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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Downer has an estimated 4,883 residents, up from 4,296 at the 2021 Census — a change of 587 people, or 13.7%. Growth has averaged 1.8% a year over five years, faster than 81% of areas nationally. 139 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Overseas migration accounts for 78.0% of that increase. That puts 2,996 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
In the suburb of Downer, demographic assessments by AreaSearch combining updated regional ABS figures with 139 validated new addresses post-dating the Census indicate an estimated population of approximately 4,883 as of Aug 2026. This marks an expansion of 587 people (13.7%) from the 4,296 residents documented in the 2021 Census. AreaSearch established this trajectory from an Estimated Resident Population of 4,556 following the June 2025 ABS ERP release. The suburb of Downer registers a density of 2,995 persons per square kilometer, positioning it within the top quartile among nationwide territories assessed by AreaSearch.
Outpacing both the broader SA4 region and the state benchmark of 8.5%, the suburb of Downer achieved a 13.7% increase to stand as a regional growth leader, with overseas arrivals serving as the principal catalyst by accounting for roughly 78.0% of recent population additions. Demographic forecasting for the suburb of Downer incorporates 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 models using 2022 as a base year, supplemented post-2032 and across any unmapped SA2 boundaries by ACT Government projections also indexed to 2022. Long-range demographic projections indicate that the suburb of Downer will experience expansion above the national median for statistical areas. Across the 16 years leading to 2041, aggregated SA2 projections indicate an overall gain of 10.5%, translating to an expected addition of 839 persons.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
94 new dwellings have been approved in Downer over the past five years, an average of 18 a year. That is 3.8 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 20 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 40% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 8, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
According to building approval figures from the ABS compiled by AreaSearch, residential construction activity in Downer has generated roughly 18 dwelling approvals annually, totaling an estimated 94 dwellings across the prior 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), with 8 recorded during FY-25. The area registered an inflow of 4.6 people annually for every home delivered over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), creating a substantial demand imbalance relative to new supply that typically fuels upward pricing momentum and competitive bidding. Furthermore, prospective building projects reflect a quality orientation, with average construction costs estimated at $412,000 per dwelling, slightly above regional averages.
Residential building volumes in Downer sit 73.0% below the Australian Capital Territory average on a per-capita basis. Constrained supply in this established market, which records around 567 people per dwelling approval, generally underpins strong valuations and sustained interest across existing dwellings. Recent approvals show a deliberate pivot in urban planning: while houses currently make up 67.0% of the dwelling stock, new pipeline activity consists of 40.0% standalone homes alongside 60.0% medium and high-density housing. This shifting density profile responds to site constraints, evolving lifestyle preferences, and buyer accessibility for first-home purchasers, downsizers, and property investors. Based on the most recent quarterly estimate from AreaSearch, Downer is projected to add 512 residents leading up to 2041. Ongoing residential construction levels appear well-matched to anticipated long-term population intake, supporting balanced local market dynamics without generating notable price pressures.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Downer
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 4 current infrastructure and development projects inside Downer, worth an estimated $97 million. A further 99 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $28.2 billion. 33 are already under construction and 48 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local capital investment and civic planning initiatives play a crucial role in shaping the area's development trajectory. AreaSearch has pinpointed 13 key infrastructure and development projects expected to influence the community, prominently featuring the Dickson Shops Upgrade, Watson Section 76 Residential Estate Development, Watson on Aspinall (Section 76 North Watson), and The Establishment Watson.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Dickson Shops Upgrade
Revitalisation of the Dickson Shops precinct to create a safer and more accessible community hub. The upgrade includes replacing 4,400 square metres of paving using new and recycled bricks, installing 1.2 kilometres of new stormwater infrastructure, and adding 27 new seats and 50 bike racks. The design focuses on sustainability with drought-tolerant plantings and permeable surfaces while retaining the area's mid-century character and local sculptures.
Watson Section 76 Residential Estate Development
ACT Government subdivision and future land release project for Block 2 Section 76 Watson. The proposal creates medium density residential development sites with an indicative yield of about 200 dwellings, urban open space blocks, a local park and playground, cul-de-sac road access, servicing, landscaping, tree works and related infrastructure. Official planning records do not support the earlier solar farm description for this location.
Watson Shops Redevelopment
A revitalization of the Watson local centre focused on new retail spaces, cafes, and approximately 45 apartments. The project includes significant public realm improvements, pedestrian links around Windeyer Street and Watson Place, and upgrades to parking and accessibility. Designed to refresh the centre as a community hub, the development aligns with the ACT Government's 2021 Place Plan and Development Concept for Watson.
Yowani Grounds Estate Development (Newlyne Precinct)
The redevelopment of the Yowani Country Club into the Newlyne precinct, a significant mixed-use community in Canberra's inner north. The project includes multiple residential stages such as 'Yowani Grounds' (169 dwellings across towers and townhouses), 'Sense of Yowani' (retirement living), and the 'Mattone' and 'Moire' apartment complexes. It features a new $20 million golf clubhouse, extensive parklands, and wellness facilities, with a focus on high-density living connected to the light rail network.
