Cabarita (NSW)

Cabarita is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As per AreaSearch's analysis of ABS population updates, the estimated population of the suburb of Cabarita (NSW) was around 1,937 as of May 2026. This figure represents an increase of 4 people from the 2021 Census total of 1,933 residents. The growth is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation using the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and validation of one new address since the Census date. This population density translates to approximately 3,874 persons per square kilometer, placing Cabarita within the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration accounted for roughly 83.0% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch's projections for the suburb are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia figures released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government SA2-level projections from 2022 using a base year of 2021. These projections indicate that Cabarita is expected to experience population growth slightly below the median of statistical areas analysed by AreaSearch, with an anticipated increase of 147 persons by 2041. This would result in a total increase of approximately 7.4% over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Cabarita, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, Cabarita has recorded around 4 residential properties granted approval each year over the past 5 financial years ending June 2021. This totals an estimated 23 homes. So far in FY-26 (July 2021 - June 2022), 6 approvals have been recorded.

Cabarita's population has been declining recently, yet housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. New properties are constructed at an average value of $740,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. Compared to Greater Sydney, Cabarita records markedly lower building activity (62.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes, though building activity has accelerated in recent years. This level is similarly under the national average, suggesting the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. New building activity shows 50.0% standalone homes and 50.0% medium and high-density housing, creating more affordable entry points for downsizers, investors, and first-home buyers.

With around 232 people per dwelling approval, Cabarita shows characteristics of a low density area. Future projections show Cabarita adding 143 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate ending March 2022). Construction is maintaining a reasonable pace with projected growth, although buyers could encounter growing competition as population increases.

Cabarita has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified one major project likely affecting the region: Public Transport Capacity: Parramatta Road and Victoria Road Corridors. Other key projects are Mortlake Place Plan 2019-2025, Cabarita Park Lighting Upgrade and Summer House Maintenance, Corsa Mortlake. Most relevant projects are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Cabarita demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Cabarita has an educated workforce with 1.3% unemployment as of December 2025, according to AreaSearch data aggregation. It has 1,032 residents employed with a 2.8% lower unemployment rate than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation is 61.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%.

Census responses show 50.1% of residents work from home, potentially impacted by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries include health care & social assistance and professional & technical services. Finance & insurance shows strong specialization with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level, while retail trade has lower representation at 6.5%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census working population vs resident population counts.

Between December 2024 and December 2025, Cabarita's labour force decreased by 1.4% alongside a 1.4% employment decline, keeping unemployment relatively stable. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.2%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Cabarita's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.4% over five years and 14.7% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 on March 2026. Cabarita's median taxpayer income was $67,760 with an average of $100,268. Nationally, this is exceptionally high compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Cabarita are approximately $74,753 (median) and $110,616 (average). Census 2021 income data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Cabarita rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 93rd percentiles. Income distribution reveals that 35.5% of residents earn over $4,000 annually, while surrounding regions have a higher proportion earning between $1,500 and $2,999. Economic strength is evident with 46.0% of households earning over $3,000 weekly. Housing expenses account for 13.8% of income, placing residents in the 94th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Cabarita features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Cabarita, as per the latest Census evaluation, 42.8% of dwellings were houses while 57.3% comprised semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This contrasts with Sydney metropolitan areas where 55.9% of dwellings are houses and 44.1% are other types. Home ownership in Cabarita stood at 56.0%, with mortgaged dwellings making up 25.9% and rented ones accounting for 18.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,500, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Cabarita was recorded at $900, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Cabarita's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Cabarita features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.0% of all households, including 34.3% couples with children, 39.9% couples without children, and 6.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 17.0%, with lone person households at 17.0% and group households comprising 1.0%. The median household size is 2.6 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Cabarita demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Cabarita's educational attainment is notably higher than broader averages: 45.5% of its residents aged 15+ have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. This high level positions the area favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 28.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.8%) and graduate diplomas (3.6%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 25.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them – advanced diplomas at 12.7% and certificates at 13.0%.

Additionally, 24.6% of the population is actively engaged in formal education: 8.1% in primary, 7.5% in secondary, and 5.3% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Cabarita has 19 active public transport stops offering a mix of ferry and bus services. These are served by 7 routes, collectively facilitating 3,897 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 204 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to Cabarita's residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 89%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 50.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 556 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 205 weekly trips per individual stop.

Cabarita's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Cabarita's health outcomes show excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups. Approximately 66% of Cabarita's total population (1,287 people) has private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%.

Nationally, the average is 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions in Cabarita are arthritis and heart disease, affecting 8.5% and 5.2% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 71.5% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Working-age residents have notably low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 31.7% of residents aged 65 and over (614 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.5%. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with national rankings.

Cabarita was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Cabarita has a high level of cultural diversity, with 34.8% of its population born overseas and 31.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Cabarita, accounting for 64.4% of the population, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Cabarita are English (18.5%), Australian (14.2%), and Chinese (12.3%).

Notably, Italian (11.6%) is overrepresented in Cabarita compared to the regional average of 3.4%, as are Lebanese (4.0% vs 2.6%) and Korean (1.9% vs 1.1%).

Cabarita ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Cabarita's median age is 50 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's 37 years and the national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Cabarita has a higher proportion of residents aged 65-74 (16.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (5.9%). This concentration of 65-74 year-olds is well above the national figure of 9.4%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 has grown from 10.6% to 12.6%, while those aged 75-84 increased from 10.0% to 11.8%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 35-44 declined from 10.5% to 9.2%, and the 5-14 age group decreased from 10.7% to 9.4%. By 2041, Cabarita is expected to experience notable shifts in its age composition. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 46%, reaching 334 people from the current figure of 228. This demographic aging trend continues as residents aged 65 and older represent 92% of anticipated population growth. Conversely, both the 25-34 and 0-4 age groups are expected to decrease in number.