Cedar Grove

An assessment of population growth drivers in Cedar Grove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, Cedar Grove's population is estimated at around 2,327 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 335 people (16.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,992 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,190 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 2 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 130 persons per square kilometer. Cedar Grove's growth of 16.8% since the 2021 census exceeded the national average (9.7%) and the state average, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 75.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data for each age cohort. Anticipating future population dynamics, a significant population increase in the top quartile of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch is forecast. The Cedar Grove (SA2) is expected to grow by 941 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 40.4% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Cedar Grove among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data indicates Cedar Grove has seen approximately 8 new homes approved per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 42 homes. In FY-26 so far, 7 approvals have been recorded. This results in an average of around 9.2 new residents per year for every home built between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating significant demand exceeding supply. New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost value of $361,000.

There has also been $20,000 in commercial approvals this financial year, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Cedar Grove has significantly less development activity, 84.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes, although construction activity has intensified recently. Recent construction comprises 90.0% detached dwellings and 10.0% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space.

With around 163 people per dwelling approval, Cedar Grove shows characteristics of a growth area. Looking ahead, Cedar Grove is expected to grow by approximately 941 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Cedar Grove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified four projects likely affecting this region: The Outlook Beaudesert, Greater Flagstone Priority Development Area, Mount Lindesay Highway Upgrade Program, and Flagstone East Residential Community. These are the key projects with potential relevance.

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AreaSearch analysis reveals Cedar Grove significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Cedar Grove's workforce comprises both white and blue-collar jobs, with construction being notably prevalent. Its unemployment rate is 2.7%, showing a 3.1% employment growth in the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of September 2025, 1,346 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate at 1.3% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation is higher than average at 70.1%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. The dominant employment sectors include construction, healthcare & social assistance, and manufacturing. Construction stands out with employment levels double the regional average.

Conversely, professional & technical jobs are less represented at 4.1% versus the regional average of 8.9%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. In the year to September 2025, employment levels increased by 3.1%, labour force by 2.4%, reducing unemployment rate by 0.7 percentage points. Meanwhile, Greater Brisbane experienced a 3.8% employment growth and a 0.5 percentage point drop in unemployment rate. State-level data to 25-Nov shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01%, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%, closely aligned with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's May-25 forecasts project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, varying significantly across sectors. Applying these projections to Cedar Grove's employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Cedar Grove has an income below the national average. The median income is $53,677 and the average is $62,660. This contrasts with Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. Based on a 9.91% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023, current estimates for Cedar Grove would be approximately $58,996 (median) and $68,870 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, incomes in Cedar Grove cluster around the 62nd percentile nationally. The income analysis reveals that the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominates with 43.1% of residents (1,002 people), consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 33.3% in the same category. High housing costs consume 15.2% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 68th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Cedar Grove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Census data from Cedar Grove showed 100.0% houses and 0.0% other dwellings, compared to Brisbane metro's 97.3% houses and 2.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Cedar Grove was 29.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 62.3% and rented ones at 8.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,898, below Brisbane metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent in Cedar Grove was $430, higher than Brisbane metro's $390 but lower than the national average of $375. Nationally, Cedar Grove's median monthly mortgage repayment of $1,898 is slightly higher than Australia's average of $1,863.

Cedar Grove features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 84.6% of all households, including 43.2% couples with children, 29.6% couples without children, and 11.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 15.4%, with lone person households at 14.3% and group households making up 1.5%. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 3.2.

Cedar Grove shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 11.1%, significantly lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 30.5%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.3%, followed by graduate diplomas (1.9%) and postgraduate qualifications (0.9%). Vocational credentials are held by 47.2% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 10.7% and certificates at 36.5%. Educational participation is high, with 27.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.6% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 2.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Cedar Grove has one active public transport stop operating within its boundaries. This stop serves a mix of bus routes, with one route providing service. The total weekly passenger trips facilitated by this stop is 103.

Residents' accessibility to public transport is limited, as they are typically located 2188 meters away from the nearest stop. On average, there are 14 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 103 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Cedar Grove is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Cedar Grove experiences notable health challenges, with common conditions prevalent among both younger and older residents.

Approximately 52%, or around 1,210 individuals, have private health cover, slightly lower than the average SA2 area. The most frequent medical conditions are asthma (10.1%) and arthritis (9.5%), while 64.1% report no medical ailments, compared to 69.6% in Greater Brisbane. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 14.5%, or 337 people, higher than the 11.4% in Greater Brisbane. This aligns with the general population's health profile.

Cedar Grove is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Cedar Grove showed lower cultural diversity, with 85.1% born in Australia, 91.1% being citizens, and 97.4% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, at 47.9%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 45.1%. The top three ancestry groups were English (34.7%), Australian (29.0%), and Scottish (8.4%).

Notably, New Zealanders comprised 1.1% vs regional 1.6%, Germans 5.0% vs 4.0%, and Samoans 0.2% vs 0.7%.

Cedar Grove's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Cedar Grove has a median age of 38, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 but equal to Australia's median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group is strongly represented in Cedar Grove at 14.4%, compared to Greater Brisbane's figure. Meanwhile, the 25-34 age cohort is less prevalent in Cedar Grove at 10.7%. Between 2021 and the present, the 15-24 age group has grown from 12.9% to 14.5% of Cedar Grove's population. Conversely, the 45-54 age cohort has declined from 16.4% to 15.4%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Cedar Grove's age structure, with the 55-64 group expected to grow by 54%, adding 181 people and reaching a total of 517 from its current figure of 335.