Reynella

An assessment of population growth drivers in Reynella reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Reynella's estimated population as of November 2025 is around 5,025. This reflects an increase of 189 people (3.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,836 people. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 5,005 residents following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 19 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,213 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Reynella's 3.9% growth since census positions it within 2.3 percentage points of the SA3 area (6.2%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 51.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation is expected for Reynella (SA2). The area is expected to increase by 229 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 4.8% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Reynella when compared nationally

Reynella averaged approximately 29 new dwelling approvals per year. From FY-21 to FY-25, around 145 homes were approved, with an additional 19 approved in FY-26. This results in an average of about 1.3 people moving to the area for each dwelling built over these five financial years.

The supply and demand appear balanced, indicating stable market conditions. The average construction value of new homes is approximately $362,000, which is moderately higher than regional levels. In FY-26, around $11.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting balanced commercial development activity.

Compared to Greater Adelaide, Reynella shows moderately higher new home approvals, with 20.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. This balance supports buyer choice while maintaining current property values. The new development consists of approximately 89.0% standalone homes and 11.0% attached dwellings, preserving Reynella's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. With around 106 people per dwelling approval, Reynella exhibits characteristics of a low density area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Reynella is forecasted to gain approximately 239 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Reynella has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 21stth percentile nationally

AreaSearch has identified two significant projects that could impact the area: Hurtle Grove at Old Reynella and YAS Property Development's Morphett Vale Project. Other notable initiatives include Valley Central Shopping Centre Redevelopment and Happy Valley Drive Intersections Planning Study.

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The employment environment in Reynella shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Reynella has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 3.6% as of September 2025, which is 0.3% lower than Greater Adelaide's rate of 3.9%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.6%. Among residents, leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction stands out with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average. Professional & technical services employ only 3.7% of local workers, below Greater Adelaide's 7.3%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 3.6%, while labour force also grew by 3.6% with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged. In comparison, Greater Adelaide recorded employment growth of 3.0%. State-level data as of 25-Nov-25 shows South Australia's employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.0%, outperforming the national average of 0.14%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Reynella's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.5% over five years and 13.5% over ten years, though this is an illustrative extrapolation not accounting for localized population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Reynella had a median taxpayer income of $51,177 and an average income of $55,803 in the financial year 2023, based on postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is lower than the national average, with Greater Adelaide having a median income of $54,808 and an average income of $66,852 during the same period. By September 2025, estimates suggest Reynella's median income would be approximately $55,681 and its average income around $60,714, factoring in a Wage Price Index growth of 8.8%. According to 2021 Census figures, incomes in Reynella rank modestly, with household incomes at the 23rd percentile, family incomes at the 25th percentile, and personal incomes at the 31st percentile. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 dominated in Reynella, with 35.5% of residents (1,783 people) falling within this range, similar to regional levels where 31.8% occupied this bracket. Housing affordability pressures were severe in Reynella, with only 84.6% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 25th percentile.

Reynella is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Reynella's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 91.3% houses and 8.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Adelaide metro's 89.2% houses and 10.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Reynella was at 32.3%, similar to Adelaide metro's level. The remaining dwellings were either mortgaged (48.3%) or rented (19.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,300, below Adelaide metro's average of $1,452. Median weekly rent in Reynella was $320, compared to Adelaide metro's $314. Nationally, Reynella's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Reynella has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 68.7% of all households, including 28.1% couples with children, 25.7% couples without children, and 14.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 31.3%, with lone person households making up 28.8% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

Reynella faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 16.7%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (8.8%) and certificates (31.4%). Educational participation is high at 25.4%, including 9.9% in primary education, 6.4% in secondary education, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 25.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.9% in primary education, 6.4% in secondary education, and 3.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Reynella has 26 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 14 different routes that together facilitate 1,033 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of public transport in Reynella is rated as good, with residents typically living 216 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 147 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Reynella is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Reynella faces significant health challenges, as indicated by its health data. Both younger and older age groups have high prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is relatively low, at approximately 49% (around 2,466 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 10.1% and 9.4% of residents respectively. About 62.5% of residents report no medical ailments, similar to Greater Adelaide's 62.9%. Reynella has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 19.2% (around 964 people), compared to Greater Adelaide's 21.0%. Health outcomes among seniors show some challenges, generally aligning with the overall population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Reynella records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Reynella's cultural diversity aligns with the broader region, as shown by its population demographics: 80.7% born in Australia, 91.5% citizens, and 90.6% speaking English exclusively at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Reynella, practiced by 37.0% of residents. Notably, Judaism's representation is slightly higher than the regional average, with 0.1% of Reynella's population identifying as such compared to 0.1% across Greater Adelaide.

The top three ancestry groups based on parental birth are English (34.1%), Australian (27.9%), and Scottish (6.7%). Some ethnic groups show variations in representation: Welsh is slightly overrepresented at 0.7% versus the regional average of 0.8%, Dutch remains consistent at 1.7%, while German shows a lower percentage at 4.6% compared to Greater Adelaide's 5.4%.

Reynella's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Reynella has a median age of 38, closely matching Greater Adelaide's figure of 39 and Australia's median age of 38. Compared to the Greater Adelaide average, Reynella has an over-representation of the 35-44 age cohort (15.1% locally) and an under-representation of the 15-24 age group (11.1%). Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 5.9% to 7.3% of Reynella's population. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has decreased from 11.2% to 10.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Reynella's age profile. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to expand by 122 people (33%), growing from 366 to 489 individuals. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 61% of total population growth, reflecting Reynella's aging demographic trend. Meanwhile, the 25 to 34 and 65 to 74 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.