Burrill Lake

Burrill Lake lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates, the estimated population of Burrill Lake as of Nov 2025 is around 2,023. This reflects an increase of 241 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,782. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 2,007 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 20 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 470 persons per square kilometer. Burrill Lake's growth rate of 13.5% since the 2021 census exceeded that of its SA4 region (3.7%) and SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration, contributing approximately 65.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to aggregated SA2-level projections, a significant population increase is forecast for Burrill Lake, with an expected expansion of 550 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 16.6% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Burrill Lake recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Burrill Lake has recorded approximately 16 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 82 homes. As of FY-26, 7 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.4 new residents per year per dwelling constructed were noted between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating stable market conditions. However, this figure decreased to 0.8 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting more balanced supply conditions. New properties are constructed at an average value of $672,000, targeting the premium market segment.

This year, there have been $286,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential nature. Compared to Rest of NSW, Burrill Lake shows moderately higher building activity, being 34.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. The new development consists of 65.0% detached dwellings and 35.0% townhouses or apartments, expanding medium-density options and creating a mix of opportunities across price brackets. This marks a significant shift from existing housing patterns, which are currently 90.0% houses.

With around 113 people per dwelling approval, Burrill Lake exhibits characteristics of a growth area. Future projections estimate an addition of 335 residents by 2041, suggesting that current development patterns should readily meet demand and potentially facilitate population growth beyond current projections.

Burrill Lake has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 45thth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly impact an area's performance like modifications to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects expected to affect this area. Notable projects include Milton Ulladulla Bypass, Managing Growth in Ulladulla, Milton and Surrounds, Sydney-Canberra Rail Connectivity And Capacity, Low and Mid-Rise Housing Policy.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment positions Burrill Lake ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Burrill Lake's workforce spans both white and blue-collar jobs, with essential services well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.8% as of June 2025, below Rest of NSW's 3.7%.

Employment grew by 3.7% in the past year. As of June 2025730 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate 0.9% lower than Rest of NSW's. Workforce participation was 49.6%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Dominant sectors include construction (1.8 times regional level), health care & social assistance, and retail trade.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing employed just 1.1% of local workers, below Rest of NSW's 5.3%. Employment opportunities appear limited locally, with Census working population vs resident population indicating this. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 3.7%, labour force by 2.9%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw employment fall by 0.1%, labour force expand by 0.3%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across sectors. Applying these projections to Burrill Lake's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.4% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Burrill Lake had a median taxpayer income of $40,201 and an average of $53,810 in financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This was lower than the national average, with Rest of NSW having a median income of $49,459 and an average income of $62,998. As of September 2025, estimates suggest a median income of approximately $45,270 and an average income of $60,595, based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022. The 2021 Census showed that household, family, and personal incomes in Burrill Lake all fell between the 12th and 12th percentiles nationally. Income distribution indicated that 29.5% of locals (596 people) had incomes in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to the surrounding region where this cohort also represented 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 84.3% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 13th percentile nationally.

Burrill Lake is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Burrill Lake, as evaluated at the Census held on 28 August 2016, consisted of 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Non-Metro NSW's structure of 87.8% houses and 12.2% other dwellings. The rate of home ownership in Burrill Lake was 48.1%, similar to Non-Metro NSW's figure, with the remaining dwellings being mortgaged (31.1%) or rented (20.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,571, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Burrill Lake was recorded at $350, matching Non-Metro NSW's figure. Nationally, Burrill Lake's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were also less than the national figure of $375.

Burrill Lake has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 68.2% of all households, including 23.7% couples with children, 32.8% couples without children, and 11.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 31.8%, with lone person households at 29.8% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the Rest of NSW average.

The educational profile of Burrill Lake exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 14.7%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them; advanced diplomas account for 9.7% and certificates for 34.7%. Educational participation is high at 25.4%, including 9.3% in primary education, 7.1% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Schools appear to be located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access them in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Burrill Lake has 21 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 12 different routes that together offer 184 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically living 249 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 26 trips per day across all routes, which equates to about 8 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Burrill Lake is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows significant issues in Burrill Lake, with common health conditions prevalent among both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low, at approximately 48% of the total population (around 976 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most frequent medical conditions are arthritis, affecting 12.1% of residents, and mental health issues, impacting 8.3%. About 62.1% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly higher than the Rest of NSW's 59.4%. The area has a high proportion of seniors, with 27.7% aged 65 and over (around 560 people). Health outcomes among seniors are challenging but better than those of the general population in health metrics.

Burrill Lake is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Burrill Lake had a cultural diversity level below average, with 89.9% of its population born in Australia, 92.4% being citizens, and 96.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Burrill Lake, comprising 48.5% of the population. Notably, Buddhism was overrepresented compared to Rest of NSW, making up 1.6% versus 0.9%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (33.2%), Australian (31.6%), and Irish (8.5%). Other ethnic groups with notable divergences included Welsh at 0.7% in Burrill Lake compared to 0.6% regionally, Croatian at 0.6% versus 0.4%, and Maori at 0.6% versus 0.3%.

Burrill Lake hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Burrill Lake's median age is 47, which is significantly higher than the Rest of NSW average of 43 and exceeds the national average of 38. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 are particularly prominent, making up 16.0% of the population, while those aged 15-24 are smaller at 8.1%, compared to Rest of NSW. This concentration of 65-74 year-olds is well above the national average of 9.4%. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has grown from 11.6% to 13.0% of the population. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort has declined from 15.5% to 13.7%. By 2041, Burrill Lake's age composition is expected to change notably. The 45-54 group will grow by 34%, reaching 257 people from 192. The 55-64 group will show modest growth of 0%, adding only 0 residents.