Tarragindi

An assessment of population growth drivers in Tarragindi reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Tarragindi's population, as of May 2026, is approximately 11,790. This figure represents an increase of 846 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 10,944. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates: Tarragindi's estimated resident population was 11,785 in June 2025, with an additional 135 validated new addresses post-census. This results in a density ratio of 2,591 persons per square kilometer, placing Tarragindi in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessments. The area's 7.7% growth since census is within 1.6 percentage points of the national average (9.3%). Overseas migration contributed approximately 71.8% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections lack age category splits; thus, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. Considering projected demographic shifts, lower quartile growth is anticipated nationally. Tarragindi is expected to grow by 292 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 2.4% over the 16 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Tarragindi when compared nationally

Tarragindi has averaged approximately 63 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 317 homes. As of FY26, 31 approvals have been recorded. Between FY21 and FY25, an average of 1.6 people moved to the area per dwelling built. However, this figure has increased to 4.7 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply. New homes are being constructed at an average value of $721,000, indicating a focus on the premium market.

In FY26, $3.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, showing limited commercial development activity compared to residential. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Tarragindi has shown moderately higher development activity, with 31.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. New building activity comprises 67.0% standalone homes and 33.0% townhouses or apartments, expanding medium-density options. This is a significant change from the current housing mix of 95.0% houses.

The location has approximately 237 people per dwelling approval, indicating potential for growth. Population forecasts suggest Tarragindi will gain 287 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should meet demand comfortably, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond projections.

Tarragindi has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 22 projects likely to affect the area. Notable ones include European Train Control System (ETCS), Parkside Yeronga, 1008 Logan Road Redevelopment (Childcare + Townhouses), and The Green Tarragindi Retirement Village. Below is a list of those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market strength in Tarragindi positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Tarragindi has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.3% as of December 2025, below Greater Brisbane's 4.1%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.3%.

Workforce participation in Tarragindi is high at 75.6%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 69.6%. A significant proportion of residents work from home, with 27.9% doing so according to Census responses. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. The area has a particular specialisation in professional & technical services, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level.

In contrast, transport, postal & warehousing employs only 2.8% of local workers, compared to Greater Brisbane's 5.6%. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment in Tarragindi increased by 2.3%, while labour force grew by 2.6%, leading to a slight rise in unemployment rate of 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Brisbane saw employment grow by 3.2% and unemployment fall by 0.1 percentage points during the same period. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia indicate that employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tarragindi's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.8% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Tarragindi SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $69,717 and an average of $91,632 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is significantly higher than the national median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799 for Greater Brisbane. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% from financial year 2023 to March 2026, estimated incomes would be approximately $77,637 (median) and $102,041 (average). Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Tarragindi rank highly nationally, between the 89th and 96th percentiles. The income bracket of $4000+ captures 31.9% of the community (3,761 individuals), unlike the broader area where $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 33.3%. Economic strength is evident with 48.9% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting increased consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 87.9% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Tarragindi is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Tarragindi's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.1% houses and 5.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tarragindi stood at 33.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 46.4% and rented ones at 20.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,453, higher than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Tarragindi was $450, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Tarragindi's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,453 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Tarragindi features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.1% of all households, consisting of 44.6% couples with children, 23.3% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.9%, with lone person households at 16.7% and group households comprising 4.2% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Tarragindi demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Tarragindi's residents aged 15 and above exhibit a notably higher level of educational attainment compared to broader benchmarks. In Tarragindi, 48.8% of residents hold university qualifications, surpassing Queensland's 25.7% and Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 31.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (12.0%) and graduate diplomas (5.5%). Vocational pathways account for 24.5% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas making up 9.7% and certificates 14.8%.

Educational participation is high in Tarragindi, with 33.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.9% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 7.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 83 active stops operating in Tarragindi, offering mixed bus services. These are served by 7 routes, facilitating 931 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is rated excellent, with residents typically situated 148 meters from the nearest stop. Primarily residential, most commute outward; cars dominate at 80%, followed by buses (11%) and cycling (4%). Average vehicle ownership stands at 1.5 per dwelling. Notably, 27.9% of residents work from home (2021 Census).

Service frequency averages 133 trips daily across all routes, translating to approximately 11 weekly trips per stop.

Tarragindi's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Tarragindi's health outcomes show excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are low, especially among younger cohorts. Approximately 67% of Tarragindi's total population (7,875 people) has private health cover, compared to 55.8% in Greater Brisbane and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 7.8% and 7.8% of residents respectively. 73.5% of Tarragindi's residents report no medical ailments, compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes for the under-65 population are better than average. The area has 13.5% of residents aged 65 and over (1,595 people), lower than Greater Brisbane's 15.1%. While health outcomes among seniors are above average, they rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Tarragindi records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tarragindi's population, as of August 2016, showed cultural diversity similar to the wider region: 81.5% were born in Australia, 92.6% were citizens, and 86.6% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, with 51.4%, compared to 47.8% across Greater Brisbane. The top three ancestry groups were English (26.1%), Australian (25.0%), and Irish (11.2%).

Notably, Welsh (0.7%) and Greek (1.8%) populations were higher than the regional averages of 0.5% and 0.6%, respectively, while Russian was slightly higher at 0.4%.

Tarragindi's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

At age 37 years, Tarragindi's median age is nearly matching Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years while also being close to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Tarragindi has a higher concentration of residents aged 45-54 years (15.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 years (10.6%). Between the censuses of 2021 and 2026, the population aged 15 to 24 years grew from 12.2% to 14.5%. Conversely, the population aged 35 to 44 years declined from 16.6% to 15.2%, and the age group of 5 to 14 years dropped from 16.2% to 14.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Tarragindi's age profile will evolve significantly. The 45 to 54 cohort is projected to grow by 11%, adding 203 residents to reach 2,011. Senior residents aged 65 years and above will drive 57% of population growth, highlighting demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, the populations aged 15 to 24 years and 0 to 4 years are expected to experience declines.