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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Geilston Bay has an estimated 3,654 residents, up from 3,461 at the 2021 Census — a change of 193 people, or 5.6%. Growth has averaged 1.4% a year over five years. Natural increase accounts for 56.0% of that increase. That puts 474 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census the suburb of Geilston Bay's population is estimated at around 3,654 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 193 people (5.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,461 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 3,650, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2025) and an additional 58 validated new addresses since the Census date.
This level of population equates to a density ratio of 473 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Geilston Bay's 5.6% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (3.9%), along with the Greater Hobart, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 56.00000000000001% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including overseas migration and interstate migration were positive factors. According to municipal forecasts published in 2024 using 2022 as the base, supplemented by state-level projections from 2022 with a 2021 starting year for local government areas not covered directly, the suburb of Geilston Bay is set to experience strong expansion. Projections aggregated to the SA2 level indicate that the suburb of Geilston Bay will add 595 residents by 2041, representing a growth rate of 16.2% over a 16-year timeframe that places it ahead of the median for analyzed localities.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
129 new dwellings have been approved in Geilston Bay over the past five years, an average of 25 a year. That is 7.4 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 25 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 92% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 5, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Building approval records compiled by AreaSearch indicate an annual approval rate of approximately 25 residential units in the suburb, accumulating to 129 new dwellings over the past 5 financial years. In the current FY-26 period, 5 approvals have been logged. With roughly 2 individuals arriving in the community for every new dwelling completed between FY-21 and FY-25, demand remains well aligned with supply. Developers are targeting the upper end of the market, with new construction showing an average valuation of $375,000. Non-residential activity is limited, though $699,000 in commercial approvals have been registered during this financial year.
Per capita residential construction in the area is 19.0% higher than the Greater Hobart average over the 5 year period, offering buyers a healthy selection of homes while protecting local property values, despite a recent deceleration in building applications. Freestanding houses make up 92.0% of the new building stock, with multi-unit projects representing the remaining 8.0%, preserving the low-density footprint favored by families. This low-density layout is highlighted by a high ratio of 317 people per approval. Long-term projections indicate the local population will expand by 591 individuals by 2041 compared to the most recent quarterly data. Based on current building trends, the supply of new housing should comfortably accommodate this influx, supporting stable buyer options and potentially allowing for growth exceeding official forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Geilston Bay
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 34 current infrastructure and development projects close to Geilston Bay, worth an estimated $4.23 billion. 10 are already under construction and 8 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans communities, precincts & urban renewal, residential development and arts & culture. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major developments, and urban planning changes are primary drivers of neighborhood evolution. No major initiatives have been identified by AreaSearch that are expected to impact this suburb. Key regional projects include the Northern Suburbs Transit Corridor (NSTC), Tasman Private Hospital, Hobart City Deal, and Intercity Cycleway Enhancements, with details provided on the most relevant schemes.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Northern Suburbs Transit Corridor (NSTC)
A transformative urban renewal and transport initiative under the Hobart City Deal focused on the 4km corridor between Glenorchy and New Town. The project aims to activate a disused rail corridor for a high-frequency Rapid Bus Transit (RBT) network while stimulating medium-density housing and mixed-use development. As of early 2026, the project is a priority for federal funding following the submission of a comprehensive 368-page Strategic Business Case. It seeks to integrate land-use planning with sustainable transport to improve housing affordability and reduce congestion in Hobart's northern suburbs.
Homes Tasmania - 10 Binalong Road Residential Development
A concept project by Homes Tasmania, proposing the delivery of up to an additional 50 social and affordable rental homes on this site, which is currently owned by Homes Tasmania.
Hobart City High School Redevelopment
Completed redevelopment of Hobart City High School's New Town campus delivering a new learning and social heart, flexible learning spaces, upgraded science and art facilities, refurbished outdoor areas and improved student amenities. The project was delivered as part of the Tasmanian Government's education infrastructure program.
New Town Rivulet Restoration
Returning the heavily concreted mouth of the New Town Rivulet to a natural, estuarine environment. Part of broader environmental restoration efforts across Hobart's waterways.
