Cedar Grove

An assessment of population growth drivers in Cedar Grove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Cedar Grove's population is estimated at around 2,324 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 332 people (16.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,992 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,190, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 1 validated new address since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 130 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Cedar Grove's 16.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.9%), along with the state, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 75.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Anticipating future population dynamics, a significant population increase in the top quartile of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is forecast, with the suburb expected to grow by 943 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 40.5% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Cedar Grove among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Cedar Grove has seen around 8 new homes approved per year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 42 homes. So far in FY-26, 7 approvals have been recorded. On average, for every home built between FY-21 and FY-25, there were approximately 9.2 new residents.

This indicates a significant demand exceeding supply, which typically results in price growth and increased buyer competition. New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $361,000. In the current financial year, there have been $20,000 in commercial approvals, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Cedar Grove has significantly less development activity, with 84.0% below the regional average per person.

This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes, although construction activity has intensified recently. Recent construction comprises 90.0% detached dwellings and 10.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 163 people per dwelling approval, Cedar Grove shows characteristics of a growth area. Looking ahead, AreaSearch estimates that Cedar Grove is expected to grow by 940 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Cedar Grove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects likely to impact the area. Major initiatives include The Outlook Beaudesert, Greater Flagstone Priority Development Area, Mount Lindesay Highway Upgrade Program, and Flagstone East Residential Community. Details on these key projects are provided below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Cedar Grove significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Cedar Grove has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 2.6% and employment growth of 2.9% in the past year, according to AreaSearch data aggregation. As of September 2025, 1,329 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.4% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation is high at 77.7%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 70.7%. Census data shows that 10.9% of residents work from home. The dominant employment sectors are construction, healthcare and social assistance, and manufacturing. Construction has a notable concentration with levels at 2.0 times the regional average.

Conversely, professional and technical services have lower representation at 4.1%, compared to the regional average of 8.9%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the working population versus resident population count. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.9% and labour force by 2.2%, leading to a 0.7 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment growth of 3.8% and labour force growth of 3.3%, with a 0.5 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Cedar Grove. These projections indicate that national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Cedar Grove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Cedar Grove is below the national average. The median income is $53,677 and the average income stands at $62,660. In comparison, Greater Brisbane has a median income of $58,236 and an average income of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Cedar Grove would be approximately $58,996 (median) and $68,870 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Cedar Grove cluster around the 62nd percentile nationally. The income analysis reveals that the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominates with 43.1% of residents (1,001 people), consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region where 33.3% fall into the same category. High housing costs consume 15.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 68th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Cedar Grove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Cedar Grove's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 100.0% houses with no other dwelling types present. This contrasts with Brisbane metro's mix of 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Cedar Grove stood at 29.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 62.3% and rented ones at 8.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,898, exceeding Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Cedar Grove was $430, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Cedar Grove's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Cedar Grove features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 84.6% of all households, including 43.2% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 11.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 15.4%, with lone person households at 14.3% and group households comprising 1.5%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Cedar Grove shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 11.1%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.3%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.9%) and postgraduate qualifications (0.9%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 47.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (36.5%). Educational participation is high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.6% in primary, 8.5% in secondary, and 2.7% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 2.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Cedar Grove has one operational public transport stop, serving a mix of bus routes. This stop is served by one route, offering 103 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is limited, with residents typically located 2188 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 97%. Vehicle ownership averages 2.3 per dwelling, above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 10.9% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 14 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 103 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Cedar Grove is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Cedar Grove faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and prevalence of chronic conditions. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts in the area.

Private health cover is present at approximately 52% of the total population (~1,209 people), slightly lagging behind the average SA2 area's rate of 55.8%. The most common medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, affecting 10.1 and 9.5% of residents respectively. Conversely, 64.1% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. The working-age population in Cedar Grove faces notable health challenges due to elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 14.9% of residents aged 65 and over (346 people), with national rankings higher than the general population.

Cedar Grove is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Cedar Grove's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 85.1% of its population born in Australia, 91.1% being citizens, and 97.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Cedar Grove, accounting for 47.9% of people, compared to 47.8% across Greater Brisbane. The top three ancestry groups are English (34.7%, regional average: 26.8%), Australian (29.0%, regional average: 23.2%), and Scottish (8.4%).

Notably, New Zealand (1.1% vs regional 1.0%) and German (5.0% vs regional 4.2%) groups are overrepresented in Cedar Grove, while Samoan representation is lower at 0.2% compared to the regional average of 0.9%.

Cedar Grove's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Cedar Grove has a median age of 38, which is slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 but equal to Australia's median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group comprises 14.6% of Cedar Grove's population, showing strong representation compared to Greater Brisbane. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort makes up only 10.0% of the population in Cedar Grove. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 12.9% to 14.8%, while the 75-84 cohort grew from 3.7% to 4.8%. During this period, however, the 25-34 cohort declined from 11.4% to 10.0%, and the 5-14 age group decreased from 14.9% to 13.8%. Looking forward to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Cedar Grove's age structure, with the 55-64 group expected to grow by 52%, reaching a total of 517 people from its current figure of 339.