (12.3%) and arthritis (10.5%), while 59.8% of residents claim to have no medical ailments, compared to 65.5% in Greater Hobart. Working-age residents face notable health challenges due to high chronic condition rates. The area has 18.2% of residents aged 65 and over (483 people), lower than Greater Hobart's 20.0%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, generally aligning with national rankings.

In terms of cultural diversity, Warrane records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warrane's cultural diversity was above average, with 20.0% of its population born overseas and 16.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Warrane, comprising 36.6% of the population. Notably, the 'Other' religious category was overrepresented in Warrane at 2.4%, compared to 1.1% across Greater Hobart.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (31.2%), Australian (29.9%), and Other (9.7%). Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Australian Aboriginal was overrepresented at 4.5% (vs regional 3.0%), Vietnamese at 0.8% (vs 0.3%), and Korean at 0.2% (vs 0.2%).

Warrane's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Warrane's median age is 35, which is younger than Greater Hobart's figure of 39 and slightly below Australia's median age of 38. The 25-34 age group constitutes 19.6% of Warrane's population compared to Greater Hobart's figure. Conversely, the 65-74 cohort makes up 8.7%. Between 2021 and the present, the 35-44 age group has increased from 12.0% to 15.1%, while the 15-24 cohort has decreased from 12.4% to 10.7% and the 65-74 group has dropped from 9.8% to 8.7%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Warrane's age structure. Notably, the 45-54 group is projected to grow by 59%, reaching 402 people from its current total of 252. Meanwhile, both the 25-34 and 15-24 age groups are expected to see reduced numbers.