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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Junction Hill is $575k, with units at $596k. House values have moved 6.4% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Junction Hill has an estimated 1,620 residents, up from 1,547 at the 2021 Census — a change of 73 people, or 4.7%. Growth has averaged 1.1% a year over five years. That puts 225 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to evaluations of ABS demographic updates covering the surrounding region alongside new addresses verified by AreaSearch subsequent to the Census, Junction Hill is home to approximately 1,620 residents as of May 2026. This represents a rise of 73 individuals (4.7%) from the 1,547 citizens counted during the 2021 Census. The updated figure is deduced from a resident headcount of 1,617, which was calculated by AreaSearch using the ABS population data release from June 2025 combined with 46 new addresses verified after the Census. This headcount translates to a density of 225 persons per square kilometer, indicating low-density living and potential capacity for future residential growth.
The suburb of Junction Hill outpaced the broader SA4 region's growth rate of 4.6% since the 2021 census, positioning it as a leading growth area in the vicinity. The upward population trajectory was chiefly propelled by arrivals from other states, which accounted for roughly 67.0% of the total demographic growth in recent times. Projections established by the ABS and Geoscience Australia released in 2024 with a 2022 baseline are applied by AreaSearch to each SA2 zone. For districts where this information is unavailable, AreaSearch incorporates NSW State Government projections at the SA2 level from 2022 using a 2021 baseline. Age-specific growth rates derived from these datasets are projected forward for the years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, demographic expansion is anticipated to track slightly under the median for regional parts of the country, with projections indicating an increase of 141 individuals by 2041, representing a total rise of 8.5% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
44 new dwellings have been approved in Junction Hill over the past five years, an average of 8 a year. That places the area in the 52nd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 5 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 7, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis of ABS building approvals assigned from localized statistical data indicates that Junction Hill averages approximately 8 new dwelling approvals annually, with 44 residential approvals registered over the past 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, and 7 approvals recorded during the current FY-26 period. Based on an average influx of 2 residents per completed residence over the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 to FY-25, supply appears aligned with demand, supporting market stability, while newly constructed residential properties average $342,000 in value. Furthermore, commercial approvals totaling $3.7 million have been logged during the current financial year, highlighting that the locality remains predominantly residential.
Construction rates per capita in Junction Hill align closely with those in the Rest of NSW, maintaining a balanced market in step with the broader region. Recent residential additions consist of 71.0% freestanding houses and 29.0% medium or high-density dwellings, sustaining a low-density character that caters to buyers seeking space. This represents a distinct shift from the current housing stock, which is 94.0% freestanding houses, indicating a decreasing volume of vacant land and a transition toward more diverse and affordable residential options. With a ratio of roughly 146 residents for every dwelling approval, Junction Hill remains a low-density community. Long-term forecasts indicate that Junction Hill will add 138 residents by 2041, starting from the most recent quarterly estimate by AreaSearch. If construction trends persist, the supply of new dwellings should easily satisfy local demand, maintaining favorable conditions for prospective buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current baseline expectations.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Junction Hill
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 44 current infrastructure and development projects close to Junction Hill, worth an estimated $1.46 billion. 11 are already under construction and 9 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, sports & recreation and tourism. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure, major projects, and town planning initiatives represent key drivers of regional growth. AreaSearch has identified no projects that are expected to influence the local area. Regional projects of note include the Grafton Base Hospital Redevelopment, the Pacific Highway Upgrade: Hexham To Brisbane, the Queensland Regional Road Network Safety Improvements, and the Queensland New South Wales Interconnector, with details provided on those of highest relevance.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Grafton Base Hospital Redevelopment
The 263.8 million dollar redevelopment includes a new three-storey Acute Services Building with an expanded Emergency Department, Medical Imaging, MRI, and an expanded Day Surgery and Operating Suite with two additional theatres. While early enabling works involving the refurbishment of the former Grafton Gaol for staff accommodation and administration are underway as of 2026, the main hospital campus works remain in the detailed planning and design phase following the Review of Environmental Factors in early 2026.
Alice Street Levee Rehabilitation
Rehabilitation of the Alice Street levee including targeted rock protection to the toe of the riverbank between Alice Street and Queen Street, replacement of failed retaining walls, and ancillary works along the length of the levee. The project reduces flood damage to 4,500 properties and mitigates risk to life for 10,000 residents in North Grafton as part of critical floodplain infrastructure improvements. Completed June 27, 2024.
Grafton Waterfront Precinct
A $6.5 million transformation of the Grafton riverbank into a family-friendly recreational hub featuring a 700-metre long, 3-metre wide shared user path along the Clarence River, new jetty, accessible footpaths, plaza areas, extensive landscaping, lighting, seating areas, and improved river access connecting Memorial Park to Clarence Street and Salty Seller Reserve.
