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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
Sales Activity
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Population
Lara lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends
The population of Lara is estimated at around 22,562 as of Feb 2026, reflecting an increase of 3,548 people since the 2021 Census. This growth rate of 18.7% exceeds the Rest of Vic's 8.1%, marking Lara as a growth leader in the region. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 21,175 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), along with an additional 1,859 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 252 persons per square kilometer, indicating significant space per person and potential room for further development. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration, contributing approximately 55% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels.
Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends predict exceptional growth, placing Lara in the top 10 percent of national regional areas, with an expected increase of 10,577 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 40.7% over the 17 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
The level of residential development activity in Lara was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country
AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Lara recorded around 390 residential properties granted approval annually. Approximately 1,950 homes were approved over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, with an additional 337 so far in FY-26. On average, 1.3 new residents arrived per year for each new home over these years, indicating balanced supply and demand, stable market conditions, and an average construction value of $376,000, reflecting quality-focused development.
This financial year has seen $546.8 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Lara shows 91.0% higher development activity per person. Recent construction comprises 96.0% detached dwellings and 4.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 50 people per approval, Lara reflects a developing area. Future projections estimate Lara adding 9,190 residents by 2041 based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate.
At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Infrastructure
Lara has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally
Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 21 projects that could impact the area. Key projects include Lara Lakes Estate, Parkview Lara Estate, Austin Lara Master Planned Community, and Ingenia Lifestyle Lakeside Lara. The following list details those likely most relevant.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Lara West Precinct Structure Plan
A 390-hectare urban growth precinct in Lara designed to accommodate approximately 6,000 new homes and 11,000 residents. The masterplanned area integrates major residential estates including Coridale (Villawood) and Lara Lakes (Bisinella), alongside the future Austin estate. Key features include a local town centre, two future government schools, an indoor sporting stadium, extensive parklands, and a multi-million dollar community hub. Infrastructure works such as the Lara Six Ways intersection upgrade are progressing in 2025-2026 to support the precinct's long-term 20+ year development timeline.
Northern and Western Geelong Growth Areas
The largest greenfield urban growth project in regional Victoria, spanning approximately 5,367 hectares and planned to accommodate 110,000 residents and 40,000 dwellings. The project is currently progressing through the Precinct Structure Plan (PSP) phase. As of early 2026, the Creamery Road PSP (Amendment C450ggee) is on public exhibition with a Directions Hearing scheduled for March 2026. The Elcho Road East PSP is also in active preparation, with landowner and agency engagement expected in the first half of 2026. Strategic environmental assessments are being finalized following the 2024 rediscovery of the Victorian Grassland Earless Dragon, with federal approvals anticipated in 2026.
Prospect Hill Energy from Waste Facility
A state-of-the-art energy from waste plant that will convert 400,000 tonnes of residual waste into 35 MW of electricity annually, enough to power up to 50,000 homes. The facility will divert waste from landfill and contribute to Victoria's energy security. The project has received EPA development licence approval in December 2023 and is currently in the detailed design phase, though facing community opposition and VCAT appeals.
Norlane ARC (Northern Aquatic and Community Hub)
State-of-the-art $65.6 million aquatic and community facility featuring 25m indoor pool, hydrotherapy pool, learn to swim pool, water play area, waterslide, 1000sqm multi-purpose community space, spa, sauna, steam room, gymnasium, and extensive landscaped outdoor areas. Replaces former Waterworld and Centenary Hall facilities.
MAB Greater Avalon Business Park
A proposed 780-hectare industrial and business precinct alongside Avalon Airport focused on large-scale manufacturing, transport and logistics, wholesale trade, energy and airport-related uses. Developer guidance indicates planning approvals and stage 1 works target initial operations in 2028, with an estimated investment of about $3.3 billion and 18,000+ jobs.
Austin Lara Master Planned Community
A vibrant new master-planned community in West Lara featuring over 1,000+ residential lots across multiple stages. Combining natural features such as open parkland and waterways with wide tree-lined streets. First titles issued late 2020/early 2021 with ongoing construction across Stages 1-15+. Developed by Austin Land with project management by PPM Group.
Parkview Lara Estate
A master-planned residential estate offering titled lots across 9 stages, featuring 500 approved residential lots on 80 hectares in Lara West. The development includes parks, playgrounds, waterways, and picturesque views to the You Yangs Ranges. Stage 4 is currently launching with lots ranging from 238-344 sqm. Part of the broader Lara West Precinct Structure Plan supporting 11,000 residents and $37 million in infrastructure investment.
