Oxley (ACT)

Oxley has shown very soft population growth performance across periods assessed by AreaSearch

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census Oxley's population is estimated at around 1,713 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 10 people (0.6%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,703 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,713, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional two validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,571 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Oxley's 0.6% growth since census positions it within 0.8 percentage points of the SA3 area (1.4%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the suburb of Oxley (ACT) was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 66.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, age group growth rates from the ACT Government's SA2 area projections, with 2022 as a base, are adopted. As we examine future population trends, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the suburb of Oxley (ACT)'s population expected to reduce by 41 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to increase by 68 people.

Residential dwelling approval activity has been practically non-existent in Oxley

Oxley has recorded just one dwelling approval in the past five years. This indicates a mature, established suburb with limited land available for new construction. For buyers, this scarcity of new housing stock typically supports property values and may result in competition primarily among existing homes.

Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Oxley shows substantially reduced construction activity, suggesting potential planning limitations. This scarcity of new properties can strengthen demand and prices for existing properties, which is also below the national average, further indicating the area's established nature. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Oxley may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Oxley may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Oxley has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 49thth percentile nationally

AreaSearch has identified three projects that could significantly impact the area: Dairy Farmers Hill Precinct at 1 Dairy Road, Canberra Light Rail Stage 4 from Woden to Tuggeranong, Erindale Group Centre Master Plan Implementation - Stage 1, and Tuggeranong Foreshore Improvements.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market performance in Oxley lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Oxley has an educated workforce with significant representation from essential services sectors. The unemployment rate in Oxley was 8.2% as of December 2024. Over the past year, employment stability was relatively consistent.

As of December 2025844 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.3%, which is 0.5 percentage points higher than the Australian Capital Territory's rate of 3.8%. The workforce participation rate in Oxley was 63.8%, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 70.5%. According to Census responses, only 12.3% of residents worked from home as of December 2025.

Employment is concentrated in public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and construction sectors. However, professional & technical services are under-represented, with only 7.2% of Oxley's workforce compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 11.1%. Over the year ending December 2025, employment increased by 0.1%, while the labour force grew by 1.0%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 0.8 percentage points. In comparison, the Australian Capital Territory saw employment grow by 0.9% and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points over the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase in employment over five years and a 13.7% increase over ten years nationally. Applying these projections to Oxley's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 6.4% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023. Oxley's median income among taxpayers was $65,932 with an average of $75,922. Nationally, this is high compared to the Australian Capital Territory's median of $72,206 and average of $85,981. By March 2026, estimates suggest Oxley's median income will be approximately $72,815 and average $83,848, based on a 10.44% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Census 2021 data shows Oxley's household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 87th and 87th percentiles. The earnings profile indicates that 33.3% of the community (570 individuals) earn between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly, aligning with regional levels at 34.3%. Notably, 38.3% earn above $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 87.3% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking in the 7th decile.

Oxley is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Oxley's latest Census data shows 92.5% houses and 7.5% other dwellings, compared to Australian Capital Territory's 63.3% houses and 36.7%. Home ownership in Oxley was 34.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 42.9% and rented at 23.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,150, higher than Australian Capital Territory's $2,080. Median weekly rent in Oxley was $400, compared to Australian Capital Territory's $450. Nationally, Oxley's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,150 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents exceeded the national figure of $375 by $400.

Oxley features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.2% of all households, including 35.5% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 12.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.8%, with lone person households at 19.9% and group households comprising 1.6% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Australian Capital Territory average of 2.5.

Oxley demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 33.0%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 46.8%. This discrepancy presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 20.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.6%) and graduate diplomas (4.6%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 33.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 11.9% and certificates for 21.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows nine active transport stops operating within Oxley, consisting of bus services. These stops are served by 37 individual routes, collectively providing 2029 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 184 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward, with car being the dominant mode at 91%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.6 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low 12.3% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 289 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 225 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Oxley is notably higher than the national average with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Oxley demonstrates above-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment conducted in 2021. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were found to be at a standard level across both young and old age cohorts.

Private health cover was found to be very high, at approximately 57% of the total population (~979 people), compared to 62.4% across Australian Capital Territory as of December 2020. The most common medical conditions in the area were mental health issues (9.9%) and arthritis (8.6%), while 64.7% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 70.2% across Australian Capital Territory. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 19.8% of residents aged 65 and over (339 people), which is higher than the 14.3% in Australian Capital Territory as of June 2021. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Oxley records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Oxley's population shows above-average cultural diversity, with 19.2% born overseas and 15.1% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oxley, accounting for 48.0% of its population. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented compared to the Australian Capital Territory average, comprising 0.4% versus 0.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Australian (27.5%), English (25.6%), and Irish (9.2%). Some ethnic groups show notable divergences: French (Oxley: 0.7%, regional: 0.5%), Welsh (Oxley: 0.7%, regional: 0.6%), and Sri Lankan (Oxley: 0.5%, regional: 0.4%) are overrepresented in Oxley compared to the regional averages.

Oxley's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Oxley's median age is 38 years, which is higher than the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 but equivalent to Australia's median age of 38. Compared to the Australian Capital Territory, Oxley has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (13.3%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (14.6%). Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 75-84 has grown from 2.5% to 5.4%, while the 15-24 age group increased from 12.0% to 14.1%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has declined from 14.2% to 11.1%, and the 55-64 age group dropped from 15.7% to 12.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Oxley's age profile will change significantly. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to grow by 54%, adding 49 residents to reach 142. Residents aged 65 and above are expected to drive 78% of population growth, reflecting demographic aging trends. However, the 0-4 and 25-34 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.