Ellen Grove

Population growth drivers in Ellen Grove are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, Ellen Grove's population is estimated at around 4186. This reflects an increase of 600 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3586. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 4184 residents following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release (June 2024) and additional 44 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1231 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Ellen Grove's growth of 16.7% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.7%). Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 62.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

For future projections, AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted, applying proportional growth weightings from ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. By 2041, the Ellen Grove statistical area is expected to expand by 351 persons reflecting an increase of 2.5% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Ellen Grove according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Ellen Grove received approximately 7 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 35 homes. So far in FY26, 1 approval has been recorded. This translates to an average of 10.3 people moving to the area per year for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25. Commercial development approvals totalled $97.8 million this financial year.

Compared to Greater Brisbane, Ellen Grove has roughly half the building activity per person and ranks in the 9th percentile nationally. Recent development consists solely of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's suburban character with a focus on family homes. The location has approximately 1937 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Future projections estimate Ellen Grove will add 104 residents by 2041, with current development patterns suggesting new housing supply should meet demand, offering favourable conditions for buyers and potential population growth beyond current projections.

Future projections show Ellen Grove adding 104 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Ellen Grove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Five projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly, with Waterford Business Park, Wacol Warehouse Complex at 200 Tile Street, Ellen Grove Estate Townhouses, and Springfield Parkway and Springfield Greenbank Arterial Duplication being key among them. The following list provides details on those most likely to be relevant.

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Employment drivers in Ellen Grove are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Ellen Grove has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation. Its unemployment rate was 8.7% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.6%.

As of September 2025, 1,554 residents are employed, but the unemployment rate is higher than Greater Brisbane's at 4.7%, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation lags behind Greater Brisbane at 56.8% compared to 64.5%. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and retail trade. Manufacturing shows strong specialization with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level.

However, professional & technical services are under-represented at 5.2%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 8.9%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. In the past year, employment increased by 2.6% while labour force grew by 1.7%, leading to a unemployment rate decrease of 0.8 percentage points. State-level data as of 25-Nov shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01%, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but industry-specific projections suggest Ellen Grove's employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023 shows Ellen Grove's median income among taxpayers is $55,129. The average income in the suburb is $61,771. This is lower than the national average. Greater Brisbane has a median income of $58,236 and an average income of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for Ellen Grove as of September 2025 would be approximately $60,592 (median) and $67,893 (average). Census data indicates that household, family, and personal incomes in Ellen Grove fall between the 14th and 24th percentiles nationally. The distribution data shows that 34.4% of individuals in Ellen Grove earn between $1,500 and $2,999, which is similar to the broader area where this cohort represents 33.3%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Ellen Grove, with only 77.2% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 17th percentile nationally.

Ellen Grove displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Ellen Grove's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 61.3% houses and 38.7% other types (semi-detached, apartments, 'other'). Brisbane metro had 80.2% houses and 19.8% others. Home ownership in Ellen Grove was 11.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 18.7% and rented at 69.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,491, below Brisbane's $1,630. Median weekly rent was $350, compared to Brisbane's $355. Nationally, Ellen Grove's repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Ellen Grove features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 75.7% of all households, including 29.5% couples with children, 19.2% couples without children, and 25.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 24.3%, with lone person households at 19.7% and group households at 4.6%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.8.

Educational achievement in Ellen Grove places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

The area's university qualification rate is 19.5%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 13.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.8%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 36.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.4%) and certificates (24.6%). Educational participation is high at 34.7%, with 11.6% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 5.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 34.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.6% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 5.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Ellen Grove shows 15 active stops operating, all providing bus services. These stops are served by two routes combined, offering a total of 310 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 194 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 44 trips per day across both routes, equating to approximately 20 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ellen Grove's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Ellen Grove's health metrics are close to national benchmarks.

Common health conditions among its general population are somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts. Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 52% of the total population (~2,163 people). The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 9.4 and 8.6% of residents respectively. 70.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 72.1% across Greater Brisbane. The area has 10.7% of residents aged 65 and over (447 people), which is lower than the 13.6% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

Ellen Grove is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ellen Grove has a high level of cultural diversity, with 41.3% of its population born overseas and 39.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Ellen Grove, making up 44.5% of the population. However, Buddhism shows an overrepresentation, comprising 6.9% compared to 8.7% across Greater Brisbane.

The top three ancestral groups are Australian (18.7%), English (18.0%), and Other (17.5%). Notably, Samoan is overrepresented at 5.2%, Vietnamese underrepresented at 6.9%, and Maori slightly overrepresented at 1.5%.

Ellen Grove hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Ellen Grove has a median age of 31 years, which is younger than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Ellen Grove has a higher percentage of residents aged 0-4 (8.8%) but fewer residents aged 75-84 (3.1%). According to data from the 2021 Census, the 75-84 age group increased from 2.1% to 3.1%, while the 25-34 cohort decreased from 17.5% to 14.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Ellen Grove's age profile will change significantly. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 89 people (69%), reaching 219 residents. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 61% of total population growth. Conversely, both the 15-24 and 0-4 age groups are projected to decrease in numbers.