Clarendon Vale

Population growth drivers in Clarendon Vale are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of May 2026, the suburb of Clarendon Vale's population is estimated at around 1,639. This reflects an increase of 4 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,635. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 1,598 residents following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025, along with an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 858 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, from 2016 to 2026, Clarendon Vale has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 2.3%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by interstate migration, contributing approximately 70.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth by age group post-2032, Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections are adopted, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021, using adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Moving forward with demographic trends, an above median population growth is projected for the suburb, with an expected growth of 341 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 18.3% in total over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Clarendon Vale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Clarendon Vale has recorded approximately four residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 21 homes. In FY-26 so far, two approvals have been recorded. On average, 6.1 people per year moved to the area for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating demand significantly outpaces supply. New homes are being constructed at an average value of $393,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year has seen $542,000 in commercial approvals registered, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Hobart, Clarendon Vale records markedly lower building activity, 58.0% below the regional average per person. Recent development has been entirely comprised of detached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated count is 542 people in the area per dwelling approval. Population forecasts indicate Clarendon Vale will gain 300 residents through to 2041.

At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Clarendon Vale has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 20thth percentile nationally

No infrastructure changes or major projects have been identified by AreaSearch as likely impacting this area. Key projects include Cambridge-Clarence Recycled Water Interconnector, Lauderdale Primary School, Tasman Highway Duplication Project, and Droughty Peninsula Structure Plan.

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Employment conditions in Clarendon Vale face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Clarendon Vale's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs with varied sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 19.9% as per AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation in December 2025. At that time, 358 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 15.8% higher than Greater Hobart's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation lagged at 39.6%, compared to Greater Hobart's 63.7%. Only 2.6% of residents worked from home, according to Census responses, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Key industries for employment among residents were health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Transport, postal & warehousing showed notable concentration with employment levels at 2.1 times the regional average.

However, professional & technical services had lower representation at 1.0% compared to the regional average of 6.6%. The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census working population vs resident population counts. Between December 2024 and December 2025, labour force decreased by 11.5% and employment decreased by 12.7%, leading to a rise in unemployment by 1.1 percentage points, while Greater Hobart recorded employment growth of 0.1%, labour force decline of 0.1%, and a fall in unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May-25) projected national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Clarendon Vale's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Clarendon Vale's median income among taxpayers was $33,713 and average income stood at $35,893 in financial year 2023. This is below the national figures for Greater Hobart which were $54,577 and $65,190 respectively. By March 2026, estimates suggest median income will be approximately $37,405 and average income $39,823 based on a Wage Price Index growth of 10.95%. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Clarendon Vale fall between the 1st and 3rd percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. Income distribution shows that 33.0% of residents (540 people) earn within the $400 - 799 bracket, contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 32.2%. The concentration of 42.7% in sub-$800 weekly brackets highlights economic challenges faced by a significant portion of the community. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 75.0% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 3rd percentile nationally.

Clarendon Vale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Clarendon Vale's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census evaluation, consisted of 92.1% houses and 7.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Hobart metro's 85.3% houses and 14.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Clarendon Vale stood at 13.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 19.6% and rented ones at 67.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,083, below Hobart metro's average of $1,517. Median weekly rent in Clarendon Vale was $270, compared to Hobart metro's $350. Nationally, Clarendon Vale's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Clarendon Vale features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 67.7% of all households, including 18.9% couples with children, 12.6% couples without children, and 34.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 32.3%, with lone person households at 26.9% and group households comprising 4.7%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Hobart average of 2.4.

Clarendon Vale faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 11.4%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 32.8%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 6.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 4.5% and graduate diplomas at 0.9%. Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 31.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (4.9%) and certificates (26.5%). Educational participation is high, with 36.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 16.6% in primary, 9.9% in secondary, and 2.9% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 36.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 16.6% in primary education, 9.9% in secondary education, and 2.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Clarendon Vale has 16 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These stops are covered by 84 different routes, offering a total of 6590 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 182 meters to the nearest stop. The area is predominantly residential, with most commuters travelling outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 87% of residents, while buses account for 12%. On average, there are 0.9 vehicles per dwelling, lower than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 2.6% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 941 trips per day, equating to about 411 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Clarendon Vale is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Clarendon Vale faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Multiple health conditions affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is extremely low, at approximately 41% of the total population (around 678 people), compared to 51.7% in Greater Hobart and a national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 14.1% and 12.4% of residents respectively. However, 58.6% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 65.5% in Greater Hobart. The working-age population experiences notable health challenges due to high chronic condition rates. Clarendon Vale has 11.7% of residents aged 65 and over (191 people), lower than the 20.0% in Greater Hobart. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

Clarendon Vale is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Clarendon Vale's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 83.2% of its population being Australian citizens and 89.6% born in Australia. English is spoken exclusively at home by 91.6% of the population. Christianity is the predominant religion, practiced by 30.9% of Clarendon Vale residents.

Notably, Judaism is overrepresented compared to Greater Hobart, comprising 0.4% versus 0.1%. In terms of ancestry, Australian (34.0%), English (33.1%), and Australian Aboriginal (11.9%) are the top three groups in Clarendon Vale, all significantly higher than regional averages. Other ethnic groups with notable overrepresentation include Sri Lankan at 0.4%, Vietnamese at 0.8%, and Maori at 0.6%.

Clarendon Vale hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Clarendon Vale's median age is 29 years, which is lower than Greater Hobart's average of 39 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Hobart, Clarendon Vale has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (20.6%), but fewer residents aged 55-64 (6.4%). This 5-14 concentration is significantly higher than the national average of 12.0%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 35 to 44 has increased from 12.5% to 17.5%, while the 0 to 4 age group has risen from 7.6% to 9.1%. Conversely, the 15 to 24 age group has decreased from 15.3% to 11.7%, and the 55 to 64 age group has fallen from 9.7% to 6.4%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Clarendon Vale's age profile. The 45 to 54 age cohort is projected to expand by 123 people (an increase of 87%) from 142 to 266. Conversely, the 35 to 44 age cohort is projected to decline by 25 people.