Mudgeeraba

Population growth drivers in Mudgeeraba are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Mudgeeraba is around 15,370. This figure reflects an increase of 792 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 14,578. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 15,318 residents following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 18 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 586 persons per square kilometer. Mudgeeraba's 5.4% growth since census is within 0.6 percentage points of the SA3 area's growth rate of 6.0%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 57% of overall population gains during recent periods, primarily driving this growth.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are used. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. Looking ahead, demographic trends project an above median population growth for locations outside of capital cities. The suburb of Mudgeeraba is expected to grow by 3,082 persons to reach a total population of around 18,452 by 2041, reflecting a gain of approximately 19.8% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Mudgeeraba recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Mudgeeraba has seen approximately 15 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 78 homes were approved, with an additional 8 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of about 10.2 new residents arriving per year for each dwelling constructed during this period.

The supply of new homes is substantially lagging behind demand, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. Developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties, as evidenced by an average construction value of $891,000 for new homes. In FY-26, $4.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating limited focus on commercial development compared to residential. Mudgeeraba records markedly lower building activity than the rest of Queensland, with 59.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties.

Furthermore, recent development has been entirely comprised of detached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated count of 822 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Mudgeeraba is projected to add 3,048 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth in the future.

Mudgeeraba has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 50 projects likely impacting the region. Notable ones are Teak Mixed Use Development, Merrimac Technology Park, Raba Urban Farm Hub, and Mudgeeraba Aquatic Centre Upgrade. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Mudgeeraba shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Mudgeeraba has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 3.3% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.1%. As of September 2025, 8,188 residents were employed, and the unemployment rate was 0.8% lower than Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%.

Workforce participation was higher at 70.8%, compared to Rest of Qld's 65.7%. According to Census responses, 15.9% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade, with a particular specialization in construction (1.3 times the regional level). Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 0.7%, compared to the regional average of 4.5%.

Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.1% and labour force grew by 2.2%, resulting in a slight rise in unemployment (0.2 percentage points). In comparison, Rest of Qld recorded employment growth of 1.7% and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. According to Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25, national employment is expected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mudgeeraba's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Mudgeeraba had a median taxpayer income of $50,102 and an average of $68,497 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This was slightly above the national average, contrasting with the Rest of Qld's median income of $53,146 and average income of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $55,067 (median) and $75,285 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, household, family and personal incomes in Mudgeeraba were around the 51st percentile nationally. The largest segment consisted of 36.9% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (5,671 residents), similar to broader trends across the surrounding region at 31.7%. High housing costs consumed 18.2% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 56th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 6th decile.

Mudgeeraba is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Mudgeeraba, as per the latest Census evaluation, 78.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 21.9% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwelling types. This compares to Non-Metro Qld's figures of 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mudgeeraba stood at 27.2%, with mortgaged properties making up 48.9% and rented dwellings accounting for 23.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,993, exceeding Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,655. Weekly rent in Mudgeeraba was recorded at $500, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $345. Nationally, Mudgeeraba's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Mudgeeraba features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.8% of all households, including 40.0% couples with children, 24.6% couples without children, and 15.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 19.2%, with lone person households at 15.8% and group households at 3.3%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Mudgeeraba shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Mudgeeraba show that 24.4% of residents aged 15 and above have university degrees, compared to the Australian average of 30.4%. The most common degree held is Bachelor's at 16.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 4.9% and graduate diplomas at 2.7%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 40.2% of residents aged 15 and above holding them. Advanced diplomas account for 13.0% and certificates make up 27.2% of these vocational qualifications.

Educational participation is high in Mudgeeraba, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 9.8% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mudgeeraba has 33 operational public transport stops, served by three bus routes. These routes facilitate 329 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is limited, with residents typically residing 767 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to Mudgeeraba's primarily residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, surpassing the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 15.9% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 47 trips per day, equating to roughly 9 weekly trips per individual stop.

Mudgeeraba's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Mudgeeraba's health data shows positive results, largely aligning with national benchmarks.

Common health conditions are low across all age groups. Approximately 54% (~8,352 people) have private health cover. Mental health issues and arthritis are most prevalent, affecting 8.0% and 7.3% of residents respectively. About 71.2% report no medical ailments, compared to 67.6% in Rest of Qld. Under-65s show better-than-average health outcomes. The area has 15.4% (2,366 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Rest of Qld's 20.4%. Seniors' health outcomes are above average, mirroring national rankings.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mudgeeraba was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mudgeeraba's cultural diversity was found to be above average, with 9.7% of its population speaking a language other than English at home as of the latest data from 2016. Additionally, 27.1% of Mudgeeraba's population were born overseas in this same period. Christianity was identified as the predominant religion in Mudgeeraba, comprising 51.0% of its population.

However, Judaism showed a notable overrepresentation in Mudgeeraba, making up 0.2% of the population compared to the regional average of 0.1%. In terms of ancestry based on country of birth of parents, the top three groups represented were English at 32.0%, Australian at 24.8%, and Scottish at 7.9%. Significant divergences in representation were observed for certain ethnic groups: New Zealand was notably overrepresented at 1.6% compared to the regional average of 0.9%, South African at 1.2% versus the region's 0.5%, and Maori at 1.2% compared to the regional figure of 0.8%.

Mudgeeraba's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Mudgeeraba is 38 years, which is slightly below Rest of Qld's average of 41 but aligns with Australia's median age of 38. The 5-14 age group comprises 15.3%, higher than Rest of Qld, while the 65-74 cohort makes up 8.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 11.5% to 12.8%, and the 55 to 64 cohort has decreased from 11.1% to 9.9%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in Mudgeeraba. Notably, the 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 40%, adding 675 people and reaching a total of 2,351 from its current figure of 1,675. Conversely, the 15-24 cohort is expected to show minimal growth, increasing by just 1% (13 people).