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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Coes Creek has an estimated 1,601 residents, up from 1,515 at the 2021 Census — a change of 86 people, or 5.7%. Growth has averaged 0.8% a year over five years. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 62.0% of that increase. That puts 673 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to investigations of ABS population revisions for the broader region alongside address registries confirmed by AreaSearch post-Census, the suburb of Coes Creek is inhabited by approximately 1,601 individuals as of May 2026. This represents an expansion of 86 residents (5.7%) compared to the 2021 Census, which registered a population of 1,515 people. The adjustment is derived from a resident population of 1,566, computed by AreaSearch via analyzing the latest ABS ERP data release (June 2025) plus an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population scale translates to a density ratio of 672 persons per square kilometer, indicating substantial space per resident and prospective scope for additional growth.
Growth in the suburb of Coes Creek was chiefly powered by domestic arrivals from other states, which accounted for roughly 62.0% of the aggregate population increase during the recent timeframe, though all components including overseas migration and natural growth registered positive impacts. AreaSearch implements ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 region, published in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 regions lacking this dataset, and for timeframes after 2032, the Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, published in 2023 and utilizing 2021 data, are utilized. Notably, these state-level projections lack age breakdown details; consequently, when applied, AreaSearch distributes proportional growth weightings aligned with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (published in 2023, utilizing 2022 data) for individual age categories. Looking ahead to future population dynamics, a substantial population rise in the top quartile of regional locations nationwide is predicted, with the suburb of Coes Creek projected to grow by 403 persons by 2041 according to combined SA2-level forecasts, showing an overall increase of 23.0% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
Property development in Coes Creek is minimal, averaging 3 residential construction approvals per year, with a total of 17 recorded over the preceding five years. These restricted development volumes reflect the rural profile of the location, where residential building is generally stimulated by specific local accommodation needs rather than widespread market demand. Due to the small quantity of approvals, solitary building initiatives can disproportionately affect annual expansion metrics and relative comparison statistics. Compared to the Rest of Qld, development volumes in Coes Creek are naturally far lower. Building activity also sits below national averages.
Approved residential projects consist of 75.0% separate houses and 25.0% medium or high-density dwellings, reflecting the rural character of the locality where spacious allotments and large properties predominate. This represents a distinct shift from the existing residential landscape, which currently comprises 98.0% houses, indicating a decreasing supply of vacant land parcels alongside changing lifestyle preferences and cost considerations. The ratio of 784 residents for each approved dwelling highlights a quiet, low-density construction setting. Future forecasts indicate that Coes Creek will add 368 residents by 2041, based on the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch. If current building rates persist, residential supply may struggle to match population expansion, which could heighten buyer competition and underpin stronger appreciation in property values.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Coes Creek
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 47 current infrastructure and development projects close to Coes Creek, worth an estimated $4.53 billion. 14 are already under construction and 18 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and communities. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major planning schemes, and development initiatives are key drivers of regional performance. AreaSearch has identified a total of 2 key projects that are expected to influence the area. The most significant developments include Stage 1 of the Beerburrum to Nambour Rail Upgrade, Windsor Park Estate, Horizons Peak Estate, and the Millwood Rise Residential Development, with the list below highlighting the most relevant projects.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Beerburrum to Nambour Rail Upgrade Stage 1
Stage 1 of the Beerburrum to Nambour (B2N) Rail Upgrade duplicates the North Coast Line track between Beerburrum and Beerwah. The project scope includes delivering 4 new rail bridges, addressing 3 level crossings, expanding 3 park 'n' ride facilities, and constructing a new bus interchange at Landsborough Station. Main construction works commenced in November 2025 and are expected to be complete in 2027.
Parklane Estate Burnside
Parklane Estate is a 38-lot residential subdivision in Burnside on the Sunshine Coast. The site was sold in July 2024 with an approved subdivision and has since been rebranded as Parklane Estate. Civil construction and infrastructure works are underway, with premium residential lots and house and land packages now being actively marketed. Estate completion is targeted for 2026.
Windsor Park Estate
A boutique land development in the Sunshine Coast Hinterland offering 68 lots ranging from 450m2 to 6,205m2 with elevated views, scenic paths, and green spaces, located 20 minutes from beaches. Marketed by Ken Guy Buderim, construction is largely complete on the estate infrastructure, with land titled and new homes currently being constructed and sold.
