Coes Creek

Population growth drivers in Coes Creek are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Coes Creek statistical area (Lv2) is around 1,585. This reflects an increase of 70 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,515. The latest resident population estimate by AreaSearch, based on ERP data released by the ABS in June 2024 and validated new addresses, is 1,566. This equates to a density ratio of 666 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, ending in 2021, Coes Creek has demonstrated a compound annual growth rate of 2.1%, outpacing non-metro areas. Interstate migration contributed approximately 62.0% of overall population gains during this period.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023, based on 2021 data, are used. Future population dynamics anticipate significant growth in the top quartile of regional areas nationwide. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Coes Creek is expected to expand by 461 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 32.3% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Coes Creek according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Coes Creek has averaged three approvals per year for the past five years, totalling 18 approvals. This low development activity reflects its rural nature, where housing needs drive development rather than market demand. Yearly growth figures can vary significantly due to the low approval numbers.

Coes Creek's development levels are substantially lower than those in Rest of Qld and below national averages. New developments consist of 60% detached houses and 40% attached dwellings, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments. This shift from the current 98% house mix addresses reduced site availability and changing lifestyle demands. There are an estimated 649 people per dwelling approval in Coes Creek. By 2041, AreaSearch estimates that Coes Creek will grow by 512 residents.

If construction levels remain constant, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Coes Creek has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects that may affect this region. Notable projects include Beerburrum to Nambour Rail Upgrade Stage 1, Windsor Park Estate, Horizons Peak Estate, and Millwood Rise Residential Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment landscape in Coes Creek shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Coes Creek has a balanced workforce with representation from both white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well represented in the area.

The unemployment rate is 4.7%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, there are 813 residents employed, with an unemployment rate that is 0.6% higher than Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation stands at 61.8%, slightly above Rest of Qld's 59.1%. The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Retail trade is particularly notable with employment levels at 1.2 times the regional average. Conversely, mining shows lower representation at 1.1% compared to the regional average of 3.6%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparing working population to resident population. Over the 12 months to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.4%, with a corresponding 1.3% decline in employment, leading to a fall of 1.0 percentage points in unemployment. In contrast, Rest of Qld experienced employment growth of 1.7% and labour force growth of 2.1%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data up to 25-Nov shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% (a loss of 1,210 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, closely aligned with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 provide further insight into potential future demand within Coes Creek. These projections estimate national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industry sectors. Applying these sector-specific projections to Coes Creek's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though it is noted that this extrapolation does not account for localised population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Coes Creek has lower income than average nationally. The median income is $49,091 and the average is $60,517. This contrasts with Rest of Qld's median income of $53,146 and average of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $53,956 (median) and $66,514 (average). Census 2021 income data shows Coes Creek's household, family, and personal incomes rank modestly between the 28th and 43rd percentiles. Income distribution reveals that 39.0% of residents (618 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, similar to regional levels at 31.7%. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 84.1% of income remaining, ranking at the 44th percentile. Coes Creek's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Coes Creek is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Coes Creek, as per the latest Census evaluation, 98.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 1.5% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwelling types. This contrasts with Non-Metro Qld's figures of 82.9% houses and 17.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Coes Creek stood at 36.4%, with mortgaged properties making up 50.8% and rented dwellings accounting for 12.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,733, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,777. Weekly rent figures were recorded at $443 in Coes Creek, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $385. Nationally, Coes Creek's median monthly mortgage repayments are below the Australian average of $1,863, while weekly rents are substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Coes Creek features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households are dominant, accounting for 79.3% of all households. They consist of 34.9% couples with children, 31.0% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 20.7%, with lone person households at 18.2% and group households comprising 3.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.6.

Educational achievement in Coes Creek places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

The area's university qualification rate is 17.4%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.2%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.6%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.8%) and certificates (29.1%). Educational participation is high at 26.5%, with 9.5% in secondary education, 9.0% in primary education, and 2.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in secondary education, 9.0% in primary education, and 2.3% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Coes Creek is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Coes Creek faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions prevalent among both younger and older age cohorts.

Approximately 51% (~811 people) have private health cover, which is relatively low compared to other areas. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 10.0% of residents) and mental health issues (9.9%). However, 63.3% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 66.0% across the rest of Queensland. As of a certain date, 18.4% of residents are aged 65 and over (291 people).

Coes Creek is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Coes Creek showed cultural diversity below average levels, with 84.1% of its population born in Australia, 91.9% being citizens, and 95.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 49.1% of Coes Creek's population, compared to 46.0% across Rest of Qld. The top three ancestry groups were English (31.7%), Australian (28.5%), and Scottish (9.1%).

Notably, Dutch representation was higher at 2.4%, French at 0.8%, and Hungarian at 0.4%, compared to regional averages of 1.6%, 0.5%, and 0.2% respectively.

Coes Creek hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Coes Creek is 42 years, close to the Rest of Queensland's average of 41 and well above Australia's median of 38. The 35-44 age cohort is notably over-represented in Coes Creek at 13.8%, while the 15-24 age group is under-represented at 10.4%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 10.5% to 13.1% of the population. Conversely, the 55-64 age cohort has decreased from 13.4% to 12.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Coes Creek, with the 25-34 age group projected to grow by 109 people (53%) from 207 to 317.