Cabarita (NSW)

Cabarita is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Cabarita (NSW) is around 1,984 people. This reflects an increase from the 2021 Census figure of 1,933 people, marking a growth of 51 individuals (2.6%). The latest estimated resident population (ERP) data release by the ABS in June 2024, combined with validation of new addresses since the Census date, supports this estimate. This population density equates to approximately 3,968 persons per square kilometer, placing Cabarita within the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, ending in June 2024, Cabarita has demonstrated a compound annual growth rate of 1.0%, outperforming its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 83.0% to overall population gains during recent periods.

For demographic projections, AreaSearch utilises ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for covered areas and NSW State Government's SA2-level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for uncovered areas. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Cabarita is expected to increase its population by approximately 182 persons to reach around 2,166 people by the year 2041, reflecting a total increase of about 10.6% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Cabarita recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Cabarita shows approximately 4 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 21 homes. As of FY-26, no approvals have been recorded yet. On average, 2.9 new residents are gained per dwelling built annually between FY-21 and FY-25.

The average construction cost value for new homes is $740,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment. Compared to Greater Sydney, Cabarita has significantly lower building activity, at 67.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes, although building activity has increased in recent years. The area's established nature is also reflected by its level being under the national average, potentially suggesting planning limitations. New building activity consists of 50.0% standalone homes and 50.0% medium to high-density housing. This balance caters to various demographics such as downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

With around 191 people per dwelling approval, Cabarita exhibits characteristics of a low-density area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Cabarita is projected to add approximately 211 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag behind population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Cabarita has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project likely affecting this region. Key projects are Sydney Metro West - Trains, Systems and Depot, Sydney Metro West, Public Transport Capacity: Parramatta Road and Victoria Road Corridors, Mortlake Place Plan 2019-2025. Most relevant details follow.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Cabarita rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Cabarita has an educated workforce with notable representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate was 1.4% over the past year, with estimated employment growth of 4.4%.

As of June 2025, 1,067 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.8%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Cabarita was 55.4% compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Leading employment industries among residents included health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and finance & insurance. Finance & insurance had a strong presence with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level, while retail trade showed lower representation at 6.5% versus the regional average of 9.3%.

The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 4.4%, labour force grew by 4.5%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.1 percentage points. In Greater Sydney, employment rose by 2.6%, the labour force grew by 2.9%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 projected that national employment would expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Cabarita's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 7.4% over five years and 14.7% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Cabarita's median income is $67,760 and average income is $100,268. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Cabarita would be approximately $76,305 (median) and $112,912 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Cabarita rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 93rd percentiles. The income distribution shows that 35.5% of residents earn $4000+ weekly (704 people), contrasting with the broader area where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. A significant 46.0% earn above $3,000 weekly. Housing accounts for 13.8% of income and strong earnings rank residents within the 94th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Cabarita features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Cabarita's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 42.8% houses and 57.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 37.8% houses and 62.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Cabarita was at 56.0%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (25.9%) or rented (18.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,500, higher than Sydney metro's average of $3,000. Median weekly rent in Cabarita was $900, compared to Sydney metro's $560. Nationally, Cabarita's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Cabarita features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 83.0% of all households, including 34.3% couples with children, 39.9% couples without children, and 6.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 17.0%, with lone person households at 17.0% and group households accounting for 1.0%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.5.

Cabarita demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Cabarita's educational attainment is notably higher than national and state averages. 45.5% of residents aged 15+ have university qualifications, compared to 30.4% in Australia and 32.2% in NSW. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 25.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (12.7%) and certificates (13.0%).

A significant 24.6% of the population is currently pursuing formal education, including 8.1% in primary, 7.5% in secondary, and 5.3% in tertiary education. Educational facilities seem to be located outside Cabarita's immediate boundaries, requiring students to attend schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Cabarita has 14 active public transport stops operating within its boundaries. These include a mix of ferry and bus services. There are 7 individual routes servicing these stops, collectively providing 2,974 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located approximately 204 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages around 424 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 212 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Cabarita is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Cabarita shows superior health outcomes with both younger and older age groups having low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover stands at approximately 66% of the total population (1,318 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 68.8%, but lower than the national average of 55.3%. Arthritis and heart disease are the most prevalent medical conditions in Cabarita, affecting 8.5 and 5.2% of residents respectively.

A total of 71.5% of residents claim to be completely free from medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 76.3%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 30.3%, with 601 people falling into this age bracket, compared to Greater Sydney's 18.4%. Despite the higher senior population, health outcomes among Cabarita's seniors are notably strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Cabarita is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Cabarita has a high cultural diversity, with 34.8% of its population born overseas and 31.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Cabarita, accounting for 64.4% of people, compared to 57.1% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestral groups based on country of birth of parents are English (18.5%), Australian (14.2%), and Chinese (12.3%).

Some ethnic groups have notable differences in representation: Italian is overrepresented at 11.6% compared to the regional average of 12.3%, Lebanese is higher at 4.0% versus 2.2%, and Korean is lower at 1.9% compared to 2.7%.

Cabarita ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Cabarita's median age is 50 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's 37 and the national average of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Cabarita has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (16.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (5.7%). This 65-74 concentration is above the national figure of 9.4%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 10.0% to 11.1% of Cabarita's population. Conversely, the 35 to 44 cohort has decreased from 10.5% to 9.0%, and the 25 to 34 group has dropped from 7.0% to 5.7%. By 2041, Cabarita is expected to see significant shifts in its age composition. The 75 to 84 group will grow by 61%, reaching 354 people from the current 220. Residents aged 65 and older will represent 84% of this anticipated growth. Conversely, both the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 age groups are expected to decrease in number.