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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Mornington (Tas.) has an estimated 2,408 residents, down from 2,469 at the 2021 Census — a change of 61 people, or 2.5%. The population has thinned by an average 0.6% a year over five years, slower than 98% of areas nationally. That puts 571 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census the suburb of Mornington (Tas.)'s population is estimated at around 2,408 as of May 2026. This reflects a decrease of 61 people (2.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,469 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,392, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2025) and an additional 33 validated new addresses since the Census date.
This level of population equates to a density ratio of 570 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which was essentially the sole driver of population gains during recent periods. Projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year are utilized for each SA2 region. In cases where these figures are unavailable, and to project age group dynamics beyond 2032, regional and local government area forecasts published by the Tasmania State Government in 2022 with a 2021 base year are applied via a weighted aggregation approach from LGA to SA2 divisions. Looking at upcoming demographic changes, the suburb of Mornington (Tas.) is projected to expand at a rate slightly below the national median, with a projected rise of 191 residents by 2041 according to collective SA2 predictions, representing a growth of 7.3% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
36 new dwellings have been approved in Mornington (Tas.) over the past five years, an average of 7 a year. That is 2.9 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 5, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
According to building permit statistics from the ABS mapped to local areas, the suburb of Mornington (Tas.) typically sees approximately 7 dwellings approved annually. A total of 36 residential projects were approved over the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 to FY-25, with 5 approvals recorded during FY-26 so far. Even with a shrinking local population, the volume of new supply appears to match local requirements, ensuring ample options for purchasers, with newly constructed homes averaging a value of $376,000, which indicates builder focus is directed toward higher-end, premium properties. Meanwhile, commercial building approvals reached $1.4 million this financial year, showing very quiet non-residential building activity.
Building volumes in the suburb of Mornington (Tas.) are significantly subdued relative to the broader region, running 53.0% below the per capita average for Greater Hobart. This low level of new construction typically helps bolster demand and support valuations for established dwellings. The local construction rate is similarly below the national benchmark, indicating a mature housing market that may face geographical or regulatory development limits. Additionally, all building permits in recent times have been for detached houses, which preserves the suburban, low-density profile dominated by family-sized properties that appeal to buyers needing extra space. The metric of 1204 residents for every single approved dwelling highlights the quiet and low-scale nature of local construction. Demographic outlooks suggest the suburb of Mornington (Tas.) is set to add 175 inhabitants by 2041, looking at the most recent quarterly projections. Current residential building volumes appear to be in balance with these upcoming requirements, which should help sustain steady market conditions without causing major upward price pressures.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Mornington (Tas.)
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 33 current infrastructure and development projects close to Mornington (Tas.), worth an estimated $4.12 billion. 10 are already under construction and 8 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans communities, precincts & urban renewal, residential development and transport & logistics. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, planning choices, and major developments have a significant impact on local growth. A total of 3 major initiatives have been identified as having a potential influence on the area. The key projects include the Homes Tasmania residential development at 155 Cambridge Road, Glebe Hill Village, the TasTAFE Water and Energy Trades Centre of Excellence, and the Cambridge-Clarence Recycled Water Interconnector.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Homes Tasmania - 10 Binalong Road Residential Development
A concept project by Homes Tasmania, proposing the delivery of up to an additional 50 social and affordable rental homes on this site, which is currently owned by Homes Tasmania.
Homes Tasmania - 155 Cambridge Road Residential Development
This project involves the development of up to 75 social and affordable rental homes on land at 155 Cambridge Road, Warrane. The site was acquired by Homes Tasmania from the Department of Defence and has been rezoned to General Residential Zone to facilitate housing development.
Clarence Street, Howrah Affordable Housing Development
Rezoning of approximately 1300 square meters of surplus land from Utilities to General Residential Zone via a Housing Land Supply Order to enable the development of up to 4 dwelling units for social and affordable housing. The land is being prepared for transfer to Homes Tasmania for subdivision and housing development.
Clarence City Heart Plan
A council-led precinct and urban renewal framework for Clarence's city centre covering Rosny Park, Kangaroo Bay and Bellerive. The 2024-25 final draft identifies eight linked precincts and sets long-term directions for housing diversity, public spaces, culture, movement and economic growth. Community re-engagement ran Dec 2024 to Feb 2025 with strong support reported in March 2025; the plan remains in the planning phase pending final endorsement.
Cambridge-Clarence Recycled Water Interconnector
A $19.1 million investment in southeast Tasmania to provide around 190 megalitres of recycled water per year for agriculture and preserve the health of the Pitt Water-Orielton Lagoon.
