Lyneham
Statistical Area - sa2

Lyneham lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Lyneham's population is around 6517 as of November 2025, reflecting an increase of 814 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 5703. This change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 5877 in June 2024 and an additional 454 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 1189 persons per square kilometer, relatively in line with averages across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Lyneham's growth rate of 14.3% since the 2021 Census exceeded the state average of 5.9%, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains recently. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year.

For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, age group growth rates from ACT Government's SA2 area projections, using 2022 as a base, are adopted. Future population trends forecast a significant increase in Lyneham, with an expected expansion of 2513 persons to 2041 based on the latest numbers, reflecting an overall increase of 28.7% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Lyneham among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Lyneham averaged approximately 122 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25614 homes were approved, with an additional 49 approved in FY-26 as of now. The average population increase per year for each dwelling built over these five years was 0.3 people.

This indicates that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for future population growth beyond current forecasts. The average expected construction cost value of new homes in Lyneham is $331,000, which is moderately higher than regional levels, suggesting an emphasis on quality construction. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totaled $7.8 million, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Lyneham has 55.0% higher new home approvals per person, offering buyers greater choice. This level of activity is above the national average, indicating strong developer confidence in the area. Recent construction trends show a focus on higher-density living, with 2.0% detached houses and 98.0% townhouses or apartments. This shift from existing housing patterns (currently 27.0% houses) suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs.

With around 109 people per dwelling approval, Lyneham exhibits characteristics of a growth area. Looking ahead, Lyneham is projected to grow by 1,871 residents by the year 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favorable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Lyneham has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 32 projects that may impact the area. Notable projects include Fox Place Multi-Unit Development, Bethany Lyneham, Northbourne Village - De Burgh, and Yowani Grounds Estate Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Lyneham shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Lyneham has a highly educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 3.2% in the past year, lower than the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) 3.4%.

Employment growth was estimated at 2.7% over the same period. As of June 2025, 3,669 residents are employed with an unemployment rate of 0.2% below ACT's rate. Workforce participation is similar to ACT's 69.6%. Dominant employment sectors include public administration & safety, professional & technical services, and education & training.

Education & training shows particular specialization at 1.4 times the regional level, while construction has lower representation at 3.8% compared to the regional average of 6.8%. Employment opportunities appear limited locally based on Census data. From June 2024 to June 2025, employment increased by 2.7%, labour force by 1.6%, reducing unemployment by 1.0 percentage points. In contrast, ACT had employment growth of 1.9% and a 0.3 percentage point drop in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 suggest potential future demand within Lyneham. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Lyneham's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.5% over five years and 13.3% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Lyneham has extremely high national income levels. The median assessed income is $67,498 and the average income stands at $83,440. In comparison, Australian Capital Territory's figures are a median income of $68,678 and an average income of $83,634. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Lyneham would be approximately $76,678 (median) and $94,788 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, individual earnings in Lyneham stand out at the 91st percentile nationally ($1,200 weekly). Income brackets indicate that 37.3% of locals (2,430 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category. A significant 30.3% earn above $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 15.5% of income in Lyneham, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 73rd percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Lyneham displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Lyneham, as per the latest Census evaluation, 27.0% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 73.0% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This is compared to the Australian Capital Territory's figures of 39.3% houses and 60.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lyneham stood at 23.5%, similar to the ACT average, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.8% and rented ones at 49.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,800, lower than the ACT average of $2,080, while the median weekly rent was $425, compared to the ACT's $476. Nationally, Lyneham's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $425 compared to the national figure of $375.

Lyneham features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 52.5% of all households, including 17.0% couples with children, 27.1% couples without children, and 7.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 47.5%, with lone person households at 37.8% and group households comprising 9.4%. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.2.

Lyneham shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Lyneham is notably high, with 60.5% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications, compared to the national average of 30.4% and the SA4 region's average of 46.8%. The most common qualification is a Bachelor degree at 31.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (22.7%) and graduate diplomas (6.1%). Vocational pathways account for 16.3% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas making up 7.2% and certificates 9.1%. Educational participation is high, with 29.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 13.4% in tertiary, 5.7% in primary, and 4.9% in secondary education.

Lyneham's three schools have a combined enrollment of 2,712 students as of the latest data. The area has an ICSEA score of 1139, indicating significant socio-educational advantages and academic achievement. The educational mix includes one primary school, one secondary school, and one K-12 school. As an education hub, Lyneham offers 41.7 school places per 100 residents, which is significantly higher than the regional average of 15.4. This attracts students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The transport analysis indicates that Lyneham has 46 active transport stops in operation. These consist of a mix of light rail and bus services. The area is served by 17 individual routes which together facilitate 2,257 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as excellent with residents located an average of 164 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages at 322 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Lyneham is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Lyneham faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across all age groups, but to a higher degree among older cohorts. Approximately 61% of Lyneham's total population of 3994 people have private health cover, compared to 65.3% in Australian Capital Territory and the national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues affecting 11.4% of residents and asthma impacting 7.9%.

67.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 70.8% across Australian Capital Territory. Lyneham has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.3%, or 994 people, than the Australian Capital Territory's 11.4%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to these challenges.

Lyneham is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Lyneham's population has a high level of cultural diversity, with 34.7% born overseas and 28.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Lyneham, comprising 30.4% of its population. Notably, Buddhism is overrepresented compared to the Australian Capital Territory average, making up 5.1% of Lyneham's population versus 3.5%.

The top three ancestry groups based on country of birth of parents are English (23.4%), Australian (19.7%), and Other (13.6%). Some ethnic groups show notable divergences: Welsh is overrepresented at 0.8% compared to the regional average of 0.7%, Serbian at 0.6% versus 0.3%, and Russian at 0.5% compared to 0.4%.

Lyneham's population is younger than the national pattern

Lyneham's median age is 34 years, comparable to the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 and lower than the national average of 38. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Lyneham has a higher percentage of 25-34 residents at 26.2%, but fewer 5-14 year-olds at 7.3%. This concentration of 25-34 residents is significantly higher than the national average of 14.5%. According to post-2021 Census data, the percentage of 25-34 residents has grown from 24.0% to 26.2%, while the 35-44 cohort has increased from 14.5% to 16.3%. Conversely, the percentage of 15-24 residents has declined from 13.7% to 11.7%. Demographic modeling indicates that Lyneham's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 35-44 cohort is projected to grow by 33%, adding 351 residents and reaching a total of 1,413.