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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Flagstone (East) - Riverbend has an estimated 7,210 residents, up from 6,632 at the 2021 Census — a change of 578 people, or 8.7%. Growth has averaged 1.6% a year over five years. Natural increase accounts for 50.7% of that increase. That puts 249 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to research conducted by AreaSearch, the resident population of Flagstone (East) - Riverbend stands at roughly 7,210 as of Aug 2026. Compared to the 2021 Census tally of 6,632 people, this represents an expansion of 578 people (8.7%). This calculation combines the ABS estimated resident population figure of 7,190 recorded as of June 2025 alongside 28 validated new addresses registered following the Census date. With 249 persons per square kilometer, the locality maintains a low-density living environment offering substantial personal space and capacity for additional expansion. Growth over the last ten years has proven solid, tracking a 1.9% compound annual growth rate that outpaces the broader state.
Natural increase served as the primary contributor to local growth, generating roughly 50.7% of total population additions over recent timeframes, with overseas migration and interstate migration providing positive contributions as well. AreaSearch incorporates SA2 projections published in 2024 by the ABS and Geoscience Australia using 2022 as a base. For unlisted SA2 areas and timelines extending post-2032, figures rely on 2023 Queensland State Government SA2 projections founded on 2021 numbers. Because these state forecasts lack age-specific breakdowns, AreaSearch scales cohorts using proportional distributions from the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region projections based on 2022 data. Over the 16 years running to 2041, long-term projections indicate exceptional expansion that places the locality within the highest 10 percent nationwide, adding 3,677 persons for an overall increase of 50.7% relative to current annual ERP benchmarks.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
89 new dwellings have been approved in Flagstone (East) - Riverbend over the past five years, an average of 17 a year. That places the area in the 61st percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 2 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential approvals in Flagstone (East) - Riverbend have tracked at approximately 17 new homes annually, amounting to 89 homes across the last 5 financial years. Between FY-22 and FY-26, the area added an average of 6.3 new residents per year for each completed dwelling, demonstrating a substantial shortfall of supply relative to demand that typically exerts upward pressure on home values and heightens buyer competition. Construction costs for new builds average $372,000, aligning with regional building patterns. Meanwhile, non-residential building remains subdued, with $460,000 recorded in commercial approvals during the current financial year.
Compared against the Greater Brisbane benchmark, building volumes in Flagstone (East) - Riverbend are notably subdued, sitting 89.0% below the regional per-person average. While construction rates have accelerated lately, this restrained pipeline tends to bolster demand and pricing across the existing housing stock. Output also tracks under national standards, illustrating local maturity alongside potential planning restrictions. The pipeline is heavily skewed toward low-density living, with 89.0% detached dwellings and 11.0% attached dwellings catering to family households seeking open space. With roughly 312 people per approval, the district displays the characteristics of an evolving market. Long-term demographic forecasts from AreaSearch's latest quarterly update indicate that Flagstone (East) - Riverbend will add 3,657 residents by 2041. Should current construction volumes persist, housing supply could fall short of resident inflows, likely intensifying competition across the market and driving stronger price momentum.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Flagstone (East) - Riverbend
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 12 current infrastructure and development projects inside Flagstone (East) - Riverbend, worth an estimated $22.5 billion. A further 166 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $227.5 billion. 72 are already under construction and 64 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Strategic planning initiatives, public works, and major capital investments play a decisive role in shaping community performance. AreaSearch has pinpointed 33 local projects expected to influence the region, highlighted by key developments such as Stonewood Estate Flagstone, Flagstone City, Flagstone Rise Estate, and the Greater Flagstone Priority Development Area.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Greater Flagstone Priority Development Area
The Greater Flagstone Priority Development Area (PDA) is a 7,188-hectare urban growth corridor managed by Economic Development Queensland (EDQ) to deliver approximately 51,500 dwellings for up to 138,000 residents. The masterplanned corridor includes a 126-hectare city centre, extensive trunk infrastructure, employment and health hubs, and a proposed passenger rail link from Salisbury to Beaudesert. Active construction and residential delivery are underway across major developments including Peet Flagstone City, Mirvac Everleigh, and Pacifiq Communities Riverstone Springs.
Greater Flagstone Priority Development Area
A 7,188-hectare Priority Development Area (PDA) being transformed into a major satellite city. As of 2026, the project is rapidly expanding with over 56 active development applications and the recent approval of a major 1,631-lot precinct. Key 2026 milestones include the opening of the Flagstone District Community Centre and significant parkland completions like Citadel Park. The masterplan ultimate capacity is 51,500 dwellings for 120,000 to 138,000 residents, supported by a 126-hectare CBD and future passenger rail investigations.
