Cedar Vale

Cedar Vale has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of November 2025, Cedar Vale's population is estimated at around 3,210, reflecting a 12.4% increase since the 2021 Census which reported 2,856 people. This growth is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 3,082 in June 2024, based on ABS ERP data and validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density is approximately 204 persons per square kilometer. Cedar Vale's growth rate exceeded both national (8.9%) and state averages, primarily driven by interstate migration contributing around 75% of overall gains. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered or years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted, applying proportional growth weightings for age cohorts.

By 2041, the suburb is forecasted to grow by 1,296 persons, reflecting a total increase of 42.4% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Cedar Vale among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Cedar Vale averaged approximately 15 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling around 75 homes. As of FY26, three approvals have been recorded. On average, seven people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25. This supply lagging demand typically results in heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

The average construction cost of new properties was $361,000, below regional norms, indicating more affordable housing options. In FY26, $242,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Cedar Vale has significantly less development activity, approximately 80.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings.

Recent periods have seen increased development activity, with new developments consisting of 88.0% detached houses and 12.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining Cedar Vale's traditional low density character focused on family homes. The area has approximately 113 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market. Population forecasts indicate Cedar Vale will gain around 1,360 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Cedar Vale has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

No changes can influence a region's performance more than modifications to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. A total of zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch that could potentially impact this area. Key projects include Browns Plains To Beaudesert Road Capacity And Safety, Mount Lindesay Highway Upgrade Program, Greater Flagstone Priority Development Area, and Salisbury to Beaudesert Passenger Rail, with the following list detailing those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market strength in Cedar Vale positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Cedar Vale's workforce is balanced across white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector stands out with a 2.6% unemployment rate and an estimated 5.0% employment growth in the past year, as per AreaSearch data aggregation.

As of June 2025, 1,913 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.5% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation is high at 70.0%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Key employment sectors include construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. Construction has a particularly high representation, with an employment share twice the regional level.

Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 4.5% versus the regional average of 8.9%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. In the 12-month period ending Sep-22, employment increased by 5.0%, labour force grew by 4.7%, and unemployment fell by 0.3 percentage points, contrasting with Greater Brisbane's figures of 4.4%, 4.0%, and 0.4 percentage points respectively. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest potential future demand within Cedar Vale. Over five years, national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6%, and over ten years by 13.7%. Applying these projections to Cedar Vale's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022. Cedar Vale's median taxpayer income was $53,108, with an average of $61,995. This is below the national average. Greater Brisbane had a median income of $55,645 and an average of $70,520. Based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022, current estimates for Cedar Vale are approximately $60,538 (median) and $70,668 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows household incomes rank at the 81st percentile ($2,261 weekly). Income distribution data reveals that 43.8% of Cedar Vale residents earn between $1,500 - 2,999 per week (1,405 individuals), similar to regional levels where 33.3% fall into this bracket. Housing expenses account for 15.0% of income. Strong earnings place residents in the 81st percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking is in the 4th decile.

Cedar Vale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Cedar Vale's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 99.4% houses and 0.6% other dwellings. In comparison, Brisbane metro had 97.3% houses and 2.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Cedar Vale stood at 24.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 67.4% and rented ones at 7.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, lower than Brisbane metro's $2,000. The median weekly rent was $460, higher than Brisbane metro's $390. Nationally, Cedar Vale's mortgage repayments were higher ($1,950 vs $1,863), and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Cedar Vale features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 88.2% of all households, including 48.5% couples with children, 28.5% couples without children, and 10.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 11.8%, consisting of 10.0% lone person households and 1.8% group households. The median household size is 3.2 people, which aligns with the Greater Brisbane average.

Cedar Vale shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 11.5%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.4%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.6%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 45.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (33.7%). Educational participation is high, with 31.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising primary (12.2%), secondary (10.9%), and tertiary (3.0%) levels.

Educational facilities seem to be located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates one active public transport stop in Cedar Vale, operating a mix of bus services. This stop is served by one route, offering 87 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is limited, with residents located an average of 2245 meters from the nearest stop.

Services run approximately 12 times daily across all routes, equating to about 87 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Cedar Vale is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a considerably higher degree among older age cohorts

Cedar Vale faces significant health challenges with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across all age groups but to a higher degree among older cohorts.

As of June 2021 (~1661 people), approximately 52% of Cedar Vale residents have private health cover, slightly lower than the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 8.7% and 8.7% of residents respectively, while 68.6% report being completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.6% across Greater Brisbane. As of June 2021, 11.9% of Cedar Vale residents are aged 65 and over (381 people). Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

Cedar Vale is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Cedar Vale had a cultural diversity index below the average, with 85.3% of its population born in Australia, 90.8% being citizens, and 96.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 44.3% of Cedar Vale's population. The 'Other' category showed an overrepresentation with 0.6%, compared to 1.0% in Greater Brisbane.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups were English (32.1%), Australian (29.0%), and Scottish (9.1%). Notable differences existed for New Zealanders (1.2% vs regional 1.6%), Hungarians (0.3% vs 0.2%), and Maori (0.7% vs 1.4%).

Cedar Vale's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

At 37 years, Cedar Vale's median age is nearly matching the Greater Brisbane average of 36 and also very close to the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Brisbane, Cedar Vale has a higher concentration of 5 - 14 residents (16.0%) but fewer 25 - 34 year-olds (9.3%). Since the Census in 2021, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 13.0% to 14.6% of the population. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 17.0% to 16.0%. Demographic modeling suggests Cedar Vale's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 45 to 54 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 51%, adding 251 residents to reach 739.