Tarragindi

An assessment of population growth drivers in Tarragindi reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population for the Tarragindi statistical area (Lv2) is around 11,548. This reflects an increase of 513 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,035 people. The current resident population estimate of 11,528 comes from AreaSearch's examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 130 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,571 persons per square kilometer, placing Tarragindi (SA2) in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 61.0% of overall population gains during recent periods for this area.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are used. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. Considering projected demographic shifts, lower quartile growth is anticipated for statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Tarragindi (SA2) is expected to expand by 359 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 3.0% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Tarragindi when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Tarragindi shows approximately 63 dwellings receiving development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 315 homes were approved, with an additional 25 approved so far in FY26. On average, 1.6 new residents per year per dwelling constructed were recorded between FY21 and FY25, indicating stable market conditions. However, this figure has increased to 4.7 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing demand and tightening supply.

Development projects averaged $1,248,000 in construction value, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This year, $3.0 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting the area's residential character. New developments consist of 67% detached houses and 33% townhouses or apartments, marking a shift from the existing housing composition of 95% houses.

With around 238 people per dwelling approval, Tarragindi exhibits low-density characteristics. Population forecasts suggest Tarragindi will gain 343 residents by 2041, with current construction levels expected to meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers and potential growth exceeding current forecasts.

Tarragindi has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 projects that may impact this area. Key projects include European Train Control System (ETCS), Annerley Health Hub, Parkside Yeronga, and Greenslopes Mall Expansion and Refurbishment. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Tarragindi demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Tarragindi has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 2.4% as of September 2025.

This rate is 1.6 percentage points lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation in Tarragindi is high at 73.5%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. Notably, the area has a specialization in professional & technical services, with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level.

However, transport, postal & warehousing employs only 2.8% of local workers, lower than Greater Brisbane's 5.6%. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels in Tarragindi increased by 0.2%, while the labour force grew by 0.5%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment growth of 3.8% and a decrease in unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points during the same period. State-wide, Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% between November 2024 and November 2025, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%, closely aligned with the national rate of 4.3%. Looking ahead, Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Tarragindi's employment could increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.8% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation of industry-specific projections against the local employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The suburb of Tarragindi has an exceptionally high national income level, as per the latest Australian Taxation Office (ATO) data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Tarragindi is $67,505, with an average income of $89,867. These figures compare to those of Greater Brisbane, which are $58,236 and $72,799 respectively. Based on the Wage Price Index growth rate of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates suggest that as of September 2025, the median income would be approximately $74,195 and the average income would be around $98,773. Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Tarragindi all rank highly nationally, between the 89th and 96th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that a significant cohort of locals, comprising 32.1% or 3,706 people, fall into the $4,000+ category, unlike metropolitan trends where 33.3% fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. Higher earners are notably present in Tarragindi, with 49.2% exceeding $3,000 weekly, reflecting strong purchasing power within the community. After accounting for housing costs, residents retain 87.9% of their income, indicating robust purchasing power. The area's Socio-Economic Indexes for Areas (SEIFA) income ranking places it in the 9th decile nationally.

Tarragindi is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with strong rates of outright home ownership

Tarragindi's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.1% houses and 4.9% other dwellings. Home ownership stood at 33.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 46.3% and rented ones at 20.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,459, and the median weekly rent was $450. Nationally, Tarragindi's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Tarragindi features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a median household size of 2.9 people

Family households constitute 79.1% of all households, including 44.6% couples with children, 23.2% couples without children, and 9.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 20.9%, with lone person households at 16.6% and group households making up 4.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people.

Tarragindi demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Tarragindi's educational attainment is notably higher than broader averages. Among residents aged 15+, 49.0% have university qualifications, compared to 25.7% in Queensland (QLD) and 30.4% nationally. This includes 31.4% with bachelor degrees, 12.0% with postgraduate qualifications, and 5.6% with graduate diplomas. Vocational pathways account for 24.4%, comprising 9.6% advanced diplomas and 14.8% certificates.

Educational participation is high, with 33.4% currently enrolled in formal education: 11.8% in primary, 9.1% in secondary, and 7.4% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Tarragindi shows 84 active transport stops operating, all of which are bus stops. These stops are serviced by 7 individual routes, collectively providing 936 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 147 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 133 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Tarragindi's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis shows strong health metrics in Tarragindi, particularly for younger cohorts with low prevalence of common conditions. Private health cover is high at approximately 63% of the total population of 7,253, compared to the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common conditions, affecting 7.9% and 7.8% respectively. 73.5% report no medical ailments, higher than the Greater Brisbane average of 0%. The area has 13.3% aged 65 and over (1,535 people), with health outcomes among seniors requiring more attention despite being above average.

In terms of cultural diversity, Tarragindi records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tarragindi's population, born in Australia, stands at 81.5%, with 92.6% being citizens and 86.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 51.6%. Judaism, however, is overrepresented at 0.1%, compared to none across Greater Brisbane.

The top three ancestry groups are English (26.1%), Australian (25.0%), and Irish (11.2%). Welsh (0.8%) Russian (0.4%), and Greek (1.8%) are notably overrepresented in Tarragindi compared to the regional averages of none for each group.

Tarragindi's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Tarragindi's median age is nearly 37 years, closely matching Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and approaching Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Tarragindi has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (16.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.2%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the 15-24 age group has increased from 12.3% to 14.2%, while the 35-44 cohort has declined from 16.6% to 15.4%. The 5-14 age group has also decreased, from 16.2% to 15.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Tarragindi's age profile. The 55-64 cohort is projected to grow by 18%, adding 203 residents to reach 1,358. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 56% of population growth, reflecting aging demographic trends. Conversely, the 0-4 and 25-34 age groups are expected to experience population declines.