Withcott

Withcott lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of the Withcott statistical area (Lv2) is around 2,370. This represents an increase of 303 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,067. The increase was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 2,330 residents based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 73 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 77 persons per square kilometer. The Withcott (SA2) has experienced a growth rate of 14.7% since the 2021 Census, exceeding both the non-metro area's 8.8% and the SA3 area's growth rates. Interstate migration contributed approximately 56.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods in the Withcott (SA2).

AreaSearch projections for future population dynamics anticipate an above median growth for national non-metropolitan areas, with the Withcott (SA2) expected to expand by 416 persons to reach a total population of 2,507 by 2041. This reflects an increase of 10.3% over the 17-year period from 2024 to 2041.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Withcott when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Withcott indicates an average of around 15 dwellings receiving development approval each year. Approximately 75 homes were approved over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, with a further 16 approved in FY26 so far. This results in an average of about 1.8 people moving to the area annually for each dwelling built during these years, suggesting a balanced supply and demand market that supports stable conditions.

The average expected construction cost value for new properties is $551,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY26, commercial approvals totaling $14.9 million have been registered, demonstrating steady commercial investment activity in the area. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Withcott records elevated construction levels, at 26.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years.

This maintains good buyer choice while supporting existing property values. All development in Withcott during this period has consisted solely of standalone homes, preserving its low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 132 people moving to the area for each dwelling approval, Withcott exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Withcott is projected to grow by approximately 245 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand in Withcott, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Withcott has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Six projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly. These include Rifle Range Road Reconfiguration, Toowoomba Escarpment Mountain Bike Trails (Jubilee Park), St Peters Close Estate, and AusRocks Brookview Quarry. The following details projects likely to have the most relevance.

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Employment conditions in Withcott rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Withcott has a skilled workforce with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 2.0% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.6%.

As of September 2025, 1,240 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 2.1% lower than Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation is high at 71.4%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and education & training. The area specializes in construction, with an employment share 1.2 times the regional level, but has lower representation in accommodation & food at 4.0% versus the regional average of 8.3%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. In the past year, employment increased by 4.6% and labour force by 3.8%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.8 percentage points. Rest of Qld experienced employment growth of 1.7% and labour force growth of 2.1%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. As of 25-Nov, QLD employment contracted by 0.01%, with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project national expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Withcott's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.1% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Withcott has a median taxpayer income of $59,526 and an average income of $70,768 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is higher than the national average, which differs from Rest of Qld's median income of $53,146 and average income of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Withcott would be approximately $65,425 (median) and $77,781 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Withcott are around the 69th percentile nationally. In terms of income distribution, the largest segment consists of 42.3% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (1,002 residents), which aligns with the regional pattern where this cohort represents 31.7%. After housing costs, residents retain 87.5% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Withcott is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Withcott, as assessed at the latest Census, consisted of 96.9% houses and 3.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro Qld's 81.4% houses and 18.6% other dwellings. The home ownership level in Withcott was similar to that of Non-Metro Qld, at 30.7%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (58.4%) or rented (10.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,653, exceeding the Non-Metro Qld average, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $350, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $1,517 and $310 respectively. Nationally, Withcott's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Withcott features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.5% of all households, including 43.4% couples with children, 30.4% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 16.5%, with lone person households at 14.7% and group households comprising 1.8%. The median household size is 2.9 people, which exceeds the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Educational attainment in Withcott aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 17.9%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 12.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.9%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 46.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (34.6%).

Educational participation is high, with 30.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 11.9% in primary, 10.0% in secondary, and 2.7% in tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

The level of general health in Withcott is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Withcott demonstrates above-average health outcomes with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 55% of the total population (~1,309 people), compared to 51.5% across Rest of Qld.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and arthritis, impacting 10.0 and 7.5% of residents respectively, while 71.2% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 65.3% across Rest of Qld. As of 2021, the area has 13.2% of residents aged 65 and over (312 people), which is lower than the 18.8% in Rest of Qld. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Withcott is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Withcott, as per the data, has a low cultural diversity with 89.7% of its population born in Australia, 93.3% being citizens, and 96.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Withcott, accounting for 62.3% of the population, slightly higher than the regional average of 58.8%. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (31.2%), English (30.2%), and German (9.0%).

There are notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: South African at 0.6% compared to the regional 0.3%, New Zealand at 0.8% versus the regional 0.5%, and Australian Aboriginal at 2.8% compared to the regional 3.3%.

Withcott's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

At 37 years, Withcott's median age is significantly below the Rest of Qld average of 41, aligning essentially with the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Rest of Qld average, the 35-44 cohort is notably over-represented at 16.6% locally, while the 75-84 year-olds are under-represented at 4.0%. Following the census conducted on August 10, 2021, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 10.8% to 11.9% of the population. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 16.9% to 15.1%. Demographic modeling suggests Withcott's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25 to 34 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 30%, adding 75 residents to reach 329. On the other hand, both the 5 to 14 and 15 to 24 age groups are projected to see reduced numbers.