Windsor (Vic.)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Windsor reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The population of the Windsor (Vic.) statistical area (Lv2) is estimated to be around 7,617 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 344 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,273 people in the area. The change is inferred from the resident population of 7,589 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 65 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 7,185 persons per square kilometer, placing the Windsor (Vic.) (SA2) in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 91.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, making adjustments employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends project an above median growth for statistical areas across the nation, with the Windsor (Vic.) (SA2) expected to grow by 1,805 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 29.3% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Windsor recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Windsor has seen approximately 33 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 166 homes. As of FY26, 10 approvals have been recorded. The population has fallen during this period, yet housing supply remains adequate relative to demand, creating a balanced market with good buyer choice. New dwellings are developed at an average cost of $802,000, targeting the premium market segment.

In FY26, there have been $231,000 in commercial approvals, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Recent construction comprises 2.0% detached houses and 98.0% townhouses or apartments, offering affordable entry pathways for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. The location has approximately 102 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market.

According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Windsor is projected to add 2,232 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Windsor has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 38 projects likely impacting the region. Notable initiatives include Essex Street Public Housing Redevelopment, Prahran Market Restoration, Chapel Street Precinct Improvement Plan, and Prahran Town Hall Cultural Hub. The following list details projects expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis indicates Windsor maintains employment conditions that align with national benchmarks

Windsor has a highly educated workforce. The technology sector is notably represented with an unemployment rate of 5.0%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.3%, based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, 5,878 residents are employed while the unemployment rate stands at 5.0%, which is 0.3% higher than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation in Windsor is high at 72.7%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Dominant employment sectors among residents include professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

Professional & technical services show a particularly notable concentration with employment levels at 1.7 times the regional average. Conversely, manufacturing shows lower representation at 3.1% compared to the regional average of 7.2%. The ratio of 0.6 workers per resident indicates a level of local employment opportunities above the norm. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 4.3% while labour force grew by 5.0%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.7 percentage points in Windsor. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment rise by 3.0%, labour force grow by 3.3%, and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year (adding 41,950 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. Nationally, employment growth was 0.14%, and the unemployment rate stood at 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Windsor's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.4% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

In AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023, Windsor's median income among taxpayers is $67,065 and the average is $99,370. Nationally, this is exceptionally high compared to Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $72,598 (median) and $107,568 (average). Census data shows individual earnings rank at the 94th percentile nationally ($1,278 weekly), while household income ranks lower at the 66th percentile. Income analysis reveals that 32.1% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 (2,445 individuals), reflecting regional patterns where 32.8% occupy this range. High weekly earnings exceeding $3,000 are achieved by 31.0% of households, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing costs consume 17.8% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 64th percentile. Windsor's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Windsor features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a predominantly rental market

Windsor's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 12.6% houses and 87.3% other dwellings including semi-detached properties, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. The home ownership rate in Windsor was 17.2%, with 23.3% of dwellings mortgaged and 59.5% rented. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,145, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $411. Nationally, Windsor's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents exceeding the national figure of $375.

Windsor features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a median household size of 1.8 people

Family households account for 43.1% of all households, consisting of 10.4% couples with children, 26.4% couples without children, and 4.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 56.9%, with lone person households at 44.8% and group households comprising 12.2% of the total. The median household size is 1.8 people.

Windsor shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Windsor has a notably higher educational attainment than national averages. Among residents aged 15+, 55.6% have university qualifications, surpassing Australia's 30.4% and Victoria's 33.4%. This is attributed to bachelor degrees (38.5%), postgraduate qualifications (13.2%), and graduate diplomas (3.9%). Vocational pathways account for 22.2%, with advanced diplomas at 11.1% and certificates also at 11.1%.

Currently, 24.9% of the population is engaged in formal education, including 11.7% in tertiary, 3.3% in primary, and 3.1% in secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Windsor has 26 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These stops offer a mix of train, light rail, and bus services. There are 8 individual routes serving these stops, collectively facilitating 7,571 weekly passenger trips.

The city's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located just 143 meters from the nearest transport stop. On average, service frequency across all routes amounts to 1,081 trips per day, equating to approximately 291 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Windsor is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Windsor shows superior health outcomes for both younger and older age groups, with low prevalence rates for common conditions. Its private health cover rate is notably high at approximately 66% of its total population (5,022 people), surpassing the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in Windsor, affecting 10.8 and 8.4% of residents respectively. Notably, 71.1% of residents claim to be free from any medical ailments, contrasting with the 0% reported across Greater Melbourne. The area has a significant senior population, with 13.4% aged 65 and over (1,020 people). Health outcomes among seniors are commendable, mirroring those of the general population.

Windsor was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Windsor's population was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 22.9% speaking a language other than English at home and 34.9% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Windsor, comprising 31.5%. However, Judaism is notably overrepresented at 2.7%, compared to None% across Greater Melbourne.

The top three ancestry groups are English (24.8%), Australian (17.4%), and Other (11.7%). There are significant differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Polish is notably overrepresented at 1.5%, Russian at 0.8%, and Greek at 4.9%.

Windsor hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Windsor's median age is 33, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Windsor has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (35.9%), but fewer residents aged 5-14 (3.2%). This 25-34 age group concentration is significantly higher than the national figure of 14.5%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 34.0% to 35.9%, while the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 10.4% to 9.1%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes for Windsor, with the strongest projected growth in the 25 to 34 age group at 22%, adding 596 residents to reach a total of 3,331.