Cedar Grove

An assessment of population growth drivers in Cedar Grove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As per ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the estimated population of Cedar Grove is around 2,301 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 309 people (15.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,992 people. The change was inferred from the resident population of 2,208 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional two validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 129 persons per square kilometer. Cedar Grove's 15.5% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.3%), along with the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 75.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Looking at population projections moving forward, a significant population increase in the top quartile of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is forecast, with the suburb expected to expand by 678 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 25.4% in total over the 16 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Cedar Grove when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Cedar Grove has seen around 8 new homes approved per year. Over the past 5 financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, approximately 43 homes were approved, with an additional 8 approved so far in FY-26. On average, 3.2 people moved to the area for each dwelling built during these years.

This demand has significantly outpaced supply, typically putting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $361,000. In FY-26, $20,000 in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating minimal commercial development activity compared to Greater Brisbane. Cedar Grove records markedly lower building activity, 83.0% below the regional average per person.

This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. Recent construction comprises 90.0% detached houses and 10.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers with an emphasis on detached housing. The location has approximately 160 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Cedar Grove is expected to grow by 585 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Cedar Grove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects expected to affect the region: Greater Flagstone Priority Development Area, The Outlook Beaudesert, Mount Lindesay Highway Upgrade Program, and Flagstone East Residential Community. Details on these key projects follow.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis places Cedar Grove well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Cedar Grove has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 2.4% as per AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation in December 2025. There are 1,203 employed residents, with an unemployment rate 1.8% lower than Greater Brisbane's 4.1%.

Workforce participation matches Greater Brisbane's 69.6%. Census responses reveal that only 10.9% of residents work from home, potentially impacted by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries are construction, health care & social assistance, and manufacturing. Cedar Grove specializes in construction with an employment share twice the regional level, but professional & technical jobs are under-represented at 4.1%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 8.9%.

Local employment opportunities appear limited based on resident vs working population counts. Between December 2024 and December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 3.8% with employment down by 3.4%, causing unemployment to fall by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment growth of 3.2%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest total employment could expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Cedar Grove's employment mix indicates local employment may increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023 shows Cedar Grove had a median taxpayer income of $53,677 and an average income of $62,660. These figures are lower than the national averages of $58,236 and $72,799 respectively in Greater Brisbane. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for Cedar Grove as of March 2026 would be approximately $59,775 (median) and $69,778 (average). According to the 2021 Census, income levels in Cedar Grove cluster around the 62nd percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that 43.1% of locals (991 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, similar to the surrounding region where 33.3% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 15.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 68th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Cedar Grove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Cedar Grove's dwellings, as per the latest Census data, were entirely houses with no other dwelling types present. This contrasts with Brisbane metro's mix of 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Cedar Grove stood at 29.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 62.3% and rented ones at 8.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,898, exceeding Brisbane's average of $1,863. The median weekly rent was $430, higher than Brisbane's average of $380. Nationally, Cedar Grove's mortgage repayments were above the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $430 compared to the national figure of $375.

Cedar Grove features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 84.6% of all households, including 43.2% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 11.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 15.4%, with lone person households at 14.3% and group households at 1.5%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Cedar Grove shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 11.1%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.3%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.9%) and postgraduate qualifications (0.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 47.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (36.5%). Educational participation is high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.6% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 2.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Cedar Grove has one active public transport stop operating within its boundaries. This stop serves a mix of bus routes, with one route providing all services. The total weekly passenger trips facilitated by this stop is 103. The accessibility of public transport in Cedar Grove is limited, with residents typically located 2188 meters from the nearest transport stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation, used by 97% of residents.

Vehicle ownership averages 2.3 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low 10.9% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 14 trips per day, resulting in approximately 103 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Cedar Grove is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Cedar Grove faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 52% of the total population (around 1,197 people), which is slightly lower than the average SA2 area rate of 55.8%. This compares to Greater Brisbane's rate of 64.1%, where 69.2% claim to be completely clear of medical ailments. The most common conditions in Cedar Grove are asthma and arthritis, affecting 10.1 and 9.5% of residents respectively. The working-age population faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 13.8% of residents aged 65 and over (317 people), which is lower than Greater Brisbane's 15.1%. National rankings for these conditions are even higher than the general population.

Cedar Grove is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Cedar Grove's population showed low cultural diversity, with 85.1% born in Australia, 91.1% being citizens, and 97.4% speaking English only at home. The predominant religion was Christianity, at 47.9%, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 47.8%. In ancestry, the top groups were English (34.7%), Australian (29.0%), and Scottish (8.4%).

Notably, New Zealanders comprised 1.1% (vs regional 1.0%), Germans 5.0% (vs 4.2%), and Samoans 0.2% (vs 0.9%).

Cedar Grove's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Cedar Grove's median age is 38, which is slightly older than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 but equal to Australia's median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes 14.7% of Cedar Grove's population, a strong representation compared to Greater Brisbane, while the 25-34 cohort makes up only 10.7%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 12.9% to 14.8% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 16.4% to 15.6%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Cedar Grove's age structure. The 55-64 group is expected to grow by 38%, adding 127 people and reaching a total of 466 from the current figure of 338. Meanwhile, the 0 to 4 cohort will grow by a modest 3%, an increase of 3 people.