Mudgeeraba

Population growth drivers in Mudgeeraba are above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The population of Mudgeeraba was estimated at 15,476 as of May 2026 based on ABS updates and AreaSearch validation. This represents an increase of 898 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 14,578. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 15,464 in June 2025, along with 20 new addresses validated since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 590 persons per square kilometer. Mudgeeraba's 6.2% growth since census is comparable to its SA3 area's 6.9%, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 57% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023, based on 2021 data, are adopted. These state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023, based on 2022 data. Demographically, the suburb is projected to grow by 2,857 persons to 2041, reflecting an 18.4% increase over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Mudgeeraba recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Mudgeeraba had around 17 new homes approved each year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 87 homes were approved, with another 16 approved so far in FY-26. Over the past five financial years, an average of 8.4 new residents arrived per dwelling constructed.

This indicates supply is lagging demand, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New homes are being built at an average value of $891,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, $4.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating limited commercial development focus. Compared to the rest of Qld, Mudgeeraba records markedly lower building activity (54.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing properties.

Recent building activity has picked up but remains under the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. Recent activity consists entirely of detached dwellings, maintaining Mudgeeraba's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (78.0% at Census), indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. The estimated count of 660 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Future projections show Mudgeeraba adding 2,845 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Mudgeeraba has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 49 projects likely to affect the region. Notable initiatives include Teak Mixed Use Development, Merrimac Technology Park, Raba Urban Farm Hub, and Mudgeeraba Aquatic Centre Upgrade. The following list details those considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Mudgeeraba shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Mudgeeraba has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 3.1% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.6%. As of December 2025, 8,265 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation was 70.6%, compared to Regional Qld's 64.5%. According to Census responses, 15.9% of residents worked from home, considering Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Leading employment industries were health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction had a particularly strong specialization with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing employed just 0.7% of local workers, below Regional Qld's 4.5%.

The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 2.6%, while labour force increased by 2.4%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.2 percentage points. This contrasted with Regional Qld, where employment rose by 0.7%, the labour force grew by 1.0%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggested potential future demand within Mudgeeraba. Applying these projections to Mudgeeraba's employment mix indicated local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.8% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023 shows Mudgeeraba had a median taxpayer income of $50,102 and an average income of $68,497. These figures are slightly higher than the national averages of $53,146 and $66,593 for Regional Qld respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, estimated median income in Mudgeeraba as of March 2026 is approximately $55,794, with average income around $76,278. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Mudgeeraba cluster around the 51st percentile nationally. The predominant income bracket spans 36.9% of locals (5,710 people) earning between $1,500 and $2,999 annually, similar to metropolitan regions where 31.7% fall within this range. High housing costs consume 18.2% of income in Mudgeeraba, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 56th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Mudgeeraba is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Mudgeeraba, as per the latest Census, 78.1% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 21.9% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. This compares to Regional Qld's figures of 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mudgeeraba stood at 27.2%, with mortgaged properties at 48.9% and rented ones at 23.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,993, higher than Regional Qld's average of $1,655. The median weekly rent in Mudgeeraba was $500, compared to Regional Qld's $345. Nationally, Mudgeeraba's mortgage repayments were above the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Mudgeeraba features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.8% of all households, including 40.0% couples with children, 24.6% couples without children, and 15.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 19.2%, with lone person households at 15.8% and group households making up 3.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Regional Queensland average of 2.5.

Mudgeeraba shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Mudgeeraba trail regional benchmarks, with 24.4% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 30.4% in Australia as of the latest data from 2021. Bachelor degrees lead at 16.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 40.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (13.0%) and certificates (27.2%). Educational participation is notably high, with 32.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the latest data from 2020.

This includes 12.1% in primary education, 9.8% in secondary education, and 4.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Mudgeeraba shows that there are 33 active transport stops currently operating, all of which serve buses. These stops are serviced by three individual routes combined, providing a total of 329 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport is rated as limited, with residents typically located an average of 767 meters from the nearest transport stop. As Mudgeeraba is primarily residential, most residents commute outward. The car remains the dominant mode of transport for commuting, used by 94% of residents. On average, there are 1.8 vehicles per dwelling in the area, which is above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 15.9% of residents work from home, a figure that may reflect COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 47 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately nine weekly trips per individual stop.

Mudgeeraba's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows Mudgeeraba residents have relatively positive health outcomes.

Mortality rates and health conditions are largely in line with national benchmarks. The prevalence of common health conditions is low across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 54% (~8,409 people) of the total population has private health cover. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 8.0 and 7.3% of residents respectively. About 71.2% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld. The under-65 population has better than average health outcomes. As of 15th June 2021, 15.8% (2,445 people) of residents are aged 65 and over, lower than the 20.4% in Regional Qld. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mudgeeraba was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mudgeeraba's cultural diversity was above average, with 9.7% speaking a language other than English at home and 27.1% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 51.0%. Judaism was overrepresented compared to Regional Qld, at 0.2% versus 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (32.0%), Australian (24.8%), and Scottish (7.9%). Notably, New Zealanders were overrepresented at 1.6%, South Australians at 1.2%, and Maori at 1.2%.

Mudgeeraba's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Mudgeeraba is 39 years, which is lower than Regional Queensland's average of 41 but close to Australia's national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 5-14 years make up 15.7% of the population, while those aged 65-74 years constitute 8.4%. Since 2021, the proportion of those aged 15-24 has increased from 11.5% to 12.5%, while the percentage of those aged 55-64 has decreased from 11.1% to 10.3%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate that the age group of 25-34 years is expected to increase by 599 people (38%), rising from 1,578 to 2,178. Conversely, the proportion of those aged 15-24 is projected to decrease by 3 residents.