Kindira by Mirvac (Monarch Glen Master Planned Community)
Kindira is a major 480-hectare master-planned community by Mirvac located in Monarch Glen within the Greater Flagstone Priority Development Area. Planned to accommodate more than 7,300 homes and over 20,000 residents across multiple stages, the community integrates 40% dedicated conservation green space, primary and secondary schools, sports parks, and a district retail and transit hub. Civil infrastructure, bulk earthworks, and the extension of Homestead Drive are currently under construction.
Flagstone Rise Estate
Flagstone Rise Estate is a boutique residential neighbourhood of around 300 house and land lots within the wider Flagstone masterplanned community. The estate offers elevated homesites with views, local parks, walk and cycle paths, and convenient access to schools, childcare, Flagstone Village shopping, and the emerging Flagstone City town centre with its planned CBD, train station and major recreation park.
Stonewood Estate Flagstone
Stonewood Estate is a master-planned residential community being developed within the Greater Flagstone Priority Development Area in Logan City. Situated along Stonewood Avenue, the project delivers hundreds of serviced residential homesites connected to extensive parklands, walking trails, and modern urban infrastructure. Progressive civil construction and stage releases are underway to support population growth in South East Queensland's southern corridor.
Greater Flagstone New State Primary School
The Queensland Department of Education is progressing planning for a new state primary school in Greater Flagstone to support long-term population growth. The project remains in the planning phase with enrolment growth continuing to be monitored. The previously anticipated 2025 opening has been deferred, with the current planned opening in 2030. A school site has been identified, with design, traffic, environmental and stormwater investigations to occur before construction.
Flagstone Community Hub
Multi-purpose community facility including library, community meeting spaces, recreational facilities and local government services to serve the growing Flagstone residential area.
Flagstone East Residential Community
Major staged residential expansion within the Greater Flagstone Priority Development Area being delivered by Peet. The precinct will provide about 1,631 residential lots together with future retail, parks, sporting facilities, a state primary school site and supporting infrastructure. Civil works are underway, first homes are expected from 2026, and additional subdivision stages continue to progress through EDQ approvals.
3,949 residents of Flagstone (East) - Riverbend are employed, from a labour force of 4,071. Unemployment sits at 3.0%, with participation at 73.1%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 5,715, about 79% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local workforce across Flagstone (East) - Riverbend displays an even balance between blue-collar and white-collar roles, highlighted by strong participation in construction and a modest 3.0% unemployment rate. As of March 2026, employed residents numbered 3,949, while local joblessness sat 1.3% below the Greater Brisbane figure of 4.3%. The participation rate reached 73.1%, comparing favourably with 70.1% across Greater Brisbane. Census records indicated that 12.8% of workers operated from home, though pandemic-related lockdown measures influenced these findings. The primary employment sectors for local residents are construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade.
Construction shows an exceptionally high concentration, engaging 1.6 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical roles account for a modest 4.2% of workers versus 8.9% throughout the wider region. Given the contrast between resident workers and local job numbers at the Census, the neighbourhood functions largely as a dormitory suburb with limited commercial employment within its boundaries. Analysis of ABS and SALM figures by AreaSearch reveals that in the 12 months to March 2026, the local labour force contracted by 2.7% and total employment fell by 2.8%, lifting unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. Over the identical period, Greater Brisbane recorded a 3.2% increase in employment and a 3.4% rise in the labour pool, alongside a 0.1 percentage point uptick in unemployment. National outlooks from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 provide additional context regarding future employment trends across five-year and ten-year horizons. Nationally, job numbers are projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though trajectories vary by industry. Applying these sectoral weightings to the occupational profile of Flagstone (East) - Riverbend suggests resident employment could expand by 6.0% over five years and 12.6% over ten years (a basic illustrative weighting that excludes localized demographic projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Flagstone (East) - Riverbend is $2,203 a week (about $115,000 a year), with median personal income at $859 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $57,386 a year against an average of $64,916. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Taxation records aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 place taxpayer income levels in the Flagstone (East) - Riverbend SA2 below national benchmarks. Local median and average incomes reached $57,386 and $64,916 respectively, compared with $58,236 and $72,799 across Greater Brisbane. Factoring in an 11.36% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, local earnings are estimated at $63,905 (median) and $72,290 (average) as of March 2026. The 2021 Census placed weekly household earnings at the 78th percentile ($2,203 weekly) and individual incomes at the 60th percentile. The largest income bracket captures 43.6% of residents (3,143 people) earning between $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring the regional proportion of 33.3%.
