Lyneham

Lyneham lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The suburb of Lyneham's population was estimated at around 6,517 as of Nov 2025, reflecting an increase of 814 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 5,703. This change is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 5,877 following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 454 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,189 persons per square kilometer. Lyneham's growth rate of 14.3% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state average of 5.9% and the SA4 region, marking it as a notable growth leader. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains during this period. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year.

For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, age group growth rates from ACT Government's SA2 area projections are used, also based on 2022. Population projections indicate a significant increase in the suburb's population, forecasted to grow by 2,513 persons to reach 9,030 by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 28.7% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Lyneham among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis, Lyneham had around 122 dwelling approvals per year. From FY-21 to FY-25614 homes were approved, with an additional 49 in FY-26. The average population increase per dwelling over these years was 0.3 people.

This shows new supply meeting or exceeding demand, offering buyer choice and capacity for growth. Average construction value is $310,000. In FY-26, $7.8 million in commercial approvals were recorded, reflecting Lyneham's primarily residential nature. Compared to the ACT, Lyneham has 55.0% higher construction activity per person. New building activity consists of 3.0% detached houses and 97.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating a shift from existing housing (27.0% houses). There are approximately 30 people per dwelling approval in Lyneham. By 2041, the population is forecast to increase by 1,871 residents.

Current construction levels should meet demand adequately, favouring buyers and potentially enabling growth beyond current forecasts.

Lyneham has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 32 potential impact projects. Major ones include Yowani Grounds Estate Development, Residential Project In Lyneham, Fox Place Multi-Unit Development, and Watson Solar Farm. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Lyneham exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Lyneham has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 3.2% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 2.7%.

As of June 2025, 3669 residents were employed at a rate 0.2% lower than the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) rate of 3.4%. Workforce participation was similar to ACT's 69.6%. Employment is concentrated in public administration & safety, professional & technical services, and education & training, with a particular strength in education & training at 1.4 times the regional level. Construction employs only 3.8% of local workers, below ACT's 6.8%.

The area offers limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 2.7%, labour force by 1.6%, reducing the unemployment rate by 1.0 percentage points. In comparison, ACT saw employment grow by 1.9% and unemployment fall by 0.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years nationally. Applying these projections to Lyneham's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is an illustrative extrapolation not accounting for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Lyneham has a high national median income of $67,498 and an average income of $83,440. This contrasts with the Australian Capital Territory's median income of $68,678 and average income of $83,634. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Lyneham are approximately $76,678 (median) and $94,788 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows individual earnings in Lyneham stand at the 91st percentile nationally ($1,200 weekly). The data reveals that 37.3% of the population (2,430 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region showing 34.3% in the same category. A substantial proportion of high earners (30.3%) have incomes above $3,000/week, indicating strong economic capacity throughout the locality. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 72nd percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Lyneham displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Lyneham, as per the latest Census evaluation, 27.0% of dwellings were houses while 73.0% were other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to the Australian Capital Territory's figures of 39.3% houses and 60.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lyneham stood at 23.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.8% and rented ones at 49.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,800, lower than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,080. Median weekly rent in Lyneham was recorded at $425, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $476 and the national average of $375. Nationally, Lyneham's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863 while rents were substantially above it.

Lyneham features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 52.5% of all households, including 17.0% couples with children, 27.1% couples without children, and 7.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 47.5%, with lone person households at 37.8% and group households comprising 9.4%. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.2.

Lyneham shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Lyneham is notably high, with 60.5% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications. This compares to 30.4% nationally and 46.8% in the SA4 region. Bachelor degrees are most common at 31.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (22.7%) and graduate diplomas (6.1%). Vocational pathways account for 16.3%, with advanced diplomas at 7.2% and certificates at 9.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.4% in tertiary, 5.7% in primary, and 4.9% in secondary education. Lyneham's three schools have a combined enrollment of 2,712 students. The area has significant socio-educational advantages and academic achievement (ICSEA: 1139). It functions as an education hub with 41.6 school places per 100 residents, above the regional average of 15.4. This attracts students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Lyneham shows that there are 46 active transport stops currently operating. These include both lightrail and bus services. There are 17 individual routes serving these stops, which together provide a total of 2,257 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility to transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 164 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 322 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Lyneham is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Lyneham faces significant health challenges with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across all age groups but particularly higher among older cohorts. Approximately 60% of Lyneham's total population of 3919 has private health cover, compared to 65.3% in the Australian Capital Territory.

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 11.4% and 7.9% of residents respectively. 67.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 70.8% across the Australian Capital Territory. Lyneham has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.3%, or 997 people, compared to 11.4% in the Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

Lyneham was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lyneham's population was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 34.7% born overseas and 28.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the main religion in Lyneham, comprising 30.4%. Buddhism was overrepresented compared to the Australian Capital Territory, making up 5.1% of Lyneham's population versus 3.5%.

The top three ancestral groups were English (23.4%), Australian (19.7%), and Other (13.6%). Notably, Welsh (0.8%) was slightly overrepresented compared to the regional average of 0.7%, as were Hungarian (0.4% vs 0.3%) and Serbian (0.6% vs 0.3%).

Lyneham's population is younger than the national pattern

Lyneham's median age is 34 years, comparable to the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 and lower than the national average of 38. Lyneham has a higher concentration of 25-34 year-olds at 26.2%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's average and significantly higher than the national average of 14.5%. It has fewer 5-14 year-olds, at 7.3%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 25-34 age group grew from 24.0% to 26.2%, while the 35-44 cohort increased from 14.5% to 16.3%. Conversely, the 15-24 cohort declined from 13.7% to 11.7%. Demographic modeling suggests Lyneham's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 35-44 cohort is projected to grow by 33%, adding 350 residents to reach 1,413.