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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
Sales Activity
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Population
Burrill Lake lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends
As of May 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Burrill Lake is around 1,715. This reflects a decrease from the 2021 Census figure of 1,782 people, representing a drop of 67 individuals (3.8%). The current population estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses since the Census date and an examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025, which provided a resident population estimate of 1,697. This results in a population density ratio of 398 persons per square kilometer for Burrill Lake. Over the past decade, ending in May 2026, the suburb has demonstrated steady growth with an average annual growth rate of 1.5%, outpacing its surrounding SA3 area. Interstate migration contributed approximately 65% of overall population gains during recent periods.
AreaSearch's projections for Burrill Lake are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024, using 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a 2021 base year for areas not covered by ABS data. Future population growth is forecasted to be significant in non-metropolitan areas nationally, with Burrill Lake expected to expand by 434 persons to the year 2041, reflecting an increase of 24.3% over the 16-year period from May 2026.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Development
Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Burrill Lake when compared nationally
AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates that Burrill Lake has recorded around 15 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 76 homes. So far in FY26, 10 approvals have been recorded. On average, 3.6 people per year have moved to the area for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25, indicating demand significantly exceeds new supply.
New homes are being built at an average construction cost value of $672,000, demonstrating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In this financial year, $8.3 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Rest of NSW, Burrill Lake shows moderately higher building activity, at 26.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. Building activity has slowed in recent years.
New building activity consists of 65.0% detached houses and 35.0% townhouses or apartments, expanding medium-density options and creating a mix of opportunities across price brackets. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns, which are currently 90.0% houses, suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. Burrill Lake reflects a low density area, with around 292 people per approval. Looking ahead, AreaSearch estimates that Burrill Lake is expected to grow by 416 residents through to 2041. Existing development levels seem aligned with future requirements, maintaining stable market conditions without significant price pressures.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Burrill Lake
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
Infrastructure
Burrill Lake has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally
No infrastructure changes have significantly impacted the area's performance. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that could potentially affect the region. Notable initiatives include Milton Ulladulla Bypass, Managing Growth in Ulladulla, Milton and Surrounds, Sydney-Canberra Rail Connectivity And Capacity, and Low and Mid-Rise Housing Policy.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Low and Mid-Rise Housing Policy
Comprehensive NSW state planning reforms designed to increase housing density in well-located areas. The policy mandates mid-rise apartment buildings (3-6 storeys) and low-rise multi-dwelling housing (terraces, townhouses, and dual occupancies) within 800m of 171 high-frequency transport hubs and town centres. As of May 2026, the policy is fully operational following the phased rollout of dual occupancy provisions in July 2024 and mid-rise apartment provisions in early 2025. Recent updates include refined floor space ratios (FSR) and non-refusal standards to streamline local council assessments.
Enabling Infrastructure for Hydrogen Production
A national program to coordinate and deploy the enabling infrastructure required to support large-scale renewable hydrogen production across Australia. Building on the 2024 National Hydrogen Strategy and the National Hydrogen Infrastructure Assessment (NHIA), the program aligns electricity transmission, water supply, transport corridors, port and storage infrastructure with Renewable Energy Zones and prospective hydrogen hubs (Bell Bay, Darwin, Eyre Peninsula, Gladstone, Latrobe Valley, Hunter Valley, Pilbara). Two key federal mechanisms underpin delivery. The Hydrogen Headstart program provides up to 4 billion AUD in long-term revenue support via production credits, with Round 2 (2 billion AUD administered by ARENA) opening for Expressions of Interest in October 2025 with EOIs closing 8 December 2025. The Hydrogen Production Tax Incentive (HPTI), legislated through the Future Made in Australia (Production Tax Credits and Other Measures) Act 2025 which received Royal Assent on 14 February 2025, provides an uncapped refundable tax offset of 2 AUD per kilogram of eligible renewable hydrogen for up to 10 years between 1 July 2027 and 30 June 2040 for projects reaching final investment decision by 2030. The HPTI is jointly administered by the ATO and Clean Energy Regulator and requires certification under the Guarantee of Origin scheme. Round 1 of Hydrogen Headstart shortlisted six projects representing more than 3.5 GW of electrolyser capacity, with 814 million AUD ultimately awarded.
NSW Renewable Energy Zones (REZ) Program
NSW is delivering five Renewable Energy Zones (Central-West Orana, New England, South West, Hunter-Central Coast, and Illawarra) to coordinate wind and solar generation, storage, and high-voltage transmission. Led by EnergyCo NSW under the Electricity Infrastructure Roadmap, the program targets at least 12 GW of new renewable generation and 2 GW of long-duration storage by 2030. Major construction of the first REZ (Central-West Orana) transmission project began in June 2025, involving 90km of 500kV and 150km of 330kV lines. As of February 2026, the project reached a milestone with the Australian Energy Regulator's final decision on network revenue determinations, and significant progress has been made on temporary worker accommodation and road upgrades between the Port of Newcastle and the Central-West Orana region.
Milton Ulladulla Bypass
The 940 million AUD Milton Ulladulla Bypass involves constructing a new 13 km dual-carriageway to divert traffic from the Milton and Ulladulla town centres. Key features include a northern roundabout south of Little Forest Road, a central grade-separated interchange at Bishop Drive, and a southern roundabout north of Canberra Crescent. As of May 2026, the project remains in the planning phase with the Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) being finalised. Public exhibition of the EIS and concept design is scheduled for later in 2026. The project aims to improve safety, reduce heavy vehicle traffic in local streets, and enhance freight efficiency along the South Coast.