Grafton Regional Aquatic Centre
$29.1 million redevelopment of Grafton Regional Aquatic Centre by Hines Construction featuring a 50-metre outdoor pool and grandstand, indoor aquatic facility with two 25-metre heated pools, splash pad, new waterslides, electrical substation, and renovation of existing amenities and front entrance. The project includes demolition of existing facilities and is staged to maximise efficiency and service delivery to the community. Construction is on track for completion in December 2024.
Grafton Lifestyle Centre
A $70 million large-format retail and lifestyle precinct on a 3.42-hectare site in South Grafton. Designed by Bruce Henderson Architects, the project features 13,500 sqm of retail space with a 5 Star NABERS and 6 Star Green Star target. The design draws inspiration from the historic Grafton Bridge and includes vertical gardens, EV charging, and a community hub for food trucks and public art. Major tenants include Anaconda, Total Tools, Repco, Petbarn, RSEA, Anytime Fitness, Banjo's Bakery, and Oz Education Early Learning Centre.
Treelands Drive Community Centre Redevelopment
Redevelopment of the Treelands Drive Community Centre in Grafton to provide enhanced community facilities and services. The project aims to create a modern, accessible community hub that meets the evolving needs of local residents.
Rushforth Road Manufactured Home Estate
$6.65 million development application for 95-lot manufactured home estate at South Grafton providing affordable housing options for the local community. Includes demolition of existing buildings, community building, 25m x 10m swimming pool, children's play area, community gardens, recreation areas, and landscaped areas to support sustainable community living. Currently being assessed by Clarence Valley Council.
Maclean Community Precinct (Maclean Civic Hall Redevelopment)
Redevelopment of the former Maclean Civic Hall into a purpose-built regional performing arts and community precinct featuring a 290-seat auditorium, backstage facilities, multipurpose community rooms, gallery foyer, cafe space, function room overlooking the Clarence River, outdoor amphitheatre and undercover parking. Demolition was completed in early 2025, construction commenced in May 2025, and structural works are progressing through 2026 with completion scheduled for late 2026.
612 residents of Junction Hill are employed, from a labour force of 639. Unemployment sits at 4.2%, with participation at 48.3%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.2% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Junction Hill possesses a qualified workforce with a strong presence in public service and essential industries, showing an unemployment rate of 4.2% and annual job growth estimated at 2.5% according to aggregated statistical data. In March 2026, the employed resident workforce numbered 612, with the unemployment rate sitting 0.1% higher than the Regional NSW average of 4.1%, while workforce participation is considerably lower at 48.3% compared to the regional benchmark of 60.6%. Data from the Census indicates that only 8.9% of the workforce operated from home, though this figure may reflect the influence of COVID-19 restrictions.
The major employment sectors for local residents are healthcare & social assistance, public administration & safety, and education & training. Public administration & safety shows a particularly high concentration, employing a share of the workforce that is 2.1 times the regional average. In contrast, agricultural, forestry, and fishing activities employ a smaller portion of the population at 2.6% compared to the regional norm of 5.3%. A comparison between the resident workforce and locally available jobs suggests that residents must commute elsewhere for work due to limited local employment opportunities. Aggregated SALM and ABS figures for statistical sub-regions show that local employment expanded by 2.5% over the 12-month period, while the overall labor force grew by 1.4%, leading to a 1.0 percentage point reduction in the unemployment rate. In contrast, Regional NSW experienced a 0.9% contraction in employment and a 0.4% decline in the labor force, with its unemployment rate increasing by 0.5 percentage points. National employment projections published by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 offer additional context regarding long-term workforce demand. These projections for five and ten-year horizons have been mapped to local data to estimate future occupational trends. Nationally, employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though individual industries will grow at different rates. Applying these trends to the local industry mix suggests that employment for Junction Hill residents could increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on a simple weighted projection that does not factor in localized population changes.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Junction Hill is $1,340 a week (about $70,000 a year), with median personal income at $668 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $48,421 a year against an average of $57,103. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Taxpayer statistics compiled by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023 indicate that incomes in Junction Hill are below the national average. The median income for local taxpayers is $48,421 and the average income is $57,103, compared to Regional NSW averages of $52,390 and $65,215 respectively. Adjusting these figures for a 10.32% rise in the Wage Price Index since the financial year 2023 yields updated estimates of approximately $53,418 for the median and $62,996 for the average as of March 2026. In the 2021 Census, household, family, and individual incomes in the area fell between the 22nd and 23rd percentiles nationally.
