Yarrabilba

Yarrabilba lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Yarrabilba is around 14,164. This reflects a growth of 3,924 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,240. The latest estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and examination of ABS data released in June 2025. This level of population results in a density ratio of 1,099 persons per square kilometer. Yarrabilba's growth rate since the 2021 Census was 38.3%, exceeding both national (9.3%) and state averages, making it a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 74.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted, with proportional growth weightings applied where necessary. Looking ahead to demographic trends, exceptional growth is predicted for the suburb of Yarrabilba over the period up to 2041, with an expected expansion of 8,120 persons reflecting a total increase of 50.8%.

The level of residential development activity in Yarrabilba was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Yarrabilba has recorded around 176 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 881 homes. So far in FY-26165 approvals have been recorded. On average, 5.2 new residents per year are associated with every home built between FY-21 and FY-25.

This indicates significant demand exceeding supply, which typically results in price growth and increased buyer competition. New homes are being constructed at an average value of $381,000, which is moderately above regional levels, suggesting an emphasis on quality construction. In this financial year, there have been $11.5 million in commercial approvals, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Yarrabilba shows approximately 67% of the construction activity per person and places among the 90th percentile of areas assessed nationally.

This activity is significantly above the national average, reflecting robust developer interest in the area. New development consists of 96.0% standalone homes and 4.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 75 people per approval, Yarrabilba reflects a developing area. Population forecasts indicate Yarrabilba will gain 7,191 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Current development appears well-matched to future needs, supporting steady market conditions without extreme price pressure.

Yarrabilba has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified eight projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones are Yarrabilba Central, Yarrabilba Dollarbird Drive Intersection, Yarrabilba Second Access & Road Network Upgrades, and The Buzz at Yarrabilba. Below is a list of those most relevant.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Yarrabilba recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Yarrabilba has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent. The unemployment rate in December 2025 was 5.5%.

There were 5,673 residents employed at the time, with an unemployment rate of 1.3% higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation was lower at 67.1%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 69.6%. Only 9.0% of residents worked from home, according to Census data, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction, with a strong specialization in the latter at 1.4 times the regional level.

Professional & technical services had lower representation at 3.7%, compared to the regional average of 8.9%. The area may have limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, Yarrabilba's labour force decreased by 5.6% and employment declined by 4.9%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment rise by 3.2%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Yarrabilba's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.2% over five years and 13.0% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending 2023 shows Yarrabilba's median income among taxpayers is $50,488. The average income in the suburb was $56,471 during this period. Both figures are below the national average. In Greater Brisbane, the median income was $58,236 with an average of $72,799 for financial year 2023. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since then, current estimates suggest a median income of approximately $56,223 and an average of $62,886 as of March 2026 in Yarrabilba. Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes all rank modestly in the suburb, between the 40th and 52nd percentiles. The largest income segment comprises 42.3% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (5,991 residents), reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 33.3% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Yarrabilba, with only 77.3% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 33rd percentile.

Yarrabilba is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure in Yarrabilba, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28 August 2016, comprised 92.4% houses and 7.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Brisbane metropolitan area's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Yarrabilba stood at 5.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 32.7% and rented dwellings at 61.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,700 as of the latest data point, below Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Yarrabilba was recorded at $375, compared to Brisbane metro's $380 and the national average of $375 for rents. Nationally, Yarrabilba's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863.

Yarrabilba features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 82.4% of all households, including 38.2% couples with children, 17.4% couples without children, and 25.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for 17.6%, with lone person households at 14.4% and group households making up 3.2%. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Educational outcomes in Yarrabilba fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 12.5%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 9.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 47.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (35.6%). Educational participation is high, with 37.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 17.3% in primary education, 8.6% in secondary education, and 3.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Yarrabilba has 14 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by one route in total, providing 123 weekly passenger trips combined. Transport accessibility is moderate, with residents typically located 446 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to the area's residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 94%, with an average vehicle ownership of 1.4 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 9% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 17 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 8 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Yarrabilba is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Yarrabilba faces significant health challenges based on AreaSearch's assessment conducted in June 2021. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were found to be substantial across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover was relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~7,022 people), compared to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma were the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 11.4 and 10.2% of residents respectively. However, 71.8% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Working-age residents showed an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area had 4.4% of residents aged 65 and over (623 people), which was lower than the 15.1% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors presented some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Yarrabilba records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Yarrabilba's cultural diversity is above average, with 21.0% of its population born overseas and 12.2% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Yarrabilba, accounting for 37.0% of people. Notably, the 'Other' religious category comprises 1.5%, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 1.3%.

In terms of ancestry, Australian is the most represented group at 28.2%, significantly higher than the regional average of 23.2%. English follows with 27.3% and Other at 9.7%. Some ethnic groups show notable differences: Maori at 3.2% in Yarrabilba compared to 1.1% regionally, New Zealand at 2.1% versus 1.0%, and Samoan at 2.4% against the regional average of 0.9%.

Yarrabilba hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Yarrabilba's median age is 25 years, which is lower than Greater Brisbane's 36 and the national average of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Yarrabilba has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (21.0%) but fewer residents aged 45-54 (6.1%). This 5-14 age group is significantly higher than the national average of 12.0%. From the 2021 Census to present, the 35 to 44 age group has increased from 14.2% to 16.6%, while the 15 to 24 cohort has risen from 12.8% to 14.5%. Conversely, the 0 to 4 age group has decreased from 13.7% to 11.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Yarrabilba's age profile. The 15 to 24 age group is projected to grow by 69%, reaching 3,461 people from the current 2,053.