Mountain Creek (Qld)

Population growth drivers in Mountain Creek are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of the Mountain Creek (Qld) statistical area (Lv2) is around 12,340. This reflects a growth of 390 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,950. The increase was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 12,310 following examination of ABS data up to June 2024 and validation of 16 new addresses post-Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,674 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade ending Dec 2021, Mountain Creek (Qld) demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 2.1%, outpacing its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 71.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in Jun 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. Looking ahead, demographic trends indicate a decline in overall population by 211 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, specific age cohorts are expected to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group projected to increase by 234 people over this period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Mountain Creek according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Mountain Creek has seen around 11 new homes approved each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 57 homes. So far in FY26, 6 approvals have been recorded. On average, 4.4 new residents per year are associated with every home built between FY21 and FY25. This indicates supply is lagging demand, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

New homes are being built at an average value of $454,000, slightly above the regional average, suggesting a focus on quality developments. In this financial year, $4.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Rest of Qld, Mountain Creek records markedly lower building activity, 81.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings, though building activity has accelerated in recent years. Nationally, building activity is also lower than the national average, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity shows 31.0% detached dwellings and 69.0% townhouses or apartments, a significant departure from existing housing patterns which are currently 78.0% houses. This skew toward compact living offers affordable entry pathways and attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers.

With around 597 people per dwelling approval, Mountain Creek reflects a highly mature market. Population is expected to remain stable or decline, potentially reducing pressure on housing and creating opportunities for buyers.

Mountain Creek has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified seven projects that may affect this region. Notable projects include Sunshine Motorway, Mooloolah River Interchange Upgrade (Stage 1), Karawatha Drive Cycle Track, Mountain Creek Station (The Wave Stage 3 Metro), and Brightwater Estate. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market strength in Mountain Creek positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Mountain Creek has a skilled workforce with key industries being health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 2.1%.

This is below Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation is higher at 70.8% compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. The area has 7,140 residents in work. Agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 0.6% of local workers, below Rest of Qld's 4.5%.

Over the 12 months to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.6%, employment decreased by 2.1%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld saw employment grow by 1.7% and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov shows QLD employment contracted by 0.01%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mountain Creek's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.1% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that median income in Mountain Creek is $51,245 and average income is $67,291. This compares to Rest of Qld's median income of $53,146 and average income of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated median income in Mountain Creek as of September 2025 is approximately $56,323 and average income is $73,960. Census 2021 data indicates that incomes in Mountain Creek cluster around the 59th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that 37.8% of individuals earn between $1,500 - 2,999, consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 31.7% in the same category. High housing costs consume 19.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 56th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Mountain Creek is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Mountain Creek's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 77.9% houses and 22.1% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 74.1% houses and 25.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mountain Creek was at 23.0%, with the rest either mortgaged (40.0%) or rented (37.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, below Non-Metro Qld's average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure was $500, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $465. Nationally, Mountain Creek's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Mountain Creek features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.6% of all households, including 38.3% couples with children, 25.2% couples without children, and 16.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 19.4%, composed of 15.2% lone person households and 4.3% group households. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Mountain Creek exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Mountain Creek trail regional benchmarks indicate that 25.0% of residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to Australia's 30.4%. This difference suggests potential for educational development and skill enhancement. Bachelor degrees are most common at 17.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.4%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 40.4% of residents aged 15 and above holding them – advanced diplomas at 12.7% and certificates at 27.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 10.8% in secondary education, and 4.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mountain Creek has 31 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by three different routes that together offer 343 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of the transport system is considered good, with residents on average located 289 meters from their nearest stop.

Each route provides an average of 49 daily trips, resulting in about 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Mountain Creek's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Mountain Creek.

Both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is approximately 54% of the total population (~6,647 people), leading that of the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues impacting 8.3% of residents and asthma affecting 7.9%. A total of 72.4% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.0% across Rest of Qld. Mountain Creek has 13.1% of residents aged 65 and over (1,616 people), which is lower than the 20.2% in Rest of Qld. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Mountain Creek records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mountain Creek's population showed above-average cultural diversity, with 8.3% speaking a language other than English at home and 25.5% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, making up 44.8% of Mountain Creek's population. While this figure was not exceptional compared to regional averages, Judaism was notably overrepresented at 0.2%, matching Rest of Qld's percentage.

The top three ancestry groups were English (32.2%), Australian (25.6%), and Scottish (8.2%). Some ethnic groups showed notable divergences: New Zealanders were overrepresented at 1.3% compared to the regional average of 1.1%, South Africans at 1.0% versus 0.9%, and French at 0.7% against a regional average of 0.6%.

Mountain Creek's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Mountain Creek's median age is 37 years, which is significantly below the Rest of Qld average of 41 years and essentially aligned with Australia's median age of 38 years. The 45-54 cohort is notably over-represented in Mountain Creek at 15.4%, compared to the Rest of Qld average, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 7.9%. Following the census conducted on 24 August 2021, the population aged 15 to 24 grew from 13.0% to 14.3%, and the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 3.0% to 4.2%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group declined from 16.7% to 14.8%. Demographic modeling suggests that Mountain Creek's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 75 to 84 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 39%, adding 204 residents to reach a total of 723. This demographic aging trend continues as residents aged 65 and older represent 67% of anticipated population growth. However, population declines are projected for the 45 to 54 and 55 to 64 age cohorts.