Tamborine

Tamborine lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The estimated population of Tamborine is 4,691 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase from the 2021 Census figure of 4,388 people, marking a rise of 303 individuals (6.9%). AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 4,600, based on June 2024 ABS ERP data release and validated new addresses since the Census date, supports this inference. This results in a density ratio of 65 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Tamborine has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 2.1%, outperforming the Rest of Qld. Interstate migration contributed approximately 57.99999999999999% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023, based on 2021 data, are used. These state projections lack age category splits; thus, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023, based on 2022 data for each age cohort. By 2041, an increase of 1,017 persons is projected for Tamborine, reflecting a total rise of 23.7% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Tamborine when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Tamborine shows around 9 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past 5 financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 47 homes were approved, with another 7 approved so far in FY-26. On average, each home built over these years accommodates about 10 new residents.

This supply is substantially lagging demand, indicating heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $383,000.

In FY-26, $40,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. New development consists of 90% detached dwellings and 10% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 351 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. Future projections from AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate suggest Tamborine will add approximately 1,110 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Tamborine has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Eleven projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Key projects include Greater Flagstone Priority Development Area, Yarrabilba Master Planned Community, Yarrabilba Second Access & Road Network Upgrades, and Yarrabilba Dollarbird Drive Intersection. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Tamborine demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Tamborine has a diverse workforce with both white and blue-collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 3.9% and estimated employment growth of 2.3% in the past year, according to AreaSearch data aggregation. As of September 2025, 2,571 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 0.2% lower than Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%.

Workforce participation in Tamborine is higher at 71.9%, compared to Rest of Qld's 65.7%. In 2025 Census responses, 17.5% of residents worked from home. Key industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction employment is significantly higher than the regional level, while health care & social assistance is under-represented at 11.1% compared to Rest of Qld's 16.1%.

Over the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 2.3%, labour force grew by 2.1%, and unemployment fell by 0.2 percentage points in Tamborine. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Tamborine's industry mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The suburb of Tamborine has a median taxpayer income of $49,576 and an average income of $62,148 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is lower than the national average, contrasting with Rest of Qld's median income of $53,146 and average income of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $54,489 (median) and $68,307 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household income ranks at the 78th percentile ($2,211 weekly), while personal income sits at the 42nd percentile. Distribution data shows that 36.6% of the population (1,716 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 31.7% in the same category. High housing costs consume 16.7% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 77th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Tamborine is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Tamborine, as assessed at the latest Census, consisted of 99.8% houses and 0.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tamborine was at 25.1%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (65.3%) or rented (9.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,167, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $450. Nationally, Tamborine's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Tamborine features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 85.7% of all households, including 44.1% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 14.3%, with lone person households at 11.7% and group households comprising 2.7%. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Tamborine shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 15.4%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 47.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (13.2%) and certificates (33.8%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Tamborine's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows Tamborine residents have relatively positive health outcomes, with AreaSearch's analysis finding mortality rates and health conditions largely in line with national benchmarks.

Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 52% (~2,431 people) of the population has private health cover, which is relatively low. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (8.1%) and asthma (7.7%). About 70.8% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 67.6% in Rest of Qld. Health outcomes among the working-age population are typical. Tamborine has 14.6% (684 people) of residents aged 65 and over, lower than Rest of Qld's 20.4%. National rankings for this age group are broadly in line with the general population.

Tamborine ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tamborine's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.1% of its population being Australian citizens and 80.1% born in Australia. Among Tamborine residents, 95.8% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Tamborine, comprising 46.0% of people, compared to 52.2% across Rest of Qld.

The top three ancestry groups were English (34.4%), Australian (28.0%), and Scottish (8.5%). Notably, New Zealanders made up 1.7% of Tamborine's population, higher than the regional average of 0.9%. Welsh residents comprised 0.7%, slightly above the regional figure of 0.5%. German ancestry was also relatively high at 5.0%, compared to 4.7% regionally.

Tamborine's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Tamborine is 41 years, which matches Rest of Qld's average and is slightly higher than Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Rest of Qld, Tamborine has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54, at 15.7%, but fewer residents aged 25-34, at 8.9%. According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 15-24 has increased from 11.7% to 13.0%, while the 5-14 age group has decreased from 14.5% to 13.3%, and the 45-54 age group has dropped from 16.9% to 15.7%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Tamborine's age structure. The 45-54 age group is expected to grow by 31%, adding 228 people and reaching a total of 965 from the previous count of 736. Meanwhile, the 15-24 age cohort is projected to grow by a modest 6%, with an increase of 35 people.