Tarragindi

An assessment of population growth drivers in Tarragindi reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Tarragindi's population is approximately 11,619 as of February 2026. This marks an increase of 675 people, representing a 6.2% rise since the 2021 Census which recorded a population of 10,944. The growth is inferred from ABS's estimated resident population of 11,593 in June 2024 and validated new addresses totalling 132 since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,553 persons per square kilometer, placing Tarragindi in the upper quartile compared to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 6.2% growth since the census is within 2.9 percentage points of the SA3 area's 9.1%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 60.6% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary population growth in the area.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 and based on 2022 data are applied where utilized. Considering projected demographic shifts, lower quartile growth of Australian statistical areas is anticipated. The area is expected to grow by 350 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an overall increase of 2.8% over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Tarragindi when compared nationally

Tarragindi has averaged approximately 63 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 317 homes. As of FY26, 25 approvals have been recorded. Between FY21 and FY25, an average of 1.6 people moved to the area per dwelling built. However, this figure has increased to 4.7 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply. New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $721,000, indicating a focus on the premium market.

This financial year, $3.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, showing limited commercial development activity compared to residential. When compared to Greater Brisbane, Tarragindi has shown moderately higher development activity, averaging 31.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. New building activity comprises 67.0% standalone homes and 33.0% townhouses or apartments, providing a range of medium-density options. This is a significant change from the current housing mix, which is predominantly houses (95.0%).

The location has approximately 237 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. By 2041, Tarragindi is projected to gain 324 residents. At current development rates, new housing supply should meet demand comfortably, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Tarragindi has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 such projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include European Train Control System (ETCS), Parkside Yeronga, Greenslopes Mall Expansion and Refurbishment, and Annerley Health Hub. Below is a list of these projects, detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Tarragindi significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Tarragindi has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 2.4% in September 2025. Over the past year, employment stability was relative to other areas.

As of September 2025, 6,762 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.6% below Greater Brisbane's 4.0%. Workforce participation was 75.4%, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 70.7%. A high proportion, 27.9%, of residents worked from home, possibly influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training.

Professional & technical jobs were particularly prevalent, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level. Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing employed only 2.8% of local workers, lower than Greater Brisbane's 5.6%. Limited local employment opportunities are suggested by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 0.2%, while the labour force grew by 0.6%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment grow by 3.8% over the same period. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tarragindi's employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.8% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Tarragindi SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $69,717 and an average of $91,632 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is notably higher than the Greater Brisbane median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. By September 2025, estimates based on a 9.91% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023 would be approximately $76,626 (median) and $100,713 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Tarragindi rank highly nationally, between the 89th and 96th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 31.9% of the community earns more than $4,000 annually (3,706 individuals), differing from broader area patterns where earnings between $1,500 and $2,999 dominate at 33.3%. Economic strength is evident with 48.9% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 87.9% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Tarragindi is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Tarragindi's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.1% houses and 5.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tarragindi stood at 33.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 46.4% and rented ones at 20.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,453, exceeding Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. The median weekly rent in Tarragindi was $450, higher than Brisbane metro's $380 but lower than the national average of $375. Nationally, Tarragindi's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,453 compared to Australia's average of $1,863.

Tarragindi features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.1% of all households, including 44.6% couples with children, 23.3% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.9%, with lone person households at 16.7% and group households comprising 4.2%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Tarragindi demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Tarragindi's educational attainment is notably high, with 48.8% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications, compared to the state (QLD) average of 25.7% and the national average of 30.4%. The most common university qualification in Tarragindi is a bachelor degree, held by 31.3% of residents. Postgraduate qualifications are held by 12.0%, while graduate diplomas account for 5.5%. Vocational pathways make up 24.5% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 9.7% and certificates at 14.8%.

Educational participation is high in Tarragindi, with 33.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.9% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 7.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Tarragindi shows 83 active transport stops operating, all of which are bus stops. These stops are serviced by 7 individual routes, providing a total of 931 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 148 meters from the nearest transport stop. Most residents commute outward due to Tarragindi being primarily residential. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 80%, with bus at 11% and cycling at 4%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 27.9% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 133 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Tarragindi's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Tarragindi's health outcomes show excellent results, with AreaSearch finding low mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, especially among younger residents. Approximately 67% of Tarragindi's total population (7,761 people) have private health cover, compared to 55.8% in Greater Brisbane and the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 7.8% and 7.8% of residents respectively.

73.5% of Tarragindi's residents report no medical ailments, compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. Under-65 residents have better than average health outcomes. The area has 13.6% of residents aged 65 and over (1,581 people), lower than Greater Brisbane's 15.2%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average but rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Tarragindi records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tarragindi's cultural diversity aligns with the broader area, as 81.5% were born in Australia, 92.6% are citizens, and 86.6% speak English only at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 51.4%, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 47.8%. The top three ancestry groups are English (26.1%), Australian (25.0%), and Irish (11.2%).

Notably, Welsh (0.7% vs regional 0.5%), Greek (1.8% vs 0.6%), and Russian (0.4% vs 0.3%) are more prevalent in Tarragindi than the wider region.

Tarragindi's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Tarragindi's median age is nearly 37 years, closely matching Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and slightly below Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Tarragindi has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (15.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (9.9%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 12.2% to 14.3%, while the 35-44 age group has declined from 16.6% to 15.3%. The 5-14 age group has also decreased from 16.2% to 15.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Tarragindi's age profile. The 45-54 cohort is projected to grow by 12%, adding 213 residents to reach a total of 2,053. Residents aged 65 and above are expected to drive 56% of population growth, indicating demographic aging trends. Conversely, the 15-24 and 25-34 age groups are projected to experience population declines.