Clarendon Vale

Clarendon Vale lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the population of Clarendon Vale is estimated at around 1,639 people, reflecting an increase of 4 individuals since the 2021 Census. The ABS ERP estimate for surrounding areas applied to Clarendon Vale by AreaSearch in June 2024 indicated a resident population of 1,599. This increase is attributed to 15 validated new addresses identified since the Census date. The current population density stands at approximately 858 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, from 2015 to 2025, Clarendon Vale has exhibited a compound annual growth rate of 4.3%, outperforming its SA3 area. Interstate migration contributed about 70% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Projected demographic trends indicate an above median population growth for the suburb, with an expected increase of 427 persons to reach 2041, reflecting a total increase of 38.9% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Clarendon Vale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Clarendon Vale has had approximately 4 residential properties approved annually over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 20 homes. In FY26 so far, there has been 1 approval recorded. The average number of people moving to the area per year for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25 is 18.2, indicating demand significantly outpaces supply.

New homes are being constructed at an average value of $393,000, in line with regional trends. This financial year has seen $1.2 million in commercial approvals registered, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Hobart, Clarendon Vale records 60.0% lower building activity per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. The area's development is also below national average, suggesting maturity and possible planning constraints.

Recent development has been entirely detached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. There are estimated to be 1216 people in Clarendon Vale per dwelling approval. Population forecasts indicate the area will gain 638 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Clarendon Vale has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 27thth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly influence a region's performance like modifications to its local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. Zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch that could potentially impact this area. Key projects include Cambridge-Clarence Recycled Water Interconnector, Lauderdale Primary School, Tasman Highway Duplication Project, and Droughty Peninsula Structure Plan, with the following list providing details on those most likely to be relevant.

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Employment conditions in Clarendon Vale face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Clarendon Vale's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs with varied sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 18.8% as of June 2025.

Residents' employment has remained relatively stable over the past year. As of June 2025550 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 14.6% higher than Greater Hobart's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Clarendon Vale lags at 44.6%, compared to Greater Hobart's 61.6%. Key industries for employment among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Transport, postal & warehousing shows notable concentration with employment levels at 2.1 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical services have lower representation at 1.0% versus the regional average of 6.6%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 0.4% while labour force decreased by 2.2%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 2.1 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Hobart recorded an employment decline of 1.5%, labour force decline of 1.6%, with unemployment falling by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Clarendon Vale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Clarendon Vale's median income among taxpayers was $33,713 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $35,893 during the same period. This compares to figures for Greater Hobart of $51,272 and $63,777 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.83% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $38,376 (median) and $40,857 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Clarendon Vale all fall between the 1st and 3rd percentiles nationally. The distribution data shows that 33.0% of residents (540 people) earn within the $400 - 799 bracket, contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 32.2%. The concentration of 42.7% in sub-$800 weekly brackets highlights economic challenges facing a significant portion of the community. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 75.0% of income remaining, ranking at the 3rd percentile nationally.

Clarendon Vale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Clarendon Vale's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.1% houses and 7.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Hobart metro's 93.4% houses and 6.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Clarendon Vale was at 13.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 19.6% and rented ones at 67.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,083, below Hobart metro's average of $1,538. Median weekly rent in Clarendon Vale was $270, compared to Hobart metro's $350. Nationally, Clarendon Vale's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents substantially below the national figure of $375.

Clarendon Vale features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 67.7% of all households, including 18.9% couples with children, 12.6% couples without children, and 34.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 32.3%, consisting of 26.9% lone person households and 4.7% group households. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is larger than the Greater Hobart average of 2.4.

Clarendon Vale faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 11.4%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 32.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 6.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.5%) and graduate diplomas (0.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 31.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (4.9%) and certificates (26.5%). Educational participation is high at 36.1%, comprising primary education (16.6%), secondary education (9.9%), and tertiary education (2.9%).

Clarendon Vale Primary School serves the area, with an enrollment of 132 students as of a certain date. The school's ICSEA score is 782. There is one primary school in the area, with secondary options available nearby. School places per 100 residents are lower than the regional average at 8.1 compared to 14.3, indicating some students may attend schools outside the area.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 18 active transport stops operating in Clarendon Vale as of 2022, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 41 individual routes, collectively facilitating 3,857 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 179 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 551 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 214 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Clarendon Vale is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Clarendon Vale faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Approximately 41% (~678 people) have private health cover, lower than Greater Hobart's 51.4% and the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues affect 14.1% of residents, while asthma impacts 12.4%.

Conversely, 58.6% report no medical ailments, compared to 64.2% in Greater Hobart. As of 2021, 10.4% (170 people) are aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Hobart's 21.8%. Senior health outcomes align with the general population's profile but present some challenges.

Clarendon Vale is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Clarendon Vale, as per the census conducted on 9 August 2016, had a cultural diversity index of below average. Its population composition was predominantly Australian citizens, with 83.2%. Birthplace-wise, 89.6% were born in Australia.

English was spoken at home by 91.6% of the residents. Christianity was the dominant religion, practiced by 30.9% of Clarendon Vale's population. Judaism, although a minority, had a higher representation here than in Greater Hobart, with 0.4% compared to 0.1%. Regarding ancestry, Australians topped the list at 34.0%, followed by English at 33.1%, and Australian Aboriginal at 11.9%, which was significantly higher than Greater Hobart's average of 2.8%. Some ethnic groups showed notable disparities: Sri Lankan at 0.4% (regional average 0.1%), Vietnamese at 0.8% (regional average 0.2%), and Maori at 0.6% (regional average 0.2%).

Clarendon Vale hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Clarendon Vale has a median age of 29 years, which is lower than the Greater Hobart average of 39 and the Australian median of 38. Compared to Greater Hobart, Clarendon Vale has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (19.1%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (6.4%). This 5-14 concentration is higher than the national average of 12.2%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of residents aged 35 to 44 has increased from 12.5% to 16.7%, while the proportion of those aged 15 to 24 has decreased from 15.3% to 13.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Clarendon Vale's age profile will change significantly. The number of residents aged 45 to 54 is projected to increase substantially, from 129 to 287, a growth of 157 people (122%).