Nambour Place Revitalisation Project
Council-led revitalisation of Nambour town centre under the Nambour (Namba) Place Plan. The funded first stage focuses on Mill Street and Currie Street streetscape works, including a new signalised raised pedestrian crossing, upgraded footpaths and lighting, landscaping, garden beds, street trees, alfresco dining areas, street furniture, improved accessibility and a digital kiosk. Design for construction has been completed, tenders were scheduled for early May, and first-stage construction is planned to start in the first half of 2026.Future streetscape stages remain subject to funding.
The Grove Nambour Heights
A boutique residential estate offering 58 home sites ranging from 600 sqm to over 2000 sqm, with a mix of flat and sloping blocks. Stage One is sold out with house and land packages available. Stage Two releases are available for presale, providing a relaxed hinterland lifestyle close to Nambour amenities.
Nambour Waste Precinct Project
The project transforms the Nambour waste facility into a regional hub to support sustainable waste management and a circular economy. Totaling more than 83 million AUD in works, it features a completed state-of-the-art Materials Recovery Facility, a signalised traffic intersection upgrade at Cooney Road, ongoing construction of a new resource recovery centre, and landfill improvements. Future additions planned include a tip shop and a landfill gas to energy plant.
Horizons Peak Estate
The final stage of the successful Horizons North project, Horizons Peak is a boutique estate of 23 custom-designed, luxury turn-key, off-the-plan residences in an elevated position in central Woombye, offering panoramic hinterland views. Construction is underway with house and land packages still available for purchase.
Sydney Street Unit Development
A proposed four-storey residential complex featuring 18 units designed by Sprout Architects, located on a vacant block within walking distance of Nambour Plaza. The development was tendered in late 2022 with an estimated construction budget of $4-5 million.
744 residents of Coes Creek are employed, from a labour force of 788. Unemployment sits at 5.6%, with participation at 62.0%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.3% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Coes Creek features a balanced labor force distributed across white-collar and blue-collar roles, with a solid footprint in essential services and an unemployment rate of 5.6%, based on aggregated statistical area statistics compiled by AreaSearch. In March 2026744 local residents were employed, representing an unemployment rate that is 1.7% higher than the Regional Qld level of 3.9%, while labor force participation is slightly suppressed at 62.0% compared to 64.3% across Regional Qld. Census data indicates that a modest 11.0% of the workforce worked from their homes, though this figure may reflect the influence of Covid-19 restrictions.
The local workforce is primarily engaged in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. The community displays a distinct employment concentration in retail trade, where the workforce representation is 1.2 times the regional benchmark. Conversely, mining is underrepresented, employing just 1.1% of local workers compared to 3.6% in Regional Qld. The balance between local census jobs and the working resident population indicates that the immediate area provides few employment opportunities. Based on AreaSearch aggregation of SALM and ABS statistics for the broader region, the latest 12-month period recorded a 4.0% contraction in the labor force alongside a 5.1% drop in total employment, resulting in a 1.1 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate. In comparison, Regional Qld saw employment grow by 0.1%, the labor force expand by 0.3%, and unemployment tick up by 0.1 percentage points. National labor projections published by Jobs and Skills Australia in May-25 offer additional context on prospective workforce needs. These five-year and ten-year forecasts have been aligned with local employment profiles to project growth. Nationally, employment is predicted to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though expansion rates vary widely by sector. Applying these industry projections to the local workforce mix suggests that employment for residents should rise by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, using a basic weighted extrapolation that does not incorporate local population forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Coes Creek is $1,628 a week (about $85,000 a year), with median personal income at $700 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $49,091 a year against an average of $60,517. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
The latest ATO data at the postcode level for the 2023 financial year shows that personal incomes in Coes Creek are below the national average, recording a median of $49,091 and an average of $60,517. This is lower than the Regional Qld median of $53,146 and average of $66,593. Adjusting these figures for the 11.36% growth in the Wage Price Index since the 2023 financial year yields updated estimates of approximately $54,668 for the median and $67,392 for the average as of March 2026. Census findings show that household, family, and individual incomes are all moderate, placing between the 28th and 43rd percentiles.
