Cabarita (NSW)

Cabarita is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Cabarita (NSW) is around 1,987. This reflects a growth since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,933 people. The increase of 54 people (2.8%) is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 1,982 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 1 validated new address since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,974 persons per square kilometer, placing Cabarita within the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 2.8% since the census is competitive with its SA3 area's growth fundamentals of 5.6%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 83.0% of overall population gains in recent periods, driving primary population growth.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are utilised. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to grow by 171 persons by 2041, reflecting an increase of 8.3% in total over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Cabarita recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Cabarita averaged around 4 new dwelling approvals each year over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 23 homes. So far in FY-26, 1 approval has been recorded. Over these 5 years (FY-21 to FY-25), an average of 2.7 new residents per year was gained for each dwelling built, reflecting robust demand that supports property values.

New homes are being constructed at an average value of $740,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. Compared to Greater Sydney, Cabarita shows substantially reduced construction (63.0% below regional average per person), which typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. However, recent construction activity has intensified. This activity is also below average nationally, suggesting possible planning constraints due to the area's maturity. New building activity consists of 50.0% standalone homes and 50.0% attached dwellings, fostering higher-density living that creates more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers. Cabarita has around 235 people per dwelling approval, characteristic of a low density area.

Looking ahead, AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate projects Cabarita to grow by 166 residents through to 2041. Development is keeping pace with projected growth, though increasing competition among buyers is expected as the population expands.

Cabarita has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch has identified a single project that is expected to impact the area significantly. Key projects include Sydney Metro West - Trains, Systems, Maintenance and Operations, Sydney Metro West, Public Transport Capacity: Parramatta Road and Victoria Road Corridors, and Mortlake Place Plan 2019-2025. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Cabarita ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Cabarita has a highly educated workforce with notable representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate is 1.3%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, there are 1,025 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.8% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in Cabarita is 60.7%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. Census responses indicate that 50.1% of residents work from home, possibly influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. The key industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and finance & insurance. Cabarita shows strong specialization in finance & insurance, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

Retail trade has limited presence, with 6.5% employment compared to 9.3% regionally. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as suggested by the ratio of Census working population to resident population. Over the 12 months to December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.6%, and employment declined by 1.6%, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.2% and labour force expand by 2.3%, with a marginal rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Cabarita's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.4% over five years and 14.7% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

In AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023, Cabarita's median income among taxpayers is $67,760. The average income in the suburb is $100,268. Nationally, these figures are exceptionally high compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Cabarita would be approximately $73,764 (median) and $109,152 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, incomes in Cabarita rank highly nationally, with household, family, and personal incomes between the 88th and 93rd percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 35.5% of residents (705 people) fall into the $4000+ bracket, unlike regional trends where 30.9% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. Economic strength is evident with 46.0% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 13.8% of income, and residents rank highly in disposable income at the 94th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Cabarita features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Cabarita, as per the latest Census, consisted of 42.8% houses and 57.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Sydney metro had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Cabarita stood at 56.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 25.9% and rented ones at 18.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,500, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Cabarita was $900, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Cabarita's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Cabarita features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.0% of all households, including 34.3% couples with children, 39.9% couples without children, and 6.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 17.0%, with lone person households at 17.0% and group households comprising 1.0%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Cabarita demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Cabarita's educational attainment is notably higher than national and state averages. Among residents aged 15+, 45.5% have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 25.7% of residents holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (12.7%) and certificates (13.0%).

Furthermore, 24.6% of the population is currently engaged in formal education, comprising 8.1% in primary, 7.5% in secondary, and 5.3% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Cabarita has 19 active public transport stops offering a mix of ferry and bus services. These stops are served by 7 routes, together facilitating 3,897 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents typically residing 204 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to Cabarita's residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 89%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

Notably, 50.1% of residents work from home (as per the 2021 Census; potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions). Service frequency across all routes averages 556 trips daily, translating to approximately 205 weekly trips per individual stop.

Cabarita's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Cabarita's health outcomes show excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups. Approximately 66% of Cabarita's total population (1,320 people) has private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%.

Nationally, the average is 55.7%. The most common medical conditions in Cabarita are arthritis and heart disease, affecting 8.5% and 5.2% of residents respectively. Notably, 71.5% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 31.4% of residents aged 65 and over (623 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors are strong, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Cabarita was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Cabarita has a high level of cultural diversity, with 34.8% of its population born overseas and 31.0% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in Cabarita is Christianity, accounting for 64.4% of the population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. Regarding ancestry, the top three groups are English (18.5%), Australian (14.2%), and Chinese (12.3%).

Notably, some ethnic groups are disproportionately represented: Italian at 11.6% in Cabarita versus 3.4% regionally, Lebanese at 4.0% versus 2.6%, and Korean at 1.9% versus 1.1%.

Cabarita ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Cabarita's median age is 50 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's 37 years and the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Cabarita has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (16.6%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (5.4%). This concentration of residents aged 65-74 is notably above the national figure of 9.5%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the proportion of residents aged 75 to 84 has increased from 10.0% to 11.8%, while those aged 15 to 24 have risen from 10.6% to 12.3%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 25 to 34 has decreased from 7.0% to 5.4%, and those aged 35 to 44 have dropped from 10.5% to 9.0%. By 2041, Cabarita's age composition is expected to shift significantly. The demographic shift will be led by the 75 to 84 group, which is projected to grow by 50%, increasing from 234 to 351 residents. This growth will be primarily driven by demographic aging, with residents aged 65 and older accounting for 93% of the anticipated population increase. Conversely, both the 15 to 24 and 25 to 34 age groups are expected to decrease in number.