Glebe Hill Childcare Centre
Purpose-built early learning centre developed by Tipalea Partners adjacent to Glebe Hill Village. The 106-place centre is operated by Green Leaves Early Learning and commenced operations during 2026, helping address childcare demand in Hobart's south-east.
Oceana Phase 2 Master Plan
An approved master plan for integrated conservation management and limited residential development (Coventry Rise and Oceana Rise) on the Rokeby Hills above Howrah and Tranmere. It proposes bushland lots and residential clusters close to nature, providing for various residential living styles and maintaining bushland for conservation and public open space.
TasTAFE Water and Energy Trades Centre of Excellence
The Water and Energy Trades Centre of Excellence is a state-of-the-art facility at TasTAFE's Clarence Campus, designed to deliver training in plumbing, mechanical services, electrotechnology, and emerging industries such as renewable and alternative energy including hydrogen. It incorporates contemporary design and equipment, improves utilization and efficiency, and supports a wide range of VET courses with enhanced accessibility.
1,133 residents of Mornington (Tas.) are employed, from a labour force of 1,220. Unemployment sits at 7.1%, with participation at 61.6%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,650, about 110% of the resident population, so the area draws in more workers than it sends out. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The suburb of Mornington (Tas.) possesses a capable labor force, with strong representation in key service sectors and an unemployment rate of 7.1% based on localized statistical data. As of March 2026, there are 1,133 employed locals, which places the unemployment rate 2.7% higher than the Greater Hobart level of 4.4%. Labor force participation stands at 61.6%, which is somewhat lower than the 63.8% recorded across Greater Hobart. Census statistics indicate that a minor 5.8% of employed residents worked from home, though this figure may be influenced by pandemic-related restrictions.
The primary sectors employing local residents are healthcare & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Conversely, professional & technical services have a minimal footprint, accounting for 4.3% of local workers compared to 6.6% across the wider region. The presence of 0.7 jobs for every local resident at the time of the Census indicates a higher than average volume of local jobs relative to the population. Local labor market analysis indicates that over the 12-month period, the total workforce shrank by 0.3% while overall employment fell by 1.3%, leading to a 0.9 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate. In comparison, Greater Hobart experienced a minor 0.1% dip in employment, a 0.2% expansion in the labor force, and a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. National labor forecasts published in May-25 by Jobs and Skills Australia provide further context regarding future employment trends. These projections, spanning five and ten-year horizons, have been applied to the local workforce structure to model potential changes. While countrywide employment is expected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, the rates of change vary widely across different fields. Projecting these industry-specific trends onto the local workforce suggests that employment for residents of the suburb of Mornington (Tas.) could grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, representing a basic weighted calculation rather than a detailed demographic model.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Mornington (Tas.) is $1,423 a week (about $74,000 a year), with median personal income at $715 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $46,280 a year against an average of $56,272. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO records for the 2023 financial year show that personal earnings in the suburb of Mornington (Tas.) sit below the national benchmark, with a recorded median income of $46,280 and an average income of $56,272. This is lower than the Greater Hobart figures of $54,577 for median income and $65,190 for average income. Adjusting these figures for a 10.95% rise in the Wage Price Index since the 2023 financial year yields estimated values of approximately $51,348 for the median and $62,434 for the average as of March 2026. The 2021 Census shows that household, family, and individual earnings in the suburb of Mornington (Tas.)
are relatively low, falling between the 30th and 31st percentiles. The largest portion of the workforce, comprising 35.6% of residents (857 residents), earns between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, which is similar to the wider region where 32.2% fall into this bracket. Affordability pressures are high, with residents retaining only 83.3% of their income after housing costs, placing the area in the 29th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Mornington (Tas.) had 960 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 95% detached houses and 0% apartments. 40% are owned with a mortgage, 33% rented and 28% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $340 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,387 a month. Rent absorbs 23.9% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The housing stock in the suburb of Mornington (Tas.) at the time of the last Census was dominated by separate houses at 95.4%, with semi-detached homes, units, and other dwellings making up the remaining 4.6%. This compares to a mix of 85.3% houses and 14.7% alternative dwellings across metro Hobart. Homeownership rates in the suburb of Mornington (Tas.) lagged the metropolitan average at 27.6%, with remaining households holding a mortgage (39.6%) or renting (32.8%). The median mortgage payment of $1,387 per month was lower than the Hobart metro average of $1,517, while the median weekly rent was $340 compared to $350 across metro Hobart.