Yowani Country Club Redevelopment - Office Building
A five-storey commercial office building featuring a ground floor restaurant, community facility, and multipurpose space. The project includes a rooftop outdoor terrace and a two-level basement providing 87 car spaces. Designed by FMB Architects, the building serves as a core commercial hub within the larger Newlyne masterplanned precinct.
Watson on Aspinall (Section 76 North Watson)
A 3.7-hectare medium density residential development in north Watson, marketed as Watson on Aspinall, with planning approval for 200 dwellings including townhouses, apartments and standalone houses (RZ4 zoning, 2-4 storeys). Block C is being sold by the Suburban Land Agency by auction (August 2025), with subdivision civil works expected to commence in the second half of 2025. An adjacent Block B will accommodate approximately 30 demonstration co-housing dwellings delivered by Cohousing Canberra. The precinct includes a 1-hectare Maliyan neighbourhood park, nearly 2 hectares of landscape protection areas, protected habitat for the Superb Parrot, 30% tree canopy coverage, and new pedestrian and cycling connections.Development is guided by the Place Plan and Development Concept shaped through community consultation from 2021 to 2024.
Yowani Country Club - New Clubhouse
Major redevelopment of Yowani Country Club including a new two-storey contemporary clubhouse and a fully redesigned 18-hole golf course. The clubhouse relocates to the western side of Sullivan's Creek as part of the broader Newlyne precinct development with partner TP Dynamics. The new facilities including driving range and course are slated to open in March 2026, serving members, social golfers, and the wider Canberra community with improved hospitality, event hire, and sports bar facilities.
The Establishment Watson
A boutique mixed-use development by JWLand featuring 94 luxury apartments and ground-floor retail and cafe space located directly opposite the Watson Shops. The project is designed to integrate with the local precinct and provide modern residential amenities in Canberra's inner north, with completion scheduled for 2026.
2,619 residents of Downer are employed, from a labour force of 2,763. Unemployment sits at 5.2%, with participation at 72.5%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.4% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 3,650, about 75% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Downer features a highly educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of 5.2%, and relative employment stability over the past year, based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of March 2026, 2,619 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.2% above Australian Capital Territory's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation is broadly similar to Australian Capital Territory's 70.6%. Based on Census responses, a low 13.2% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Local workers are primarily engaged in public administration & safety, professional & technical, and education & training sectors.
Downer demonstrates notable industry specialization within accommodation & food, where employment concentration is 1.3 times the regional standard. Conversely, health care & social assistance represents an under-indexed sector locally, employing 8.6% of workers compared to 11.7% across Australian Capital Territory. Comparing the resident labor force to Census counts of local workplace positions indicates that this predominantly residential suburb generates limited local employment opportunities. According to AreaSearch examination of ABS and SALM statistical area figures over the 12-month period, local employment experienced no net change while the labor force expanded by 1.1%, pushing unemployment up by 1.0 percentage points. By comparison, Australian Capital Territory recorded employment growth of 0.3% alongside an identical 1.1% labor force increase, accompanied by a 0.7 percentage point rise. National labor market outlooks from Jobs and Skills Australia dated Mar-26 forecast total employment gains of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with performance varying across sectors. When weighted against Downer's existing industry mix for illustrative purposes (excluding local demographic changes), local employment is projected to expand by 6.4% over five years and 13.0% over ten years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Downer is $2,267 a week (about $118,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,125 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $63,279 a year against an average of $78,225. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO taxpayer records for financial year 2023 compiled by AreaSearch indicate that taxpayers in the suburb of Downer recorded a median income of $63,279 and an average income of $78,225. These outcomes represent high levels nationally, compared against broader Australian Capital Territory figures of $72,206 for median income and $85,981 for average income. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.44% since financial year 2023, modeled figures as of March 2026 sit at approximately $69,885 for median income and $86,392 for average income. During the 2021 Census, personal, family, and household earnings all tracked between the 81st and 87th percentiles across Australia.
