Newnham - Mayfield
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Newnham - Mayfield reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Newnham-Mayfield's population is approximately 10,392 as of November 2025. This figure represents a 764-person increase (7.9%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 9,628. The growth was inferred from an estimated resident population of 10,010 in June 2024 and an additional 194 validated new addresses post-Census. This results in a density ratio of 440 persons per square kilometer. Newnham-Mayfield's growth rate exceeded the SA3 area (3.9%) and the state average during this period, making it a regional growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 87.2% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 growth by age group, Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections are adopted, adjusted using a weighted aggregation method from LGA to SA2 levels. Future demographic trends indicate an overall population decline in the area, with a projected contraction of 68 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are expected to grow, notably the 85 and over group, projected to increase by 132 people.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Newnham - Mayfield when compared nationally

Newnham - Mayfield has averaged approximately 39 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 198 homes. As of FY-26 so far, 2 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.8 people moved to the area per dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating balanced supply and demand with stable market conditions. This figure has eased to 0.1 people per dwelling over the past two financial years due to improved supply availability. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $217,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms.

In FY-26 so far, $21.7 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to the Rest of Tas., Newnham - Mayfield has similar development levels per person, maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area. Recent periods show an increase in development activity.

Approximately 91% of new building activity consists of detached dwellings, with around 9% being medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes. With approximately 167 people per dwelling approval, Newnham - Mayfield exhibits characteristics of a growth area. Given the expected stable or declining population, reduced pressure on housing is anticipated, potentially presenting opportunities for buyers.

Newnham - Mayfield has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 7thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 projects likely to affect the area. Notable ones include Newnham Subdivision by Fairlands Property, Newnham Campus Development Strategy, Northern Suburbs Community Recreation Hub (The Hub), and The Green. Relevant projects are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Newnham - Mayfield face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Newnham-Mayfield has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation and an unemployment rate of 6.7% as of June 2025. There are 4,552 residents in work, with the unemployment rate being 2.8 percentage points higher than Rest of Tas.'s rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation is on par with Rest of Tas.'s 55.7%. Key industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation & food. Retail trade shows notable concentration with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence, with 6.1% employment compared to 8.4% regionally.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, labour force decreased by 1.4% while employment declined by 0.9%, causing unemployment rate to fall by 0.4 percentage points. Rest of Tas. saw employment decline of 0.5% and labour force decline of 0.6%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Newnham-Mayfield's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.0% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Newnham - Mayfield has a median income of $42,024 and an average income of $46,470. This is below the national average. In contrast, Rest of Tas.'s median income is $47,358 with an average of $57,384. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.83% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Newnham - Mayfield would be approximately $47,836 (median) and $52,897 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data indicates that incomes in Newnham - Mayfield fall between the 8th and 9th percentiles nationally for households, families, and individuals. Income distribution shows that 30.0% of locals (3,117 people) earn between $800 and $1,499, differing from surrounding regions where the $1,500 to $2,999 category dominates at 28.5%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Newnham - Mayfield, with only 83.0% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 9th percentile nationally.

Newnham - Mayfield is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Newnham - Mayfield, as per the latest Census, 79.5% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 20.5% being semi-detached, apartments, and other types. In comparison, Non-Metro Tas. had 82.1% houses and 17.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Newnham - Mayfield was at 26.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 29.5% and rented ones at 43.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,170, lower than Non-Metro Tas.'s average of $1,300. The median weekly rent figure in Newnham - Mayfield was $250, compared to Non-Metro Tas.'s $280. Nationally, Newnham - Mayfield's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,170 compared to Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Newnham - Mayfield features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 65.6% of all households, including 23.9% couples with children, 22.8% couples without children, and 17.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 34.4%, with lone person households at 29.7% and group households making up 4.7%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Rest of Tas. average of 2.3.

Newnham - Mayfield faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 18.6%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 11.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 32.0% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (6.0%) and certificates (26.0%).

Educational participation is high, with 30.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 6.7% in tertiary education, and 6.1% pursuing secondary education. The three schools in Newnham - Mayfield have a combined enrollment of 931 students. The area has varied educational conditions, with one primary, one secondary, and one K-12 school. Local school capacity is limited at 9.0 places per 100 residents, compared to the regional average of 18.4, resulting in many families traveling for schooling.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 60 active transport stops operating within Newnham - Mayfield comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 118 individual routes, collectively providing 11,301 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 189 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 1,614 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 188 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Newnham - Mayfield is well below average with considerably higher than average prevalence of common health conditions and to an even higher degree among older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health challenges in Newnham - Mayfield, with a considerably higher prevalence of common health conditions compared to average, particularly among older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (around 4,821 people), compared to 50.6% across the rest of Tasmania and the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 10.1% and 9.6% of residents respectively, while 64.7% of residents claim to be completely free from medical ailments, compared to 63.9% across the rest of Tasmania.

The area has 15.5% of residents aged 65 and over (1,614 people), which is lower than the 19.9% in the rest of Tasmania. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention due to presenting some challenges.

Newnham - Mayfield was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Newnham-Mayfield, found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, had 23.5% of its population born overseas and 21.3% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the dominant religion in Newnham-Mayfield, comprising 38.6% of people there. Notably, 'Other' religions made up 2.7%, higher than the regional average of 1.1%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (30.5%), Australian (29.7%), and Other (13.4%), with 'Other' being substantially higher than the regional average of 7.1%. Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: Australian Aboriginal was overrepresented at 4.4% compared to 2.7% regionally, Samoan at 0.2% versus none regionally, and Vietnamese at 0.5% versus 0.2%.

Newnham - Mayfield hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Newnham-Mayfield's median age is 33 years, which is significantly below the Rest of Tasmania average of 45 and younger than the Australian median of 38. The 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented at 18.4% compared to the Rest of Tasmania average, while the 65-74 age group is under-represented at 7.9%. According to the 2021 Census, the 35-44 age group has grown from 12.1% to 13.9%, while the 45-54 cohort has declined from 10.8% to 9.1%. Demographic modeling suggests that by 2041, Newnham-Mayfield's age profile will evolve significantly. The 45-54 cohort is projected to grow by 14%, adding 131 residents to reach 1,080. Residents aged 65 and older represent 60% of anticipated growth, indicating demographic aging. However, population declines are projected for the 0-4 and 65-74 age cohorts.