Oxley (ACT)

Oxley has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Oxley's population is estimated at approximately 1,667 as of February 2026. This reflects a decrease of 36 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 1,703. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 1,665 residents following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional validated new address since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,529 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. While Oxley experienced a 2.1% decline since the census, the SA3 area achieved 0.1% growth, indicating divergent population trends. Natural growth contributed approximately 66.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

Population projections for the suburb are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia figures released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections, using 2022 as a base, are adopted. Over this period, projections indicate an overall population decline of 52 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are expected to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group, projected to increase by 64 people.

Residential dwelling approval activity has been practically non-existent in Oxley

Oxley has recorded just one dwelling approval over the past five years. This indicates a mature, established suburb where available land for new construction is limited. For buyers, this scarcity of new housing stock typically supports property values and means competition may primarily be among existing homes.

Compared to Australian Capital Territory, Oxley shows substantially reduced construction activity. This scarcity of new properties typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This is similarly under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Oxley may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Oxley has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Three projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area: Dairy Farmers Hill Precinct at 1 Dairy Road, Canberra Light Rail Stage 4 from Woden to Tuggeranong, Erindale Group Centre Master Plan Implementation - Stage 1, and Tuggeranong Foreshore Improvements.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market performance in Oxley lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Oxley's workforce is well-educated with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 7.7% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 1.0% over the past year, according to AreaSearch data aggregation. As of that date, 847 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 4.2% higher than the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.6%.

Workforce participation in Oxley lagged at 66.5%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 72.5%. Only 12.3% of residents worked from home, as per Census responses, considering Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Employment was concentrated in public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and construction sectors.

However, professional & technical services were under-represented at 7.2%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 11.1%. The predominantly residential area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 1.0% while labour force grew by 1.0%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 7.7%. In contrast, Australian Capital Territory saw employment grow by 1.4%, labour force expand by 1.2%, and unemployment fall by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 indicated that national employment was projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Oxley's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though these are simple weighting extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023. Oxley's median income among taxpayers was $65,932, with an average of $75,922. Nationally, this is high compared to the Australian Capital Territory's median of $72,206 and average of $85,981. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $72,037 (median) and $82,952 (average), accounting for a 9.26% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Census 2021 income data ranks Oxley's household, family, and personal incomes highly nationally, between the 87th and 87th percentiles. The $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 33.3% of Oxley residents (555 individuals), aligning with regional levels at 34.3%. Notably, 38.3% earn above $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 87.3% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Oxley is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Oxley, as per the latest Census evaluation, 92.5% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 7.5% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwelling types. This contrasts with the Australian Capital Territory's figures of 63.3% houses and 36.7% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oxley stood at 34.2%, with mortgaged properties making up 42.9% and rented dwellings accounting for 23.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Oxley was $2,150, surpassing the Australian Capital Territory average of $2,080. Meanwhile, the median weekly rent in Oxley was recorded at $400, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's figure of $450. Nationally, Oxley's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents also exceeding the national figure of $375.

Oxley features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 79.2% of all households, including 35.5% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 12.0% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.8%, with lone person households at 19.9% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Oxley demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 33.0%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 46.8%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 20.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.6%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 33.0% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.9% and certificates at 21.1%. Educational participation is high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.5% in primary, 8.7% in secondary, and 4.0% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows nine active transport stops operating within Oxley. These stops are served by 37 individual routes, collectively providing 2029 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 184 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature; car remains the dominant mode at 91%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, above regional average. Only 12.3% of residents work from home (2021 Census).

Service frequency averages 289 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 225 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Oxley is notably higher than the national average with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Oxley demonstrates above-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are seen at a fairly standard level across both young and old age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population, which consists of around 953 people. This compares to 62.4% across Australian Capital Territory. Mental health issues and arthritis were found to be the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 9.9 and 8.6% of residents respectively. A total of 64.7% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 70.2% across Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 20.0% of residents aged 65 and over, which consists of around 333 people, higher than the 14.3% in Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Oxley records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Oxley, surveyed in June 2016, had cultural diversity above average with 19.2% of its population born overseas and 15.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 48.0%. Judaism was overrepresented compared to Australian Capital Territory, making up 0.4% in Oxley versus 0.2% regionally.

The top three ancestry groups were Australian (27.5%), English (25.6%), and Irish (9.2%). Notably, French (0.7%) and Welsh (0.7%) ethnicities were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.5% and 0.6%, respectively. Sri Lankan ethnicity was also slightly higher at 0.5%.

Oxley's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Oxley's median age is 38 years, which is higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 but equivalent to the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Oxley has a higher percentage of residents aged 65-74 (13.6%) but fewer residents aged 35-44 (12.5%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 75 to 84 has grown from 2.5% to 5.2%, while the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 12.6% to 15.1%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 15.7% to 12.2%, and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 14.2% to 11.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Oxley's age profile will significantly change. The 75 to 84 cohort is projected to grow by 50%, adding 43 residents to reach 130. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive 83% of population growth, indicating a trend towards demographic aging. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 and 0 to 4 age groups are expected to experience population declines.