Coes Creek

Coes Creek lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, Coes Creek's estimated population is around 1,577, reflecting a 62-person increase from the 2021 Census figure of 1,515. This growth represents a 4.1% rise since the last official count. AreaSearch validated this estimate through examination of ERP data released by ABS in June 2024 and additional new addresses found since the Census date. The population density is calculated at 662 persons per square kilometer, indicating ample space for further development. Over the past decade ending in 2021, Coes Creek exhibited a compound annual growth rate of 2.1%, outperforming non-metro areas. Interstate migration contributed approximately 62.0% to recent population gains, with overseas migration and natural growth also playing positive roles.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 using a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 (based on 2021 data) are used, applying proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. Future population dynamics anticipate significant growth in the top quartile of regional areas nationwide. Coes Creek is expected to expand by 462 persons to reach a total of 2,039 by 2041, reflecting a 33.0% increase over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Coes Creek according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Coes Creek has seen limited development activity with an average of 3 approvals per year over five years (18 approvals). This reflects its rural nature where development is driven by specific local housing needs rather than broad market demand. Due to low approval numbers, yearly growth figures and relativities can vary significantly based on individual projects.

Coes Creek has substantially lower development levels compared to the Rest of Qld and is below national averages. New developments consist of 60.0% detached houses and 40.0% attached dwellings, with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments offering options across different price points. This shows a significant change from the current housing mix which is currently 98.0% houses, reflecting reduced availability of development sites and addressing shifting lifestyle demands and affordability requirements. The estimated population per dwelling approval in Coes Creek is 541 people, indicating its quiet, low activity development environment. By 2041, Coes Creek is expected to grow by 521 residents according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate.

If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag behind population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Coes Creek has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects expected to impact the area. Notable projects include Beerburrum to Nambour Rail Upgrade Stage 1, Windsor Park Estate, Horizons Peak Estate, and Millwood Rise Residential Development. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in Coes Creek shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

Coes Creek has a diverse workforce with equal representation of white and blue collar jobs, particularly in essential services. Its unemployment rate is 4.2%, based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of June 2025827 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.3% higher than Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation stands at 61.8%, slightly above Rest of Qld's 59.1%. The dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Retail trade has a notable concentration with employment levels at 1.2 times the regional average.

Conversely, mining shows lower representation at 1.1% compared to the regional average of 3.6%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. Over the year ending June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.2%, alongside a 0.6% employment decline, causing unemployment to fall by 1.5 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld experienced employment growth of 1.8% and labour force growth of 2.0%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Coes Creek. These projections estimate national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Coes Creek's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for localised population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2022 shows Coes Creek has lower income levels than the national average. The median income is $49,091 and the average is $60,517. In comparison, Rest of Qld's median income is $50,780 and average is $64,844. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $55,959 (median) and $68,983 (average), based on a 13.99% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. According to Census 2021 income data, Coes Creek ranks modestly for household, family, and personal incomes, between the 28th and 43rd percentiles. Income distribution shows that 39.0% of residents (615 people) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, similar to regional levels where 31.7% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Coes Creek, with only 84.1% of income remaining after expenses, ranking at the 44th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Coes Creek is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Coes Creek dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.5% houses and 1.5% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 82.9% houses and 17.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Coes Creek was at 36.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.8% and rented ones at 12.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,733, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,777. The median weekly rent figure in Coes Creek was $443, higher than Non-Metro Qld's $385 and Australia's national figure of $375. Nationally, Coes Creek's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863.

Coes Creek features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.3% of all households, including 34.9% couples with children, 31.0% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 20.7%, with lone person households at 18.2% and group households comprising 3.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.6.

Educational achievement in Coes Creek places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

The area's university qualification rate is 17.4%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.2%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.6%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 41.9% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 12.8% and certificates at 29.1%. Educational participation is high, with 26.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes secondary education (9.5%), primary education (9.0%), and tertiary education (2.3%). Educational facilities seem to be located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Coes Creek is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Coes Creek faces significant health challenges, with common health conditions being somewhat prevalent among both younger and older age cohorts.

Approximately 51% of its total population (~807 people) has private health cover, slightly lagging behind the average SA2 area. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 10.0% of residents) and mental health issues (9.9%). Conversely, 63.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 66.0% across Rest of Qld. In terms of demographics, 18.4% of Coes Creek's residents are aged 65 and over (290 people).

Coes Creek is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Coes Creek's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 84.1% of its population born in Australia, 91.9% being citizens, and 95.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Coes Creek, comprising 49.1% of people, compared to 46.0% across Rest of Qld. The top three ancestry groups were English (31.7%), Australian (28.5%), and Scottish (9.1%).

Notably, Dutch ethnicity was overrepresented at 2.4%, compared to the regional average of 1.6%. French ethnicity also had a higher representation at 0.8% versus the regional average of 0.5%, while Hungarian ethnicity was slightly overrepresented at 0.4% compared to 0.2%.

Coes Creek hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Coes Creek is 42 years, which is close to the Rest of Qld's average of 41 and well above Australia's median of 38. The 35-44 cohort is notably over-represented in Coes Creek at 13.8%, while the 15-24 age group is under-represented at 10.4%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 10.5% to 13.1% of the population. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 13.4% to 12.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Coes Creek, with the 25 to 34 age cohort projected to grow significantly by 110 people (53%) from 206 to 317.