Cabarita (NSW)

Cabarita is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Cabarita's population is estimated at around 1,987 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 54 people (2.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,933 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,982 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 1 validated new address since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,974 persons per square kilometer, which lies in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Cabarita has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.0%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 83.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Moving forward with demographic trends, a population increase just below the median of Australian statistical areas is expected in the suburb of Cabarita, with an expected growth of 175 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 10.2% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Cabarita recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Cabarita averaged approximately 5 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years (FY-21 to FY-25), totalling an estimated 26 homes. As of FY-26, 1 approval has been recorded. Each year, around 2.4 new residents were gained per dwelling built on average, reflecting strong demand that supports property values.

New homes are being constructed at an average cost of $740,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. Compared to Greater Sydney, Cabarita has significantly reduced construction activity (58.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings, although recent construction activity has increased. Nationally, this activity is also below average, suggesting possible planning constraints. New building activity consists of 50.0% standalone homes and 50.0% attached dwellings, favouring higher-density living to create more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. Cabarita has a low density characteristic with around 200 people per dwelling approval.

By 2041, AreaSearch estimates Cabarita's population will grow by approximately 202 residents. Development is keeping pace with projected growth, but increasing competition among buyers is expected as the population expands.

Cabarita has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project expected to affect this region: Sydney Metro West - Trains, Systems, Maintenance and Operations. Other notable projects include Sydney Metro West, Public Transport Capacity: Parramatta Road and Victoria Road Corridors, and Mortlake Place Plan 2019-2025. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Cabarita ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Cabarita has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate is 1.5%. Over the past year, it maintained relative employment stability.

As of September 2025, 1,028 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.7%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Cabarita lags at 62.5% compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%. A high 50.1% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and finance & insurance.

Cabarita has a notable concentration in finance & insurance, with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average. However, retail trade is under-represented at 6.5% compared to Greater Sydney's 9.3%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment remained stable while labour force increased by 0.4%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.4 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Sydney where employment rose by 2.1%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that over five years, national employment is expected to expand by 6.6% and over ten years by 13.7%. Applying these projections to Cabarita's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.4% over five years and 14.7% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 30, 2023, the suburb of Cabarita had a median income among taxpayers of $67,760 and an average income of $100,268. Nationally, these figures are exceptionally high compared to the national median of $60,817 and average of $83,003 in Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from financial year ending June 30, 2023 to September 2025, current estimates for Cabarita would be approximately $73,764 (median) and $109,152 (average). Census data from 2021 shows that incomes in Cabarita rank highly nationally, with household income at the 88th percentile, family income at the 90th percentile, and personal income at the 93rd percentile. Income distribution in Cabarita differs from surrounding regions; 35.5% of locals (705 people) earn over $4,000 per week, while the predominant category in the surrounding region is $1,500 - $2,999 at 30.9%. This affluence supports premium retail and service offerings. Housing accounts for 13.8% of income, with residents ranking within the 94th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Cabarita features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Cabarita's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 42.8% houses and 57.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Cabarita's home ownership level was 56.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 25.9% and rented ones at 18.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,500, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $900, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Cabarita's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Cabarita features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.0% of all households, including 34.3% couples with children, 39.9% couples without children, and 6.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 17.0%, with lone person households at 17.0% and group households comprising 1.0%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Cabarita demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Cabarita's educational attainment significantly exceeds broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15 and above, 45.5% hold university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% in NSW. This educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 28.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.6%).

Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 25.7% of residents aged 15 and above holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (12.7%) and certificates (13.0%). A substantial 24.6% of the population actively pursues formal education, including 8.1% in primary education, 7.5% in secondary education, and 5.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Cabarita has 19 active public transport stops, offering a mix of ferry and bus services. These stops are served by 7 different routes, collectively facilitating 3,897 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents typically residing 204 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 89% of residents. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling, surpassing the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 50.1% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 556 trips daily across all routes, equating to approximately 205 weekly trips per individual stop.

Cabarita's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Cabarita's health outcomes show remarkable results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups. Approximately 66% of Cabarita's total population (1,320 people) has private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and heart disease, affecting 8.5% and 5.2% of residents respectively. 71.5% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. Cabarita has 30.6% of residents aged 65 and over (608 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Cabarita was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Cabarita has a high cultural diversity, with 34.8% of its population born overseas and 31.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Cabarita, with 64.4%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (18.5%), Australian (14.2%), and Chinese (12.3%).

Notably, Italian (11.6%) and Lebanese (4.0%) populations are higher in Cabarita than the regional averages of 3.4% and 2.6%, respectively. Korean ancestry is also slightly higher at 1.9%.

Cabarita ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Cabarita's median age is 50 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's 37 and the national average of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Cabarita has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (16.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (5.4%). This 65-74 concentration is well above the national figure of 9.5%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 10.0% to 11.5%, while the 15 to 24 cohort has risen from 10.6% to 12.0%. Conversely, the 35 to 44 cohort has declined from 10.5% to 8.8%, and the 25 to 34 group has dropped from 7.0% to 5.4%. By 2041, Cabarita's age composition is expected to shift notably. The 75 to 84 group is projected to grow by 51% (116 people), reaching 345 from 228. Demographic aging will continue, with residents aged 65 and older representing 87% of anticipated growth. Conversely, both the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 age groups are expected to decrease in number.