Oxley (ACT)

Oxley has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Oxley's population is around 1,667 as of November 2025. This reflects a decrease of 36 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,703. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 1,665 in June 2024 and an additional one validated new address since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,529 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. While Oxley experienced a 2.1% decline since census, the SA3 area achieved 0.2% growth, highlighting divergent population trends. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 65.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections, with a base year of 2022, are adopted. Moving forward with demographic trends, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the area's population expected to decline by 52 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to increase by 64 people.

Residential dwelling approval activity has been practically non-existent in Oxley

Oxley has seen only one residential development approval in the past five years. This suggests that the area is largely built out with minimal vacant land for development. Established areas often see steady demand for existing properties due to limited new-build alternatives.

Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Oxley shows substantially reduced construction activity. The limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. With population expected to remain stable or decline, Oxley should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

With population expected to remain stable or decline, Oxley should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Oxley has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 29thth percentile nationally

AreaSearch has identified three projects that could impact the local area: Dairy Farmers Hill Precinct (1 Dairy Road), Canberra Light Rail Stage 4 from Woden to Tuggeranong, Erindale Group Centre Master Plan Implementation - Stage 1, and Tuggeranong Foreshore Improvements. These are key projects likely to have significant relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment drivers in Oxley are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Oxley has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 7.7% as of September 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1%. As of September 2025847 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 4.2%, higher than the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.6%. Workforce participation in Oxley lagged at 64.0% compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 69.6%.

Employment among residents was concentrated in public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and construction. The professional & technical sector had limited presence with 7.2% employment compared to the regional average of 11.1%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited as indicated by the census working population vs resident population count. During the year to September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.0% and labour force increased by 1.0%, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable. In comparison, Australian Capital Territory saw employment grow by 1.4%, labour force expand by 1.2%, and unemployment fall by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov showed ACT employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, adding 710 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.5%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer further insight into potential future demand within Oxley. These projections suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Oxley's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Oxley SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $65,932 and an average income of $75,922. Nationally, the averages were $68,678 (median) and $83,634 (average). By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $74,899 (median) and $86,247 (average), based on a 13.6% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. Census 2021 data ranks Oxley's household, family, and personal incomes between the 87th and 87th percentiles nationally. The largest income segment in Oxley comprises 33.3% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (555 residents), consistent with broader regional trends at 34.3%. Economic strength is evident with 38.3% of households earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting high consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 87.3% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking in the 7th decile.

Oxley is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Oxley's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.5% houses and 7.5% other dwellings. In comparison, the Australian Capital Territory had 79.6% houses and 20.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oxley was at 34.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.9% and rented ones at 23.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Oxley was $2,150, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure in Oxley was $400, compared to $425 in the Australian Capital Territory. Nationally, Oxley's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Oxley features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 79.2% of all households, including 35.5% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 12.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 20.8%, with lone person households at 19.9% and group households comprising 1.6% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Oxley exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 33.0%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 46.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.6%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 33.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (21.1%). Educational participation is high, with 29.1% currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 10.5% in primary, 8.7% in secondary, and 4.0% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Oxley has 11 active public transport stops. These stops are served by buses only. There are 4 different bus routes operating in Oxley.

In total, these routes provide 385 weekly passenger trips. The average distance between residents and the nearest transport stop is 182 meters. On average, there are 55 bus trips per day across all routes. This means each stop gets approximately 35 weekly trips.

Health performance in Oxley is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Oxley faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population, which consists of around 951 people. Mental health issues are the most common medical condition, impacting 9.9% of residents. Arthritis affects 8.6% of residents. A total of 64.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 66.1% across the Australian Capital Territory. The area has 18.7% of residents aged 65 and over, which totals around 311 people. This percentage is higher than the 17.6% in the Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors in Oxley are above average and perform better than the general population in health metrics.

In terms of cultural diversity, Oxley records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Oxley has a higher than average cultural diversity, with 19.2% of its population born overseas and 15.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oxley, accounting for 48.0% of the population. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented in Oxley compared to the Australian Capital Territory, with 0.4% of the population identifying as Jewish versus the regional average of 0.1%.

In terms of ancestry, Australians make up 27.5%, English people 25.6%, and Irish people 9.2% of Oxley's population. Some ethnic groups show significant differences in representation: French people are overrepresented at 0.7% compared to the regional average of 0.4%, Sri Lankans at 0.5% versus 0.3%, and Welsh people at 0.7% compared to the regional average of 0.5%.

Oxley's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Oxley's median age is 38 years, which is higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 but equivalent to Australia's median age of 38. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Oxley has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (13.6%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (11.6%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 25-34 has grown from 12.6% to 15.5%, while the 75-84 cohort has increased from 2.5% to 4.2%. Conversely, the 55-64 age group has declined from 15.7% to 13.0%, and the 5-14 age group has dropped from 14.2% to 11.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Oxley's age profile. The 75-84 cohort is expected to grow by 89%, adding 61 residents to reach 131. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 72% of population growth, indicating a trend towards an aging demographic. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 45-54 age groups are projected to experience population declines.