Warrane

Population growth drivers in Warrane are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Warrane is around 2,804 people. This figure reflects a growth of 109 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 2,695 people in the suburb. The increase was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 2,780 following their examination of the ABS ERP data release from June 2024 and an additional 66 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 702 persons per square kilometer for Warrane, which is relatively comparable to averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 4.0% since the census places it within 0.3 percentage points of the SA4 region's growth rate of 4.3%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration was primarily responsible for driving population growth in Warrane during recent periods.

AreaSearch is utilizing ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, to forecast future demographic trends in Warrane. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate post-2032 growth by age group, Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are adopted, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods from LGA to SA2 levels. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Warrane is expected to experience population growth just below the national median statistical areas' average. By 2041, the suburb's population is projected to increase by approximately 264 persons, reflecting a total gain of around 4.7% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Warrane, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Warrane recorded approximately 15 residential property approvals annually. From financial year 2021 to 2025, around 79 homes were approved, with an additional 5 approved in the current financial year 2026. Despite population decline, housing supply has been adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average construction cost of new properties is $376,000, aligning with regional patterns. This year, there have been $6.4 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's predominantly residential nature. Compared to Greater Hobart, Warrane has similar development levels per capita, indicating market stability.

All approved constructions since 2021 have been detached houses, maintaining the area's low-density character and appealing to families seeking space. Currently, there are approximately 316 people per dwelling approval in Warrane. Future projections estimate an increase of 131 residents by 2041, with current development rates expected to comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Warrane has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 29thth percentile nationally

Area infrastructure performance is significantly influenced by changes to local projects and initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 0 projects likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Clarence City Heart Plan, Cambridge-Clarence Recycled Water Interconnector, Hobart City Deal, and Tasman Highway Duplication Project, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Warrane face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Warrane has a skilled workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 6.7%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of June 2025, 1,206 residents are employed while the unemployment rate stands at 2.5% above Greater Hobart's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Warrane lags significantly at 50.0%, compared to Greater Hobart's 61.6%. The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Conversely, education & training shows lower representation at 6.1% versus the regional average of 10.8%. Local employment opportunities appear limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Over the 12 months to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.7%, combined with employment decreasing by 1.3%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.4 percentage points in Warrane. In Greater Hobart, employment fell by 1.5%, labour force contracted by 1.6%, and unemployment fell by 0.2 percentage points during this period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Warrane. These projections estimate a 6.6% increase in national employment over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Warrane's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that income in Warrane is below the national average. The median assessed income is $36,894 and the average income stands at $44,860. In comparison, Greater Hobart has a median income of $51,272 and an average income of $63,777. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.83% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Warrane would be approximately $41,996 (median) and $51,064 (average) as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family and personal incomes in Warrane all fall between the 7th and 8th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that the largest segment comprises 28.0% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (785 residents), which is consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 32.2% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Warrane, with only 78.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 6th percentile nationally.

Warrane is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Warrane's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.7% houses and 10.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Hobart metro's 93.4% houses and 6.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warrane was at 21.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 25.7% and rented ones at 52.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,257, below Hobart metro's average of $1,538. Median weekly rent in Warrane was $300, compared to Hobart metro's $350. Nationally, Warrane's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Warrane features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 59.0% of all households, including 18.7% couples with children, 19.0% couples without children, and 18.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 41.0%, with lone person households at 36.3% and group households comprising 4.8%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Greater Hobart average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Warrane fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 22.0%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 32.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 12.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are held by 30.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 7.2% and certificates at 23.7%. Educational participation is high, with 31.4% currently enrolled in formal education: 10.4% in primary, 7.2% in secondary, and 4.4% in tertiary education.

The area has two schools serving 455 students, Warrane Primary School and Eastside Lutheran College, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 958) and balanced educational opportunities. It includes one primary and one K-12 school.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 28 active public transport stops in Warrane, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 42 unique routes, offering a total of 4613 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated highly, with residents on average located 149 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 659 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 164 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Warrane is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Warrane faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. Private health cover stands at approximately 45% of the total population (~1,260 people), lower than Greater Hobart's 51.4% and the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, impacting 12.3% and 10.5% of residents respectively.

Conversely, 59.8% report no medical ailments, compared to 64.2% in Greater Hobart. Warrane has 19.2% of residents aged 65 and over (538 people), slightly lower than Greater Hobart's 21.8%. Health outcomes among seniors largely mirror those of the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Warrane was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warrane's population shows above-average cultural diversity, with 20.0% born overseas and 16.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 36.6%. The 'Other' religious category is overrepresented in Warrane at 2.4%, compared to 0.9% regionally.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (31.2%), Australian (29.9%), and Other (9.7%). Notably, Australian Aboriginal (4.5%) and Vietnamese (0.8%) populations are overrepresented in Warrane compared to regional averages of 2.8% and 0.2%, respectively. Korean representation is similar regionally at 0.2%.

Warrane's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Warrane's median age is 35, which is lower than Greater Hobart's figure of 39 and Australia's median age of 38 years. The 25-34 age group comprises 20.0% of Warrane's population, higher than Greater Hobart but below the national average of 14.5%. The 45-54 age cohort makes up 9.0% of Warrane's population. Between 2021 and present, the 35 to 44 age group grew from 12.0% to 14.6%, while the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 18.7% to 20.0%. Conversely, the 15 to 24 age group declined from 12.4% to 10.4%, and the 45 to 54 group decreased from 10.3% to 9.0%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Warrane's age structure. The 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 55% (139 people), reaching 392 from 252. Meanwhile, both the 15-24 and 25-34 age groups are expected to decrease in number.