Tarragindi

An assessment of population growth drivers in Tarragindi reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Tarragindi is around 11,732. This reflects an increase from the 2021 Census figure of 11,035 people, representing a rise of 697 individuals (6.3%). The current population estimate, 11,727, was derived by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 135 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,612 persons per square kilometer, placing Tarragindi in the upper quartile relative to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. The primary driver for population growth was overseas migration, contributing approximately 61.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023, based on 2021 data, are used. However, these state projections lack age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 (based on 2022 data) for each age cohort are applied where necessary. Looking ahead, considering the projected demographic shifts and the lower quartile growth anticipated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Tarragindi is expected to expand by 304 persons to reach a total population of 12,036 by 2041. This reflects an increase of 2.5% in total over the 16-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Tarragindi when compared nationally

Tarragindi has seen approximately 63 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. This totals 315 homes approved over the past five financial years from FY21 to FY25, with an additional 31 approved in FY26 so far. On average, each new dwelling constructed has accommodated around 1.6 new residents annually over these five years, indicating a balanced supply and demand market. However, this figure has increased to 4.5 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing demand and tightening supply.

Development projects in Tarragindi have an average construction value of $1,248,000, indicating a focus on premium market properties. Additionally, $3.0 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, reflecting the area's residential character. New developments consist of 67.0% detached houses and 33.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a shift from the current housing stock which is predominantly houses (95.0%).

This change may be due to decreasing developable sites and evolving lifestyle needs. Tarragindi has around 238 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating its developing market status. Population forecasts suggest an increase of 299 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Tarragindi has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 22 projects likely influencing the region. Notable initiatives include European Train Control System (ETCS), Coles Annerley Supermarket, Annerley Health Hub, and Parkside Yeronga. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Tarragindi ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Tarragindi has a highly educated workforce with professional services being well-represented. The unemployment rate in the area was 2.3% as of December 2025. This rate is lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.3%. As of December 2025, there were 6,880 residents in work and the workforce participation rate was 75.3%, higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 69.6%. According to Census responses, 28.1% of residents worked from home. The dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training.

The area has a particular specialization in professional & technical services, with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level. In contrast, transport, postal & warehousing employs only 2.8% of local workers, lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 5.6%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 2.3% and labour force increased by 2.5%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 3.2% with unemployment falling by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment expansion at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tarragindi's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.8% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not consider localized population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The suburb of Tarragindi has an extremely high income level nationally, according to the latest Australian Taxation Office data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year ended 30 June 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Tarragindi is $67,505, with an average income of $89,867. This compares to figures for Greater Brisbane of $58,236 and $72,799 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% from financial year 2023 to March 2026, current estimates would be approximately $75,174 (median) and $100,076 (average). Census data reveals that household, family, and personal incomes in Tarragindi all rank highly nationally, between the 89th and 96th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 32.1% of locals (3,765 people) fall into the $4000+ category, unlike metropolitan trends where 33.3% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 49.2% exceeding $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 87.9% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Tarragindi is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Tarragindi's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.1% houses and 4.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Brisbane metro had 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tarragindi was at 33.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 46.3% and rented ones at 20.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,459, higher than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Tarragindi was $450, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Tarragindi's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,459 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $450 compared to the national figure of $375.

Tarragindi features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.1% of all households, including 44.6% couples with children, 23.2% couples without children, and 9.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 20.9%, consisting of 16.6% lone person households and 4.3% group households. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Tarragindi demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Tarragindi's educational attainment is notably higher than broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 49.0% hold university qualifications, compared to 25.7% in Queensland (QLD) and 30.4% nationally. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 31.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 12.0% and graduate diplomas at 5.6%. Vocational pathways account for 24.4%, with advanced diplomas at 9.6% and certificates at 14.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.8% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 7.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 84 active stops operating in Tarragindi, serving mixed bus routes. These are covered by 7 routes offering 936 weekly passenger trips. Accessibility is excellent, with residents typically located 147 meters from nearest stop. Predominantly residential, most commute outward: cars dominate at 80%, buses 11%, cycling 4%. Average vehicle ownership per dwelling is 1.5. High work-from-home rate of 28.1% noted in 2021 Census, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 133 trips daily across all routes, equating to about 11 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Tarragindi is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Tarragindi shows better-than-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 63% of the total population (7,368 people), compared to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and 55.7% nationally.

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 7.9% and 7.8% of residents respectively. 73.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. The under-65 population demonstrates better-than-average health outcomes. The area has 13.9% of residents aged 65 and over (1,630 people), lower than the 15.1% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Tarragindi records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tarragindi's cultural diversity aligns with the broader area, with 81.5% born in Australia, 92.6% being citizens, and 86.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, at 51.6%. Judaism is slightly overrepresented, comprising 0.1%, compared to 0.1% regionally.

The top three ancestral groups are English (26.1%), Australian (25.0%), and Irish (11.2%). Notably, Welsh (0.8%) is more prevalent than the regional average of 0.5%. Russian (0.4%) and Greek (1.8%) also show higher representation compared to their respective regional averages of 0.3% and 0.6%.

Tarragindi's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Tarragindi's median age in 2021 was 37 years, nearly matching Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and close to Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Tarragindi had a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (15.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.6%). Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, the 15 to 24 age group grew from 12.3% to 14.5%, while the 35 to 44 cohort declined from 16.6% to 15.2%. The 5 to 14 age group also decreased from 16.2% to 14.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Tarragindi's age profile. The 45 to 54 cohort is expected to grow by 12%, adding 210 residents to reach 2,005. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 55% of population growth. Conversely, the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 age groups are projected to experience population declines.