Newnham - Mayfield
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Newnham - Mayfield reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Newnham-Mayfield's population is approximately 10,362 as of August 2025. This figure represents an increase of 734 people, a 7.6% rise from the 9,628 reported in the 2021 Census. The growth is inferred from ABS estimates: 10,010 residents by June 2024 and additional validated addresses since then. This results in a population density of 439 persons per square kilometer. Newnham-Mayfield's growth exceeded its SA3 area (3.6%) and the state average, indicating it as a region leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 87.2% to recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 growth by age group, Tasmania's Regional/LGA projections from 2022 using 2021 as the base year are adopted with adjustments made via weighted aggregation at LGA to SA2 levels. Future demographic trends suggest a population decline of 68 persons by 2041, but specific age cohorts like those aged 85 and over are projected to grow, with an increase of 132 people anticipated in that group.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Newnham - Mayfield when compared nationally

Newnham-Mayfield has averaged approximately 39 new dwelling approvals annually. The Australian Bureau of Statistics produces development approval data on a financial year basis, totalling 198 approvals over the past five financial years from FY-2021 to FY-2025, with two approvals recorded so far in FY-2026. Over these five years, an average of 1.8 people moved to the area per dwelling built, indicating a balanced supply and demand until recently, when this ratio moderated to 0.1 people per dwelling over the past two financial years. The average construction value for development projects is $225,000, lower than regional levels, suggesting more affordable housing options. This year has seen $21.7 million in commercial approvals, reflecting consistent commercial investment activity.

Compared to the Rest of Tasmania, Newnham-Mayfield maintains similar development levels per capita, preserving market balance with the broader area while experiencing increased development activity recently. The area's building activity comprises 91% detached dwellings and 9% medium and high-density housing, retaining its traditional low-density character focused on family homes. With around 167 people per dwelling approval, Newnham-Mayfield exhibits growth area characteristics.

Given stable or declining population projections, the area is expected to face reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Newnham - Mayfield has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 7thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 23 projects that could affect this region. Notable initiatives include Newnham Subdivision by Fairlands Property, Northern Suburbs Community Recreation Hub (The Hub), Newnham Campus Development Strategy, and another Northern Suburbs Community Recreation Hub project. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment conditions in Newnham - Mayfield face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Newnham-Mayfield has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. The unemployment rate in June 2025 was 6.7%.

At this time, 4552 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.8% higher than Rest of Tas.'s rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation was on par with Rest of Tas.'s 55.7%. Key industries for employment among residents included health care and social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation and food services. The area had a notable concentration in retail trade, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average.

Agriculture, forestry, and fishing had limited presence, with only 6.1% of employment compared to the regional average of 8.4%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited based on Census working population versus resident population data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, labour force decreased by 1.4%, while employment declined by 0.9%, causing unemployment rate to fall by 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Tas. experienced an employment decline of 0.5% and labour force decline of 0.6%. State-level data from Sep-25 showed TAS employment grew by 0.77% year-on-year (adding 1170 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.3%, favourable compared to the national unemployment rate of 4.5%. National employment forecasts from May 2025 projected growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but local projections suggested Newnham-Mayfield's growth could be approximately 6.0%% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Newnham - Mayfield has an income below the national average. The median income is $42,024 and the average income stands at $46,470. This contrasts with Rest of Tas.'s median income of $47,358 and average income of $57,384. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.94% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Newnham - Mayfield would be approximately $47,042 (median) and $52,019 (average) as of March 2025. Census 2021 income data shows that household, family and personal incomes in Newnham - Mayfield fall between the 8th and 9th percentiles nationally. The predominant income cohort spans 30.0% of locals (3,108 people) with incomes between $800 and $1,499, differing from surrounding regions where incomes between $1,500 and $2,999 dominate with 28.5%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Newnham - Mayfield, with only 83.0% of income remaining, ranking at the 9th percentile nationally.

Newnham - Mayfield is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Newnham - Mayfield, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 79.5% houses and 20.5% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Tas.'s dwelling structure was 82.1% houses and 17.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Newnham - Mayfield stood at 26.7%, with the remainder being mortgaged (29.5%) or rented (43.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,170, lower than Non-Metro Tas.'s average of $1,300. The median weekly rent figure was $250, compared to Non-Metro Tas.'s $280. Nationally, Newnham - Mayfield's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,170 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Newnham - Mayfield features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 65.6% of all households, including 23.9% couples with children, 22.8% couples without children, and 17.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up 34.4%, consisting of 29.7% lone person households and 4.7% group households. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Rest of Tas. average of 2.3.

Newnham - Mayfield faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 18.6%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 32.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (6.0%) and certificates (26.0%).

Educational participation is high at 30.9%, including 11.0% in primary education, 6.7% in tertiary education, and 6.1% pursuing secondary education. The four schools in Newnham - Mayfield have a combined enrollment of 931 students. They include one primary, one secondary, and one K-12 school, with another specialist school addressing specific learning needs. Local school capacity is limited at 9.0 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 18.4, leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 60 active transport stops operating within Newnham - Mayfield. These stops are serviced by a mix of buses comprising 118 individual routes, collectively providing 11,301 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 189 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 1,614 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 188 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Newnham - Mayfield is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Newnham - Mayfield faces significant health challenges, with a notably higher prevalence of common health conditions compared to the average, particularly among older age groups. As of May 2021, approximately 46% (~4807 people) have private health cover, significantly lower than the Rest of Tas. average (50.6%) and the national average (55.3%).

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most prevalent conditions in the area, affecting 10.1% and 9.6% of residents respectively. However, 64.7% of residents report having no medical ailments, slightly higher than the Rest of Tas. average (63.9%). The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 15.5% (1610 people), compared to Rest of Tas.'s 19.9%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to the unique challenges faced by this demographic.

Newnham - Mayfield was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Newnham-Mayfield has a higher cultural diversity compared to most local areas, with 23.5% of its population born overseas and 21.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Newnham-Mayfield, making up 38.6% of the population. Notably, the category 'Other' comprises 2.7% of the population, compared to 1.1% across the rest of Tasmania.

The top three ancestry groups are English (30.5%), Australian (29.7%), and Other (13.4%), which is significantly higher than the regional average of 7.1%. There are also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Australian Aboriginal is overrepresented at 4.4% (versus 2.7% regionally), Samoan at 0.2%, and Vietnamese at 0.5%.

Newnham - Mayfield hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Newnham-Mayfield's median age is 33 years, significantly below the Rest of Tasmania average of 45 years and considerably younger than the Australian median of 38 years. The 25-34 age cohort is notably over-represented in Newnham-Mayfield at 18.4%, compared to the Rest of Tasmania's average. Conversely, the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented locally at 7.9%. According to the 2021 Census, the 35-44 age group has grown from 12.1% to 13.9% of the population, while the 45-54 cohort has declined from 10.8% to 9.1%. Demographic modeling suggests that Newnham-Mayfield's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 45-54 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 14%, adding 133 residents to reach 1,080. Demographic aging continues as residents aged 65 and older represent 60% of anticipated growth. Population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 65-74 age cohorts.