Tarragindi
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Tarragindi reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Tarragindi's population is around 11,610 as of Aug 2025. This reflects an increase of 666 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,944 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 11,593 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 128 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,551 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Tarragindi's 6.1% growth since census positions it within 2.5 percentage points of the national average (8.6%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 60.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 and based on 2022 data. Considering the projected demographic shifts, lower quartile growth of Australian statistical areas is anticipated, with the area expected to grow by 350 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, resulting in an increase of 2.9% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Tarragindi when compared nationally

Tarragindi has averaged approximately 63 new dwelling approvals annually. Development approval data is produced by the Australian Bureau of Statistics on a financial year basis, totalling 317 approvals across the past five financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, with an additional 10 approvals so far in FY-26. On average, over the past five financial years, 1.6 new residents have arrived per new home. However, recent data indicates this has intensified to 4.7 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $1,248,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

Additionally, $3.0 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Tarragindi records elevated construction activity, maintaining good buyer choice while supporting existing property values, though building activity has slowed in recent years. New development consists of 67% detached dwellings and 33% medium and high-density housing, offering choices across price ranges from spacious family homes to compact options. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition, which is currently 95% houses, indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and demand for diverse, affordable housing options.

At around 237 people per approval, Tarragindi reflects a transitioning market with an expected population growth of 333 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Tarragindi has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 projects likely to affect the region. Notable projects include Cross River Rail - Moorooka Station Upgrade, European Train Control System (ETCS), Parkside Yeronga Priority Development Area, and 1008 Logan Road Redevelopment (Childcare + Townhouses). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Tarragindi ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Tarragindi has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 2.4% as of June 2025, showing an estimated employment growth of 1.4% over the past year.

In June 2025, 6773 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.6%, below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation was at 73.3%, higher than Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. The dominant employment sectors among residents are health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. Notably, the area has a concentration in professional & technical services, with employment levels at 1.6 times the regional average.

However, transport, postal & warehousing is under-represented, at 2.8% compared to Greater Brisbane's 5.6%. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 1.4%, while labour force increased by 1.8%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 4.4% and a decrease in unemployment by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data as of Sep-25 shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.23%, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.5%, with employment growth of 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project a national employment expansion of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tarragindi's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 7.3% over five years and 14.8% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Tarragindi had a median taxpayer income of $67,439 and an average of $89,798 according to AreaSearch's aggregation of postcode level ATO data for the financial year 2022. Nationally, these figures are extremely high, contrasting with Greater Brisbane's median income of $55,645 and average income of $70,520. Based on Wage Price Index growth from June 2022 to March 2025, estimated current incomes would be approximately $75,336 (median) and $100,313 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Tarragindi's household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 89th and 96th percentiles. Income analysis shows that 31.9% of Tarragindi residents earn $4,000 or more per week (3,703 individuals), differing from regional patterns where earnings predominantly fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 band at 33.3%. The substantial proportion of high earners (48.9% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout the suburb. After housing costs, residents retain 87.9% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and placing Tarragindi in the 9th decile based on SEIFA income rankings.

Tarragindi is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Tarragindi's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.1% houses and 5.0% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Brisbane metropolitan area's 77.8% houses and 22.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tarragindi stood at 33.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 46.4% and rented ones at 20.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,453, exceeding Brisbane metro's average of $2,100. Median weekly rent in Tarragindi was $450, higher than Brisbane metro's $388. Nationally, Tarragindi's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,453 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Tarragindi features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households compose 79.1% of all households, including 44.6% couples with children, 23.3% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for 20.9%, with lone person households at 16.7% and group households comprising 4.2%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Tarragindi demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Tarragindi's educational attainment exceeds broader benchmarks significantly. Among residents aged 15+, 48.8% hold university qualifications, compared to 25.7% in Queensland and 30.4% nationally. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 31.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (12.0%) and graduate diplomas (5.5%). Vocational pathways account for 24.5% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 9.7% and certificates at 14.8%.

Educational participation is high, with 33.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.9% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 7.3% pursuing tertiary education. Tarragindi's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,086 students. The area demonstrates significant socio-educational advantages and academic achievement, with an ICSEA score of 1146. These three schools focus exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 84 active transport stops in Tarragindi, operated by buses. Seven routes service these stops, offering 828 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 147 meters to the nearest stop.

Daily service frequency is 118 trips across all routes, equating to approximately nine weekly trips per individual stop.

Tarragindi's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Tarragindi, with younger cohorts seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 67% of the total population (7,743 people), compared to 57.3% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 7.8% and 7.8% of residents respectively, while 73.5% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.3% across Greater Brisbane.

As of 14th June 20XX, the area has 13.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,536 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average but require more attention than the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Tarragindi records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tarragindi's cultural diversity aligns with its broader region, as indicated by the birthplace of residents: 81.5% were born in Australia. Citizenship stands at 92.6%, with English spoken exclusively at home by 86.6%. Christianity is the predominant religion, practiced by 51.4% of Tarragindi's population, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 44.4%.

Regarding ancestry, the top three groups in Tarragindi are English (26.1%), Australian (25.0%), and Irish (11.2%). Notable differences exist for Welsh (0.7%, compared to 0.5% regionally), Greek (1.8%, vs 1.1%), and Russian (0.4%, matching regional figures).

Tarragindi's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Tarragindi's median age is nearly 37 years, closely matching Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and approaching Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Tarragindi has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (16.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.2%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 15-24 grew from 12.2% to 14.2%, while those aged 35-44 decreased from 16.6% to 15.4% and those aged 5-14 dropped from 16.2% to 15.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Tarragindi's age profile. The population aged 85+ is projected to grow by 89%, adding 206 residents to reach 439. Residents aged 65+ are expected to drive 57% of population growth, highlighting demographic aging trends. Conversely, the populations aged 0-4 and 25-34 are projected to decline.