Grindelwald - Lanena

Grindelwald - Lanena has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

According to the analysis by AreaSearch, the population of Grindelwald - Lanena is estimated at 6,459 in May 2026. This represents an expansion of 323 people (5.3%) from the 2021 Census, which recorded 6,136 people. The estimation is derived from the ABS estimated resident population of 6,416 in June 2025 and 97 validated new addresses registered after the Census. This population corresponds to a density of 18.7 persons per square kilometer, indicating a low-density environment with substantial space per resident. The area's growth rate of 5.3% since the 2021 census was higher than the Tasmanian state average of 4.0% and its broader SA4 region, positioning it as a local growth leader. The primary driver of this demographic expansion was interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 48.4% of the population increase, though positive contributions were also observed from overseas migration and natural population growth.

Projections from ABS/Geoscience Australia released in 2024 with a 2022 baseline are utilized for each SA2 area. For localities not represented in that release, and to calculate age group trends beyond 2032, regional projections from the Tasmania State Government released in 2022 with a 2021 baseline are applied, utilizing weighted aggregation to translate LGA figures to the SA2 level. Future projections indicate population growth slightly below the median for regional Australian localities, with the population projected to grow by 478 persons by 2041 relative to the most recent annual ERP statistics, representing a cumulative increase of 6.7% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Grindelwald - Lanena recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

An average of 28 residential building approvals have been registered annually in Grindelwald - Lanena, representing a total of 140 dwellings over the last 5 financial years. In the current financial year of FY-26, 14 approvals have been documented. Over the five financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 2 residents moved to the district for every new home built, indicating solid demand that supports local property prices. The average construction value for these new dwellings is $266,000. Additionally, commercial building approvals worth $1.2 million have been recorded in the current financial year, highlighting the predominantly residential character of the locality.

The rate of new dwelling approvals per capita in Grindelwald - Lanena is approximately two-thirds of the rate observed across the Rest of Tas., placing the area in the 49th percentile nationally. This points to constrained choices for prospective purchasers, which helps sustain demand for existing housing stock. Recent construction activity is comprised entirely of detached houses, maintaining the low-density profile of the community and attracting buyers looking for larger properties. The ratio of 348 people per dwelling approval reflects a quiet building sector with limited development activity.

Projections indicate that the population of Grindelwald - Lanena will rise by 435 residents by 2041, measured from the most recent quarterly estimate by AreaSearch. Given the current rate of home building, the supply of housing is expected to satisfy demand, creating positive conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth that outpaces current predictions.

Grindelwald - Lanena has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 13thth percentile nationally

Local infrastructure projects, planning changes, and major developments have a significant influence on the performance of a region. AreaSearch has identified 7 projects that are expected to impact the local area. Key initiatives include the Exeter Pedestrian Crossings, the Exeter High School - Major School Redevelopment, the West Tamar Highway Targeted Upgrades (Exeter to Launceston), and the Atkinsons Road Upgrade, with detailed information provided for those most relevant to the district.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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While Grindelwald - Lanena retains a healthy unemployment rate of 2.9%, recent employment declines have impacted its national performance ranking

The local workforce in Grindelwald - Lanena is characterized by a high proportion of skilled workers, a strong representation of essential services, and a low unemployment rate of 2.9%. In March 2026, there were 3,076 employed residents. The unemployment rate is 1.1% lower than the Regional Tas. rate of 3.9%, while the participation rate aligns closely with the regional benchmark of 58.8%. Census data indicates that 14.3% of the working population operated from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of pandemic lockdowns.

The primary sectors of employment for local residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The workforce shows a high concentration in professional & technical services, with an employment share that is 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, the agriculture, forestry & fishing sector is under-represented, employing 6.2% of the local workforce compared to 8.4% across Regional Tas.. Comparison between the resident working population and the local job count suggests that the immediate area provides limited employment opportunities.

An analysis of SALM and ABS data by AreaSearch shows that during the 12 months leading to March 2026, the local labor force contracted by 1.6% and employment fell by 1.7%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.1 percentage points. This contrasts with the broader Regional Tas. trends, where employment expanded by 1.8%, the labor force grew by 1.7%, and unemployment decreased slightly. Employment projections released by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 offer additional context on future demand trends for Grindelwald - Lanena. These five-year and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce structure to model potential growth. Nationwide, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with significant variation between sectors. Mapping these trends to the industry mix of Grindelwald - Lanena suggests a local employment increase of 6.2% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, assuming a simple weighted extrapolation based on industry shares without local population adjustments.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

Income levels in the Grindelwald - Lanena SA2 are below the national average, according to the latest postcode ATO statistics for the financial year 2023. The median income was recorded at $49,043, while the average income was $58,900. In comparison, Regional Tas. recorded a median income of $49,689 and an average of $59,358. Applying the Wage Price Index growth of 10.95% since the financial year 2023 results in estimated figures of $54,413 for the median and $65,350 for the average in March 2026. Data from the 2021 Census places household, family, and personal incomes in Grindelwald - Lanena between the 18th and 25th percentiles nationally. Looking at distribution, the income band of $1,500 - 2,999 contains 31.9% of the population (2,060 individuals), which is similar to the wider region where 28.5% fall into this range. Housing costs consume a manageable portion of income, leaving residents with 88.9% of their earnings, although disposable income ranks in the 32nd percentile nationally and the SEIFA index for income places the area in the 4th decile.

