Oxley (ACT)

Oxley has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Oxley (ACT) statistical area (Lv2) is around 1,667 people. This reflects a decrease of 36 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 1,703 people in the same area. The current estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), along with an additional validated address since the Census date, resulting in an estimated resident population of 1,665. This equates to a density ratio of 1,529 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Between the 2021 Census and November 2025, the Oxley (ACT) (SA2) experienced a population decline of approximately 2.1%, while the broader SA3 area achieved growth of around 0.1%. The primary driver for population growth in the area during recent periods was natural growth, contributing about 66.0% of overall population gains.

AreaSearch's projections for future population trends indicate that by 2041, the Oxley (ACT) (SA2)'s population is expected to decrease by approximately 52 persons according to ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated during this period, notably within the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to increase by about 64 people.

Residential dwelling approval activity has been practically non-existent in Oxley

Oxley has recorded just one dwelling approval in the past five years. This indicates a mature, established suburb where land for new construction is limited. For buyers, this scarcity of new housing stock typically supports property values and may mean competition is primarily among existing homes.

Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Oxley shows substantially reduced construction activity. This scarcity of new properties typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. The area's development levels are also below the national average, indicating its established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Oxley may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Oxley has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 47thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects expected to affect Canberra: Dairy Farmers Hill Precinct at 1 Dairy Road, Stage 4 of Canberra Light Rail from Woden to Tuggeranong, Erindale Group Centre Master Plan Implementation - Stage 1, and Tuggeranong Foreshore Improvements.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market performance in Oxley lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Oxley has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 7.7% as of September 2025, showing a 1.0% employment growth over the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of that date, 847 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 4.2% higher than the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.6%. Workforce participation in Oxley lagged at 64.0%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 69.6%. Employment among residents was concentrated in public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and construction sectors.

However, professional & technical services were under-represented, with only 7.2% of Oxley's workforce compared to 11.1% in the Australian Capital Territory. Over the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 1.0%, while labour force also grew by 1.0%, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable in Oxley. In comparison, the Australian Capital Territory saw employment grow by 1.4%, labour force expand by 1.2%, and a decrease of 0.2 percentage points in unemployment. State-level data from ACT to 25-Nov showed employment growth of 1.19% year-on-year, adding 710 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.5%. This compared to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%, and the state's employment growth outpacing the national average of 0.14%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, as of May-25, projected a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oxley's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Oxley had a median income of $65,932 and an average of $75,922. Nationally, these figures are high compared to the Australian Capital Territory's median of $72,206 and average of $85,981. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, current estimates for Oxley as of September 2025 would be approximately $72,037 (median) and $82,952 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, Oxley ranks highly nationally in household, family, and personal incomes, between the 87th and 87th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 33.3% of residents earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly (555 individuals), similar to regional levels where this cohort also represents 34.3%. Notably, 38.3% earn above $3,000 weekly, reflecting prosperity that drives local economic activity. After housing costs, residents retain 87.3% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Oxley is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Oxley's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.5% houses and 7.5% other dwellings. In comparison, Australian Capital Territory had 79.6% houses and 20.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oxley was at 34.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.9% and rented ones at 23.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Oxley was $2,150, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure in Oxley was $400, compared to Australian Capital Territory's $425. Nationally, Oxley's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,150 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were also higher at $400 versus the national figure of $375.

Oxley features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 79.2% of all households, including 35.5% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 12.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 20.8%, with lone person households at 19.9% and group households making up 1.6%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.6.

Oxley demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

In the area, university qualification rates are lower than the SA4 region average, at 33.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, with 20.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.6%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 33.0% of residents aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (21.1%). Educational participation is high, with 29.1% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes primary education (10.5%), secondary education (8.7%), and tertiary education (4.0%).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Oxley has nine active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. All these stops serve buses. There are 37 different bus routes that service these stops, collectively providing 2,029 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of public transport in Oxley is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 184 meters from the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 289 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 225 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Oxley is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Oxley faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57%, covering around 953 people. Mental health issues impact 9.9% of residents, while arthritis affects 8.6%. About 64.7% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 66.1% across the Australian Capital Territory. The area has 18.6% of residents aged 65 and over, totaling 310 people, which is higher than the 17.6% in the Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

In terms of cultural diversity, Oxley records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Oxley has a higher than average cultural diversity, with 19.2% of its population born overseas and 15.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oxley, accounting for 48.0% of the population. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented compared to the Australian Capital Territory average, comprising 0.4% of Oxley's population versus 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (27.5%), English (25.6%), and Irish (9.2%). There are also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: French (0.7% vs regional average of 0.4%), Welsh (0.7% vs 0.5%), and Sri Lankan (0.5% vs 0.3%) are overrepresented in Oxley.

Oxley's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

At age 38, Oxley's median age is higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 35, but equivalent to Australia's median age of 38. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Oxley has a higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (13.6%) and fewer residents aged 35-44 (11.5%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 25-34 has grown from 12.6% to 15.5%, while those aged 75-84 have increased from 2.5% to 4.1%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 55-64 has declined from 15.7% to 12.9%, and those aged 5-14 have dropped from 14.2% to 11.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Oxley's age profile will change significantly. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 90%, adding 61 residents to reach a total of 130. Residents aged 65 and above are expected to drive 72% of population growth, indicating demographic aging trends. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 45-54 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.