Middle Park (Vic.)

An assessment of population growth drivers in Middle Park reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Middle Park (Vic.) is around 4,222 people. This figure reflects an increase of 222 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,000. The increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 4,213 residents based on the latest ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and three additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of approximately 4,967 persons per square kilometer, placing Middle Park (Vic.) within the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, from 2015 to 2025, Middle Park (Vic.) has exhibited resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.3%, outperforming its SA3 area. Recent population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 86% of overall population gains.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 using the 2022 base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made via weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Middle Park (Vic.) is forecasted to experience a significant population increase in the top quartile of national statistical areas, with an expected rise of 1,509 persons, reflecting a gain of approximately 38.2% over the 17-year period from 2024 to 2041.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Middle Park when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, Middle Park averaged around 56 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY21 to FY25, an estimated 283 homes were approved with none so far in FY26. Over the past five financial years, an average of 0.2 new residents arrived per new home.

This suggests that new construction is matching or outpacing demand, providing buyers more options and enabling population growth. The average value for new dwellings was $428,000, aligning with broader regional development. In FY26, there have been $44.2 million in commercial approvals, indicating high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Middle Park had 19.0% more development per person over the five-year period, balancing buyer choice while supporting current property values. This level is substantially higher than nationally, suggesting strong developer confidence in the location.

All new construction was comprised of attached dwellings, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. Middle Park has around 32 people per dwelling approval, indicating characteristics of a low-density area. Looking ahead, Middle Park is expected to grow by 1,614 residents through to 2041 according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Middle Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project expected to impact this region: Shrine to Sea Boulevard Upgrade, The Carter, Victoriana, and Bayview On The Park Build-To-Rent Project. Relevant projects are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Middle Park demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Middle Park has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 2.7% as of June 2025, which is lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.6%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 6.2%, based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of June 2025, 2,449 residents were in work and workforce participation was on par with Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key industries of employment among residents are professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and finance & insurance. The area shows strong specialization in professional & technical services, with an employment share of 2.0 times the regional level.

Conversely, retail trade has lower representation at 6.0% versus the regional average of 9.8%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census working population data. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 6.2% while labour force grew by 6.9%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.6 percentage points in Middle Park. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne where employment rose by 3.5%, the labour force grew by 4.0%, and unemployment rose by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Middle Park. These projections estimate that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Middle Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.4% over five years and 14.8% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Middle Park has exceptionally high incomes nationally. The median income is $78,690 and the average income stands at $155,964. This contrasts with Greater Melbourne's figures of a median income of $54,892 and an average income of $73,761. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $88,259 (median) and $174,929 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals that Middle Park's household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 95th and 97th percentiles. Income analysis shows that the predominant cohort spans 37.4% of locals (1,579 people) in the $4000+ category, differing from patterns across regional levels where $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 32.8%. A significant 48.5% earn above $3,000 weekly. Housing accounts for 14.0% of income and strong earnings rank residents within the 95th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Middle Park displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Middle Park's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 14.9% houses and 85.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Melbourne metro's figures of 8.7% houses and 91.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Middle Park stood at 42.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 25.1% and rented ones at 32.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,467, exceeding Melbourne metro's average of $2,170. Median weekly rent in Middle Park was recorded at $602, compared to Melbourne metro's $420. Nationally, Middle Park's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Middle Park features high concentrations of lone person households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households make up 67.6% of all households, including 30.9% couples with children, 27.9% couples without children, and 7.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 32.4%, with lone person households at 30.3% and group households comprising 2.3%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 1.9.

Educational achievement in Middle Park places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

Middle Park's educational attainment exceeds national averages: 56.6% of residents aged 15+ have university qualifications compared to Australia's 30.4% and Victoria's 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common (34.1%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (17.0%) and graduate diplomas (5.5%). Vocational pathways account for 16.2%, including advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (7.2%). Educational participation is high, with 28.4% currently enrolled in formal education: primary (9.5%), secondary (8.2%), tertiary (6.1%).

Middle Park Primary School serves the area, enrolling 434 students. It ranks highly among Australian schools (ICSEA score: 1155). The school focuses on primary education; nearby areas offer secondary options.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Middle Park has 23 active public transport stops, serving a mix of lightrail and bus services. These stops are covered by two routes, together offering 1,173 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 118 meters to the nearest stop.

Daily service frequency averages 167 trips across all routes, translating to around 51 weekly trips per individual stop.

Middle Park's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Middle Park shows excellent health outcomes with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 88% of its total population (3,714 people) has private health cover, compared to Greater Melbourne's 73.1%. Nationally, this figure stands at 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions in Middle Park are arthritis and asthma, affecting 6.9% and 6.6% of residents respectively. About 73.1% of residents report no medical ailments, similar to Greater Melbourne's 73.3%. Middle Park has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.4% (903 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 14.3%. Health outcomes among seniors in Middle Park are particularly strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Middle Park was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Middle Park had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 25.5% of its residents born overseas and 18.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Middle Park, accounting for 48.1% of the population. However, Judaism was significantly overrepresented, comprising 1.1% compared to Melbourne's regional average of 3.7%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (26.0%), Australian (19.6%), and Irish (12.0%). Notably, Greeks were overrepresented at 6.6%, while French and Welsh populations were also slightly higher than the regional averages at 1.1% and 0.8% respectively.

Middle Park hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Middle Park is 45 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Middle Park has a higher percentage of residents aged 75-84 (8.9%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (8.3%). According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 15-24 increased from 9.1% to 11.4%, while the 75-84 cohort rose from 7.8% to 8.9%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group decreased from 12.9% to 11.8%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Middle Park's age structure. The 45-54 age group is projected to grow by 66%, reaching 1,109 people from 667. Meanwhile, the 0-4 cohort is expected to grow by a modest 6% (10 people).