Lyneham

Lyneham lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The population of the Lyneham statistical area (Lv2) is estimated at around 6,635 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 932 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,703 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 5,875 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 454 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,210 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Lyneham's 16.3% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the state (6.4%) and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered and years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections, with 2022 as a base, are adopted. Looking at population projections moving forward, a significant increase in the top quartile of national statistical areas is forecast for Lyneham (SA2), with an expected growth of 2,513 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 26.4% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Lyneham among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis using ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Lyneham has experienced around 122 dwellings receiving development approval per year. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 614 homes were approved, with an additional 51 approved so far in FY-26. This indicates that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average number of people moving to the area per dwelling built over these years is 0.3. New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $310,000. In FY-26, $7.8 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, demonstrating Lyneham's primarily residential nature. Relative to the Australian Capital Territory, Lyneham shows 55.0% higher construction activity per person, indicating robust developer interest in the area and creating greater choice for buyers. The new building activity shows a focus on higher-density living, with 3.0% detached houses and 97.0% townhouses or apartments. This shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 27.0% houses) reflects decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles, potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts. The location has approximately 30 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market.

Population forecasts indicate Lyneham will gain 1,753 residents through to 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Lyneham has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 32 potential impact projects. Key ones are Yowani Grounds Estate Development, Residential Project In Lyneham, Fox Place Multi-Unit Development, and Watson Solar Farm. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Lyneham exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Lyneham has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 3.6% in September 2025, with estimated employment growth of 1.7% over the past year based on AreaSearch data aggregation.

As of that date, 3,655 residents were employed, matching the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) unemployment rate of 3.6%. Workforce participation was similar to ACT's 69.6%. Major employment sectors included public administration & safety, professional & technical services, and education & training, with a notable specialization in education & training at 1.4 times the regional level. However, construction employed only 3.8% of local workers compared to ACT's 6.8%.

Employment opportunities locally appeared limited based on Census working population vs resident population comparison. From September 2024 to September 2025, employment increased by 1.7%, labour force by 1.3%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points in Lyneham. In ACT, employment grew by 1.4% and unemployment fell by 0.2 percentage points over the same period. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 showed ACT's year-on-year employment growth at 1.19%, with an unemployment rate of 4.5% compared to Australia's national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts from May-25 indicate national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but industry-specific projections suggest Lyneham's employment could increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 30, 2023 shows median income in Lyneham suburb is $67,498. Average income stands at $83,440. This compares to Australian Capital Territory's median income of $72,206 and average income of $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% since June 2023, current estimates for Lyneham are approximately $73,748 (median) and $91,167 (average) as of September 2025. Census data from 2021 shows individual earnings in Lyneham stand at the 91st percentile nationally ($1,200 weekly). In Lyneham, 37.3% of population (2,474 individuals) fall within $1,500 - 2,999 income range. This is consistent with broader trends across metropolitan region showing 34.3% in same category. High earners above $3,000/week constitute 30.3%, indicating strong economic capacity. Housing costs consume 15.5% of income but strong earnings place disposable income at the 72nd percentile nationally. Area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Lyneham displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Lyneham, as per the latest Census evaluation, 27.0% of dwellings were houses while 73.0% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This contrasts with the Australian Capital Territory's figures of 39.3% houses and 60.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lyneham stood at 23.5%, mirroring the ACT's rate, with mortgaged properties at 26.8% and rented ones at 49.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Lyneham was $1,800, lower than the ACT average of $2,080. The median weekly rent figure for Lyneham was $425, compared to the ACT's $476 and the national average of $375. Nationally, Lyneham's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Lyneham features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 52.5% of all households, including 17.0% couples with children, 27.1% couples without children, and 7.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 47.5%, with lone person households at 37.8% and group households making up 9.4%. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.2.

Lyneham shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Lyneham is notably high, with 60.5% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications. This figure surpasses the national average of 30.4% and the SA4 region's average of 46.8%. The area's educational advantage is reflected in its high proportion of Bachelor degree holders at 31.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (22.7%) and graduate diplomas (6.1%). Vocational pathways account for 16.3% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas making up 7.2% and certificates 9.1%.

Educational participation is significantly high in Lyneham, with 29.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.4% in tertiary education, 5.7% in primary education, and 4.9% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lyneham has 45 active public transport stops, offering a mix of light rail and bus services. These stops are served by 115 different routes, collectively handling 9,310 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 164 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 1,330 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 206 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Lyneham is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Lyneham faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across all age groups but particularly high among older cohorts. Approximately 60% of Lyneham's total population of 3,990 people have private health cover, compared to 65.9% in Australian Capital Territory.

The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 11.4% and 7.9% of residents respectively. However, 67.0% of Lyneham residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 70.8% across Australian Capital Territory. Lyneham has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.3%, with 1,015 people falling into this age bracket, compared to 11.4% in Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Lyneham was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lyneham, as per the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census 2016 data, shows higher cultural diversity than most local markets. Overseas-born residents comprise 34.7%, while those speaking a language other than English at home account for 28.1%. Christianity is the predominant religion in Lyneham (30.4%), though Buddhism is notably overrepresented at 5.1% compared to the Australian Capital Territory's average of 3.5%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (23.4%), Australian (19.7%), and Other (13.6%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences: Welsh residents make up 0.8% in Lyneham versus 0.7% regionally, Hungarians comprise 0.4% compared to 0.3%, and Serbians account for 0.6% against the regional average of 0.3%.

Lyneham's population is younger than the national pattern

Lyneham's median age is 34 years, comparable to the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 and lower than the national average of 38. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Lyneham has a higher percentage of 25-34 residents at 26.2%, but fewer 5-14 year-olds at 7.3%. This is significantly higher than the national concentration of 14.5% for the 25-34 age group. According to post-2021 Census data, the percentage of 25-34 residents has grown from 24.0% to 26.2%, while the 35-44 cohort increased from 14.5% to 16.3%. Conversely, the 15-24 cohort declined from 13.7% to 11.7%. Demographic modeling suggests Lyneham's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 35-44 cohort is projected to grow by 31%, adding 331 residents to reach a total of 1,413.