Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne

Population growth drivers in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne's population is around 5,238 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 185 people (3.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,053 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 5,231 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 34 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 661 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne's 3.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (2.5%), marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 91.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth by age group in the years post-2032, the Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year, are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of Australian statistical areas is expected, with the area expected to increase by 794 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 15.0% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne has recorded around 9 residential properties granted approval per year, totalling 45 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 5 approvals have been recorded. With an average of only 0.8 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts, while new homes are being built at an average value of $397,000, revealing that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. Additionally, $10.9 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development.

When measured against Greater Hobart, Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne records about 63% of the building activity per person while it places among the 17th percentile of areas assessed nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing dwellings. This is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and pointing to possible planning constraints. Meanwhile, recent development has been entirely comprised of detached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (82.0% at Census), indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. The estimated count of 2835 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

Population forecasts indicate Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne will gain 787 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 11thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 14 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Southern Outlet Transit Lane, Mount Nelson and Sandy Bay Neighbourhood Plan, Fragrance Group Conservatorium Development, and University of Tasmania Sandy Bay Campus Redevelopment, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne features a highly educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of just 2.1%, and relative employment stability over the past year. As of December 2025, 2,928 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 2.0% below Greater Hobart's rate of 4.0%, and workforce participation is fairly standard (67.3% compared to Greater Hobart's 64.0%). Based on Census responses, a low 13.1% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical services. The area shows particularly strong specialization in professional & technical services, with an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level. Meanwhile, construction has a limited presence with 4.9% employment compared to 8.7% regionally. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw the labour force decrease by 0.1% while employment declined by 0.3%, resulting in the unemployment rate rising by 0.2 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Hobart recorded employment growth of 0.1%, a labour force decline of 0.1%, with unemployment falling 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.2% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $56,450 with the average level standing at $81,522. This is among the highest in Australia and compares to levels of $54,577 and $65,190 across Greater Hobart respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.6% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $61,869 (median) and $89,348 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne cluster around the 53rd percentile nationally. Looking at income distribution, the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 30.5% of residents (1,597 people), mirroring regional levels where 32.2% occupy this bracket. After housing costs, residents retain 87.0% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 81.5% houses and 18.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Hobart metro's 85.3% houses and 14.7% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne was higher than that of Hobart metro, at 38.1%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (33.2%) or rented (28.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Hobart metro average at $1,820, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $360, compared to Hobart metro's $1,517 and $350. Nationally, Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne's mortgage repayments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are less than the national figure of $375.

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 68.6% of all households, comprising 29.3% couples with children, 30.2% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 31.4%, with lone person households at 24.3% and group households comprising 7.1% of the total. The median household size of 2.5 people is larger than the Greater Hobart average of 2.4.

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 55.0% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 25.5% in TAS and 30.4% in Australia. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 29.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (19.7%) and graduate diplomas (5.4%). Vocational pathways account for 19.9% of qualifications among those aged 15+ – advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (10.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 36.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.1% in tertiary education, 8.7% in primary education, and 7.0% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 44 active transport stops operating within Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 92 individual routes, collectively providing 7,498 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 200 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 79%, with 9% walking and 8% by bus. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling. A relatively low 13.1% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 1,071 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 170 weekly trips per individual stop.

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. There is a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 60% of the total population (3,137 people), compared to 51.7% across Greater Hobart.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 9.0% and 6.8% of residents, respectively, while 72.2% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 65.5% across Greater Hobart. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 17.1% of residents aged 65 and over (895 people), which is lower than the 19.9% in Greater Hobart. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne is more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets, with 30.8% of its population born overseas and 24.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne is Christianity, which makes up 32.4% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Judaism, which comprises 0.3% of the population, compared to 0.1% across Greater Hobart.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne are English, comprising 27.9% of the population, Australian, comprising 22.6% of the population, which is notably lower than the regional average of 28.0%, and Other, comprising 9.2% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Russian is notably overrepresented at 0.6% of Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne (vs 0.2% regionally), Polish at 1.0% (vs 0.8%) and Chinese at 8.9% (vs 2.7%).

Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

The 36-year median age in Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne is modestly under Greater Hobart's average of 39 and also modestly under the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Hobart, Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne has a higher concentration of 15 - 24 residents (18.7%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (13.6%). This 15 - 24 concentration is well above the national 12.5%. Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 15.3% to 18.7% of the population, while the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 4.3% to 6.6%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 16.3% to 13.6% and the 65 to 74 group dropped from 11.0% to 9.0%. By 2041, Mount Nelson - Dynnyrne is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. Leading the demographic shift, the 45 to 54 group will grow by 53% (314 people), reaching 907 from 592. Meanwhile, both the 65 to 74 and 35 to 44 age groups will see reduced numbers.