Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne

Population growth drivers in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne's population was around 5,259 as of May 2026. This figure reflects an increase of 206 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,053 people. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates; the population was 5,259 in June 2025 and there were 34 validated new addresses after the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 664 persons per square kilometer. Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne's growth rate exceeded that of its SA3 area (1.8%) since the 2021 census, indicating it as a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 93.1% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections are adopted, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Based on these projections, the area is expected to increase by 667 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 12.7% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne has seen approximately 9 residential properties granted approval each year over the past 5 financial years, totalling 45 homes. In FY26 so far, 7 approvals have been recorded. On average, around 0.8 people per year moved to the area for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand. The average construction cost value of new homes was $397,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year has also seen $10.9 million in commercial approvals registered, showing moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Hobart, Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne records about 63% of building activity per person and ranks among the 17th percentile nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing dwellings. Recent development has been entirely comprised of detached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests, indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures.

The estimated population count per dwelling approval is 2835 people, reflecting its quiet development environment. Population forecasts indicate Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne will gain 667 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 7thth percentile nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 14 projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include the Southern Outlet Transit Lane, Mount Nelson and Sandy Bay Neighbourhood Plan, Fragrance Group Conservatorium Development, and University of Tasmania Sandy Bay Campus Redevelopment. The following list details those projects deemed most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. The unemployment rate was 2.1% as of December 2025. This is 2.0% lower than Greater Hobart's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation was 66.4%, similar to Greater Hobart's 63.7%. Home working residents were low at 13.1%. Employment concentrations are in health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services, with the latter being particularly strong at 1.7 times the regional level. Construction employment is limited at 4.9% compared to the regional 8.7%.

Local job opportunities appear limited based on resident vs working population counts. In the year ending December 2025, labour force decreased by 0.1%, employment declined by 0.3%, and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points. Greater Hobart saw employment growth of 0.1%, labour force decline of 0.1%, and unemployment fall by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023. Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $56,450 and an average level of $81,522. These figures were among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Hobart's levels of $54,577 and $65,190 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.95% since financial year 2023, current estimates for March 2026 would be approximately $62,631 (median) and $90,449 (average). Census data shows household, family and personal incomes in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne cluster around the 53rd percentile nationally. Income distribution reveals that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 30.5% of residents (1,603 people), similar to regional levels at 32.2%. After housing costs, residents retain 87.0% of income, indicating strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, had 81.5% houses and 18.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compared to Hobart metro's 85.3% houses and 14.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne stood at 38.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 33.2% and rented ones at 28.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,820, higher than Hobart metro's average of $1,517. Median weekly rent in the area was $360, compared to Hobart metro's $350. Nationally, Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.6% of all households, including 29.3% couples with children, 30.2% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 31.4%, with lone person households at 24.3% and group households making up 7.1%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Greater Hobart average of 2.4.

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne shows that 55.0% of residents aged 15 and above have university qualifications, compared to 25.5% in Tasmania (TAS) and 30.4% nationally. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 29.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 19.7% and graduate diplomas at 5.4%. Vocational pathways account for 19.9% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 9.0% and certificates at 10.9%. Educational participation is high, with 36.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 14.1% in tertiary education, 8.7% in primary education, and 7.0% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne has 44 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops are served by a total of 92 bus routes, facilitating 7,498 weekly passenger trips combined. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically residing within 200 meters of the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential region, most inhabitants commute outward daily. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 79% of residents, while walking and public bus services account for 9% and 8%, respectively. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling in the area.

According to the 2021 Census data, which may have been influenced by COVID-19 conditions, only 13.1% of residents work from home. The service frequency across all routes averages 1,071 trips per day, translating to approximately 170 weekly trips per individual stop.

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne shows excellent health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, with very low prevalence across all age groups. The area has a high rate of private health cover at approximately 60% (3,150 people), compared to 51.7% in Greater Hobart.

Mental health issues and asthma were the most common conditions, affecting 9.0% and 6.8% respectively, while 72.2% reported no medical ailments, higher than Greater Hobart's 65.5%. The under-65 population has better-than-average health outcomes. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 17.2% (902 people), compared to 20.0% in Greater Hobart. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mount Nelson-Dynnyrne, surveyed in June 2016, showed higher cultural diversity than most local areas. It had 30.8% of its population born overseas and 24.3% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 32.4%.

Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.3%, compared to the regional average of 0.1%. In terms of ancestry, the top groups were English (27.9%), Australian (22.6%), and Other (9.2%). Notably, Russian ancestry was higher at 0.6% versus 0.2% regionally, Polish at 1.0% versus 0.8%, and Chinese at 8.9% versus 2.7%.

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne is 36 years, which is slightly below Greater Hobart's average of 39 years and the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Hobart, Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (18.7%), but fewer residents aged 0-4 (3.5%). This 15-24 concentration is notably higher than the national average of 12.7%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 15.3% to 18.7%, while the 75 to 84 cohort has grown from 4.3% to 6.5%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has decreased from 16.3% to 13.9%, and the 65 to 74 age group has dropped from 11.0% to 9.2%. By 2041, Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne's population is projected to experience significant shifts in its age distribution. Notably, the 45 to 54 age group is expected to grow by 50%, reaching 876 from 582. Meanwhile, both the 65 to 74 and the 35 to 44 age groups are projected to decrease in number.