Queens Walk Housing Expansion
Expansion of the Queens Walk social and affordable housing precinct delivering 65 new apartments comprising 38 one-bedroom and 27 two-bedroom homes. Designed by Cumulus Studio and built by Fairbrother for Housing Choices Tasmania with Homes Tasmania funding, the project was completed ahead of schedule, increasing the precinct to 149 homes with upgraded communal facilities, landscaping and accessible public spaces.
Homes Tasmania - 155 Cambridge Road Residential Development
This project involves the development of up to 75 social and affordable rental homes on land at 155 Cambridge Road, Warrane. The site was acquired by Homes Tasmania from the Department of Defence and has been rezoned to General Residential Zone to facilitate housing development.
TasWater Moonah Infrastructure Upgrades
TasWater is undertaking essential water and wastewater infrastructure upgrade works across the Moonah network and surrounding facilities. The project enhances service reliability, renews aging pipeline assets, and supports regional population and urban development demands across Greater Hobart.
New Town Sporting Precinct Upgrades
City of Hobart building two new netball courts and providing infrastructure upgrades to a bowling green at the New Town Sporting Precinct. Part of broader recreational facility improvements.
1,908 residents of Geilston Bay are employed, from a labour force of 1,951. Unemployment sits at 2.3%, with participation at 63.9%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,884, about 79% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce is characterized by high skill levels and strong representation in key public services, holding an unemployment rate of only 2.3%. As of March 2026, there are 1,908 residents employed. This unemployment figure is 2.1% lower than the 4.4% reported for Greater Hobart, while the participation rate is identical to the metropolitan average of 63.8%. Census data indicates that a modest 8.0% of the workforce worked from home, a figure that was likely influenced by temporary pandemic restrictions. The primary employment sectors for residents are health care & social assistance, public administration & safety, and education & training.
Public administration & safety is exceptionally prominent, employing residents at 1.4 times the regional rate. Conversely, accommodation & food services accounts for only 6.0% of local jobs, compared to 8.0% across Greater Hobart. A comparison of resident workers against local job numbers suggests that residents must commute out of the suburb for employment. Labor force statistics for the 12 months ending March 2026 reveal a 0.3% reduction in the total labor force alongside a 0.6% decline in employment, causing the local unemployment rate to rise by 0.3 percentage points. During the same period, Greater Hobart saw employment fall by 0.1% and the labor force expand by 0.2%, also leading to a 0.3 percentage point increase. National employment forecasts released in May-25 suggest a nationwide job growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry sector forecasts to the local employment structure suggests the suburb could see jobs grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, assuming local trends mirror national industry changes.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Geilston Bay is $1,610 a week (about $84,000 a year), with median personal income at $845 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $51,438 a year against an average of $61,863. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Tax statistics from the ATO for financial year 2023 show local income levels sit below the national average. The median income for local taxpayers was $51,438, with an average income of $61,863, compared to Greater Hobart averages of $54,577 and $65,190. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.95% since financial year 2023, these figures are estimated at approximately $57,070 for the median and $68,637 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census placed individual incomes at the 58th percentile ($845 weekly) and household incomes at the 42nd percentile.
