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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Mowbray (Tas.) has an estimated 4,146 residents, up from 4,048 at the 2021 Census — a change of 98 people, or 2.4%. That puts 447 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to investigations of demographic updates from the ABS for the wider region alongside newly confirmed residential locations verified by AreaSearch since the Census, the suburb of Mowbray (Tas.) has an estimated residency of roughly 4,146 residents as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 98 individuals (2.4%) relative to the 2021 Census, when the head count was 4,048 people. The trend is derived from the resident count of 4,136 determined by AreaSearch through analysing the June 2025 release of ERP figures by the ABS, in addition to 25 verified new addresses identified after the Census date.
This population size yields a density of 446 persons per square kilometer, offering ample room per resident and capacity for prospective development. The suburb of Mowbray (Tas.) registered a 2.4% post-census expansion, which is within 0.2 percentage points of the SA3 region (2.6%), highlighting competitive local growth dynamics. In recent times, population increases in this locality were chiefly supported by arrivals from abroad, who accounted for about 85.0% of the overall population rise. Projections from the ABS and Geoscience Australia released in 2024 with a 2022 baseline are utilised by AreaSearch for each SA2 zone. Where these details are missing, or to calculate post-2032 demographic shifts by age category, regional and LGA projections from the Tasmanian State Government published in 2022 with a 2021 baseline are applied, adjusted using a weighted aggregation method of population increases from LGA to SA2 zones. Looking ahead at long-term patterns, projections indicate a shrinking total population, with the suburb of Mowbray (Tas.) expected to lose 36 residents by 2041 under this framework. Conversely, expansion is anticipated within particular age bands, particularly the cohort aged 45 to 54, which is expected to rise by 84 people. Refer to the age section for further details.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
54 new dwellings have been approved in Mowbray (Tas.) over the past five years, an average of 10 a year. That is 2.6 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 7, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Based on analysis of ABS construction approval data allocated from regional statistical boundaries, Mowbray has typically seen roughly 10 residential approvals annually, accumulating to an estimated 54 residences over the past 5 financial years. Thus far during FY-26, 7 building approvals have been registered. As the population has dropped over the preceding period, housing development has kept pace with demand, yielding a balanced market with broad selection for purchasers, while newly approved dwellings carry an average construction value of $331,000, which is slightly above typical regional levels and points to quality-driven builds.
Furthermore, $1.3 million in approvals for commercial spaces have been documented during the current financial year, showing limited development in the commercial sector. Compared with the Rest of Tas., Mowbray displays approximately two-thirds of the new residential approval rate per person, positioning it in the 50th percentile of evaluated areas across the country. This building volume is also below the nationwide average, illustrating the mature state of the market and suggesting potential planning limitations. In addition, recent construction permits are comprised entirely of free-standing houses, preserving the traditional low-density profile of the neighborhood and emphasizing family-oriented living spaces. Developers are currently building a higher proportion of detached homes than the historical baseline would suggest (85.0% at the Census), highlighting sustained demand for single-family residences despite broader trends toward consolidation. The local area shows approximately 331 people per approved dwelling, indicating a low-density property market. With expectations that the local population will remain unchanged or contract, Mowbray is likely to experience less pressure on its housing inventory, which could open up favorable options for home purchasers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Mowbray (Tas.)
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 3 current infrastructure and development projects inside Mowbray (Tas.), worth an estimated $66 million. A further 41 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $2.83 billion. 9 are already under construction and 12 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, sports & recreation and environmental & disaster management. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Few elements impact local performance as significantly as updates to regional infrastructure, major works, and planning schemes. In total, AreaSearch has flagged 21 projects that are anticipated to influence the area. Leading initiatives include the Northern Suburbs Community Recreation Hub (The Hub), the kanamaluka Cultural Centre (incorporating conference and exhibition spaces), the UTAS Stadium Redevelopment, and the Flood Levee Protected Areas Specific Area Plan, with the list below highlighting those expected to hold the greatest local relevance.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Northern Suburbs Community Recreation Hub (The Hub)
The Hub is Tasmania's largest multi-purpose community sporting and recreation facility, located at Mowbray in Launceston. Stage 2, delivered by Vos Construction and Joinery, officially opened on 28 March 2026 following 18 months of construction. The facility spans over 10,000 square metres of indoor space and features 7 courts (4 netball, 3 multi-use), a rock climbing wall, gymnastics area, gym, dojo, boxing and weightlifting facilities, cafe, commercial kitchen, grandstand seating, youth engagement spaces, and EV charging.PCYC North operates the venue as manager. Stage 3, a $18.9 million Tasmanian Government-funded expansion adding 4 additional multipurpose courts (bringing the total to 11) and approximately 4,600 square metres of new floor area, has a development application open for public comment as of April 2026, with construction expected to commence in late 2026.
