Oxley (ACT)

Oxley has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Oxley (ACT) statistical area (Lv2) is around 1,667. This reflects a decrease of 36 people from the 2021 Census figure of 1,703. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of the resident population at 1,665 following examination of the ABS' latest ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of one new address since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,529 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. While Oxley experienced a 2.1% decline since the Census, the SA3 area achieved 0.2% growth, indicating divergent population trends. Natural growth contributed approximately 66.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

Adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, future trends indicate an expected decline in overall population by 52 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group, projected to increase by 64 people over this period.

Residential dwelling approval activity has been practically non-existent in Oxley

Oxley has recorded just one dwelling approval over the past five years. This indicates a mature, established suburb where available land for new construction is limited. For buyers, this scarcity of new housing stock typically supports property values and means competition may primarily be among existing homes.

Compared to Australian Capital Territory, Oxley shows substantially reduced construction activity. This scarcity of new properties typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This is similarly under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Oxley may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Oxley has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 47thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects expected to influence the region: Dairy Farmers Hill Precinct at 1 Dairy Road, Canberra Light Rail Stage 4 from Woden to Tuggeranong, Erindale Group Centre Master Plan Implementation - Stage 1, and Tuggeranong Foreshore Improvements. The following details these projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market performance in Oxley lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Oxley has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 7.7% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 1.0% over the past year.

There are 847 residents employed, compared to an Australian Capital Territory (ACT) unemployment rate of 3.6%, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation in Oxley is 64.0%, lower than ACT's 69.6%. Employment is concentrated in public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and construction, but professional & technical services are under-represented at 7.2% compared to ACT's 11.1%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 1.0%, while labour force increased by 1.0%, keeping unemployment relatively stable. In contrast, ACT saw employment grow by 1.4% and unemployment fall by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data from 25-Nov shows ACT employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, with an unemployment rate of 4.5%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oxley's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2022 indicates Oxley's median income among taxpayers is $65,932. The average income was $75,922 during this period. Nationally, these figures are high compared to the Australian Capital Territory's median of $68,678 and average of $83,634. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.6% since financial year ending June 2022, current estimates suggest the median income in Oxley would be approximately $74,899 and the average would be around $86,247 by September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes in Oxley rank highly nationally, between the 87th and 87th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 33.3% of the community (555 individuals) earn within the $1,500 - $2,999 weekly bracket, aligning with regional levels where this cohort also represents 34.3%. Notably, 38.3% earn above $3,000 weekly, reflecting areas of prosperity that contribute to robust local economic activity. After accounting for housing costs, residents retain 87.3% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Oxley is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Oxley's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.5% houses and 7.5% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to the Australian Capital Territory's structure of 79.6% houses and 20.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oxley stood at 34.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.9% and rented ones at 23.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,150, higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,000. The median weekly rent figure in Oxley was $400, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's $425. Nationally, Oxley's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Oxley features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 79.2% of all households, including 35.5% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 12.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.8%, with lone person households at 19.9% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.6.

Oxley demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area has university qualification rates at 33.0%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 46.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.6%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 33.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them – advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (21.1%). Educational participation is high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.5% in primary, 8.7% in secondary, and 4.0% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The transport analysis indicates 11 operational stops in Oxley, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by four distinct routes, facilitating a total of 385 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed excellent, with residents generally situated 182 meters from the nearest stop.

The service frequency averages 55 trips daily across all routes, translating to roughly 35 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Oxley is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Oxley faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57%, covering around 953 people. Mental health issues impact 9.9% of residents, while arthritis affects 8.6%. About 64.7% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 66.1% across the Australian Capital Territory. The area has 18.6% of residents aged 65 and over (310 people), which is higher than the 17.6% in the Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

In terms of cultural diversity, Oxley records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Oxley has a higher than average cultural diversity, with 19.2% of its population born overseas and 15.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oxley, making up 48.0% of people there. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented in Oxley compared to the Australian Capital Territory, with 0.4% of Oxley's population identifying as Jewish versus 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups in Oxley are Australian (27.5%), English (25.6%), and Irish (9.2%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences: French is overrepresented at 0.7% compared to the regional average of 0.4%, Welsh at 0.7% versus 0.5%, and Sri Lankan at 0.5% versus 0.3%.

Oxley's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Oxley's median age is 38 years, which is higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 but equivalent to the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Oxley has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (13.6%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (11.5%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 25-34 has grown from 12.6% to 15.5%, while the 75-84 cohort has increased from 2.5% to 4.1%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort has declined from 15.7% to 12.9%, and the 5-14 group has dropped from 14.2% to 11.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Oxley's age profile will significantly change. The 75-84 cohort is projected to grow by 90%, adding 61 residents to reach 130. Residents aged 65 and above are expected to drive 72% of population growth, indicating a trend towards demographic aging. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 45-54 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.