In terms of weekly earnings, 31.1% of residents (1,518 residents) received between $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring the broader area proportion of 34.3%. A further 37.3% earned upwards of $3,000 per week, reflecting significant local purchasing capacity. Housing costs absorbed 14.7% of income, while disposable income ranked in the 82nd percentile and the suburb attained an 8th decile position on the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Downer had 1,626 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 67% detached houses and 17% apartments. 36% are owned with a mortgage, 37% rented and 27% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $420 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,167 a month, a total housing cost higher than 77% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 18.5% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.1%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the time of the latest Census, the residential housing profile in Downer comprised 67.1% separate houses and 32.8% other dwellings (apartments, semi-detached, and 'other' dwellings), contrasting with the Australian Capital Territory distribution of 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Outright property ownership stood at 27.4%, matching the broader Australian Capital Territory rate, while properties with a mortgage accounted for 35.6% and rented accommodation represented 36.9%. Local median mortgage payments reached $2,167 per month, exceeding the Australian Capital Territory level of $2,080 and the national benchmark of $1,863. Median weekly rent was recorded at $420, falling below the Australian Capital Territory figure of $450 while remaining considerably above the Australian standard of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Downer counted 1,626 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 1,848 today, averaging 2.5 people each. 29% are couples with children, against 24% couples without children. 27% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.2 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the majority of households in Downer at 63.6%, broken down into couples with children at 28.9%, couples without children at 24.2%, and single parent families at 8.9%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 36.4%, comprising single-person households at 27.1% and shared group households at 9.3%. The local median of 2.5 people per household aligns with the Australian Capital Territory standard.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
56.0% of adults in Downer hold a university qualification, including 29.9% with a bachelor degree and 20.5% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 98% of areas nationally. A further 10.8% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Downer demonstrates exceptional academic outcomes, with 56.0% of individuals aged 15+ holding higher education degrees, substantially outpacing the 46.8% recorded in the SA4 region and the Australian benchmark of 30.4%. Among residents aged 15+, bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 29.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 20.5% and graduate diplomas at 5.6%. Technical and vocational training encompasses 18.0% of qualifications among residents aged 15+, consisting of certificates at 10.8% and advanced diplomas at 7.2%. Formal educational engagement across Downer is substantial, with 34.2% of the local population actively participating in studies.
By education level, 11.6% attend tertiary institutions, 8.8% are enrolled in primary education, and 6.3% are engaged in secondary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Downer reaches 22 stops on 54 routes, timetabled for about 3,100 services a week. The typical home sits about 210 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.2 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit infrastructure in Downer includes 22 operating stops serviced by 54 separate bus routes, providing 3,143 passenger trips each week. Transit proximity is convenient, with residents situated an average of 209 meters from their closest stop. Outward commuting characterizes travel behavior in this residential area, with private vehicles accounting for 70% of journeys, followed by cycling at 9% and bus transit at 9%. Dwellings maintain an average vehicle ownership of 1.2, while 13.2% of residents reported working from home during the 2021 Census under prevailing COVID-19 settings. Transit service volumes across the network total an average of 449 daily trips across all routes, which delivers approximately 142 trips each week for an individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
69.8% of residents in Downer report no long-term health condition. 4.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 58.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.3 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators for Downer residents reflect favorable outcomes, with mortality and morbidity measures aligning with national standards across age groups. Approximately 58% of the population (~2,836 people) maintains private health insurance coverage, compared with 62.4% throughout Australian Capital Territory. Across Downer, the most frequently reported health issues are mental health conditions and asthma, affecting 10.5% and 8.0% of residents, respectively. A total of 69.8% of individuals reported no chronic medical conditions, closely tracking the 70.2% mark across Australian Capital Territory. Working-age cohorts exhibit standard health profiles. Older residents aged 65 and over make up 12.8% of the community (625 people), below the Australian Capital Territory level of 14.2%, and demonstrate above-average health results.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
29.9% of Downer residents were born overseas and 24.4% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (22.9%) and Australian (22.6%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Downer is pronounced compared to broader norms, with 29.9% of residents born abroad and 24.4% using a non-English language at home. Christianity represents the most common religious affiliation at 29.2% of the population. Buddhism displays notable representation locally, encompassing 6.6% of residents compared to 3.0% across Australian Capital Territory. Regarding reported parental heritage, the leading ancestral backgrounds in Downer are English at 22.9%, Australian at 22.6%, and Other at 13.1%. Several European ancestries show elevated proportions relative to the region, including French at 0.8% (versus 0.5% regionally), Russian at 0.5% (versus 0.3%), and Hungarian at 0.4% (versus 0.3%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Downer is 35, younger than 76% of areas nationally. 33.0% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age distribution in Downer closely tracks the Australian Capital Territory profile, with differences across the four major age brackets remaining within 1.5 percentage points. The median age is estimated at 35, matching the 2021 Census result as well as the Australian Capital Territory figure of 35 from that period. The most notable movement since the Census occurred among adults aged 25 - 44, shifting from 35.5% down to an estimated 34.3%. Looking forward to 2041, the largest numerical increase is anticipated in the 45 - 64 age bracket, adding 211 residents (20%) to reach 1,251.
The fastest proportional growth is projected among residents aged 65+, expanding by 31% to 818, whereas young to middle-aged cohorts are projected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Downer
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Sep 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Sep 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Sep 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Apr 2026 5 months ago all 4 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Apr 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 139 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (4,296 at the 2021 Census → 4,883 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL80047). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.