Turner

Population growth drivers in Turner are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Turner's population was around 4,948 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 478 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,470 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 4,734 in June 2024 and an additional 145 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,213 persons per square kilometer, placing Turner in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Turner's population growth rate of 10.7% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state's growth rate of 5.9% and the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 79.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, using 2022 as a base. Looking ahead, Turner is projected to have above median population growth among statistical areas nationally. The area is expected to grow by 988 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 15.6% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Turner among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Turner has recorded approximately 55 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 278 homes were approved, with another 480 approved so far in FY-26. On average, about 1.2 people moved to the area each year for every dwelling built during these years, indicating a balanced supply and demand market that supports stable conditions.

The average construction cost of new properties was approximately $286,000. This financial year has seen around $1.2 million in commercial approvals registered, suggesting minimal commercial development activity compared to residential. When compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Turner shows 12.0% lower construction activity per person but ranks among the 92nd percentile nationally, reflecting strong developer confidence despite a recent acceleration in building activity. The majority of new building activity consists of attached dwellings (96.0%), with detached dwellings making up around 4.0%. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

Turner's population is estimated to grow by 774 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Turner has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 24thth percentile nationally

"Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 29 projects likely affecting the region. Notable ones include Ikon Place in Section 19 Braddon, Zarah, Lonsdale & Girrahween - Braddon (Section 34), and Botanical Turner. The following list details those most relevant.".

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Employment performance in Turner exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Turner's workforce comprises highly educated individuals with significant representation in professional services. The unemployment rate is 3.1%, lower than the national average, and there has been an estimated employment growth of 1.2% over the past year as of September 2025.

In Turner, 3,380 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.4% below the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) rate of 3.6%. The workforce participation rate is higher than the ACT average at 76.4%. Dominant employment sectors include public administration & safety, professional & technical services, and education & training. Public administration & safety shows notable concentration with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average.

However, health care & social assistance is under-represented, accounting for only 7.5% of Turner's workforce compared to 11.7% in ACT. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 1.2%, while labour force grew by 1.2%, keeping unemployment broadly stable. In comparison, ACT recorded employment growth of 1.4% and a decrease in unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data from November 25 shows ACT employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.5%. National forecasts project employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Turner's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Turner SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $73,332 and an average income of $94,358 in financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is notably higher than the Australian Capital Territory's median income of $68,678 and average income of $83,634 during the same period. By September 2025, based on a 13.6% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022, estimated incomes would be approximately $83,305 (median) and $107,191 (average). In Turner, household, family, and personal incomes ranked highly nationally, between the 84th and 97th percentiles, according to 2021 Census figures. Income analysis showed that 38.6% of individuals earned between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, which is consistent with regional trends at 34.3%. A substantial proportion, 36.8%, had incomes above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity in the suburb. High housing costs consumed 16.4% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 83rd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 10th decile.

Turner features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Turner's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 12.6% houses and 87.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, the Australian Capital Territory had 39.3% houses and 60.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Turner was at 18.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.6% and rented ones at 55.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,901, lower than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,080 but higher than the national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent in Turner was $480, higher than both the Australian Capital Territory figure of $476 and the national average of $375.

Turner features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 46.9% of all households, including 11.5% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 4.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 53.1%, with lone person households at 38.6% and group households making up 14.8%. The median household size is 2.0 people, which is smaller than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.2.

Turner shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Turner's residents aged 15+ have a higher educational attainment than broader benchmarks: 69.4%, compared to Australia's 30.4% and the SA4 region's 46.8%. This advantage is led by bachelor degrees at 37.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (25.6%) and graduate diplomas (6.0%). Technical qualifications represent 10.9%, including advanced diplomas (5.4%) and certificates (5.5%). Educational participation is high, with 31.8% currently enrolled in formal education, including 20.7% in tertiary, 3.8% in primary, and 3.1% in secondary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 20.7% in tertiary education, 3.8% in primary education, and 3.1% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Turner has 25 active public transport stops offering a mix of lightrail and bus services. These stops are served by 14 different routes, providing a total of 2,818 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 148 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency across all routes averages 402 trips per day, equating to approximately 112 weekly trips per individual stop.

Turner's residents are extremely healthy with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis shows Turner's health metrics are robust, with both young and elderly cohorts experiencing low prevalence of common conditions. Approximately 68% (3,374 people) have private health cover, higher than Australian Capital Territory's 65.3%, and Australia's average of 55.3%. Mental health issues affect 12.3% and asthma impacts 8.2% of residents; 70.1% report no medical ailments, close to ACT's 70.8%.

Turner has 9.9% (491 people) aged 65+, lower than ACT's 11.4%. Despite this, seniors' health outcomes are strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Turner was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Turner's population was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 32.7% of residents born overseas and 25.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Turner, comprising 26.7% of its population. However, Judaism was overrepresented compared to Australian Capital Territory figures, making up 0.4% versus 0.5%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (22.4%), Australian (19.4%), and Other (11.6%). Notably, Polish (1.1%) was overrepresented compared to regional figures of 0.9%, as were French (0.8% vs 0.7%) and Korean (0.8% vs 0.7%).

Turner hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Turner has a median age of 31, which is younger than the Australian Capital Territory's figure of 35 and substantially under the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Turner has a higher concentration of residents aged 25-34 (33.6%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (4.0%). This 25-34 concentration is well above the national figure of 14.5%. Between 2021 and present day, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 31.7% to 33.6%, while the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 14.6% to 15.9%. Conversely, the 15 to 24 cohort has declined from 19.1% to 17.1%, and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 5.2% to 4.0%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Turner's age structure. The 55 to 64 age cohort is projected to increase significantly, expanding by 173 people (46%) from 380 to 554. Meanwhile, numbers in the 5 to 14 age range are expected to fall by 14.