Ellen Grove

Ellen Grove lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, the suburb of Ellen Grove's population is estimated at around 4,157 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 571 people (15.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,586 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 4,109 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 44 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,222 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Ellen Grove's 15.9% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (8.9%), along with the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 62.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. As we examine future population trends, a population increase just below the median of Australian statistical areas is expected, with the suburb expected to expand by 354 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 3.3% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Ellen Grove according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Ellen Grove has seen approximately 7 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years from FY21 to FY25. This totals an estimated 37 homes. As of FY26, there is one recorded approval so far. The area experiences an average population increase of 9.7 people annually for each dwelling built during this period.

This outpaces supply and typically puts upward pressure on prices while increasing buyer competition. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $337,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms. In FY26, there have been $659,000 in commercial development approvals recorded, indicating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Ellen Grove records roughly half the building activity per person and places among the 16th percentile nationally for building activity, suggesting limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing dwellings.

Recent development has been entirely comprised of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (61.0% at Census), indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. The location has approximately 969 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. Future projections show Ellen Grove adding 136 residents by 2041 based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Assuming current development patterns continue, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Ellen Grove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Five projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly. These key projects include Waterford Business Park, Wacol Warehouse Complex at 200 Tile Street, Ellen Grove Estate Townhouses, and Springfield Parkway and Springfield Greenbank Arterial Duplication. The following list provides details on those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment drivers in Ellen Grove are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Ellen Grove has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate is 8.9%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of June 2025, 1,533 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 4.8% higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Ellen Grove lags at 56.8%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Key industries for employment among residents include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing has a significant presence with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services have limited representation with 5.2% employment compared to the regional average of 8.9%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population figures. Between June 2024 and July 2025, labour force decreased by 1.4%, while employment declined by 1.9%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane experienced employment growth of 4.4% and labour force growth of 4.0%, with a drop in unemployment rate of 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 offer insights into potential future demand within Ellen Grove. These projections suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Ellen Grove's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that income in Ellen Grove is below the national average. The median assessed income is $55,103 and the average income stands at $61,742. In comparison, Greater Brisbane has a median income of $55,645 and an average income of $70,520. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Ellen Grove would be approximately $62,812 (median) and $70,380 (average) as of September 2025. Census data indicates that household, family and personal incomes in Ellen Grove all fall between the 14th and 24th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that the largest segment comprises 34.4% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (1,430 residents), which is similar to patterns seen at regional levels where 33.3% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Ellen Grove, with only 77.2% of income remaining, ranking at the 17th percentile.

Ellen Grove displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Ellen Grove's residential structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 61.3% houses and 38.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Brisbane metro had 80.2% houses and 19.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ellen Grove was at 11.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 18.7% and rented ones at 69.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,491, lower than Brisbane metro's average of $1,630. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $350, compared to Brisbane metro's $355. Nationally, Ellen Grove's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Ellen Grove features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 75.7% of all households, including 29.5% couples with children, 19.2% couples without children, and 25.0% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 24.3%, with lone person households at 19.7% and group households comprising 4.6%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.8.

Educational achievement in Ellen Grove places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

The area's university qualification rate is 19.5%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 36.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (24.6%). Educational participation is high at 34.7%, comprising primary education (11.6%), secondary education (9.7%), and tertiary education (5.3%).

Schools appear to be located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring residents to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 15 active stops in Ellen Grove, offering mixed bus services. These are covered by two routes, facilitating 357 weekly passenger trips. Resident accessibility is rated excellent, with an average distance of 194 meters to the nearest stop.

Services run approximately 51 times daily, equating to around 23 weekly trips per stop.

Ellen Grove's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Ellen Grove's health metrics are close to national benchmarks. Common health conditions among its general population are somewhat typical but higher than the nation's average among older cohorts.

Private health cover is at approximately 52% of the total population (~2,147 people), slightly lagging behind Greater Brisbane's 49.5%. The most common medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 9.4 and 8.6% of residents respectively. 70.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.1% across Greater Brisbane. The area has 10.7% of residents aged 65 and over (444 people), lower than Greater Brisbane's 13.6%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Ellen Grove is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ellen Grove has a high level of cultural diversity, with 41.3% of its population born overseas and 39.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Ellen Grove, comprising 44.5% of the population. However, Buddhism is notably overrepresented in Ellen Grove compared to Greater Brisbane, making up 6.9% versus 8.7%.

Regarding ancestry, the top three represented groups are Australian (18.7%), English (18.0%), and Other (17.5%). There are also significant differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Samoan is overrepresented at 5.2% compared to the regional average of 2.7%, Vietnamese is underrepresented at 6.9% versus 11.3%, and Maori is slightly overrepresented at 1.5% compared to 1.2%.

Ellen Grove hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Ellen Grove has a median age of 31 years, which is younger than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Ellen Grove has a higher percentage of residents aged 0-4 (8.8%) but fewer residents aged 75-84 (3.1%). According to data from the 2021 Census, the age group of 75 to 84 years has increased from 2.1% to 3.1% of Ellen Grove's population. Conversely, the age group of 25 to 34 years has decreased from 17.5% to 14.6%. By the year 2041, demographic modeling suggests that Ellen Grove's age profile will significantly change. The number of residents aged 75 to 84 is projected to increase by 89 people (69%), from 128 to 218. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above are expected to account for 60% of total population growth, indicating the area's aging demographic trend. In contrast, both age groups of 15 to 24 years and 0 to 4 years are projected to decrease in number.