In terms of earnings brackets, the $1,500 - 2,999 range encompasses 39.0% of local earners, representing 624 people, which is comparable to the wider region where 31.7% of the population falls into this category. Affordability constraints are significant, with residents retaining only 84.1% of their income, which ranks in the 44th percentile, while the SEIFA income metric ranks the area in the 4th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Coes Creek had 542 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 99% detached houses and 1% apartments. 51% are owned with a mortgage, 13% rented and 36% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $443 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,733 a month. Rent absorbs 27.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 24.6%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, the housing stock in Coes Creek consisted of 98.5% separate houses and 1.5% other housing types like townhouses or flats, compared to 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings across Regional Qld. Home ownership rates in the suburb were higher than the regional average, with 36.4% of homes owned outright, while the remaining properties were held under a mortgage (50.8%) or occupied by tenants (12.7%). The median monthly home loan payment of $1,733 was higher than the Regional Qld median of $1,655, and the median weekly rent of $443 was also higher than the regional figure of $345.
On a national level, mortgage costs in the suburb are below the Australian median of $1,863, whereas rental costs are notably higher than the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Coes Creek counted 542 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 573 today, averaging 2.7 people each. 35% are couples with children, against 31% couples without children. 18% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families make up the vast majority of households at 79.3%, which includes couples with children at 34.9%, couples without children at 31.0%, and single parents at 12.3%. Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 20.7% of households, consisting of lone person households at 18.2% and group housing at 3.1%. The median household size of 2.7 people is slightly larger than the Regional Qld average of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
17.4% of adults in Coes Creek hold a university qualification, including 11.2% with a bachelor degree and 2.6% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 91% of areas nationally. A further 29.1% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local area has comparatively low levels of higher education, with 17.4% of residents holding a university degree, which is below the national average of 30.4%. This gap highlights a potential opportunity for targeted educational programs. Among degree holders, bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.2%, followed by graduate diplomas at 3.6% and postgraduate degrees at 2.6%. Vocational and technical qualifications are highly prevalent, with 41.9% of residents aged 15 and over holding tertiary trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 12.8% and certificates at 29.1%. Participation in study is high, with 26.5% of the population currently enrolled in an educational institution.
This group includes 9.5% in high schools, 9.0% in primary schools, and 2.3% attending university or TAFE.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Coes Creek means driving: households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
63.3% of residents in Coes Creek report no long-term health condition. 6.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.2% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators in Coes Creek are close to national averages, according to mortality and chronic illness data analyzed by AreaSearch. The incidence of common health conditions is standard across both younger and older demographics, while the proportion of residents with private health insurance is relatively low at about 51% of the population, which represents approximately 819 people. Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most prevalent medical issues, affecting 10.0% and 9.9% of the population respectively. Meanwhile, 63.3% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld.
Chronic health issues are slightly more common than average among the working-age population. Residents aged 65 and over make up 18.5% of the population, representing 296 people, which is lower than the Regional Qld average of 20.4%. National health rankings for the area are generally in line with the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Coes Creek is largely Australian-born, at 84.1% of residents, with 4.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (31.7%) and Australian (28.5%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Coes Creek has a lower level of cultural diversity than average, with 84.1% of residents born in Australia, 91.9% holding citizenship, and 95.8% speaking only English at home. The predominant religion is Christianity, practiced by 49.1% of the population, compared to 52.2% across Regional Qld. Looking at ancestral backgrounds, the most common heritages are English at 31.7%, Australian at 28.5%, and Scottish at 9.1%. There are also notable concentrations of specific European ancestries, with Dutch heritage overrepresented at 2.4% compared to 1.1% regionally, French ancestry at 0.8% compared to 0.5%, and Hungarian heritage at 0.4% compared to 0.2%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Coes Creek is 42. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 23.8% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in Coes Creek is 42 years, which is similar to the Regional Qld median of 41 and higher than the national median of 38. The 35 - 44 age bracket is overrepresented at 14.3% compared to the regional profile, while the 15 - 24 cohort is underrepresented at 10.7%. Since the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 10.5% to 13.1% of the population, while the 55 to 64 group has declined from 13.4% to 11.9% and the 5 to 14 cohort has dropped from 14.1% to 12.7%.
Demographic projections for 2041 suggest significant changes, with the 25 to 34 age group expected to grow by 39%, adding 82 people to increase from 209 to 292, while the 15 to 24 age bracket is forecast to grow by a modest 4%, adding just 6 residents.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Coes Creek
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 15 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (1,515 at the 2021 Census → 1,601 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL30644). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.