Coes Creek

Population growth drivers in Coes Creek are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The population of Coes Creek is estimated at around 1,601 as of May 2026, reflecting an increase of 86 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 1,515. This change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 1,566 following examination of ABS data released in June 2025 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density is 672 persons per square kilometer. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 62.0% of overall gains. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are used, applying proportional growth weightings from ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Future population dynamics forecast a significant increase in the top quartile of regional areas by 2041, with Coes Creek expected to expand by 403 persons, reflecting a gain of 23.0% over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Coes Creek according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Coes Creek has averaged 3 approvals per year for developments over the past five years, totaling 18 approvals. This low development activity reflects the rural nature of the area, where housing needs typically drive development rather than broad market demand. Due to the limited number of approvals, yearly growth figures and relativities can vary significantly based on individual projects.

Coes Creek has substantially lower development levels compared to the rest of Queensland and is below national averages. New developments consist of 50% detached houses and 50% attached dwellings, indicating a shift towards higher-density living to create more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. This marks a significant change from the current housing mix, which is predominantly houses (98%). The estimated population density in Coes Creek is 625 people per dwelling approval, reflecting its quiet development environment. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Coes Creek is expected to grow by 368 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag behind population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Looking ahead, Coes Creek is expected to grow by 368 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Coes Creek has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified two projects that may impact the region. Key projects include the Beerburrum to Nambour Rail Upgrade Stage 1, Windsor Park Estate, Horizons Peak Estate, and Millwood Rise Residential Development. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Coes Creek recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Coes Creek has a balanced workforce with representation from both white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well-represented in the area. The unemployment rate, as of December 2025, is 5.5%.

This figure is based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. In terms of employment numbers, there were 745 residents working in December 2025. The unemployment rate was 1.4% higher than Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%, while workforce participation was somewhat lower at 62.0%, compared to Regional Qld's 64.5%. According to Census responses, only 11.0% of residents worked from home, though the impacts of Covid-19 lockdowns should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Notably, retail trade has a high concentration with employment levels at 1.2 times the regional average. Conversely, mining shows lower representation at 1.1% compared to the regional average of 3.6%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 4.6%, alongside a 4.9% decline in employment, causing unemployment to rise by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Qld experienced employment growth of 0.7% and labour force growth of 1.0%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insight into potential future demand within Coes Creek. These projections suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Coes Creek's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Coes Creek has lower median and average incomes compared to national figures. The suburb's median income is $49,091 while the average stands at $60,517. In contrast, Regional Qld's median income is $53,146 with an average of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for Coes Creek as of March 2026 are approximately $54,668 (median) and $67,392 (average). Census 2021 income data ranks household, family and personal incomes in Coes Creek between the 28th and 43rd percentiles. Income distribution shows that 39.0% of residents fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, which is similar to regional levels at 31.7%. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 84.1% of income remaining, ranking at the 44th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Coes Creek is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Coes Creek's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.5% houses and 1.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Regional Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Coes Creek was higher than Regional Qld at 36.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 50.8% and rented ones at 12.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,733, exceeding Regional Qld's average of $1,655. The median weekly rent figure stood at $443, compared to Regional Qld's $345. Nationally, Coes Creek's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Coes Creek features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.3% of all households, including 34.9% couples with children, 31.0% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 20.7%, with lone person households at 18.2% and group households comprising 3.1%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Regional Queensland average of 2.5.

Educational achievement in Coes Creek places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

The area's university qualification rate is 17.4%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. This indicates a need for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.2%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.6%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.6%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 41.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.8%) and certificates (29.1%).

Educational participation is high, with 26.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in secondary education, 9.0% in primary education, and 2.3% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Coes Creek's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Coes Creek's health metrics are close to national benchmarks, according to AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

The area has a standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~819 people). The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 10.0 and 9.9% of residents respectively. 63.3% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld. Working-age residents show above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 18.5% of residents aged 65 and over (296 people), which is lower than the 20.4% in Regional Qld. National rankings are broadly in line with the general population.

Coes Creek is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Coes Creek, surveyed in June 2016, had a population with 84.1% born in Australia, 91.9% being citizens, and 95.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 49.1%. This compares to 52.2% across Regional Queensland as of June 2016.

The top three ancestry groups were English (31.7%), Australian (28.5%), and Scottish (9.1%). Notably, Dutch ethnicity was overrepresented at 2.4%, compared to the regional average of 1.1%. French ethnicity stood at 0.8% versus the regional 0.5%, and Hungarian ethnicity was at 0.4% compared to the regional 0.2%.

Coes Creek hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Coes Creek is 42 years, close to Regional Queensland's average of 41 and well above the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Regional Queensland average, the 35-44 age cohort is notably over-represented at 14.3% locally, while the 15-24 year-olds are under-represented at 10.7%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 10.5% to 13.1% of the population. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 13.4% to 11.9%, and the 5 to 14 age group has dropped from 14.1% to 12.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Coes Creek, with the 25 to 34 age cohort projected to expand by 82 people (39%) from 209 to 292. The 15 to 24 age group is projected to grow more modestly at 4%, adding only 6 residents.