Oxley (ACT)

Oxley lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of November 2025, Oxley's estimated population is around 135,132, reflecting a 10.4% increase from the 2021 Census figure of 122,376 people. This growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 1,665 following examination of the ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional validated new address since the Census date. The suburb's population density ratio is 123,974 persons per square kilometer, placing it within the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Oxley's growth rate exceeded that of its SA3 area (0.2%) and the state, marking it as a regional growth leader. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains in recent periods, although all drivers were positive factors. Future projections based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, predict exceptional growth for Oxley over the period to 2041.

The suburb is expected to increase by 26,396 persons by that date, reflecting a gain of 36.4% in total population over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Oxley was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Oxley shows approximately 858 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 4,292 homes. As of FY-26565 approvals have been recorded. On average, around 3.3 people per year move to the area for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25. This supply lagging demand suggests heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures, with new dwellings developed at an average expected construction cost of $364,000.

In FY-26, $1361.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating high levels of local commercial activity compared to the Australian Capital Territory, where Oxley has 480.0% more construction activity per person. This activity is significantly above the national average, reflecting robust developer interest in the area. New development consists of 10.0% detached dwellings and 90.0% attached dwellings, creating more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This shift indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles requiring diverse housing options. With around 302 people per dwelling approval, Oxley shows a developing market. Population is expected to remain stable or decline, potentially reducing pressure on housing and creating opportunities for buyers.

With population expected to remain stable or decline, Oxley should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Oxley has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects likely to affect this region: Dairy Farmers Hill Precinct at 1 Dairy Road, Canberra Light Rail Stage 4 from Woden to Tuggeranong, Erindale Group Centre Master Plan Implementation - Stage 1, and Tuggeranong Foreshore Improvements. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Oxley places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Oxley has an educated workforce, with the technology sector prominent. Its unemployment rate was 2.9% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 1.8%.

As of June 2025, there are 43,875 employed residents, an unemployment rate of 0.5% below the Australian Capital Territory's (ACT) rate of 3.4%, and workforce participation at 142.0% compared to ACT's 69.6%. Key industries include public administration & safety, professional & technical services, and education & training. The area specializes in public administration & safety with an employment share 2.3 times the regional level.

There are 2.5 workers per resident, functioning as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Over June 2024 to June 2025, employment increased by 1.8% and labour force by 1.6%, reducing unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, ACT saw employment growth of 1.9%, labour force expansion of 1.6%, and a fall in unemployment of 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Oxley's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Oxley shows a median taxpayer income of $138,528 and an average of $176,302 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This places Oxley in the top percentile nationally, contrasting with Australian Capital Territory's median income of $68,678 and average income of $83,634. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.6% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $157,368 (median) and $200,279 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Oxley, between the 178th and 186th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals 68.8% of the population (92,970 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, mirroring the metropolitan region where 34.3% occupy this bracket. The substantial proportion of high earners (76.6% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout the district. After housing costs, residents retain 168.8% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 17th decile.

Oxley is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Oxley, as per the latest Census, consisted of 78.6% houses and 121.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Australian Capital Territory's 79.6% houses and 20.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Oxley was at 47.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 61.6% and rented ones at 91.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $4,160, higher than Australian Capital Territory's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Oxley was $952, compared to Australian Capital Territory's $425. Nationally, Oxley's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $4,160 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

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Oxley demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Oxley's educational attainment is notably high, with 119.4% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and the SA3 area's 31.1%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 63.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (44.4%) and graduate diplomas (11.8%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 29.0% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 13.0% and certificates at 16.0%. Educational participation is high, with 77.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 43.6% in tertiary education, 12.8% in primary education, and 10.2% pursuing secondary education. However, educational facilities appear to be located outside Oxley's immediate boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Oxley has 806 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 166 different routes that together facilitate 17,832 weekly passenger trips. The transport system in Oxley is rated as good, with residents on average located 352 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, there are an average of 2,547 trips per day, which equates to approximately 22 weekly trips per individual stop.

Oxley's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Oxley demonstrates excellent health outcomes across all age groups, with a very low prevalence of common health conditions. As of 2021, approximately 131% of Oxley's total population (176,428 people) has private health cover, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 57.2%. Nationally, this figure stands at 55.3%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent conditions in Oxley, affecting 22.0% and 16.4% of residents respectively, while 141.6% claim to be completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Australian Capital Territory's 66.1%. Oxley has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 22.8%, with 30,810 people falling into this category, compared to the Australian Capital Territory's 17.6%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Oxley are strong and broadly align with those of the general population.

Oxley is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Oxley, one of the most culturally diverse areas in Australia, has a population where 60.2% were born overseas and 45.6% speak a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Oxley, with 59.8% of people identifying as such. However, Judaism is overrepresented compared to the Australian Capital Territory average, comprising 1.0% of Oxley's population.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (48.2%), Australian (43.2%), and Other (21.8%), all substantially higher than regional averages. Notably, Welsh (1.4%), Korean (1.4%), and Polish (1.8%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Oxley hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Oxley's median age of 62 is significantly higher than both the Australian Capital Territory average of 35 and the national norm of 38. The age distribution in Oxley closely aligns with the Australian Capital Territory average across all cohorts. The concentration of individuals aged 15-24 is well above the national average of 12.5%. According to the 2021 Census, the proportion of the population aged 25-34 has grown from 43.4% to 45.6%, while the proportion of those aged 15-24 has declined from 44.4% to 43.3%. By 2041, Oxley's age composition is projected to shift notably. The number of individuals aged 85 and above is expected to grow steadily, increasing by -2,339 people (-56%) from 4,189 to 1,850. Conversely, population declines are projected for the cohorts aged 85 and above and 75-84.