kanamaluka Cultural Centre (Incorporating Conference & Exhibition Space)
A $70 million cultural and convention precinct developed as a joint venture between JMC Group and the Tasmanian Symphony Orchestra. The facility features a 750-seat concert hall, a 1000-seat conference and exhibition centre, a black-box theatre, and dedicated First Nations cultural spaces. As of February 2026, the project is 'locked in' following a $10 million State Government commitment. The development includes a 400-metre public boardwalk and essential riverbank remediation works at Kings Wharf, supported by a $5 million pledge from the City of Launceston.
UTAS Stadium Redevelopment
The $130 million redevelopment of UTAS Stadium (York Park) is transforming the venue into a world-class Tier 2 sporting precinct. Main works include the new mass-timber Centre West Stand featuring premium seating and corporate facilities, a redeveloped Eastern Stand with 3,629 seats, and Western Stand infill seating. The project increases capacity to 17,500 and prepares the venue for the Tasmania Devils AFL/AFLW entry in 2028. Construction is being delivered in phases to maintain stadium operations for AFL and BBL matches.
Flood Levee Protected Areas Specific Area Plan
Draft Amendment PSA-LLP0029 to the Tasmanian Planning Scheme - Launceston Local Provisions Schedule. The amendment removes the legacy LAU-S10.0 Invermay/Inveresk Flood Inundation Specific Area Plan and inserts a new LAU-S17 Flood Levee Protected Areas Specific Area Plan, while modifying the C12.0 Flood-Prone Areas Hazard Code overlay. The new plan establishes a current, best-practice, risk-based framework for land use and development across five mapped areas covering Invermay, Inveresk, Newstead and parts of central Launceston. Land is sorted into High, Medium, and Low Flood Risk Precincts based on a flood risk assessment by Molino Stewart that modelled current, 2050 and 2090 climate scenarios.The plan aims to minimise risk to life and property for approximately 3,000 properties protected by the 12km Launceston levee system. Key controls include restricting residential subdivision in high risk areas (effectively banning new subdivisions in much of Invermay), prohibiting new aged care, retirement villages, custodial and respite care facilities in all flood risk precincts, and requiring new builds in high risk zones to be certified by an expert as capable of withstanding flood waters and debris assuming no levee protection. Council approved the draft amendment on 12 December 2024 and it is now under formal assessment by the Tasmanian Planning Commission, with delegates Roger Howlett and Robin Nolan appointed on 5 March 2026 and Louise Blyth as Planning Adviser.
Newnham Creek Stabilisation Project
Remediation and stabilisation of a 100-metre section of a Newnham Creek tributary. The project included reshaping, rock stabilisation, and revegetation with 2000 native plants to improve water quality, ecology, and park amenity.
Second Kanamaluka/River Tamar Crossing
A proposed multi-modal bridge crossing of the Kanamaluka/River Tamar between the East and West Tamar Highways in Launceston, designed to improve travel time reliability, reduce congestion through Riverside, Trevallyn and the Launceston CBD, enhance safety, and provide active transport pathways. The bridge would carry a minimum of four traffic lanes plus separated walking and cycling infrastructure, with a navigation channel for river traffic. A business case was submitted to Infrastructure Australia in February 2024. Community consultation on five alignment options closed in April 2025; a consultation report is pending and no preferred option has yet been selected.The Tasmanian Government has committed $80 million and the Australian Government a further $20 million toward planning and design. Estimated construction cost ranges from $680 million to $1.1 billion depending on the option chosen.
Ravenswood Subdivision
A planned 100-lot subdivision on a 12.6-hectare site at 50 Wildor Crescent, Ravenswood. Developed by Homes Tasmania, the project aims to deliver affordable housing options, including lots available through the MyHome shared equity program. The site was transferred to Homes Tasmania in June 2023 and the development application was approved by Launceston City Council in November 2023.
Launceston Tennis Centre Upgrades
A $3.1 million upgrade has been completed, delivering a new pavilion, resurfaced courts, improved lighting, and enhanced facilities for players, events, and the community. The project includes a commercial kitchen, cafe, and a function room.
