Tarragindi

An assessment of population growth drivers in Tarragindi reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, Tarragindi's population is estimated at around 11,557. This reflects an increase of 522 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,035. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 11,535 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 130 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,573 persons per square kilometer, placing Tarragindi in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 61.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. Considering projected demographic shifts, lower quartile growth is anticipated for statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch. Tarragindi is expected to expand by 361 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 2.9% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Tarragindi when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Tarragindi shows around 63 dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 316 homes were approved, with another 16 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of 1.6 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years. However, this figure has increased to 4.7 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating growing demand and tightening supply.

The average construction value of development projects is $1,248,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This year, there have been $3.0 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting the area's residential character. New developments consist of 67% detached houses and 33% townhouses or apartments, marking a shift from the current 95% houses in the area.

With around 235 people per dwelling approval, Tarragindi is considered a low-density area. Population forecasts indicate an increase of 336 residents by 2041. Current construction levels should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Tarragindi has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

The performance of a region is significantly impacted by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 22 such projects that may affect this area. Notable ones include Cross River Rail - Moorooka Station Upgrade, European Train Control System (ETCS), Greenslopes Private Hospital Master Plan Redevelopment, and Annerley Health Hub. The following list provides details on those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Tarragindi demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Tarragindi has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate was 2.4% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.4%.

As of June 2025, 6739 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 1.6% lower than Greater Brisbane's 4.1%. Workforce participation is higher at 73.5%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. The area specializes in professional & technical jobs, with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level.

However, transport, postal & warehousing employs only 2.8% of local workers, below Greater Brisbane's 5.6%. During the year to June 2025, employment levels increased by 1.4%, and labour force grew by 1.8%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Brisbane saw employment growth of 4.4% and a fall in unemployment by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tarragindi's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.8% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Tarragindi has a high national income level according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Its median income among taxpayers is $67,506 and average income stands at $89,866. This compares to Greater Brisbane's figures of $55,645 and $70,520 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $76,950 (median) and $102,438 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Tarragindi, between the 89th and 96th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that 32.1% of locals (3,709 people) fall into the $4000+ category, unlike metropolitan trends where 33.3% are within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. Higher earners make up a substantial presence with 49.2% exceeding $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 87.9% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Tarragindi is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Tarragindi's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.1% houses and 4.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Brisbane metro had no recorded houses or other dwellings at that time. Home ownership in Tarragindi stood at 33.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 46.3% and rented ones at 20.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,459, matching Brisbane metro's average. The median weekly rent was $450, unlike Brisbane metro which had no recorded figures at that time. Nationally, Tarragindi's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Tarragindi features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a median household size of 2.9 people

Family households constitute 79.1% of all households, including 44.6% couples with children, 23.2% couples without children, and 9.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.9%, with lone person households at 16.6% and group households comprising 4.3%. The median household size is 2.9 people.

Tarragindi demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Tarragindi has a notably high level of educational attainment among its residents aged 15 and above. Specifically, 49.0% hold university qualifications, surpassing both Queensland's state average of 25.7% and Australia's national average of 30.4%. This indicates a substantial educational advantage for the area, positioning it favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. The distribution of these qualifications shows that bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 31.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (12.0%) and graduate diplomas (5.6%).

Vocational pathways account for 24.4% of qualifications in this age group, with advanced diplomas making up 9.6% and certificates accounting for 14.8%. Educational participation is also high in Tarragindi, with 33.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.8% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 7.4% pursuing tertiary education. The three schools in Tarragindi have a combined enrollment of 1,086 students. These schools focus exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas. It is worth noting that the area demonstrates significant socio-educational advantages and academic achievement, as indicated by its Index of Community Socio-Educational Advantage (ICSEA) score of 1146. Note: If any school shows 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 85 active public transport stops in Tarragindi, all bus stops. Seven routes serve these stops, offering a total of 828 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 146 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency is high, averaging 118 trips per day across all routes, which equates to about nine weekly trips per stop.

Tarragindi's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Tarragindi. Younger cohorts in particular had very low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover was exceptionally high at approximately 63% of the total population (7258 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and asthma were the most common medical conditions, impacting 7.9% and 7.8% of residents respectively. 73.5% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 0% across Greater Brisbane. The area has 13.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1537 people). Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population despite being above average.

In terms of cultural diversity, Tarragindi records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tarragindi's population, as per the Census conducted on Tuesday 9 August 2016, showed cultural diversity roughly in line with its wider region's average. Specifically, 81.5% of Tarragindi residents were born in Australia, while 92.6% held citizenship and 86.5% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 51.6% of people living there.

However, Judaism's presence stood out at 0.1%, compared to none reported across Greater Brisbane. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (26.1%), Australian (25.0%), and Irish (11.2%). Notably, Welsh (0.8%) and Russian (0.4%) ethnicities were overrepresented in Tarragindi compared to their regional counterparts, which were not reported. Similarly, Greek ethnicity was present at 1.8%, while no such data was available regionally.

Tarragindi's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Tarragindi's median age is nearly 37 years, close to Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Tarragindi has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (16.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.2%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the 15-24 age group has increased from 12.3% to 14.2%, while the 35-44 cohort has decreased from 16.6% to 15.4% and the 5-14 group has dropped from 16.2% to 15.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Tarragindi's age profile. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 88%, adding 202 residents to reach 434. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 56% of population growth, indicating demographic aging trends. Conversely, the 0-4 and 25-34 age groups are expected to experience population declines.