Tarragindi

An assessment of population growth drivers in Tarragindi reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, Tarragindi's population is approximately 11,613. This figure represents an increase of 669 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 10,944. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 11,593 in June 2024 and an additional 130 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,552 persons per square kilometer, placing Tarragindi in the upper quartile compared to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 6.1% growth since the census is within 2.9 percentage points of the SA3 area (9.0%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 60.6% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving Tarragindi's primary population growth.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are used, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits; therefore, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 and based on 2022 data. Considering projected demographic shifts, lower quartile growth is anticipated for Australian statistical areas. Tarragindi is expected to grow by 350 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of approximately 2.8% over the 17-year period, as per the latest annual ERP population numbers.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Tarragindi when compared nationally

Tarragindi has averaged approximately 63 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 317 homes. As of FY-26 so far, 25 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.6 people moved to the area per year for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating balanced supply and demand with stable market conditions. However, this has intensified to 4.7 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply. New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $721,000, reflecting developers' focus on the premium market.

In FY-26, $3.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating limited commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Tarragindi shows moderately higher development activity, with 31.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. This balances buyer choice while supporting current property values, although development activity has moderated recently. New building activity comprises 67.0% standalone homes and 33.0% townhouses or apartments, expanding medium-density options and creating a mix of opportunities across price brackets.

This represents a significant change from the current housing mix, which is predominantly houses (95.0%). The location has approximately 237 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Tarragindi is forecasted to gain 330 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Tarragindi has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 21 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones include European Train Control System (ETCS), Parkside Yeronga, Greenslopes Mall Expansion and Refurbishment, Annerley Health Hub. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Tarragindi significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Tarragindi has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.4% as of September 2025. Over the past year, employment stability was relatively high.

In September 2025, 6762 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.6% lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation stood at 75.6%, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 70.8%. According to Census responses, 27.9% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries for employment include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training.

Tarragindi specializes in professional & technical jobs, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level. Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing employs only 2.8% of local workers, below Greater Brisbane's 5.6%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the ratio of Census working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 0.2%, while labour force grew by 0.6%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment rise by 3.8%, labour force grow by 3.3%, and unemployment fall by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tarragindi's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.8% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Tarragindi SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $69,717 and an average income of $91,632 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. Nationally, these figures are exceptionally high, contrasting with Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $76,626 (median) and $100,713 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Tarragindi rank highly nationally, between the 89th and 96th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 31.9% of the community earns over $4,000 annually (3,704 individuals), differing from broader area patterns where earnings between $1,500 and $2,999 dominate at 33.3%. Economic strength is evident with 48.9% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 87.9% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Tarragindi is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Tarragindi's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 95.1% houses and 5.0% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tarragindi stood at 33.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 46.4% and rented ones at 20.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,453, higher than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Tarragindi was $450, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Tarragindi's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,453 against the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Tarragindi features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 79.1% of all households, including 44.6% couples with children, 23.3% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.9%, with lone person households at 16.7% and group households comprising 4.2%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Tarragindi demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Tarragindi's educational attainment exceeds broader benchmarks, with 48.8% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 25.7% in Queensland (QLD) and 30.4% in Australia. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 31.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 12.0% and graduate diplomas at 5.5%. Vocational pathways account for 24.5% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 9.7% and certificates at 14.8%. Educational participation is high, with 33.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.9% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 7.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 83 active transport stops in Tarragindi, consisting of buses. Seven routes service these stops, providing a total of 931 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 148 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Car remains dominant at 80%, followed by bus at 11% and cycling at 4%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 27.9% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 133 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Tarragindi's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Tarragindi's health outcomes show exceptional results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are low, particularly among younger cohorts. Private health cover is exceptionally high at 67%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 55.8% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most common conditions are asthma (7.8%) and mental health issues (7.8%), with 73.5% reporting no medical ailments, higher than Greater Brisbane's 69.2%. Health outcomes for those under 65 are better than average. The area has 13.2% of residents aged 65 and over (1,536 people), lower than Greater Brisbane's 15.0%. Seniors' health outcomes rank above average but lower nationally compared to the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Tarragindi records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tarragindi's population, born in Australia, was 81.5%, with 92.6% being citizens and 86.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 51.4%. Across Greater Brisbane, it was 47.8%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (26.1%), Australian (25.0%), and Irish (11.2%). Welsh (0.7% vs regional 0.5%) and Greek (1.8% vs regional 0.6%) were notably overrepresented, while Russian was slightly higher at 0.4% compared to the region's 0.3%.

Tarragindi's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Tarragindi's median age at 37 years is close to both Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Tarragindi has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (16.0%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.2%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 12.2% to 14.2%, while the 35-44 cohort has decreased from 16.6% to 15.4%. The 5-14 age group has also declined from 16.2% to 15.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Tarragindi's age profile. The 85+ cohort is expected to grow by 89%, adding 206 residents to reach 439. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 57% of population growth, reflecting broader demographic aging trends. Conversely, the 0-4 and 25-34 age groups are projected to experience population declines.