2,041 residents of Mowbray (Tas.) are employed, from a labour force of 2,178. Unemployment sits at 6.3%, with participation at 60.9%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.3% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Mowbray features an experienced workforce employed across a variety of sectors, alongside an unemployment rate of 6.3%, derived from statistical data compiled by AreaSearch. In March 2026, 2,041 local residents were employed, while the jobless rate was 2.3% higher than the Regional Tas. level of 3.9%, and participation in the labor force was relatively typical (60.9% compared with 58.8% in Regional Tas.). Census records indicate that a minor 3.9% of the working population conducted their jobs from home, although the influence of COVID-19 containment measures should be kept in mind.
The primary sectors employing local residents are healthcare & social assistance, retail trade, and hospitality. The local area displays an especially high concentration of workers in hospitality, with employment levels reaching 1.5 times the regional average. By contrast, the building sector shows lesser representation, accounting for 5.6% of workers compared to the regional benchmark of 8.9%. Although there are local jobs available in the vicinity, it appears a significant portion of residents travel to other areas for employment, based on the ratio of Census workers to the local population. According to AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS statistics aggregated from broader regional divisions, the latest 12-month interval experienced a 1.5% reduction in the workforce alongside a 0.6% drop in active employment, which led to a 0.9 percentage point decrease in the unemployment rate. This compares with Regional Tas., where employment rose by 1.8%, the labor force expanded by 1.7%, and unemployment had a minor drop. National employment projections from Jobs and Skills Australia dating from May-25 provide additional context on future demand trends in Mowbray. These forecasts, spanning five and ten-year horizons, have been applied to the local workforce structure to estimate development paths. While employment nationwide is projected to rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates vary widely by industry. Weighting these sectoral forecasts against Mowbray's job distribution suggests local employment is set to grow by 6.3% over five years and 13.4% over ten years (note that this is a basic weighted extrapolation for demonstration purposes and does not incorporate local population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Mowbray (Tas.) is $1,138 a week (about $59,000 a year), with median personal income at $583 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $42,608 a year against an average of $47,116. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Income levels in Mowbray sit below the national benchmark based on the latest ATO records compiled by AreaSearch for the 2023 financial year. The median taxpayer income in the area is $42,608 and the average taxpayer income is $47,116, which compare with figures of $49,689 and $59,358 respectively for Regional Tas. Adjusting for a Wage Price Index expansion of 10.95% since the 2023 financial year, current figures would be approximately $47,274 for the median and $52,275 for the average as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and individual incomes in Mowbray all rank in the bottom 9th to 10th percentiles nationwide.
The records show the dominant bracket consists of 31.6% of taxpayers earning between $800 and $1,499 weekly (representing 1,310 residents), whereas the regional profile is led by the $1,500 to $2,999 bracket at 28.5%. Housing cost pressures are intense, with only 82.0% of earnings left over after housing costs, placing the area in the 9th percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Mowbray (Tas.) had 1,545 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 85% detached houses and 4% apartments. 23% are owned with a mortgage, 51% rented and 26% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $290 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,050 a month. Rent absorbs 25.5% of household income here and mortgage repayments 21.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The mix of housing in Mowbray at the time of the latest Census consisted of 84.6% stand-alone houses and 15.4% other dwelling types (such as semi-detached homes, units, and alternative housing), compared to 89.9% houses and 10.1% alternative dwellings across Regional Tas. Meanwhile, the home ownership rate in Mowbray was lower than the regional standard, standing at 25.6%, with the remaining properties occupied by residents with a mortgage (23.3%) or tenants renting their homes (51.1%). The median monthly home loan payment in the area was significantly below the Regional Tas.
average at $1,050, whereas the median weekly rent was recorded at $290, compared to regional benchmarks of $1,274 and $250. Nationally, mortgage costs in Mowbray are substantially lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rent payments are also well below the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Mowbray (Tas.) counted 1,545 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.5 people each. 22% are couples with children, fewer than in 82% of areas nationally, against 21% couples without children. 31% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.5 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the majority of households at 58.8%, which includes 21.7% couples raising children, 20.6% couples without children at home, and 14.9% single parents. Non-family households account for the remaining 41.2%, with single-person households representing 31.2% and share houses comprising 9.8% of the total. The median household occupancy of 2.5 individuals is larger than the Regional Tas. standard of 2.3.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
25.9% of adults in Mowbray (Tas.) hold a university qualification, including 14.2% with a bachelor degree and 10.2% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 22.5% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 1,195 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,009 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The educational footprint of the area is distinct within the region, with tertiary qualification rates (25.9% of residents aged 15+) sitting above the Rest of Tas. average of 19.3%, showing the value placed on tertiary education. Bachelor degrees represent the largest share at 14.2%, followed by postgraduate degrees (10.2%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Practical and technical skills are also common, with 29.0% of individuals aged 15+ holding a vocational qualification, consisting of advanced diplomas (6.5%) and certificates (22.5%). Enrollment in education is remarkably strong, with 34.2% of the local population currently undertaking formal studies.