The most common weekly earnings bracket is $800 - 1,499, accounting for 30.0% of residents (486 individuals), which contrasts with the broader metropolitan area where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket is largest at 29.9%. Although housing expenses are low, leaving residents with 86.9% of their income, total disposable household income is positioned at the 27th percentile nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Junction Hill had 606 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 95% detached houses and 1% apartments. 30% are owned with a mortgage, 20% rented and 50% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $350 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,528 a month. Rent absorbs 26.1% of household income here and mortgage repayments 26.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, the local housing mix consisted of 94.5% freestanding homes and 5.5% alternative dwelling types, such as townhouses and units, compared to 82.6% houses and 17.4% alternative dwellings across Regional NSW. Home ownership rates were high, with 50.2% of homes owned outright, while the remaining properties were mortgaged (30.1%) or occupied by tenants (19.7%). The median monthly mortgage payment was $1,528, which is lower than the Regional NSW average of $1,733, while the median weekly rent was $350 compared to the regional median of $330. Nationally, mortgage costs in the area are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rent is below the national average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Junction Hill counted 606 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.4 people each. 26% are couples with children, against 40% couples without children. 20% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families comprise the majority of households at 76.1%, consisting of couples with children at 25.6%, couples without children at 39.6%, and single parent households at 9.9%. The remaining 23.9% consists of non-family households, with single person households accounting for 20.0% and group households making up 3.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, matching the Regional NSW average.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
17.1% of adults in Junction Hill hold a university qualification, including 11.9% with a bachelor degree and 3.3% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 76% of areas nationally. A further 30.7% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The region exhibits lower rates of higher education, with 17.1% of residents holding university qualifications compared to the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common higher qualification at 11.9%, followed by postgraduate degrees at 3.3% and graduate diplomas at 1.9%. Vocational and technical skills are highly represented, with 41.5% of residents aged 15+ holding qualifications from trade schools, including advanced diplomas at 10.8% and certificates at 30.7%. A total of 24.4% of local residents are enrolled in formal study. This student population includes 10.0% attending primary school, 6.2% in secondary school, and 2.6% enrolled in tertiary courses.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Junction Hill reaches 12 stops on 10 routes, timetabled for about 120 services a week. The typical home sits about 200 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Analysis of the local network shows 12 active public transit stops within Junction Hill, consisting of bus services. These stops are connected to 10 routes that provide 118 weekly passenger services. Access to transit is favorable, with residents living an average of 202 meters from the nearest stop. The suburb is primarily residential, and the vast majority of commuters travel outside the area for work, with private vehicles remaining the dominant mode of travel at 99%. Households own an average of 1.5 vehicles. A relatively low proportion of the workforce (8.9%) worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which may reflect pandemic-era conditions.
Services run at an average frequency of 16 trips per day across all routes, which corresponds to approximately 9 weekly trips for each transit stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
59.1% of residents in Junction Hill report no long-term health condition. 7.5% need daily assistance with core activities, and 49.6% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.2 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Local health profiles indicate challenges regarding mortality rates and the occurrence of chronic illnesses, with ongoing conditions reported across both younger and older cohorts, while the proportion of residents with private health insurance is low at approximately 50% of the population (~802 people). This compares to 51.9% for Regional NSW and a national average of 55.7%. The most frequent chronic conditions reported by residents are arthritis (11.4%) and asthma (9.5%), while 59.1% of the population reported no chronic health conditions, compared to 63.3% in Regional NSW. Residents of working age show higher than average rates of chronic illness.
Seniors aged 65 and over make up 27.7% of the population (448 people), which exceeds the Regional NSW average of 23.4%. Health outcomes for local seniors are generally consistent with national benchmarks for the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Junction Hill is largely Australian-born, at 94.9% of residents, with 2.8% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (35.8%) and English (35.2%). 3.9% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Junction Hill has low levels of cultural diversity, with 94.9% of residents born in Australia, 94.6% holding citizenship, and 97.2% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, representing 64.4% of the population, compared to 55.9% across Regional NSW. In terms of parental heritage, the three most common ancestries are Australian (35.8% of the population, compared to the regional average of 30.0%), English (35.2%), and Irish (8.6%). Specific demographic differences include Australian Aboriginal heritage at 3.9% of the population (compared to 4.6% regionally), German ancestry at 3.6% (compared to 3.1%), and New Zealand heritage at 0.5% (compared to 0.4%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Junction Hill is 46, older than 85% of areas nationally. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 20.8% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in Junction Hill is 46, which is older than the Regional NSW median of 43 and the national average of 38. The 65 - 74 age group is highly represented at 15.9% of the population, while the 15 - 24 age bracket is less common at 9.2%. The concentration of residents aged 65 - 74 is higher than the national benchmark of 9.4%. Post-2021 Census figures show the 35 to 44 age cohort has increased from 8.3% to 10.3% of the population, while the 65 to 74 group has decreased from 16.9% to 15.9%.
By 2041, demographic shifts are expected to alter the age structure, with the 25 to 34 age bracket projected to grow by 20% (38 people) to reach 226 from 187, while the 55 to 64 and 65 to 74 brackets are projected to decline.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Junction Hill
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 46 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (1,547 at the 2021 Census → 1,620 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL12053). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.