On a national level, mortgage costs are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are below the countrywide figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Mornington (Tas.) counted 960 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.4 people each. 24% are couples with children, against 24% couples without children. 28% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the majority of households at 66.8%, which includes couples with children at 24.3%, couples without children at 23.8%, and single parents at 17.1%. Non-family households account for the remaining 33.2%, consisting of single-person households at 28.1% and group shared homes at 5.3%. The median household occupancy of 2.4 individuals is identical to the Greater Hobart average.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
22.2% of adults in Mornington (Tas.) hold a university qualification, including 13.3% with a bachelor degree and 6.9% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 27.1% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 814 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,039 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational outcomes in the area show room for improvement, as the proportion of residents with a university qualification stands at 22.2%, which is lower than the 32.8% average for the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are the most common tertiary qualification at 13.3%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 6.9% and graduate diplomas at 2.0%. Vocational training is common, with 35.9% of residents aged 15 and over holding a technical qualification, consisting of advanced diplomas at 8.8% and certificate-level qualifications at 27.1%. A high proportion of the population is engaged in learning, with 27.5% of residents enrolled in an educational institution.
This group includes 9.7% attending primary school, 5.3% in high school, and 4.3% enrolled in tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Mornington (Tas.) reaches 34 stops on 80 routes, timetabled for about 4,600 services a week. The typical home sits about 110 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.4 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
There are 34 active bus stops operating in the suburb of Mornington (Tas.), which are serviced by 80 routes that provide a total of 4,645 passenger trips each week. Access to public transport is highly rated, with residents living an average of 113 meters from their nearest stop. The area is mostly residential, meaning most workers travel outside the suburb for employment. Private cars are the primary mode of travel at 87%, followed by buses at 9%. Average car ownership is 1.4 vehicles per household. A small proportion of residents, 5.8%, worked from home according to the 2021 Census, which may have been influenced by pandemic conditions.
Service frequency averages 663 trips per day across all routes, which corresponds to roughly 136 weekly trips for each transport stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
61.6% of residents in Mornington (Tas.) report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 93% of areas nationally. 9.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 49.5% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators highlight key challenges in the suburb of Mornington (Tas.), based on analysis of mortality statistics and the prevalence of long-term illnesses, which affect both younger and older residents. The proportion of residents with private health insurance is low at approximately 49% of the population, which represents about 1,191 people. This is lower than the 51.7% recorded across Greater Hobart and the national average of 55.7%. Mental health conditions and arthritis are the most common diagnoses, affecting 12.1% and 9.9% of residents respectively, while 61.6% of the population reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 65.5% in Greater Hobart.
Chronic illness rates are elevated among residents of working age. Residents aged 65 and over make up 16.2% of the population, totaling 390 people, which is lower than the 20.0% figure for Greater Hobart. Senior health outcomes align generally with national standards.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Mornington (Tas.) is largely Australian-born, at 84.3% of residents, with 13.0% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (32.3%) and Australian (31.2%). 4.5% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The suburb of Mornington (Tas.) has a lower proportion of multicultural residents than the national average, with citizens making up 85.2% of the population, 84.3% of residents born in Australia, and 87.0% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 41.4% of the population. The most notable variance is in the Other category, which accounts for 2.2% of the population compared to 1.1% across Greater Hobart. Looking at ancestral backgrounds, the primary groups identified in the suburb of Mornington (Tas.) are English at 32.3%, Australian at 31.2%, and Other at 6.8%.
There are also distinct differences in other groups, with Australian Aboriginal residents overrepresented at 4.5% compared to 3.0% across the region, while Polish ancestry stands at 0.8% matching the regional 0.8%, and Samoan ancestry is recorded at 0.2% compared to none regionally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Mornington (Tas.) is 35. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 30.6% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
With a median age of 35, the suburb of Mornington (Tas.) is younger than Greater Hobart, which has a median age of 39, and sits slightly below the national median of 38 years. The 25 - 34 age bracket is highly represented at 21.3% compared to Greater Hobart, whereas the 65 - 74 bracket is less common at 8.4%. This 25 - 34 concentration is higher than the national average of 14.6%. Since 2021, the 35 to 44 age cohort grew from 13.2% to 15.7% of the population, and the 25 to 34 cohort expanded from 20.0% to 21.3%.
Conversely, the 15 to 24 age group fell from 11.2% to 9.3%, and the 45 to 54 group decreased from 11.6% to 10.1%. Looking forward to 2041, projections suggest significant demographic shifts in the suburb of Mornington (Tas.). The 45 to 54 age group is expected to grow by 60% (an increase of 145 people), rising from 243 to 389, while the 15 to 24 and 25 to 34 age brackets are projected to experience declines.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Mornington (Tas.)
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 33 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (2,469 at the 2021 Census → 2,408 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL60425). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.