Mudgeeraba

Population growth drivers in Mudgeeraba are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, Mudgeeraba's population is estimated at around 15,291, reflecting an increase of 713 people since the 2021 Census. The ABS ERP estimate for surrounding areas applied to Mudgeeraba by AreaSearch in June 2024 was 15,288. This reflects a density ratio of 583 persons per square kilometer. Since the Census date, an additional 15 validated new addresses were found. Mudgeeraba's growth rate of 4.9% since the Census is within 0.9 percentage points of its SA3 area's growth rate of 5.8%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 56.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are used. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data for each age cohort. With demographic trends indicating above median population growth outside capital cities, Mudgeeraba is projected to grow by 3,060 persons to 2041. This reflects a gain of 20.4% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Mudgeeraba when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Mudgeeraba has seen around 20 new homes approved each year. Approximately 100 homes were approved over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, with one additional approval so far in FY-26. On average, 7.9 new residents arrive per dwelling constructed annually during these years.

This indicates that supply is substantially lagging demand, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average construction value of new homes is $891,000, revealing developers' targeting of the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, commercial approvals totaled $1.9 million, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to previous years. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Mudgeeraba records roughly half the building activity per person and places among the 43rd percentile nationally in terms of assessed areas.

This results in relatively constrained buyer choice, supporting interest in existing properties. However, recent periods have seen a pickup in development activity, although it remains under the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. Recent building activity consists entirely of detached dwellings, maintaining Mudgeeraba's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (78.0% at Census), indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. The estimated count of 390 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Future projections show Mudgeeraba adding 3,111 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Mudgeeraba has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of a local area is significantly influenced by changes to its infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 50 such projects that are likely to impact the area. Notable among these are Teak Mixed Use Development, Merrimac Technology Park, Raba Urban Farm Hub, and Mudgeeraba Aquatic Centre Upgrade. The following list details those projects considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Mudgeeraba shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Mudgeeraba has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 3.1% as of June 2024.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.8%. As of June 2025, 8,178 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.8% below Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation is high at 66.2%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Construction is particularly strong, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. Agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 0.7% of local workers, below Rest of Qld's 4.5%. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 1.8%, while labour force grew by 2.0%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.1 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Sep-22 project growth rates differing significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Mudgeeraba's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 indicates Mudgeeraba had a median income among taxpayers of $50,102 and an average income of $68,497. These figures are above the national averages of $50,780 and $64,844 respectively for Rest of Qld. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, current estimates suggest a median income of approximately $57,111 and an average income of $78,080 as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Mudgeeraba cluster around the 51st percentile nationally. The predominant income cohort spans 36.9% of locals (5,642 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to metropolitan regions where 31.7% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 18.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 56th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Mudgeeraba is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Mudgeeraba's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 78.1% houses and 21.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 83.1% houses and 16.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mudgeeraba was at 27.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 48.9% and rented ones at 23.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,993, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $2,167. Weekly rent in Mudgeeraba was $500, matching the Non-Metro Qld figure. Nationally, Mudgeeraba's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,993 compared to Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $500 versus the national figure of $375.

Mudgeeraba features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.8% of all households, including 40.0% couples with children, 24.6% couples without children, and 15.4% single parent families. Non-family households consist of the remaining 19.2%, with lone person households at 15.8% and group households making up 3.3%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 3.0.

Mudgeeraba shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Mudgeeraba, as of 2016 data, trail regional benchmarks. 24.4% of residents aged 15+ hold university degrees, compared to the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 40.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas (13.0%) and certificates (27.2%).

Educational participation is high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 12.1% in primary, 9.8% in secondary, and 4.3% in tertiary education. As of 2018 data, Mudgeeraba has a robust network of 6 schools educating approximately 3,957 students. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1062). The educational mix includes 4 primary and 2 K-12 schools. School places per 100 residents (25.9) fall below the regional average (34.8), with some students likely attending schools in adjacent areas. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to parent campus.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 33 active public transport stops in Mudgeeraba, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by three different routes that together facilitate 329 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these stops is limited, with residents generally located 767 meters away from the nearest one.

On average, services run 47 times a day across all routes, equating to roughly nine weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Mudgeeraba is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Mudgeeraba shows favorable health outcomes with low prevalence of common conditions across both younger and older age groups.

Approximately 54% (~8,309 people) have private health cover. Mental health issues affect 8.0%, arthritis impacts 7.3%, while 71.2% report no medical ailments, compared to 73.3% in the rest of Queensland. The area has 15.6% (2,385 people) aged 65 and over, higher than the state's 14.4%. Health outcomes among seniors are favorable, mirroring those of the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mudgeeraba was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mudgeeraba's cultural diversity was found to be above average, with 9.7% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 27.1% born overseas. The predominant religion in Mudgeeraba is Christianity, comprising 51.0% of the population. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented, making up 0.2% compared to 0.2% across Rest of Qld.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (32.0%), Australian (24.8%), and Scottish (7.9%). There are also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnicities: New Zealand is overrepresented at 1.6% compared to 1.4% regionally, South African at 1.2% versus 1.1%, and Maori at 1.2% compared to 0.9%.

Mudgeeraba's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Mudgeeraba is 39 years, slightly lower than Rest of Qld's average of 41 but close to the national average of 38. The age profile shows that those aged 5-14 are prominent at 15.4%, while those aged 55-64 are relatively smaller at 10.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 11.5% to 12.7% of the population, while the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 11.1% to 10.0%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Mudgeeraba's age structure. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to increase by 729 people (45%) from 1,620 to 2,350, while the 15 to 24 cohort grows modestly by 2% (37 people).