Tarragindi

An assessment of population growth drivers in Tarragindi reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Tarragindi's population is around 11,619 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 675 people (6.2%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,944 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 11,593 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 132 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2,553 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Tarragindi's 6.2% growth since the census positions it within 2.9 percentage points of the SA3 area (9.1%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 60.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Considering the projected demographic shifts, lower quartile growth of Australian statistical areas is anticipated, with the area expected to grow by 350 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 2.8% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Tarragindi when compared nationally

Tarragindi has averaged around 63 new dwelling approvals annually, totalling 317 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 28 approvals have been recorded. With an average of 1.6 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand appear well-balanced, creating stable market conditions, though recent data shows this has intensified to 4.7 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential undersupply. New homes are being built at an average construction cost of $721,000, showing that developers are focusing on the premium market with high-end developments. Additionally, $3.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating a limited commercial development focus.

When measured against Greater Brisbane, Tarragindi shows moderately higher development activity (31.0% above regional average per person over the 5 year period), balancing buyer choice with support for current property values, though development activity has moderated in recent periods. New building activity consists of 67.0% standalone homes and 33.0% townhouses or apartments, showing an expanding range of medium-density options that create a mix of opportunities across price brackets, from traditional family housing to more affordable compact alternatives. This represents a considerable change from the current housing mix (currently 95.0% houses), reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The location has approximately 237 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market.

Population forecasts indicate Tarragindi will gain 324 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Tarragindi has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 21 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the European Train Control System (ETCS), Parkside Yeronga, Greenslopes Mall Expansion and Refurbishment, and Annerley Health Hub, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market strength in Tarragindi positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Tarragindi possesses a highly educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of just 2.3%, and 2.3% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 6,913 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 1.8% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (77.0% compared to Greater Brisbane's 71.2%). Based on Census responses, a high 27.9% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. The area has a particular employment specialization in professional & technical, with an employment share of 1.6 times the regional level. In contrast, transport, postal & warehousing employs just 2.8% of local workers, below Greater Brisbane's 5.6%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 2.3% while the labour force increased by 2.6%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.2 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Brisbane, where employment rose by 3.2%, the labour force grew by 3.0%, and unemployment fell 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Tarragindi. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Tarragindi's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.8% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Tarragindi SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $69,717 and an average of $91,632 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. This is extremely high nationally, contrasting with Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $76,626 (median) and $100,713 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Tarragindi, between the 89th and 96th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate the $4000+ earnings band captures 31.9% of the community (3,706 individuals), differing from patterns across the broader area where $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 33.3%. Economic strength emerges through 48.9% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 87.9% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Tarragindi is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Tarragindi, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 95.1% houses and 5.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Tarragindi was well beyond that of Brisbane metro, at 33.2%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (46.4%) or rented (20.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Brisbane metro average at $2,453, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $450, compared to Brisbane metro's $1,863 and $380. Nationally, Tarragindi's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Tarragindi features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 79.1% of all households, comprising 44.6% couples with children, 23.3% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 20.9%, with lone person households at 16.7% and group households comprising 4.2% of the total. The median household size of 2.9 people is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Tarragindi demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Educational attainment in Tarragindi significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 48.8% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 25.7% in QLD and 30.4% in Australia. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 31.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (12.0%) and graduate diplomas (5.5%). Vocational pathways account for 24.5% of qualifications among those aged 15+ – advanced diplomas (9.7%) and certificates (14.8%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.9% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 7.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 83 active transport stops operating within Tarragindi, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 7 individual routes, collectively providing 931 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 148 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 80%, with 11% by bus and 4% cycling. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling. A high 27.9% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 133 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Tarragindi's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Tarragindi, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Younger cohorts in particular see very low prevalence of common health conditions, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 67% of the total population (7,761 people). This compares to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, impacting 7.8% and 7.8% of residents, respectively, while 73.5% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 13.6% of residents aged 65 and over (1,581 people), which is lower than the 15.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Tarragindi records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tarragindi was found to be roughly in line with the wider region's average in terms of cultural diversity, with 81.5% of its population born in Australia, 92.6% being citizens, and 86.6% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Tarragindi is Christianity, which makes up 51.4% of the population. This compares to 47.8% across Greater Brisbane.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Tarragindi are English, comprising 26.1% of the population, Australian, comprising 25.0% of the population, and Irish, comprising 11.2% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Welsh is notably overrepresented at 0.7% of Tarragindi (vs 0.5% regionally), Greek at 1.8% (vs 0.6%) and Russian at 0.4% (vs 0.3%).

Tarragindi's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

At 37 years, Tarragindi's median age nearly matches the Greater Brisbane average of 36 and is very close to the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Brisbane, Tarragindi has a higher concentration of 45 - 54 residents (15.8%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (9.9%). Since the 2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 12.2% to 14.3% of the population. Conversely, the 35 to 44 cohort has declined from 16.6% to 15.3% and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 16.2% to 15.0%. Demographic modeling suggests Tarragindi's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 45 to 54 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 12%, adding 213 residents to reach 2,053. Senior residents (65+) will drive 56% of population growth, underscoring demographic aging trends. On the other hand, the 15 to 24 and 25 to 34 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.