Rokeby (Tas.)

Rokeby lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Rokeby (Tas.) is around 5,319 people. This figure reflects a 26.3% increase since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,211 people. The current estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and their analysis of ABS ERP data released in June 2024, indicating a resident population of 5,195. This level of population results in a density ratio of 443 persons per square kilometer. Rokeby's growth since the Census has exceeded that of its SA4 region (4.3%) and metropolitan area, positioning it as a growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 70% to this growth.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, to estimate future population trends. For areas not covered by this data, Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2022 with a 2021 base year are used, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods. Based on these projections, Rokeby is expected to grow by 1,169 persons to reach a total of 6,488 by 2041, reflecting a 12.5% increase over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Rokeby among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis indicates Rokeby has averaged around 121 dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 608 homes were approved, with a further 32 approved in FY-26 to date. This results in an average of 1.7 people moving to the area annually for each dwelling built over these five years.

The market balance supports stable conditions, with new dwellings developed at an average cost of $393,000. In FY-26, $22.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered. Rokeby has 364.0% more development activity per person compared to Greater Hobart, indicating strong developer confidence. All recent developments have been standalone homes, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 48 people per dwelling approval, Rokeby is classified as a growth area.

By 2041, AreaSearch estimates an increase of 663 residents in Rokeby. Current development rates should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond projections.

Rokeby has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 27thth percentile nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified two major projects impacting the area: Cambridge-Clarence Recycled Water Interconnector and Tasman Highway Duplication Project. Other notable projects include Lauderdale Primary School and Droughty Peninsula Structure Plan. Relevant details are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market performance in Rokeby lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Rokeby's workforce is skilled with notable representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate, as of June 2025, stands at 6.9%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

In June 2025, 2,222 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate 2.7% higher than Greater Hobart's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Rokeby is similar to Greater Hobart's at 61.6%. Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and public administration & safety. Retail trade shows strong specialization with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 4.1% compared to Greater Hobart's 6.6%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over the 12 months to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.6%, employment declined by 0.6%, causing unemployment to fall by 0.9 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Hobart saw employment fall by 1.5% and labour force contract by 1.6%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Rokeby's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, although these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localized population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 shows Rokeby's median income among taxpayers is $49,469. The average income in Rokeby was $52,667 during this period. This is below the national average. In comparison, Greater Hobart had a median income of $51,272 and an average of $63,777. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.83% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Rokeby would be approximately $56,311 (median) and $59,951 (average) as of September 2025. The 2021 Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Rokeby rank modestly, between the 18th and 32nd percentiles. Income analysis shows 32.4% of the population, which is 1,723 individuals, fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range. This is consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region where 32.2% are in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Rokeby, with only 80.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 16th percentile.

Rokeby is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Rokeby, as per the latest Census evaluation, 94.4% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 5.6% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This is similar to Hobart metro's composition of 93.4% houses and 6.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Rokeby stood at 20.2%, with mortgaged properties at 41.4% and rented dwellings at 38.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, lower than Hobart metro's average of $1,538. The median weekly rent in Rokeby was $330, compared to $350 in Hobart metro. Nationally, Rokeby's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Rokeby has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 68.2% of all households, consisting of 25.0% couples with children, 21.8% couples without children, and 20.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 31.8%, with lone person households at 28.3% and group households comprising 3.5% of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Greater Hobart average of 2.4.

Rokeby faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area has lower university qualification rates at 19.5% compared to the SA4 region average of 32.8%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 11.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 34.7% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (7.1%) and certificates (27.6%).

Educational participation is high at 30.3%, comprising 11.5% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 3.7% pursuing tertiary education. Rokeby's four schools have a combined enrollment of 1,035 students, with varied educational conditions (ICSEA: 921). The educational mix includes two primary, one secondary, and one K-12 school. School capacity exceeds typical residential needs, with 19.5 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 14.3, indicating that the area serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Rokeby has 47 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 38 different routes that together facilitate 7,137 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these stops is rated as excellent, with residents on average being 168 meters away from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, there are an average of 1,019 trips per day, which equates to approximately 151 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Rokeby is well below average with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Rokeby faces significant health challenges, as indicated by health data. Multiple conditions affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 48%, covering around 2555 people, compared to Greater Hobart's 51.4% and the national average of 55.3%.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 13.1% and 9.4% of residents respectively. About 63.5% report no medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Hobart's 64.2%. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 12.5%, or 664 people, compared to Greater Hobart's 21.8%. Health outcomes among seniors are broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Rokeby ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Rokeby's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 85.3% of its population being citizens, 85.8% born in Australia, and 87.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Rokeby, comprising 34.5% of its population. The most significant overrepresentation was seen in the 'Other' category, which accounted for 1.7% of Rokeby's population compared to 0.9% across Greater Hobart.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (32.9%), Australian (31.9%), and Other (6.9%). Notably, certain ethnic groups showed different representations: Australian Aboriginal was overrepresented at 5.1% in Rokeby compared to 2.8% regionally, Korean remained steady at 0.2%, and Sri Lankan increased slightly from 0.1% regionally to 0.2%.

Rokeby hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Rokeby's median age is 32 years, which is considerably lower than Greater Hobart's average of 39 years and Australia's national median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Hobart, Rokeby has a higher concentration of residents aged 25-34 (21.9%), but fewer residents aged 55-64 (7.8%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is well above the national average of 14.5%. Between the 2021 Census and the current period, the population aged 35 to 44 has grown from 14.0% to 17.5%, while the 5 to 14 age group has declined from 13.3% to 11.8%. The 55 to 64 age group has also decreased, from 8.9% to 7.8%. Population forecasts for Rokeby indicate significant demographic changes by 2041. The 45 to 54 age cohort is projected to grow strongly at 78%, adding 381 residents to reach a total of 871. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 25-34 and 35-44 age cohorts.