Yarrabilba

Yarrabilba lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

By Nov 2025, Yarrabilba's population is estimated at around 13,563. This reflects an increase of 3,323 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,240. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 12,431 residents following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and an additional 908 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,053 persons per square kilometer. Yarrabilba's growth exceeded national averages; it grew by 32.5% compared to the national average of 8.9%. Interstate migration contributed approximately 74.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted. These projections do not provide age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings based on ABS Greater Capital Region projections are applied when utilised. Looking ahead, exceptional growth is predicted over the period 2025 to 2041, with the suburb expected to expand by 11,116 persons, reflecting an increase of 84.9% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Yarrabilba was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Yarrabilba experienced approximately 177 dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis. From FY-21 to FY-25, around 888 homes were approved, with an additional 78 approved in FY-26. On average, 6 people moved to the area per dwelling built over these years.

This high demand exceeds new supply, potentially driving price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction value for new homes was $381,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms. In FY-26, $6.2 million in commercial development approvals were recorded, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Yarrabilba shows approximately 66% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 95th percentile nationally, reflecting strong developer confidence.

Recent construction comprised 95.0% detached houses and 5.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's suburban character focused on family homes. There are approximately 49 people per dwelling approval in Yarrabilba. Looking ahead, AreaSearch estimates an increase of 11,513 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Yarrabilba has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified eight projects likely impacting the area, with major ones including Yarrabilba Dollarbird Drive Intersection, Yarrabilba Central, Yarrabilba Second Access & Road Network Upgrades, and The Buzz at Yarrabilba. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Yarrabilba has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Yarrabilba has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 5.2% and estimated employment growth of 4.8% in the past year, according to AreaSearch data aggregation.

As of June 2025, there are 6,621 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 5.3%, which is 1.1% higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation is at 67.9%, slightly above Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. The leading employment industries are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction, with the latter having a particularly strong specialization, being 1.4 times higher than the regional level. Professional & technical services have limited representation, with only 3.7% of employment compared to the regional average of 8.9%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population figures. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 4.8%, while labour force grew by 4.9%, with unemployment remaining largely unchanged at 5.3%. In contrast, Greater Brisbane experienced employment growth of 4.4% and labour force growth of 4.0%, with a decrease in unemployment rate of 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 provide insights into potential future demand within Yarrabilba. These projections estimate national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Yarrabilba's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localized population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022 indicates Yarrabilba's median income among taxpayers was $50,488 with an average of $56,471. This is lower than the national average and compares to Greater Brisbane's median of $55,645 and average of $70,520. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $57,551 (median) and $64,371 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Yarrabilba rank modestly, between the 40th and 52nd percentiles. Income brackets indicate that the predominant cohort spans 42.3% of locals (5,737 people) with incomes in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, aligning with regional levels where this cohort likewise represents 33.3%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 77.3% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 33rd percentile.

Yarrabilba is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Yarrabilba's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.4% houses and 7.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Brisbane metro had 97.3% houses and 2.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Yarrabilba was at 5.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.7% and rented ones at 61.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,700, below Brisbane metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Yarrabilba was $375, compared to Brisbane metro's $390. Nationally, Yarrabilba's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were comparable at $375.

Yarrabilba features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 82.4% of all households, including 38.2% couples with children, 17.4% couples without children, and 25.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 17.6%, with lone person households at 14.4% and group households at 3.2%. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 3.2 people.

Educational outcomes in Yarrabilba fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 12.5%, substantially lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 47.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (35.6%). Educational participation is high, with 37.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 17.3% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 3.2% pursuing tertiary education. The area has 5 schools with a combined enrollment of 2,993 students, demonstrating typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 968) with balanced educational opportunities. Education provision is balanced with 3 primary and 2 secondary schools serving distinct age groups. The area functions as an education hub with 22.1 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 11.9, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Yarrabilba has 14 active public transport stops. These are all bus stops. There is one route serving these stops, which collectively provides 123 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport in Yarrabilba is rated as moderate. Residents typically live 446 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 17 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 8 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Yarrabilba is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Yarrabilba shows better-than-average health outcomes with a low prevalence of common conditions among its general population, but higher rates are seen among older and at-risk cohorts compared to national averages. Approximately 50% (~6,724 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.3%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 11.4 and 10.2% of residents respectively. A total of 71.8% declare themselves completely free from medical ailments, compared to 69.6% across Greater Brisbane. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 5.2% (705 people), compared to Greater Brisbane's 11.4%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Yarrabilba was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Yarrabilba had a cultural diversity above average, with 21.0% of its population born overseas and 12.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the main religion in Yarrabilba, comprising 37.0% of people there. Notably, the category Other comprised 1.5% of the population, compared to 1.0% across Greater Brisbane.

Regarding ancestry, the top three groups were Australian (28.2%), English (27.3%), and Other (9.7%). Some ethnic groups showed significant differences: Maori was overrepresented at 3.2% in Yarrabilba (vs regional 1.4%), New Zealand at 2.1% (vs 1.6%), and Samoan at 2.4% (vs 0.7%).

Yarrabilba hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Yarrabilba's median age in 2021 was 26 years, significantly below the Greater Brisbane average of 36 and lower than the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Yarrabilba had a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (21.6%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (5.1%). This 5-14 concentration was well above the national average of 12.2%. Post-2021 Census, the 35 to 44 age group grew from 14.2% to 16.3%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 12.8% to 14.1%. Conversely, the 0 to 4 cohort declined from 13.7% to 10.5%, and the 25 to 34 group dropped from 21.9% to 19.5%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Yarrabilba, with the 15 to 24 age cohort projected to surge by 2,200 people (115%), from 1,912 to 4,113 residents.