Mudgeeraba

Population growth drivers in Mudgeeraba are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, Mudgeeraba's estimated population as of Nov 2025 is around 15,362. This reflects an increase of 784 people (5.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 14,578. The change is inferred from the resident population of 15,318 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 586 persons per square kilometer. Mudgeeraba's 5.4% growth since census positions it within 0.5 percentage points of the SA3 area (5.9%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 57% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Moving forward with demographic trends, an above median population growth of locations outside of capital cities is projected. The Mudgeeraba statistical area (Lv2) is expected to grow by 3,063 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 19.8% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Mudgeeraba recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Mudgeeraba has seen approximately 15 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 78 homes were approved, with an additional 8 approved in FY-26 so far. This results in an average of about 10.2 new residents arriving per year per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

However, supply is lagging demand, indicating heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average value of new homes being built is $891,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, $4.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, showing limited focus on commercial development compared to residential. Mudgeeraba records lower building activity than the rest of Queensland, with 59.0% fewer approvals per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties.

Furthermore, recent development has exclusively comprised detached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population count of 822 people per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Future projections estimate Mudgeeraba to add 3,043 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Mudgeeraba has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 50 projects likely influencing the region. Notable ones are Teak Mixed Use Development, Merrimac Technology Park, Raba Urban Farm Hub, and Mudgeeraba Aquatic Centre Upgrade. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Mudgeeraba shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Mudgeeraba has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 3.3%, lower than the Rest of Qld's 4.1%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.1%. As of September 2025, 8,190 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.8% below the regional average. Workforce participation is high at 66.2%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Construction is particularly specialized, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence, at 0.7% compared to 4.5% regionally. Employment opportunities may be limited locally, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.1%, labour force by 2.3%, resulting in a slight unemployment rise of 0.2 percentage points. By comparison, Rest of Qld recorded employment growth of 1.7% and unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01%, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, applying these projections to Mudgeeraba's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

The median taxpayer income in Mudgeeraba is $50,102, with an average of $68,497, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is slightly above the national average. In contrast, Rest of Qld has a median income of $53,146 and an average income of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Mudgeeraba would be approximately $55,067 (median) and $75,285 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows that incomes in Mudgeeraba cluster around the 51st percentile nationally. The largest segment comprises 36.9% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, with a total of 5,668 residents in this category. This is consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region, where 31.7% fall into the same income bracket. High housing costs consume 18.2% of income in Mudgeeraba, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 56th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Mudgeeraba is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Mudgeeraba, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 78.1% houses and 21.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Qld's 83.1% houses and 16.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mudgeeraba was at 27.2%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (48.9%) or rented (23.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,993, below Non-Metro Qld's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $500, matching Non-Metro Qld's figure. Nationally, Mudgeeraba's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Mudgeeraba features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.8% of all households, including 40.0% couples with children, 24.6% couples without children, and 15.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 19.2%, with lone person households at 15.8% and group households making up 3.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 3.0.

Mudgeeraba shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Mudgeeraba trail regional benchmarks, with 24.4% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to the national average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 40.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (13.0%) and certificates (27.2%). Educational participation is high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.1% in primary education, 9.8% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis conducted in Mudgeeraba identified 33 active public transport stops operating within the area. These stops are served by a mix of buses along three individual routes. The combined weekly passenger trips facilitated by these routes totalled 329.

Residents' accessibility to transport was rated as limited, with an average distance of 767 meters to the nearest stop. Service frequency averaged 47 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately nine weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Mudgeeraba is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Mudgeeraba shows better-than-average health outcomes.

The prevalence of common health conditions is low across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 54% (~8,347 people) have private health cover, which is relatively high. Mental health issues affect 8.0% of residents, while arthritis impacts 7.3%. Around 71.2% report no medical ailments, compared to 73.3% in the rest of Queensland. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 15.6% (2,396 people), compared to 14.4% in the rest of Queensland. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, generally aligning with the overall population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mudgeeraba was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mudgeeraba, as per the Australian Census 2016, had a higher than average cultural diversity with 9.7% of its population speaking languages other than English at home and 27.1% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Mudgeeraba, accounting for 51.0% of the population. Notably, Judaism was overrepresented compared to the rest of Queensland, comprising 0.2% versus 0.2%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (32.0%), Australian (24.8%), and Scottish (7.9%). Significant differences existed in the representation of certain ethnicities: New Zealanders were notably overrepresented at 1.6% compared to the regional average of 1.4%, South Africans at 1.2% versus 1.1%, and Maori at 1.2% against the regional figure of 0.9%.

Mudgeeraba's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Mudgeeraba is 39 years, which is lower than Rest of Qld's average of 41 but close to the national average of 38. The age profile shows that those aged 5-14 make up 15.4% of the population, while those aged 55-64 comprise 10.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 11.5% to 12.7%, while the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 11.1% to 10.0%. By 2041, projections indicate that the 25 to 34 age cohort will increase by 720 people (44%) from 1,628 to 2,349. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 cohort is projected to grow by a modest 1% (29 people).