Gordon (ACT)

Gordon is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the estimated population of the suburb of Gordon (ACT) as of Feb 2026 is around 7,774. This reflects a decrease of 118 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,892 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 7,774, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,750 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. While Gordon experienced a 1.5% decline since census, the SA3 area achieved 0.1% growth, highlighting divergent population trends. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 50.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections, with 2022 as a base, are adopted. As we examine future population trends, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the area's population expected to reduce by 545 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 65 to 74 age group, which is projected to grow by 247 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Gordon according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Gordon has averaged approximately one new dwelling approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated six homes. As of FY-26, one approval has been recorded. This results in a demand significantly exceeding supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction value of these dwellings is $480,000, indicating developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

In FY-26, $125,000 in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Gordon has significantly less development activity, 94.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established dwellings. However, building activity has accelerated in recent years. The area's level of development is also under the national average, suggesting its established nature and potential planning limitations.

All new construction in Gordon consists of detached houses, sustaining its suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests, indicating continued strong demand for family homes. With around 5186 people per dwelling approval, Gordon reflects a highly mature market. Given the expected stable or declining population, pressure on housing in Gordon should remain reduced, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Gordon has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Four projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area: Southquay Greenway Stage 2 Block 1 Section 80 Public Housing, Banks Gateway Estate, Tuggeranong Multi-Unit Development Gordon, and Lanyon Marketplace Improvements.

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Gordon has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Gordon's workforce is skilled with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 4.4% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.1%. As of September 2025, 4,377 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 0.9% higher than the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.6%.

Workforce participation was on par with the Australian Capital Territory's 72.5%. According to Census responses, only 10.1% of residents worked from home. The key industries of employment were public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and construction. Gordon had a particular specialization in construction, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services showed lower representation at 7.2% compared to the regional average of 11.1%. The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.1% and labour force increased by 0.9%, causing a fall in unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. By comparison, Australian Capital Territory recorded employment growth of 1.4%, labour force growth of 1.2%, with unemployment falling 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggested that national employment would expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Gordon's employment mix, local employment was estimated to increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.1% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The suburb of Gordon has a median taxpayer income of $67,947 and an average income of $74,774 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is higher than the national averages of $72,206 (median) and $85,981 (average) in the Australian Capital Territory. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.26% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $74,239 (median) and $81,698 (average). According to 2021 Census figures, household, family, and personal incomes in Gordon rank between the 84th and 88th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows that 34.5% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999, consistent with broader trends across the area at 34.3%. Strong earnings are evident as 36.4% of households achieve high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000. Housing accounts for 13.7% of income, and residents rank in the 85th percentile for disposable income. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Gordon displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Gordon, as per the latest Census evaluation, 69.3% of dwellings were houses while 30.8% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to the Australian Capital Territory's figures of 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gordon stood at 27.8%, mirroring the Australian Capital Territory figure, with mortgaged properties accounting for 52.2% and rented dwellings making up 20.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Gordon was $1,950, lower than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,080. The median weekly rent in Gordon was recorded at $420, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's figure of $450. Nationally, Gordon's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Gordon has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 76.2% of all households, including 36.2% couples with children, 25.7% couples without children, and 13.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 23.8%, with lone person households at 22.0% and group households comprising 1.7% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Gordon exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 26.6%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 46.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 17.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.0%) and graduate diplomas (3.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 36.1% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.5% and certificates at 22.6%. Educational participation is high, with 27.9% currently enrolled in formal education: 9.9% in primary, 6.9% in secondary, and 4.2% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.9% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 4.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 38 active transport stops operating within Gordon. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totalling 81 individual routes. Collectively, they provide 5,701 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 166 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode at 93%.

Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low 10.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 814 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 150 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Gordon is lower than average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Gordon faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is notable across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population (~4,410 people), compared to 62.4% in the Australian Capital Territory. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 9.6 and 8.7% of residents respectively. Conversely, 66.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 70.2% across the Australian Capital Territory. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 16.6% of residents aged 65 and over (1,290 people), higher than the 14.3% in the Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Gordon was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gordon's cultural diversity is notable, with 21.4% of its population born overseas and 16.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Gordon, accounting for 50.2% of the population. However, the 'Other' religious category is slightly overrepresented compared to Australian Capital Territory averages, comprising 1.3% versus 1.4%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Australian (27.5%), English (25.2%), and Other (9.2%). Some ethnic groups show notable differences in representation: Croatian is higher at 1.0% compared to the regional average of 0.9%, Serbian remains consistent at 0.4%, and Sri Lankan also stands at 0.4%.

Gordon's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Gordon's median age is 38 years, which is higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 but equivalent to the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Gordon has a higher concentration of residents aged 55-64 (14.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (12.3%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the proportion of residents aged 65 to 74 has grown from 7.6% to 9.8%, while the proportion of those aged 35 to 44 increased from 12.6% to 14.2%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 45 to 54 has declined from 14.2% to 12.4%, and the proportion of those aged 25 to 34 dropped from 13.8% to 12.3%. Demographic modeling suggests that by 2041, Gordon's age profile will evolve significantly. The 65 to 74 cohort is projected to grow by 19%, adding 148 residents to reach 910. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive all population growth, highlighting demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 and 45 to 54 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.