Grindelwald - Lanena is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

According to the latest Census, the housing stock in Grindelwald - Lanena was dominated by standalone houses at 99.0%, with other dwelling types (including semi-detached properties, apartments, and alternative structures) accounting for 1.1%. In comparison, Regional Tas. recorded 89.9% houses and 10.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Grindelwald - Lanena stood at 49.5%, which was higher than the regional average, while mortgaged properties accounted for 40.0% and rented homes made up 10.5%. The median monthly mortgage payment was $1,310, exceeding the Regional Tas. average of $1,274. The median weekly rent was $293, compared to $250 in Regional Tas.. Nationally, the monthly mortgage costs in Grindelwald - Lanena are lower than the Australian median of $1,863, and weekly rents are below the national average of $375.

Grindelwald - Lanena has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family units make up the majority of households at 75.1%, consisting of 27.9% couples with children, 38.6% couples without children, and 8.0% single parent households. Non-family households account for the remaining 24.9%, with single-person households representing 23.3% and shared group households making up 1.6% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is higher than the Regional Tas. average of 2.3.

Educational outcomes in Grindelwald - Lanena fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The proportion of residents with tertiary qualifications in Grindelwald - Lanena is lower than regional benchmarks, with 21.1% of the population aged 15+ holding a university degree compared to 30.4% nationwide. This indicates potential for educational growth and workforce upskilling. Among university graduates, bachelor degrees are the most common qualification at 14.0%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 4.6% and graduate diplomas at 2.5%. Vocational training is prominent, with 41.4% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 11.0% and certificate qualifications at 30.4%.

Engagement in learning is high within the community, with 25.7% of residents currently enrolled in an educational institution. This group includes 10.0% in primary schooling, 8.2% in secondary education, and 2.9% undertaking higher education programs.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

The level of general health in Grindelwald - Lanena is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

The population of Grindelwald - Lanena exhibits favorable health profiles based on mortality statistics and chronic disease trends analyzed by AreaSearch, with low rates of common illnesses observed in both younger and older cohorts. Private health insurance coverage is low, with approximately 48% of the population (~3,126 people) holding private policies, compared to the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent chronic conditions in the locality are arthritis, affecting 11.9% of residents, and asthma, affecting 8.6%. A total of 61.4% of the population reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 62.0% across Regional Tas.. The working-age cohort exhibits elevated rates of chronic illness, indicating specific health challenges. Residents aged 65 and over make up 29.9% of the population (1,929 people), which is higher than the 24.9% regional average. The health status of these senior residents is above average, with national rankings aligning with those of the broader local community.

Grindelwald - Lanena is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Cultural diversity in Grindelwald - Lanena is lower than average, with 82.6% of residents born in Australia, 90.6% holding citizenship, and 96.4% speaking only English in their homes. Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 44.4% of the population. The most prominent religious overrepresentation is Judaism, which accounts for 0.1% of residents compared to 0.1% across Regional Tas..

Regarding ancestral background based on parental birthplace, the three largest groups in Grindelwald - Lanena are English at 35.0%, Australian at 31.1%, and Scottish at 8.4%. There are also notable differences in other backgrounds, with Dutch heritage overrepresented at 2.7% of the population (compared to 1.7% in the region), Welsh at 0.8% (compared to 0.4% regionally), and South Australian at 0.5% (compared to 0.2% regionally).

Grindelwald - Lanena ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

The median age of 50 years in Grindelwald - Lanena is higher than the Regional Tas. average of 45 and the national median of 38. Compared to regional figures, the 65 - 74 age group is over-represented, accounting for 16.7% of the local population, while the 25 - 34 cohort is under-represented at 7.9%. This concentration of residents aged 65 - 74 is higher than the national share of 9.4%. Since 2021, the 75 to 84 cohort expanded from 8.0% to 10.2% of the population, and the 65 to 74 group rose from 15.4% to 16.7%. In contrast, the 45 to 54 cohort decreased from 14.1% to 11.7%, and the 55 to 64 group fell from 18.1% to 16.6%. Demographic projections for 2041 suggest significant changes, with the 85+ cohort expected to grow by 134%, adding 255 residents to reach 447. Older residents aged 65+ are projected to account for 72% of total population growth, reflecting a clear aging trend. Conversely, the cohorts aged 0 to 4 and 5 to 14 are expected to decrease in size.