This proportion includes 9.6% attending primary school, 9.2% studying at the tertiary level, and 6.7% enrolled in secondary school.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Mowbray (Tas.) reaches 7 stops on 37 routes, timetabled for about 2,600 services a week. The typical home sits about 530 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.2 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Analysis of public transit options shows 7 operational transit stops within Mowbray, serviced by a combination of bus routes. These locations are connected to 37 separate routes, which provide 2,570 weekly passenger trips. Access to public transit is categorized as moderate, with residents living an average of 526 meters from the nearest stop. Because the area is mostly residential, the majority of workers travel outside the suburb for employment, with cars remaining the main transit mode at 87%, while 5% of residents walk to work. Vehicle rates average 1.2 per home, which is below the regional norm.
A low 3.9% of residents worked from home, based on 2021 Census data which may reflect pandemic-era circumstances. Transit service frequency averages 367 trips daily across all routes, which translates to roughly 367 weekly trips for each transport stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
68.1% of residents in Mowbray (Tas.) report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 87% of areas nationally. 6.9% need daily assistance with core activities, and 45.9% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health records point to notable difficulties in Mowbray, based on AreaSearch assessments of mortality patterns and the presence of chronic illnesses, which are evident across both younger and older age brackets, alongside a particularly low rate of private health coverage, which stands at roughly 46% of the population (~1,900 people). This compares to a rate of 49.1% across Regional Tas. and a national average of 55.7%. The most widespread medical diagnoses in the locality were mental health conditions and arthritis, affecting 10.2 and 8.6% of residents, respectively, while 68.1% of the population reported no chronic medical issues compared to 62.0% in Regional Tas.
Working-age residents display higher than average rates of ongoing illnesses. Residents aged 65 and over make up 14.3% of the community (592 people), which is lower than the 24.9% proportion in Regional Tas. Health patterns among older residents present some difficulties, with national metrics ranking in line with the broader public.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
33.1% of Mowbray (Tas.) residents were born overseas and 30.2% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 75% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (27.6%) and English (26.7%). 3.7% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Mowbray displays greater cultural diversity than most local property markets, with 33.1% of residents born outside Australia and 30.2% communicating in a language other than English at home. The primary religious affiliation in Mowbray is Christianity, accounting for 36.2% of the community. However, the most pronounced overrepresentation occurs in the Other category, which represents 3.2% of local residents compared to 0.7% across Regional Tas. Looking at ancestral roots, the three largest groups in Mowbray are Australian at 27.6% of the population, which is below the regional average of 32.6%, English at 26.7%, which is below the regional standard of 34.1%, and Other at 18.4%, which is far higher than the regional baseline of 4.6%.
In addition, there are clear variations in the presence of other backgrounds: Australian Aboriginal residents are represented at 3.7% of Mowbray (compared to 4.1% regionally), Korean residents at 0.3% (compared to 0.1%), and Chinese residents at 3.8% (compared to 0.8%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Mowbray (Tas.) is 32, younger than 90% of areas nationally. 37.2% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Having a median age of 32, Mowbray is younger than the Regional Tas. median of 45 and also below the Australian standard of 38 years. Compared with Regional Tas. averages, the cohort aged 25 to 34 is highly represented (22.9% locally), whereas the 65 to 74 age group is underrepresented (7.3%). The local concentration of residents aged 25 to 34 is far higher than the national share of 14.6%. Since 2021, the group aged 35 to 44 has grown from 12.5% to 15.2% of the population, while the cohort aged 55 to 64 rose from 9.9% to 11.0%.
Conversely, children aged 5 to 14 decreased from 11.0% to 9.0% and the 45 to 54 bracket fell from 10.0% to 8.8%. Demographic projections suggest Mowbray's age profile will shift substantially by 2041. The group aged 45 to 54 is expected to see significant growth, expanding by 92 people (25%) from 364 to 457. Senior groups aged 65 and over are projected to drive 58% of the total population growth, highlighting the aging profile of the area. Meanwhile, the cohorts aged 25 to 34 and 55 to 64 are expected to experience population declines.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Mowbray (Tas.)
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 3 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 25 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (4,048 at the 2021 Census → 4,146 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL60437). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.