Although housing costs absorb 16.5% of earnings, solid household income maintains disposable earnings at the 76th percentile, with the locality positioned in the 4th decile on the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Flagstone (East) - Riverbend had 1,837 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 99% detached houses and 0% apartments. 66% are owned with a mortgage, 16% rented and 18% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $410 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,950 a month, a total housing cost higher than 85% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 18.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Housing stock in Flagstone (East) - Riverbend at the latest Census consisted of 99.4% houses and 0.6% other dwellings (incorporating semi-detached homes, apartments, and other properties), differing from the Brisbane metro split of 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Outright ownership sat at 17.8%, trailing Brisbane metro, while 66.3% of homes carried a mortgage and 15.9% were rented. Typical monthly mortgage payments reached $1,950 compared to the Brisbane metro median of $1,863, and weekly rents averaged $410 against $380 regionally. These figures also exceed national averages of $1,863 for monthly mortgage costs and $375 for weekly rents.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Flagstone (East) - Riverbend counted 1,837 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 1,997 today, averaging 3.4 people each. 51% are couples with children, more than in 95% of areas nationally, against 24% couples without children. 9% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units constitute the vast majority of local living arrangements at 90.0%, comprising 51.3% couples with children, 23.5% couples without children, and 14.1% single parent families. Non-family residences make up the remaining 10.0%, consisting of 8.8% single-person homes and 1.5% group dwellings. With an average of 3.4 people per home, household occupancy exceeds the Greater Brisbane figure of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
10.9% of adults in Flagstone (East) - Riverbend hold a university qualification, including 7.6% with a bachelor degree and 1.6% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 35.7% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 1,681 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 954 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Attainment levels for higher education present an area for community development, with 10.9% of residents holding a tertiary qualification compared to the Greater Brisbane benchmark of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees comprise 7.6% of qualifications, followed by graduate diplomas at 1.7% and postgraduate credentials at 1.6%. Technical and vocational training is strongly represented, with 47.1% of residents aged 15+ possessing vocational qualifications, split between certificates (35.7%) and advanced diplomas (11.4%). Active participation in study is strong, with 35.6% of the population enrolled in an educational course. Primary school students account for 14.3% of residents, 12.0% attend secondary school, and 2.9% are engaged in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Flagstone (East) - Riverbend means driving: households keep an average of 2.3 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
68.5% of residents in Flagstone (East) - Riverbend report no long-term health condition. 5.7% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.2% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Evaluation of morbidity and mortality metrics by AreaSearch indicates noticeable health hurdles across Flagstone (East) - Riverbend. Chronic ailments are widely dispersed across age groups, with elevated incidence observed among older cohorts, while private health insurance uptake is comparatively low at approximately 51% of residents (~3,691 people) versus 55.8% across Greater Brisbane. Asthma and mental health issues represent the most prevalent diagnoses locally, affecting 9.1% and 9.8% of the community respectively, while 68.5% of residents reported no long-term medical conditions compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. Working-age adults display higher-than-average rates of chronic illness.
Seniors aged 65 and over make up 12.1% of the population (876 people), below the 15.0% proportion across Greater Brisbane, with senior health indicators showing specific challenges despite tracking better nationally than the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Flagstone (East) - Riverbend is largely Australian-born, at 83.7% of residents, with 5.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (31.8%) and Australian (30.8%). 3.2% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Flagstone (East) - Riverbend displays lower cultural diversity than typical regional benchmarks, with 85.7% holding Australian citizenship, 83.7% born locally, and 94.6% using only English at home. Christianity is the primary faith, accounting for 41.7% of the population. The most prominent comparative divergence occurs in the Other religious category, which represents 0.7% of local residents against 1.3% across Greater Brisbane. The dominant ancestral backgrounds among residents are English (31.8% versus 26.8% regionally), Australian (30.8% versus 23.2% regionally), and Scottish (7.7%). Notable concentrations are also present for several other heritages, including New Zealand heritage at 1.4% (against 1.0% across the region), Maori ancestry at 1.3% (against 1.1%), and Hungarian background at 0.4% (against 0.2%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Flagstone (East) - Riverbend is 35, younger than 84% of areas nationally. That is 1 year older than at the 2021 Census. 24.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The demographic structure of Flagstone (East) - Riverbend features a significant child and youth cohort alongside mature parents. As at August 2026, children and youths aged 0 - 24 represent 37.6% of the community compared to 31.8% across Greater Brisbane, while adults aged 25 - 44 make up 24.2% versus 30.6% regionally. The median age is estimated at 35 as at August 2026, rising from 34 at the 2021 Census and sitting 1 year below the Greater Brisbane figure of 36 from that same Census. The most noticeable shift since the Census occurred in the 65+ age group, expanding from 8.4% to an estimated 12.2%.
Looking ahead to 2041, residents aged 45 - 64 will drive the largest absolute increase, expanding by 65% (1,223 residents) to 3,098, while senior cohorts aged 65+ will experience the fastest relative surge, rising 115% to 1,881.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Flagstone (East) - Riverbend
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 2 months ago all 12 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 28 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (6,632 at the 2021 Census → 7,210 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (311041567). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.