The weekly earnings bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 contains 32.3% of the community (1,180 individuals), matching the regional rate of 32.2%. On average, residents retain 86.2% of their income after meeting housing costs, placing the suburb in the 6th decile of the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Geilston Bay had 1,437 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 97% detached houses and 1% apartments. 42% are owned with a mortgage, 17% rented and 41% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $380 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,625 a month. Rent absorbs 23.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 23.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Residential structures in the community are overwhelmingly detached, with houses representing 96.7% of dwellings and other formats like townhouses or apartments making up 3.4%, compared to metropolitan Hobart averages of 85.3% and 14.7%. Homeownership is high, with 41.2% owning their homes outright, while 41.8% have mortgages and 17.0% rent. The median monthly mortgage payment is $1,625 and the median weekly rent is $380, both higher than the metropolitan averages of $1,517 and $350. Compared nationally, local mortgage costs are below the Australian average of $1,863, while weekly rents exceed the national benchmark of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Geilston Bay counted 1,437 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 1,517 today, averaging 2.3 people each. 27% are couples with children, against 30% couples without children. 29% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up 68.7% of all local households, consisting of couples with children at 26.6%, couples without children at 30.3%, and single-parent homes at 10.2%. Non-family households account for 31.3%, dominated by single occupants at 28.9%, while group houses comprise 2.3%. The average household size is 2.3 people, just below the Greater Hobart average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
29.0% of adults in Geilston Bay hold a university qualification, including 18.5% with a bachelor degree and 6.1% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 22.4% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 455 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 998 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The proportion of residents with university degrees stands at 29.0%, slightly below the wider SA4 region average of 32.8%. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 18.5%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 6.1% and graduate diplomas at 4.4%. Vocational and technical education is common, with 32.2% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications, split between advanced diplomas (9.8%) and certificates (22.4%). A total of 24.8% of the local population is enrolled in education programs, with primary school students making up 9.0%, high school students accounting for 5.9%, and tertiary students representing 4.4%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Geilston Bay reaches 40 stops on 69 routes, timetabled for about 5,200 services a week. The typical home sits about 150 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport infrastructure consists of 40 active bus stops within the suburb, serviced by 69 routes that combine to provide 5,225 passenger services each week. Access to public transport is high, with an average distance of 151 meters from homes to the nearest stop. The suburb is primarily a commuter area, with 86% of residents using private cars to travel to work and 10% utilizing the bus network. Household vehicle ownership averages 1.5 cars. A modest 8.0% of the workforce worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-related workplace patterns.
Public transport services average 746 daily journeys across all local routes, which represents approximately 130 weekly services per stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
63.2% of residents in Geilston Bay report no long-term health condition. 6.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.7% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
The suburb faces notable public health concerns, with elevated rates of mortality and chronic illnesses observed across all age demographics, combined with a relatively low rate of private health insurance coverage at 52% of the population (~1,888 people). Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most prevalent diagnoses, affecting 11.9% and 9.9% of residents. The proportion of residents reporting no chronic health conditions is 63.2%, compared to 65.5% in Greater Hobart. Chronic illness rates among the working-age population are higher than average. Residents aged 65 and over make up 24.5% of the population (895 people), exceeding the Greater Hobart average of 20.0%.
Health indicators for these senior residents are generally consistent with national trends.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Geilston Bay is largely Australian-born, at 86.7% of residents, with 6.7% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (34.9%) and Australian (29.8%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity is below the metropolitan average, with Australian-born residents making up 86.7% of the population, citizens representing 92.1%, and monolingual English speakers accounting for 93.3%. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 46.1% of the population. Hinduism represents a minor but notable concentration at 1.4%, compared to 2.8% across Greater Hobart. The primary ancestries reported by residents are English (34.9%), Australian (29.8%), and Irish (9.7%). Other European backgrounds show minor variations from regional averages, with Polish ancestry at 0.8% (compared to 0.8% regionally), French at 0.5% (compared to 0.3%), and Welsh at 0.5% (compared to 0.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Geilston Bay is 43. 21.9% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of 43 years is older than the Greater Hobart average of 39 and the national median of 38 years. Compared to the metropolitan area, there is a higher proportion of residents in the 65 - 74 bracket (12.2%) but a lower share of young adults aged 25 - 34 (12.3%). Since the 2021 Census, the 35 to 44 cohort grew from 13.3% to 15.1% and the 85+ cohort rose from 2.6% to 3.9%, while the 55 to 64 group declined from 13.2% to 10.4%. By 2041, the 45 to 54 cohort is projected to expand by 71% (304 people), rising from 427 to 732, while the 0 to 4 and 65 to 74 groups are expected to shrink.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Geilston Bay
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 58 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (3,461 at the 2021 Census → 3,654 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL60224). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.