Oxley (ACT)
Statistical Area - sa2

Oxley has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Oxley's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, was approximately 1,667 as of August 2025. This figure shows a decrease of 36 people from the 2021 Census total of 1,703, representing a 2.1% decline. The change is inferred from ABS estimates: 1,665 residents in June 2024 and one additional validated address since the Census date. This results in a population density of 1,529 persons per square kilometer, higher than the national average assessed by AreaSearch. While Oxley saw a decline, the SA3 area had a 0.2% growth rate, indicating differing trends. Natural growth contributed approximately 65.5% to overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, ACT Government's SA2 area projections are adopted using 2022 as the base year. Future trends project a population decline by 52 persons to 2041, led by growth in the 75 to 84 age group, expected to increase by 64 people.

The level of residential development activity in Oxley is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Oxley has averaged approximately zero new dwelling approvals per year. Development approval data is produced by the ABS on a financial year basis, with two homes approved over the past five financial years (between FY20 and FY25).

No dwelling approvals have been recorded so far in FY26. The area has experienced population decline, suggesting that new supply may be keeping up with demand and offering good choice to buyers. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Oxley shows substantially reduced construction activity, which typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

This level is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and potentially indicating planning constraints. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Oxley may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Oxley has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 48thth percentile nationally

Two projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area: Dairy Road Mixed-Use Development and Light Rail Stage 4 to Tuggeranong. Other notable projects include Tuggeranow Foreshore Improvements and Greenway Views Seniors' Living Village, though these may be less relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment drivers in Oxley are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Oxley in ACT has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 7.6% as of a past year.

Employment grew by 1.7% annually up to June 2025 when 857 residents were employed. Oxley's unemployment rate then was 4.1%, above ACT's 3.4%. Workforce participation was 64.0%, lower than ACT's 69.6%.

Dominant employment sectors included public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and construction. Professional & technical services employed only 7.2% of local workers, below ACT's 11.1%. Employment opportunities locally appeared limited based on Census data comparison. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 1.7%, labour force by 1.5%, reducing unemployment by 0.1 percentage points. Comparatively, ACT had employment growth of 1.9% with unemployment falling 0.3 percentage points. As of Sep-25, ACT employment contracted by 0.33%, unemployment rate was 4.2%. National unemployment was 4.5%, national employment grew by 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oxley's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.4%% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Oxley had a median income among taxpayers of $65,932 during financial year 2022. The average income level was $75,922. Nationally, these figures are very high compared to the Australian Capital Territory's levels of $68,678 and $83,634 respectively. By March 2025, estimated median and average incomes would be approximately $73,039 and $84,106 based on a Wage Price Index growth of 10.78% since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, Oxley's household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 88th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 33.3% of locals (555 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 weekly income category. A substantial presence consists of higher earners with 38.3% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. After housing costs, residents retain 87.3% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Oxley is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Oxley's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.5% houses and 7.5% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to the Australian Capital Territory's structure of 79.6% houses and 20.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oxley stood at 34.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.9% and rented ones at 23.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Oxley was $2,150, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,000. Weekly rent median was recorded as $400 compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $425. Nationally, Oxley's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,150 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were also higher at $400 versus the national figure of $375.

Oxley features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.2% of all households, including 35.5% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 12.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.8%, with lone person households at 19.9% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Oxley exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 33.0%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 46.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.6%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 33.0% of residents aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (21.1%). Educational participation is high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.5% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education. Educational facilities seem to be located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 11 active stops operating within Oxley, serving buses. Four routes service these stops, offering 385 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 182 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 55 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 35 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Oxley is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Oxley faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is high at approximately 57%, covering around 951 people. Mental health issues impact 9.9% of residents, while arthritis affects 8.6%. About 64.7% report having no medical ailments, compared to 66.1% across the Australian Capital Territory. The area has 18.7% of residents aged 65 and over (311 people), higher than the 17.6% in the Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Oxley was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Oxley's population shows above-average cultural diversity, with 19.2% born overseas and 15.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Oxley, practiced by 48.0% of its residents. Judaism is notably overrepresented, comprising 0.4%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's average of 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (27.5%), English (25.6%), and Irish (9.2%). Some ethnic groups have notable divergences: French (0.7% vs regional 0.4%), Welsh (0.7% vs 0.5%), and Sri Lankan (0.5% vs 0.3%) are overrepresented in Oxley.

Oxley's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Oxley's median age is 38 years, which is higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 but equivalent to the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Oxley has a higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (13.6%) and fewer residents aged 35-44 (11.6%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 25-34 has grown from 12.6% to 15.5%, while the 75-84 cohort has increased from 2.5% to 4.2%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort has declined from 15.7% to 13.0%, and the 5-14 age group has dropped from 14.2% to 11.9%. By 2041, Oxley's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 75-84 cohort is expected to grow by 89%, adding 61 residents to reach a total of 131. Residents aged 65 and above are expected to drive 72% of population growth, indicating demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 45-54 age groups are projected to experience population declines.