Newnham - Mayfield

An assessment of population growth drivers in Newnham - Mayfield reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Newnham-Mayfield's population is approximately 10,405 as of February 2026. This represents an increase of 777 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,628. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates: 10,010 in June 2024 and an additional 199 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a population density ratio of 441 persons per square kilometer. Newnham-Mayfield's 8.1% growth since the 2021 Census exceeds both its SA3 area (4.2%) and the state average, indicating it as a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 87.2% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and post-2032 growth by age group, Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections are adopted, adjusted using weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Future demographic trends suggest a population decline: the area is projected to lose 68 people by 2041. However, specific age cohorts like the 85 and over group are expected to grow, with an increase of 132 people anticipated.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Newnham - Mayfield when compared nationally

Newnham - Mayfield has averaged approximately 39 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 198 homes. As of FY26, 7 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years, an average of 1.8 people per year moved to the area for each dwelling built, indicating balanced supply and demand conditions. However, this figure has eased to 0.1 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting improved supply availability. The average expected construction cost value for new properties is $217,000, which is below regional norms, offering more affordable housing options.

In FY26, commercial development approvals totalling $21.7 million have been recorded, indicating balanced commercial development activity in the area. Compared to the Rest of Tas., Newnham - Mayfield has similar development levels per person, maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area. Recent periods have seen an increase in development activity.

Of new building approvals, 91.0% are for detached dwellings and 9.0% for medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes. With approximately 167 people per dwelling approval, Newnham - Mayfield exhibits characteristics of a growth area. Given expected population stability or decline, reduced pressure on housing is anticipated in the area, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Newnham - Mayfield has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 12thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified twenty projects that could impact this region. Notable ones are Newnham Subdivision by Fairlands Property, Northern Suburbs Community Recreation Hub (The Hub), Newnham Campus Development Strategy, and Alanvale Gardens. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Newnham - Mayfield face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Newnham-Mayfield has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation, an unemployment rate of 6.7% as of September 2025. The area's employment rate is 2.9% higher than the Rest of Tas.'s rate of 3.8%, while its participation rate matches the regional average at 58.6%. According to Census data, a low 3.2% of residents work from home.

Key industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation & food services. Retail trade is particularly notable with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 6.1%, compared to the regional average of 8.4%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population.

Between September 2024 and September 2025, the labour force decreased by 2.6% while employment declined by 2.5%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 6.7%. In contrast, Rest of Tas. saw employment growth of 0.7% and labour force growth of 0.5%, with a slight drop in unemployment to 3.6%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Newnham-Mayfield's employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Newnham - Mayfield SA2 has an income below the national average. The median income is $44,976 and the average income is $49,309. In comparison, Rest of Tas. has a median income of $49,689 and an average income of $59,358. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.6% since financial year 2023, the estimated current incomes for Newnham - Mayfield SA2 are approximately $49,294 (median) and $54,043 (average) as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes in Newnham - Mayfield all fall between the 8th and 9th percentiles nationally. The predominant income cohort spans 30.0% of locals (3,121 people) in the $800 - 1,499 category, differing from surrounding regions where $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 28.5%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Newnham - Mayfield SA2, with only 83.0% of income remaining, ranking at the 9th percentile nationally.

Newnham - Mayfield is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Newnham-Mayfield, as per the latest Census, 79.5% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 20.5% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. This is compared to Non-Metro Tas., which had 89.9% houses and 10.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Newnham-Mayfield stood at 26.7%, with mortgaged properties at 29.5% and rented dwellings at 43.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,170, lower than Non-Metro Tas.'s average of $1,274. Weekly rent in Newnham-Mayfield was $250, matching the Non-Metro Tas. figure but significantly below the national average of $375. Nationally, mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863.

Newnham - Mayfield features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 65.6% of all households, including 23.9% couples with children, 22.8% couples without children, and 17.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 34.4%, with lone person households at 29.7% and group households making up 4.7%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Rest of Tas. average of 2.3.

Newnham - Mayfield faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 18.6%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 32.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (6.0%) and certificates (26.0%).

Educational participation is high, with 30.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.0% in primary, 6.7% in tertiary, and 6.1% in secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 60 active transport stops operating within Newnham - Mayfield, consisting of bus services. These stops are served by 147 individual routes, collectively providing 11,522 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 189 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode at 91%, with 6% by bus. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling, below the regional average.

Only 3.2% of residents work from home (2021 Census). Service frequency averages 1,646 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 192 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Newnham - Mayfield is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Newnham - Mayfield faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch through mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. A variety of health conditions affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 46% (~4,786 people), compared to 49.1% in the rest of Tasmania and a national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 10.1% and 9.6% of residents respectively. 64.7% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 62.0% in the rest of Tasmania. Working-age residents face notable health challenges due to high chronic condition rates. The area has 15.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,638 people), lower than the 24.9% in the rest of Tasmania. Health outcomes among seniors are generally in line with national rankings.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Newnham - Mayfield was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Newnham-Mayfield has a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 23.5% of its population born overseas and 21.3% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Newnham-Mayfield, making up 38.6% of people there. Notably, the 'Other' religious category comprises 2.7%, compared to 0.7% across the rest of Tasmania.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups are English (30.5%), Australian (29.7%), and Other (13.4%), which is significantly higher than the regional average of 4.6%. There are also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Australian Aboriginal at 4.4% (vs regional 4.1%), Samoan at 0.2% (vs none regionally), and Vietnamese at 0.5% (vs regional 0.1%).

Newnham - Mayfield hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Newnham-Mayfield's median age is 33 years, which is significantly below the Rest of Tas. average of 45 and younger than Australia's median age of 38. Compared to the Rest of Tas., the 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented at 18.5% locally, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 7.9%. Following the Census on Mayfield - Newnham in 2021, the 35 to 44 age group grew from 12.1% to 14.0%, whereas the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 10.8% to 8.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Newnham-Mayfield's age profile will evolve significantly. The 45 to 54 cohort is projected to grow by 16%, adding 150 residents to reach 1,080. Aging demographics continue as residents aged 65 and older represent 53% of anticipated growth. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 0 to 4 and 65 to 74 cohorts.