Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne

Population growth drivers in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne's population is around 5,238 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 185 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,053 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 5,231 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 34 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 661 persons per square kilometer. Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne's growth rate of 3.7% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's growth rate of 2.5%. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 91.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth by age group post-2032, Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections are adopted, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Considering projected demographic shifts, the area is expected to increase by 794 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an overall increase of 15.0% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne has recorded approximately 9 residential properties granted approval per year over the past 5 financial years, totalling 45 homes. In FY26 so far, 6 approvals have been recorded. On average, around 0.8 people move to the area each year for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand. The average construction cost value of new homes is $397,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year has seen $10.9 million in commercial approvals registered, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Hobart, Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne records about 63% of the building activity per person and ranks among the 17th percentile of areas assessed nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing dwellings. This reflects the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent development has been entirely comprised of detached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than suggested by the current mix at Census (82.0%), indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. The estimated population count per dwelling approval is 2835 people in the area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne will gain approximately 787 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 11thth percentile nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 14 projects likely impacting the region. Notable initiatives include Southern Outlet Transit Lane, Mount Nelson and Sandy Bay Neighbourhood Plan, Fragrance Group Conservatorium Development, and University of Tasmania Sandy Bay Campus Redevelopment. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 2.1%. The area's unemployment rate is 1.9% lower than Greater Hobart's rate of 4.0%, and its workforce participation rate is 67.2%, compared to Greater Hobart's 63.8%.

According to Census responses, 13.1% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services. The area has a particularly strong specialization in professional & technical services, with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level. However, construction has limited presence, with only 4.9% of residents employed in this sector compared to the regional average of 8.7%.

Between September 2024 and August 2025, the labour force decreased by 0.7%, while employment declined by 1.0%, leading to an unemployment rate increase of 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Hobart experienced an employment decline of 0.7% and a labour force decline of 0.9%, with unemployment falling by 0.2 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne's employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023 shows Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $56,450 and an average income of $81,522. These figures are among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Hobart's median of $54,577 and average of $65,190. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.6% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $61,869 (median) and $89,348 (average). Census data indicates that incomes in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne cluster around the 53rd percentile nationally. The income distribution shows that 30.5% of residents (1,597 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, similar to the regional level of 32.2%. After housing costs, residents retain 87.0% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 81.5% houses and 18.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Hobart metro's 85.3% houses and 14.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne stood at 38.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 33.2% and rented ones at 28.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,820, higher than Hobart metro's average of $1,517. The median weekly rent figure was $360, compared to Hobart metro's $350. Nationally, Mount Nelson - Dynnyne's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 68.6% of all households, including 29.3% couples with children, 30.2% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for 31.4%, with lone person households at 24.3% and group households making up 7.1%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Greater Hobart average of 2.4.

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne is notably higher than broader benchmarks. Specifically, 55.0% of residents aged 15 years or older hold university qualifications, compared to the Tasmania state average of 25.5% and the national average of 30.4%. This high level of educational attainment positions the area favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most common qualification at 29.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 19.7% and graduate diplomas at 5.4%.

Vocational pathways account for 19.9% of qualifications among those aged 15 years or older, with advanced diplomas making up 9.0% and certificates comprising 10.9%. Educational participation is particularly high in the area, with 36.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.1% in tertiary education, 8.7% in primary education, and 7.0% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne has 44 active public transport stops serving buses. These stops are connected by 92 routes, offering a total of 7,498 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically living within 200 meters of the nearest stop. As primarily residential, most commutes are outward-bound. Cars remain the dominant mode at 79%, followed by walking (9%) and buses (8%). Average vehicle ownership is 1.4 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low 13.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 1,071 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 170 weekly trips per individual stop.

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne shows excellent health outcomes according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups.

Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 60% of the total population (3,137 people), compared to 51.7% in Greater Hobart. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common conditions, affecting 9.0 and 6.8% of residents respectively. 72.2% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 65.5% in Greater Hobart. The under-65 population has better than average health outcomes. The area has 17.1% of residents aged 65 and over (895 people), lower than the 19.9% in Greater Hobart. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mount Nelson-Dynnyrne, surveyed between July 2016 to June 2021, had a higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 30.8% of its residents born overseas and 24.3% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 32.4%. Judaism showed an overrepresentation, with 0.3% compared to 0.1% in Greater Hobart.

The top three ancestral groups were English (27.9%), Australian (22.6%, lower than the regional average of 28.0%), and Other (9.2%). Notable divergences included Russian (0.6% vs regional 0.2%), Polish (1.0% vs 0.8%), and Chinese (8.9% vs 2.7%).

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The median age in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne is 36 years, which is slightly below Greater Hobart's average of 39 years and also slightly below the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Hobart, Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne has a higher proportion of residents aged 15-24 (18.7%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (13.6%). This concentration of 15-24 year-olds is significantly above the national average of 12.5%. Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the proportion of residents aged 15 to 24 increased from 15.3% to 18.7%, while those aged 75 to 84 rose from 4.3% to 6.6%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 decreased from 16.3% to 13.6%, and the proportion aged 65 to 74 dropped from 11.0% to 9.0%. By 2041, Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne is projected to experience significant changes in its age composition. Notably, the 45 to 54 age group is expected to grow by 53%, increasing from 592 people to 907. Meanwhile, both the 65 to 74 and 35 to 44 age groups are projected to decrease in number.