Coes Creek

Population growth drivers in Coes Creek are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Coes Creek is around 1,585. This figure reflects an increase of 70 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,515. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 1,566 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 666 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Coes Creek has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 2.1%, outperforming the Rest of Qld. Interstate migration contributed approximately 62.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, though all drivers including overseas migration and natural growth were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are used, applying proportional growth weightings from ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort where necessary. Future population dynamics anticipate a significant increase in the top quartile of regional areas across the nation, with Coes Creek expected to expand by 464 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 32.4% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Coes Creek according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Coes Creek has seen limited development activity with an average of 3 approvals per year over five years (18 approvals total). This reflects its rural nature where development is driven by local housing needs rather than broad market demand. Yearly growth figures and relativities can vary considerably due to low approval numbers.

Coes Creek's development levels are substantially lower than Rest of Qld and below national averages. New developments consist of 60% detached houses and 40% attached dwellings, including townhouses and apartments, offering options across different price points. This is a change from the current housing mix of 98% houses, reflecting reduced development sites and shifting lifestyle demands. The area has an estimated 649 people per dwelling approval, indicating its quiet, low activity development environment. By 2041, Coes Creek is expected to grow by 514 residents (AreaSearch quarterly estimate).

Should current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Coes Creek has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Beerburrum to Nambour Rail Upgrade Stage 1, Windsor Park Estate, Horizons Peak Estate, and Millwood Rise Residential Development. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Coes Creek recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Coes Creek has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, with essential services well represented. As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 4.8%. The area's unemployment rate is 0.7% higher than Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%, while workforce participation is similar at 65.7%.

According to Census responses, only 11.0% of residents work from home. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Retail trade has a notable concentration with employment levels at 1.2 times the regional average, while mining shows lower representation at 1.1% versus the regional average of 3.6%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Over the 12 months to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.5%, with a 1.6% employment decline, causing unemployment to fall by 0.9 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld experienced employment growth of 1.7% and labour force growth of 2.1%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Coes Creek's employment mix, local employment is estimated to increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Coes Creek has lower income compared to national averages. The median income is $49,091 and the average is $60,517. In contrast, Rest of Qld has a median income of $53,146 and an average of $66,593. Using Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $53,956 (median) and $66,514 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, Coes Creek ranks modestly in household, family, and personal incomes, between the 28th and 43rd percentiles. Income distribution shows that 39.0% of residents (618 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, similar to regional levels at 31.7%. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 84.1% of income remaining, ranking at the 44th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Coes Creek is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Coes Creek, as evaluated at the latest Census in 2016, comprised 98.5% houses and 1.5% other dwellings such as semi-detached units, apartments, and 'other' dwellings, compared to Non-Metro Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Coes Creek stood at 36.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.8% and rented dwellings at 12.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,733 as of 2016, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $443. Nationally, Coes Creek's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863 in 2016, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Coes Creek features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.3% of all households, including 34.9% couples with children, 31.0% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.7%, with lone person households at 18.2% and group households comprising 3.1%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Educational achievement in Coes Creek places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

The area's university qualification rate is 17.4%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.2%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.6%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 41.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.8%) and certificates (29.1%). Educational participation is high at 26.5%, with 9.5% in secondary education, 9.0% in primary education, and 2.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 26.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in secondary education, 9.0% in primary education, and 2.3% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Coes Creek's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Coes Creek's health metrics are close to national benchmarks, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

Common health conditions are seen at a fairly standard level across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover is relatively low, with approximately 51% of the total population (~811 people). The most common medical conditions are arthritis (10.0%) and mental health issues (9.9%), while 63.3% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.6% in Rest of Qld. Working-age residents show an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 18.6% of residents aged 65 and over (294 people), which is lower than the 20.4% in Rest of Qld, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Coes Creek is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Coes Creek showed lower cultural diversity, with 84.1% born in Australia, 91.9% being citizens, and 95.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, at 49.1%, compared to 52.2% regionally. Top ancestral groups were English (31.7%), Australian (28.5%), and Scottish (9.1%).

Dutch representation was notably higher at 2.4% (vs regional 1.1%), French at 0.8% (vs 0.5%), and Hungarian at 0.4% (vs 0.2%).

Coes Creek hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Coes Creek is 42 years, close to Rest of Qld's average of 41 and well above the Australian median of 38. The 35-44 cohort is over-represented at 14.2% locally compared to Rest of Qld's average, while the 15-24 age group is under-represented at 10.7%. Between the 2021 Census and present day, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 10.5% to 13.5%, while the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 13.4% to 11.6% and the 5-14 age group dropped from 14.1% to 12.8%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes, with the 25 to 34 age cohort projected to grow significantly by 107 people (50%) from 213 to 321.