Clarendon Vale

Population growth drivers in Clarendon Vale are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Clarendon Vale's population is estimated at around 1,651 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 16 people (1.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,635 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,610, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS on June 2024, and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 864 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Clarendon Vale has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 4.3%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 70.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth by age group in the years post-2032, the Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year, are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Moving forward with demographic trends, an above median population growth of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is projected, with Clarendon Vale expected to grow by 437 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 38.3% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Clarendon Vale recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis shows Clarendon Vale recorded approximately 4 residential properties granted approval per year over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 22 homes. As of FY-26, 1 approval has been recorded. On average, 16.6 people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating demand significantly outpaces supply. New homes are being constructed at an average value of $393,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year, $542,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Hobart, Clarendon Vale has markedly lower building activity (56.0% below regional average per person), typically reinforcing demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Recent development has comprised entirely of detached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature with an estimated 521 people per dwelling approval. Population forecasts indicate Clarendon Vale will gain 632 residents by 2041, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases if current development rates continue.

Population forecasts indicate Clarendon Vale will gain 632 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Clarendon Vale has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 24thth percentile nationally

No changes can influence a region's performance more than modifications to local infrastructure, significant projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that are expected to impact this area. Notable projects include Cambridge-Clarence Recycled Water Interconnector, Lauderdale Primary School, Tasman Highway Duplication Project, and Droughty Peninsula Structure Plan, with the following list providing details on those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Clarendon Vale face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Clarendon Vale's workforce is balanced across white and blue collar jobs with varied sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 18.8% as of September 2025. This rate is 14.8% higher than Greater Hobart's rate of 4%.

Workforce participation in Clarendon Vale is lower at 58.0%, compared to Greater Hobart's 63.8%. Only 2.6% of residents work from home, though COVID-19 lockdown impacts may have affected this figure. Key industries for employment are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Transport, postal & warehousing has notable concentration with levels at 2.1 times the regional average.

Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 1.0% compared to the regional average of 6.6%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Clarendon Vale's labour force decreased by 1.0%, with employment decreasing by 0.4%, causing unemployment to fall by 0.5 percentage points. Greater Hobart recorded an employment decline of 0.7% during the same period. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, project national employment growth rates of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Clarendon Vale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb Clarendon Vale's income level is below the national average, according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year ended June 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Clarendon Vale was $33,713, with an average income of $35,893. These figures compare to Greater Hobart's median income of $54,577 and average income of $65,190. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.6% since the financial year ended June 2023, current estimates for Clarendon Vale would be approximately $36,949 (median) and $39,339 (average) as of September 2025. According to data from the 2021 Census, incomes in Clarendon Vale fall between the 1st and 3rd percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. Income distribution shows that 33.0% of residents (544 people) earn within the $400 - $799 weekly bracket, contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket leads at 32.2%. The concentration of 42.7% in sub-$800 weekly brackets highlights economic challenges faced by a significant portion of the community. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 75.0% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 3rd percentile nationally.

Clarendon Vale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Clarendon Vale's latest Census data shows 92.1% houses and 7.9% other dwellings, compared to Hobart metro's 85.3% houses and 14.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Clarendon Vale was 13.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 19.6% and rented ones at 67.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,083, below Hobart metro's average of $1,517. Median weekly rent in Clarendon Vale was $270, compared to Hobart metro's $350. Nationally, Clarendon Vale's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Clarendon Vale features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.7 percent of all households, including 18.9 percent couples with children, 12.6 percent couples without children, and 34.1 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.3 percent, with lone person households at 26.9 percent and group households comprising 4.7 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Hobart average of 2.4.

Clarendon Vale faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 11.4%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 32.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common among qualifications, at 6.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.5%) and graduate diplomas (0.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 31.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (4.9%) and certificates (26.5%). Educational participation is high, with 36.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, broken down into primary education (16.6%), secondary education (9.9%), and tertiary education (2.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 36.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 16.6% in primary education, 9.9% in secondary education, and 2.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Clarendon Vale has 16 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 84 different routes that together facilitate 6,590 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from residents' homes to the nearest transport stop is 182 meters, indicating excellent transport accessibility in the area. As a predominantly residential zone, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 87% of residents, while buses are used by 12%. The average number of vehicles per dwelling is 0.9, lower than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 2.6% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. On average, there are 941 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 411 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Clarendon Vale is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Clarendon Vale faces significant health challenges according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, affecting both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 41% of the total population (~683 people), compared to Greater Hobart's 51.7% and the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common conditions, impacting 14.1% and 12.4% of residents respectively. Conversely, 58.6% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Hobart's 65.5%. Working-age individuals face notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 10.3% of residents aged 65 and over (170 people), lower than Greater Hobart's 19.9%. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, generally aligning with national rankings.

Clarendon Vale is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Clarendon Vale had a lower than average cultural diversity, with 83.2% citizens, 89.6% born in Australia, and 91.6% speaking English only at home as of the latest census data. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 30.9%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.4%, compared to 0.1% regionally.

In terms of ancestry, Australian (34.0%) and English (33.1%) were the top groups, both higher than regional averages of 28.0% and 25.7% respectively. Australian Aboriginal ancestry was also notably high at 11.9%, compared to a regional average of 3.0%. Some other ethnic groups had notable differences: Sri Lankan (0.4% vs 0.1%), Vietnamese (0.8% vs 0.3%), and Maori (0.6% vs 0.1%) were overrepresented in Clarendon Vale compared to regional averages.

Clarendon Vale hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Clarendon Vale's median age is 29 years, which is lower than the Greater Hobart average of 39 and significantly below the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Hobart, Clarendon Vale has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (19.0%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (6.2%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is notably above the national average of 12.1%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 35 to 44 has increased from 12.5% to 17.5%, while the 15 to 24 cohort decreased from 15.3% to 13.4% and the 25 to 34 group fell from 17.1% to 15.7%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Clarendon Vale's age profile. The 45 to 54 cohort is expected to grow substantially, increasing by 157 people (122%) from 128 to 286. Meanwhile, the 35 to 44 cohort is projected to grow modestly by 6% (17 people).