Bulk Water Supply Security
Nationwide program led by the National Water Grid Authority to improve bulk water security and reliability for non-potable and productive uses. Activities include strategic planning, science and business cases, and funding of state and territory projects such as storages, pipelines, dam upgrades, recycled water and efficiency upgrades to build drought resilience and support regional communities, industry and the environment.
Managing Growth in Ulladulla, Milton and Surrounds
Shoalhaven City Council is updating long-term land use planning for Milton, Ulladulla and surrounds to guide housing supply, transport infrastructure, jobs, shops and services over the next 25-30 years.
NSW Heavy Vehicle Rest Stops Program (TfNSW)
Statewide Transport for NSW program to increase and upgrade heavy vehicle rest stopping across NSW. Works include minor upgrades under the $11.9m Heavy Vehicle Rest Stop Minor Works Program (e.g. new green reflector sites and amenity/signage improvements), early works on new and upgraded formal rest areas in regional NSW, and planning and site confirmation for a major new dedicated rest area in Western Sydney. The program aims to reduce fatigue, improve safety and productivity on key freight routes, and respond to industry feedback collected since 2022.
Sydney-Canberra Rail Connectivity And Capacity
The project involves potential upgrades to enable faster rail services between Sydney and Canberra to improve the customer experience, increase productivity, and provide a competitive alternative to driving or flying. Potential upgrades include track straightening and duplication, track formation renewal, electrification and signalling upgrades, and new rolling stock.
Employment
AreaSearch analysis reveals Burrill Lake recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide
Burrill Lake's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs, with prominent essential services sectors. The unemployment rate as of December 2025 was 4.1%, slightly higher than Regional NSW's 3.9%. Workforce participation in Burrill Lake was lower at 49.4% compared to Regional NSW's 60.5%.
Census data showed that only 10.4% of residents worked from home, with potential Covid-19 lockdown impacts considered. Major employment industries include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction is particularly significant, employing 1.8 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 1.1%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the working population versus resident population count.
Over the 12 months to December 2025, labour force levels remained stable at 0.0%, but employment declined by 1.9%, raising the unemployment rate by 1.9 percentage points. In contrast, Regional NSW saw a 1.2% employment decline, a 0.8% labour force contraction, and a 0.4 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Burrill Lake's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Income
Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis
According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, the suburb of Burrill Lake had a median income among taxpayers of $40,201. The average income stood at $53,810. This was below the national average and compared to levels of $52,390 and $65,215 across Regional NSW respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year ending June 2023, current estimates would be approximately $44,350 (median) and $59,363 (average) as of March 2026. Census data from 2021 shows household, family and personal incomes in Burrill Lake all fall between the 12th and 12th percentiles nationally. Distribution data indicates that 29.5% of the population, comprising 505 individuals, fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, similar to the region where 29.9% occupy this bracket. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Burrill Lake, with only 84.3% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 13th percentile nationally.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Housing
Burrill Lake is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership
Dwelling structure in Burrill Lake, as evaluated at the latest Census, consisted of 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Burrill Lake was at 48.1%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (31.1%) or rented (20.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,571, below Regional NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $350, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Burrill Lake's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Household Composition
Burrill Lake has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size
Family households constitute 68.2% of all households, including 23.7% couples with children, 32.8% couples without children, and 11.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 31.8%, with lone person households at 29.8% and group households making up 2.2% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
Local Schools & Education
The educational profile of Burrill Lake exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics
The area's university qualification rate is 14.7%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This discrepancy presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 10.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 44.4% of residents aged 15 and above holding them.
This includes advanced diplomas (9.7%) and certificates (34.7%). Educational participation is high, with 25.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (9.3%), secondary education (7.1%), and tertiary education (2.8%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Nearby Services & Amenities
Transport
Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility
Burrill Lake has 25 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 12 different routes that together offer 179 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically living 243 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to its residential nature. Cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 95%. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling, which is below the regional average.
According to the 2021 Census, only 10.4% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 25 trips per day, resulting in approximately 7 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
Health
Burrill Lake's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts
Burrill Lake's health metrics are close to national benchmarks, based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence show common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (~827 people), compared to 51.9% in Regional NSW and a national average of 55.7%.
The most common medical conditions are arthritis (12.1%) and mental health issues (8.3%). Sixty-two point one percent of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% across Regional NSW. Working-age residents show above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 28.2% of residents aged 65 and over (483 people), higher than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Cultural Diversity
Burrill Lake is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics
Burrill Lake's population showed lower cultural diversity, with 89.9% born in Australia, 92.4% being citizens, and 96.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, at 48.5%. Buddhism, at 1.6%, was overrepresented compared to Regional NSW's 0.9%.
Top ancestral groups were English (33.2%), Australian (31.6%), and Irish (8.5%). Welsh (0.7%) and Croatian (0.6%) showed notable divergences from regional averages of 0.5% and 0.3%, respectively, while Maori was also overrepresented at 0.6%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
Age
Burrill Lake hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide
Burrill Lake's median age is 47 years, which is significantly higher than Regional NSW's average of 43 and substantially exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 are particularly prominent, making up 16.2% of the population, while those aged 15-24 are comparatively smaller at 8.2%. This concentration of 65-74 year-olds is well above the national average of 9.4%. Between 2021 and now, the age group of 35 to 44 has grown from 11.6% to 13.4%, while those aged 75 to 84 increased from 8.7% to 9.8%. Conversely, the age group of 55 to 64 has declined from 15.5% to 12.9%. By 2041, Burrill Lake is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition, with the 45 to 54 group projected to grow by 40%, reaching 236 people from a current total of 168.