Cabarita (NSW)

Cabarita is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Cabarita (NSW) statistical area (Lv2) is around 1,987 people. This figure reflects an increase of 54 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,933 people in the area. The current resident population estimate of 1,982 comes from AreaSearch's analysis of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), along with validation of one new address since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,974 persons per square kilometer, placing Cabarita (NSW) in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, from 2015 to 2025, Cabarita (NSW) has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.0%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 83.0% of overall population gains during recent periods in the area.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the Cabarita (NSW) (SA2) is expected to expand by 179 persons to reach a population of 2,166 by the year 2041, reflecting an increase of approximately 10.3% in total over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Cabarita recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Cabarita shows around 5 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 26 homes. As of FY-26, 1 approval has been recorded. On average, 2.4 new residents per year have been gained for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25.

The average construction cost value of new homes is $740,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment with higher-end properties. Compared to Greater Sydney, Cabarita has markedly lower building activity, at 58.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes, although building activity has accelerated in recent years. The area's established nature is also reflected in its level being under the national average, potentially suggesting planning limitations. New building activity consists of 50.0% standalone homes and 50.0% medium and high-density housing. This focus on higher-density living creates more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

With around 200 people per dwelling approval, Cabarita shows characteristics of a low density area. Future projections estimate Cabarita will add 205 residents by 2041, with construction maintaining a reasonable pace despite projected growth and potential growing competition among buyers as population increases.

Cabarita has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project likely affecting the region. Key projects include Sydney Metro West - Trains, Systems, Maintenance and Operations, Sydney Metro West, Public Transport Capacity: Parramatta Road and Victoria Road Corridors, and Mortlake Place Plan 2019-2025. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Cabarita demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Cabarita has a highly educated workforce, with the technology sector notably represented. Its unemployment rate is 1.4%.

Employment stability over the past year remained relatively stable. As of September 2025, 1,028 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.7%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is lower at 55.4% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and finance & insurance.

Finance & insurance shows strong specialization with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level. Retail trade has lower representation at 6.5% versus the regional average of 9.3%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels remained stable while labour force increased by 0.3%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1% and unemployment increase by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data from NSW as of 25-Nov-25 shows employment contracted by 0.03%, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. National unemployment is 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Cabarita's industry mix suggests local employment could increase by 7.4% over five years and 14.7% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 shows that Cabarita suburb has a top percentile national income ranking. The median assessed income is $67,760 with an average income of $100,268. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from July 2023 to September 2025, estimated current incomes would be approximately $73,764 (median) and $109,152 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Cabarita's household, family, and personal incomes rank between the 88th and 93rd percentiles nationally. Income distribution data shows that 35.5% of residents (705 people) earn $4000 or more weekly, contrasting with the broader area where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket is most prevalent at 30.9%. Notably, 46.0% of residents earn above $3,000 weekly. Housing accounts for 13.8% of income, and strong earnings place residents within the 94th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile nationally.

Cabarita features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Cabarita's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 42.8% houses and 57.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 37.8% houses and 62.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Cabarita stood at 56.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 25.9% and rented ones at 18.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,500, exceeding the Sydney metro average of $3,000. Weekly rent median was $900, higher than Sydney metro's $560. Nationally, Cabarita's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,500 compared to Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Cabarita features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.0% of all households, including 34.3% couples with children, 39.9% couples without children, and 6.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 17.0%, with lone person households at 17.0% and group households making up 1.0%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Cabarita demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Cabarita's educational attainment is notably higher than national and state averages. Among residents aged 15 and above, 45.5% have university qualifications, compared to 30.4% in Australia and 32.2% in NSW. This high level of educational attainment positions Cabarita favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 28.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.6%).

Vocational credentials are also common, with 25.7% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 12.7% and certificates for 13.0%. A significant portion of the population is actively engaged in formal education, with 24.6% pursuing it. This includes 8.1% in primary education, 7.5% in secondary education, and 5.3% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Cabarita has 19 operational public transport stops. These include both ferry and bus services. Seven different routes serve these stops, offering a total of 3,897 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport in Cabarita is rated as good, with residents located an average of 204 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 556 trips per day across all routes, which equates to about 205 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Cabarita is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Cabarita demonstrates above-average health outcomes with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover was found to be exceptionally high at approximately 66% of the total population (1320 people), compared to 69.2% across Greater Sydney, which is higher than the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions in the area were arthritis and heart disease, impacting 8.5% and 5.2% of residents respectively, while 71.5% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 76.3% across Greater Sydney.

The area has 30.2% of residents aged 65 and over (600 people), which is higher than the 18.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Cabarita was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Cabarita has a high level of cultural diversity, with 34.8% of its population born overseas and 31.0% speaking a language other than English at home. The dominant religion in Cabarita is Christianity, which accounts for 64.4% of the population, compared to 57.1% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Cabarita are English (18.5%), Australian (14.2%), and Chinese (12.3%).

Notably, Italian ancestry is overrepresented in Cabarita at 11.6%, compared to the regional figure of 12.3%. Similarly, Lebanese ancestry is higher than the regional average at 4.0% versus 2.2%, and Korean ancestry is also notably present at 1.9% compared to the regional figure of 2.7%.

Cabarita ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Cabarita's median age is 50 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's 37 and the national average of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Cabarita has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (16.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (5.7%). This 65-74 age group concentration is well above the national average of 9.4%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the proportion of residents aged 75 to 84 has grown from 10.0% to 11.1%, while the proportions for ages 35-44 have declined from 10.5% to 9.1% and ages 25-34 have dropped from 7.0% to 5.7%. By 2041, Cabarita's age composition is expected to shift notably. The 75 to 84 age group is projected to grow by 60%, reaching 353 people from 220. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 87% of the population growth. Conversely, both the 25-34 and 0-4 age groups are anticipated to decrease in number.