Warrane

Population growth drivers in Warrane are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of Warrane is around 2,840. This reflects an increase of 145 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,695. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 2,759 in June 2024, following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS, and an additional 68 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 711 persons per square kilometer. Warrane's growth rate of 5.4% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA4 region (4.9%) and Greater Hobart, making it a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections are adopted with adjustments made using weighted aggregation methods. Future population trends indicate an increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation, with Warrane expected to grow by 259 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 3.3% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Warrane, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Warrane recorded approximately 17 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 87 homes were approved, with a further six approved in FY-26 so far. Despite population decline, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $376,000, indicating focus on the premium market and high-end developments. This financial year, there have been $6.3 million in commercial approvals, reflecting Warrane's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Hobart, Warrane has similar development levels per capita, supporting market stability aligned with regional patterns, although construction activity has recently eased.

All new construction comprises detached houses, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character and appealing to those seeking space. The estimated population of 768 people per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low-activity development environment. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Warrane is projected to grow by 93 residents through to 2041. Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Warrane has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 19thth percentile nationally

No infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to affect this area. Key projects include Clarence City Heart Plan, Cambridge-Clarence Recycled Water Interconnector, Hobart City Deal, and Tasman Highway Duplication Project.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Warrane face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Warrane has a skilled workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 6.8%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, 1,174 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.8% higher than Greater Hobart's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation in Warrane lags at 54.8%, compared to Greater Hobart's 63.8%. Census responses indicate that only 5.1% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The dominant employment sectors among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Conversely, education & training shows lower representation at 6.1%, compared to the regional average of 10.8%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as suggested by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.3% in Warrane, with employment decreasing by the same percentage, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable. In Greater Hobart, employment fell by 0.7%, labour force contracted by 0.9%, and unemployment fell by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can provide further insight into potential future demand within Warrane. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, suggest that national employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Warrane's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that in Warrane, median income is $36,894 and average income is $44,860. This is below Greater Hobart's figures of a median income of $54,577 and an average income of $65,190. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.6% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Warrane are approximately $40,436 (median) and $49,167 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data indicates that household, family and personal incomes in Warrane all fall between the 7th and 8th percentiles nationally. Income brackets show that the largest segment comprises 28.0% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (795 residents), consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 32.2% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 78.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 6th percentile nationally.

Warrane is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Warrane's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.7% houses and 10.4% other dwellings. In comparison, Hobart metro had 85.3% houses and 14.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warrane was 21.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 25.7% and rented ones at 52.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,257, below Hobart metro's average of $1,517. Median weekly rent in Warrane was $300, compared to Hobart metro's $350. Nationally, Warrane's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Warrane features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 59.0% of all households, including 18.7% couples with children, 19.0% couples without children, and 18.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 41.0%, with lone person households at 36.3% and group households making up 4.8%. The median household size is 2.2 people, smaller than the Greater Hobart average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Warrane fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 22.0%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 32.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 12.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 30.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (7.2%) and certificates (23.7%). Educational participation is high at 31.4%, with 10.4% in primary education, 7.2% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.4% in primary education, 7.2% in secondary education, and 4.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warrane has 27 active public transport stops, all bus services. These stops are served by 47 routes, offering 4,315 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 151 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 82%, while bus accounts for 11%. On average, there is one vehicle per dwelling, lower than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 5.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. All routes combined offer an average of 616 trips per day, equating to approximately 159 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Warrane is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Warrane faces significant health challenges as assessed by AreaSearch, with high mortality rates and prevalent chronic conditions affecting both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 45% of the total population (~1,276 people), compared to Greater Hobart's 51.7% and the national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 12.3% and 10.5% of residents respectively.

However, 59.8% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to Greater Hobart's 65.5%. The working-age population in Warrane experiences notable health challenges with higher chronic condition rates. The area has 19.4% of residents aged 65 and over (550 people), with senior health outcomes generally aligning with national rankings.

In terms of cultural diversity, Warrane records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warrane's cultural diversity was above average, with 20.0% of its population born overseas and 16.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Warrane, composing 36.6% of its population. Notably, the 'Other' religious category had a higher representation in Warrane at 2.4%, compared to Greater Hobart's 1.1%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (31.2%), Australian (29.9%), and Other (9.7%). Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Australian Aboriginal was overrepresented at 4.5% in Warrane versus 3.0% regionally, Vietnamese at 0.8% compared to 0.3%, and Korean at 0.2%.

Warrane's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Warrane's median age is 35, which is younger than Greater Hobart's 39 and Australia's 38 years. The 25-34 age group makes up 19.9% of Warrane's population, higher than Greater Hobart's figure but slightly below the national average of 14.4%. The 45-54 cohort in Warrane is less prevalent at 8.9%. Between 2021 and present, the 35 to 44 age group has increased from 12.0% to 15.2%, while the 0 to 4 cohort rose from 5.2% to 6.4%. Conversely, the 15 to 24 cohort declined from 12.4% to 10.3% and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 10.3% to 8.9%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Warrane's age structure. The 45-54 group is projected to grow by 55%, reaching 393 people from the current 252. Meanwhile, both the 0 to 4 and 75 to 84 age groups are expected to decrease in number.