Newnham - Mayfield

An assessment of population growth drivers in Newnham - Mayfield reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Newnham - Mayfield's population is around 10,405 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 777 people (8.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,628 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,010 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 199 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 441 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Newnham - Mayfield's 8.1% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (4.2%) and the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 87.2% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth by age group in the years post-2032, the Tasmania State Government's Regional/LGA projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year, are adopted with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Regarding demographic trends, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the area's population expected to contract by 68 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 85 and over age group, which is projected to expand by 132 people. See the age section for more details.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Newnham - Mayfield when compared nationally

Newnham - Mayfield has averaged around 39 new dwelling approvals each year, totalling 198 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 7 approvals have been recorded. With an average of 1.8 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand appear well-balanced, creating stable market conditions, with recent figures indicating this has eased to 0.1 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, reflecting better supply availability. New properties are constructed at an average value of $217,000 —below regional norms— reflecting more affordable housing options for purchasers. Additionally, $21.7 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, suggesting balanced commercial development activity.

Relative to the Rest of Tas., Newnham - Mayfield has similar development levels (per person), maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area, though development activity has picked up in recent periods. New building activity shows 91.0% detached dwellings and 9.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 167 people per dwelling approval, Newnham - Mayfield shows characteristics of a growth area.

With the population expected to remain stable or decline, Newnham - Mayfield should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Newnham - Mayfield has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 12thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 20 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Newnham Subdivision (Fairlands Property), Northern Suburbs Community Recreation Hub (The Hub), Newnham Campus Development Strategy, and Alanvale Gardens, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Newnham - Mayfield face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Newnham - Mayfield has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation and an unemployment rate of 6.7%. As of December 2025, 4,490 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 2.9% above Regional Tas.'s rate of 3.8%, and workforce participation is on par with Regional Tas.'s 58.9%. Based on Census responses, a low 3.2% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and accommodation & food. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in retail trade, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Meanwhile, agriculture, forestry & fishing has a limited presence with 6.1% employment compared to 8.4% regionally. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, the labour force decreased by 2.0% while employment declined by 1.8%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Tas. experienced employment growth of 1.8% and labour force growth of 1.5%, with a 0.3 percentage point drop. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Newnham - Mayfield. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Newnham - Mayfield's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.9% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for FY-23 reveals that income in the Newnham - Mayfield SA2 is below the national average, with the median assessed at $44,976 while the average income stands at $49,309. This contrasts with Regional Tas.'s figures of a median income of $49,689 and an average income of $59,358. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.6% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $49,294 (median) and $54,043 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Newnham - Mayfield all fall between the 8th and 9th percentiles nationally. Looking at income distribution, the predominant cohort spans 30.0% of locals (3,121 people) in the $800 - 1,499 category, differing from patterns across the surrounding region where $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 28.5%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 83.0% of income remaining, ranking at the 9th percentile.

Newnham - Mayfield is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure within Newnham - Mayfield, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 79.5% houses and 20.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Tas.'s 89.9% houses and 10.1% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Newnham - Mayfield was lagging that of Regional Tas., at 26.7%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (29.5%) or rented (43.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was below the Regional Tas. average at $1,170, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $250, compared to Regional Tas.'s $1,274 and $250. Nationally, Newnham - Mayfield's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Newnham - Mayfield features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 65.6% of all households, comprising 23.9% couples with children, 22.8% couples without children, and 17.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 34.4%, with lone person households at 29.7% and group households comprising 4.7% of the total. The median household size of 2.5 people is larger than the Regional Tas. average of 2.3.

Newnham - Mayfield faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (18.6%) substantially below the Australian average of 30.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 11.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.1%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 32.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (6.0%) and certificates (26.0%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 6.7% in tertiary education, and 6.1% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 60 active transport stops operating within Newnham - Mayfield, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 147 individual routes, collectively providing 11,522 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 189 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 91%, with 6% by bus. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling, which is below the regional average. A relatively low 3.2% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 1,646 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 192 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Newnham - Mayfield is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Critical health challenges are evident across Newnham - Mayfield, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. A range of health conditions have marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is extremely low at approximately 46% of the total population (~4,786 people). This compares to 49.1% across Regional Tas. The national average is 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be mental health issues and arthritis, impacting 10.1 and 9.6% of residents, respectively, while 64.7% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 62.0% across Regional Tas. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 15.8% of residents aged 65 and over (1,638 people), which is lower than the 24.9% in Regional Tas. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Newnham - Mayfield was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Newnham - Mayfield is more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets, with 23.5% of its population born overseas and 21.3% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Newnham - Mayfield is Christianity, which makes up 38.6% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Other, which comprises 2.7% of the population, compared to 0.7% across Regional Tas..

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Newnham - Mayfield are English, comprising 30.5% of the population, Australian, comprising 29.7% of the population, and Other, comprising 13.4% of the population, which is substantially higher than the regional average of 4.6%. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Australian Aboriginal is notably overrepresented at 4.4% of Newnham - Mayfield (vs 4.1% regionally), Samoan at 0.2% (vs 0.0%) and Vietnamese at 0.5% (vs 0.1%).

Newnham - Mayfield hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

At 33 years, Newnham - Mayfield's median age is significantly below the Regional Tas. average of 45 as well as considerably younger than the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Regional Tas. average, the 25 - 34 cohort is notably over-represented (18.5% locally), while 65 - 74 year-olds are under-represented (7.9%). Following the 2021 Census, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 12.1% to 14.0% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 10.8% to 8.9%. Demographic modeling suggests Newnham - Mayfield's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 45 to 54 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 16%, adding 150 residents to reach 1,080. Demographic aging continues as residents 65 and older represent 53% of anticipated growth. On the other hand, population declines are projected for the 0 to 4 and 65 to 74 cohorts.