Lyneham

Lyneham lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Lyneham's population is around 6,032 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 329 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,703. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 6,013 from the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 491 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,100 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Lyneham has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.6%, outpacing the national average. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 90.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, also based on 2022. Examining future trends, a significant population increase is forecast for Lyneham, with an expected expansion of 2,356 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 38.7% in total over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Lyneham among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Lyneham averaged approximately 122 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25614 homes were approved, with an additional 51 approved so far in FY-26. Over the past five financial years, on average only 0.3 people moved to Lyneham for each dwelling built.

This indicates that new supply has kept pace with or exceeded demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of these dwellings was $331,000, moderately above regional levels, suggesting an emphasis on quality construction. In FY-26, $7.8 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Lyneham shows 57.0% higher new home approvals per person, offering buyers greater choice. This activity is well above average nationally, indicating strong developer confidence in the area. Recent construction comprises 2.0% detached houses and 98.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 27.0% houses). This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

It also suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. With around 109 people per dwelling approval, Lyneham shows characteristics of a low density area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Lyneham is expected to grow by 2,337 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Lyneham has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 49thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 31 projects likely to affect the area. Notable projects include TANA Fox Place Lyneham, 102-108 Goodwin Street Apartments, Lyneham, Dickson Shops Upgrade, and Yowani Grounds Estate Development (Newlyne Precinct). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Lyneham remain below the national average according to AreaSearch analysis

Lyneham has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 4.2% as of the past year. Employment grew by an estimated 0.5% during this period.

As of December 2025, there were 3,642 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.1%, slightly higher than the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation was similar to ACT's 70.5%. According to Census responses, 12.2% of Lyneham residents worked from home. The dominant employment sectors were public administration & safety, professional & technical services, and education & training.

Education & training had a higher representation in Lyneham than the regional average, with an employment share 1.4 times greater. Conversely, construction showed lower representation at 3.8% compared to the regional average of 6.8%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited based on Census data comparing working population and resident population. In the 12-month period ending May-25, employment increased by 0.5%, while labour force grew by 1.3%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.7 percentage points. ACT experienced employment growth of 0.9% and labour force growth of 1.2%, with a smaller increase in unemployment rate at 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lyneham's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Lyneham SA2 has extremely high income levels nationally. The median income is $70,851 while the average income stands at $85,646. This contrasts with Australian Capital Territory's figures of a median income of $72,206 and an average income of $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.44% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $78,248 (median) and $94,587 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, individual earnings in Lyneham SA2 stand out at the 91st percentile nationally ($1,200 weekly). Income brackets indicate that 37.3% of locals (2,249 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 category, which aligns with the regional average of 34.3%. Notably, 30.3% earn above $3,000 weekly, reflecting prosperity in the area that drives local economic activity. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income, but strong earnings still place disposable income at the 72nd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Lyneham displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Lyneham, as per the latest Census evaluation, 27.0% of dwellings were houses while 73.0% were other types such as semi-detached homes and apartments. This differs from the Australian Capital Territory's figures which show 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lyneham stood at 23.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.8% and rented ones at 49.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,800, lower than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,080. Weekly rent in Lyneham was recorded at $425 compared to the Australian Capital Territory's figure of $450. Nationally, Lyneham's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher at $425 versus the national figure of $375.

Lyneham features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 52.5% of all households, including 17.0% couples with children, 27.1% couples without children, and 7.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 47.5%, with lone person households at 37.8% and group households comprising 9.4%. The median household size is 2.1 people, smaller than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Lyneham shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

In Lyneham, educational attainment is notably higher than broader averages. Among residents aged 15+, 60.5% hold university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 46.8% in the SA4 region. This indicates a significant educational advantage for the area. Bachelor degrees are most common at 31.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (22.7%) and graduate diplomas (6.1%).

Vocational pathways account for 16.3%, with advanced diplomas at 7.2% and certificates at 9.1%. Educational participation is high, with 29.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.4% in tertiary education, 5.7% in primary education, and 4.9% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lyneham has 45 active public transport stops offering a mix of light rail and bus services. These stops are served by 115 individual routes, facilitating 9,310 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically residing 164 meters from the nearest stop. As primarily residential, most commute outward; car remains dominant at 61%, followed by bus at 13% and cycling at 10%. Vehicle ownership averages 0.9 per dwelling, below regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low 12.2% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 1,330 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 206 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Lyneham is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Lyneham faces significant health challenges according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are notably high across both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 62% of the total population (3,739 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues affecting 11.4% of residents and asthma impacting 7.9%. Conversely, 67.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, slightly lower than the Australian Capital Territory average of 70.2%. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 15.0% of residents aged 65 and over (904 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Lyneham was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lyneham's population, as of the 2016 Census, showed high cultural diversity with 34.7% born overseas and 28.1% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, accounting for 30.4%. Buddhism was notably higher in Lyneham at 5.1%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's average of 3.0%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (23.4%), Australian (19.7%), and Other (13.6%). Some ethnic groups had significant representation: Welsh at 0.8% vs regional 0.6%, Serbian at 0.6% vs 0.4%, and Russian at 0.5% vs 0.3%.

Lyneham's population is younger than the national pattern

Lyneham's median age is 34 years, comparable to the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 and lower than the national average of 38. Lyneham has a higher concentration of 25-34 year-olds at 25.8%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory average and the national average of 14.6%. It has fewer 5-14 year-olds at 7.4% than both averages. Post-2021 Census data shows the 35-44 age group grew from 14.5% to 16.9%, while the 25-34 cohort increased from 24.0% to 25.8%. The 15-24 cohort declined from 13.7% to 11.8%, and the 85+ group dropped from 3.7% to 2.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Lyneham's age profile will significantly evolve, with the 35-44 cohort projected to grow by 41%, adding 412 residents to reach 1,429.