Lara Six Ways Intersection Upgrade
Major intersection upgrade to improve traffic flow and safety at the Lara Six Ways intersection. The project includes new traffic signals, road widening, and improved pedestrian and cycling facilities.
Employment
While Lara retains a healthy unemployment rate of 3.7%, recent employment declines have impacted its national performance ranking
Lara has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 3.7%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, there are 10,523 residents employed, matching Regional Vic.'s unemployment rate of 3.7%.
Workforce participation stands at 64.0%, slightly higher than Regional Vic.'s 61.5%. A Census survey found that 20.2% of residents work from home, with Covid-19 lockdown impacts considered. Key industries for employment are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area has a strong specialization in transport, postal & warehousing, employing 1.8 times the regional level.
Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 1.3% of local workers, below Regional Vic.'s 7.5%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. In the 12-month period ending December 2025, Lara's labour force decreased by 0.7%, with employment decreasing by the same rate, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 3.7%. This contrasts with Regional Vic., where employment contracted by 0.6%, the labour force fell by 0.7%, and unemployment fell to 3.8%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lara's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, assuming no changes in population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch
According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Lara had a median income among taxpayers of $56,802. The average income stood at $67,388. Nationally, the median was $54,917 and the average was $67,551. In Regional Vic., the median was $50,954 and the average was $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Lara would be approximately $61,488 (median) and $72,948 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household incomes in Lara were at the 59th percentile nationally. In terms of income distribution, 37.9% of individuals earned between $1,500 and $2,999, consistent with metropolitan trends where 30.3% fell into this category. After housing expenses, 86.4% of income remained for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 5th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Lara is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region
In Lara, as per the latest Census assessment, 89.6% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 10.4% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This is similar to Regional Vic., where 90.1% of dwellings are houses and 9.9% are other types. Home ownership in Lara stood at 31.2%, lower than Regional Vic.'s rate. Dwellings were either mortgaged (46.8%) or rented (22.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Lara was $1,733, higher than the Regional Vic. average of $1,430. The median weekly rent in Lara was $370, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Lara's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Lara features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size
Family households are prevalent, accounting for 77.0% of all households. They consist of couples with children at 37.3%, couples without children at 27.4%, and single parent families at 11.4%. Non-family households constitute the remaining 23.0%, with lone person households at 20.7% and group households making up 2.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Regional Vic average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
Educational attainment in Lara aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics
The area's university qualification rate is 19.6%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 37.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (25.7%). Educational participation is high, with 32.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 12.1% in primary, 8.8% in secondary, and 4.2% in tertiary education.
Educational participation is notably high, with 32.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 4.2% pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
Transport analysis in Lara shows 70 active public transport stops operating, offering a mix of train services. These are covered by six distinct routes, collectively facilitating 1,399 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 486 meters from the nearest stop. As predominantly residential, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode at 92%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, exceeding regional norms.
According to the 2021 Census, 20.2% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 199 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 19 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Health performance in Lara is lower than average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts
Lara faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is notable across both younger and older age cohorts.
The rate of private health cover is approximately 53% of the total population (~12,066 people), leading that of the average SA2 area but slightly higher than Regional Vic.'s 50.5%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 9.6 and 9.3% of residents respectively. However, 66.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.. Working-age residents show above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 13.9% of residents aged 65 and over (3,136 people), which is lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
In terms of cultural diversity, Lara records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics
Lara's population was found to be roughly in line with the wider region's average regarding cultural diversity, with 85.1% being citizens, 82.0% born in Australia, and 88.2% speaking English only at home. The predominant religion in Lara was Christianity, comprising 48.1% of its population. However, there was an overrepresentation in the 'Other' category, which made up 1.7% compared to the regional average of 0.8%.
In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups were Australian at 27.9%, English at 27.8%, and Irish at 8.5%. Notably, Hungarian was overrepresented in Lara at 0.5% compared to the regional average of 0.2%, Dutch at 2.2% versus 1.7%, and Croatian at 1.2% versus 0.4%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Lara's population is slightly younger than the national pattern
The median age in Lara is 36 years, which is significantly lower than Regional Vic.'s average of 43 years and somewhat younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 25-34 age group makes up 16.7% of Lara's population, compared to Regional Vic., while the 65-74 cohort comprises 7.6%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 35-44 age group has increased from 15.0% to 16.9%, the 45-54 cohort has declined from 13.4% to 11.6%, and the 65-74 group has decreased from 9.0% to 7.6%. Population forecasts for 2041 suggest significant demographic changes in Lara, with the 25-34 age group expected to grow by 57%, reaching 5,915 people from the current figure of 3,767.