Tamborine

Population growth drivers in Tamborine are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

The estimated population of the suburb of Tamborine is around 4,683 as of May 2026. This figure represents an increase of 295 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,388. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 4,616 in June 2025 and four additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 65 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Tamborine has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.5%, outperforming the Rest of Qld. Interstate migration contributed approximately 57.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are used, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. These state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings from ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023, based on 2022 data. Future population dynamics anticipate an above median growth, with the area expected to grow by 769 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 15.0% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Tamborine recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Tamborine shows approximately 8 residential properties granted approval annually. Between FY21 and FY25, around 43 homes were approved, with an additional 10 approved so far in FY26. Over the past five financial years, on average, each home built accommodated 6.4 new residents per year.

This supply lagged demand, indicating heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average construction cost of new properties was $379,000.

In FY26, commercial development approvals totaled $40,000, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. New developments consisted of 89% detached dwellings and 11% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's low-density character. As of dwelling approvals, there were an estimated 381 people in the area. By 2041, Tamborine is projected to add 702 residents (AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Tamborine has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Ten projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly. These include Yarrabilba Master Planned Community, Yarrabilba Second Access & Road Network Upgrades, Yarrabilba Dollarbird Drive Intersection, and Tamborine Shopping Centre Revamp. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in Tamborine demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Tamborine has a balanced workforce comprising white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is notably prominent with an unemployment rate of 3.7%, showing employment stability over the past year according to AreaSearch's statistical aggregation. As of December 2025, 2,434 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate at 0.3% below Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation is similar to Regional Qld at 67.6%. Home-based work accounts for 17.5% of jobs, considering Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Key employment sectors are construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction is particularly specialized with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level, while health care & social assistance is under-represented at 11.1%.

Limited local opportunities suggest many residents work elsewhere. Over December 2024 to December 2025, employment remained unchanged (-0.0%) while labour force decreased by 0.3%, reducing unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. Regional Qld saw employment grow by 0.7% and labour force by 1.0%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's May-25 forecasts project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, varying significantly between sectors. Applying these projections to Tamborine's mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The median taxpayer income in Tamborine is $49,576, with an average of $62,148, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is lower than the national average, contrasting with Regional Qld's median income of $53,146 and average income of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $55,208 (median) and $69,208 (average) as of March 2026. Census data reveals household income ranks at the 78th percentile ($2,211 weekly), while personal income sits at the 42nd percentile. Distribution data shows 36.6% of the population (1,713 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 31.7% in the same category. High housing costs consume 16.7% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 77th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Tamborine is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Tamborine's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 99.8% houses and 0.2% other dwellings. Regional Qld had 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Tamborine was 25.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 65.3% and rented at 9.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, above Regional Qld's average of $1,655. Median weekly rent in Tamborine was $450, compared to Regional Qld's $345. Nationally, Tamborine's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Tamborine features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 85.7% of all households, including 44.1% couples with children, 30.1% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 14.3%, with lone person households at 11.7% and group households comprising 2.7%. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Regional Queensland average of 2.5.

Tamborine shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 15.4%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 47.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (13.2%) and certificates (33.8%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 9.7% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Tamborine's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows Tamborine residents have relatively positive health outcomes, aligning with national benchmarks for mortality rates and health conditions.

Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average among both younger and older age groups. Approximately 52% (~2,427 people) of Tamborine's total population has private health cover, which is relatively low. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (8.1%) and asthma (7.7%). About 70.8% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 67.6% in Regional Qld. Working-age population health outcomes are typical for the area. Tamborine has 14.7% (688 people) of residents aged 65 and over, lower than Regional Qld's 20.4%. National rankings for this age group align with general population figures.

Tamborine ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Tamborine, as per the census, had a cultural diversity index below average. Its population was predominantly Australian citizens (87.1%), born in Australia (80.1%), and speaking English at home exclusively (95.8%). Christianity was the predominant religion in Tamborine, with 46.0% of its population, compared to 52.2% regionally.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (34.4%), Australian (28.0%), and Scottish (8.5%). Notably, New Zealanders were overrepresented at 1.7%, Welsh at 0.7%, and Germans at 5.0%, compared to regional averages of 0.9%, 0.5%, and 4.7% respectively.

Tamborine's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Tamborine is 41 years, matching Regional Queensland's average and being somewhat older than Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Regional Queensland, Tamborine has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (15.6%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (9%). As per the 2021 Census, the age group 35-44 has grown from 13.6% to 14.9% of Tamborine's population, while the 45-54 cohort has declined from 16.9% to 15.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Tamborine's age structure. The 45-54 group is expected to grow by 23%, adding 164 people and reaching a total of 895 from the current 730. Conversely, the 15-24 cohort is projected to decline by 11 people.