Burrill Lake

Burrill Lake lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the population of Burrill Lake is estimated at around 2,064 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 282 people (15.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,782 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,923 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 20 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 480 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development. Burrill Lake's growth of 15.8% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (4.8%) and the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 65.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate a significant increase in the top quartile of non-metropolitan areas nationally, with Burrill Lake expected to expand by 599 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 22.2% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Burrill Lake according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Burrill Lake recorded around 15 residential properties granted approval each year over the past five financial years. This totals an estimated 76 homes. In FY-26 so far, 8 approvals have been recorded. The average number of people moving to the area for each dwelling built over these five financial years is 1.5 per year.

Supply and demand appear well-matched, fostering stable market dynamics. New homes are being built at an average value of $672,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In this financial year, $8.3 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Rest of NSW, Burrill Lake shows moderately higher building activity, 25.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period.

This balances buyer choice with support for current property values, although building activity has slowed in recent years. New building activity comprises 65.0% detached houses and 35.0% townhouses or apartments, expanding medium-density options and creating a mix of opportunities across price brackets. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns, which are currently 90.0% houses, suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. With around 278 people per approval, Burrill Lake reflects a transitioning market. Looking ahead, AreaSearch estimates the area is expected to grow by 458 residents through to 2041. Existing development levels seem aligned with future requirements, maintaining stable market conditions without significant price pressures.

Burrill Lake has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

No factors influence an area's performance more than changes to local infrastructure. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that could impact this area. Notable initiatives include Milton Ulladulla Bypass, Managing Growth in Ulladulla, Milton and Surrounds, Sydney-Canberra Rail Connectivity And Capacity, and Low and Mid-Rise Housing Policy. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Burrill Lake recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Burrill Lake has a balanced workforce comprising both white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well represented, with an unemployment rate of 4.3% as of December 2025. This rate is 0.4% higher than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation in Burrill Lake is lower at 48.7%, compared to Regional NSW's 61.3%. According to Census data, only 10.4% of residents work from home. The dominant employment sectors are construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction employs 1.8 times the regional average, while agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 1.1% of local workers, below Regional NSW's 5.3%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the ratio of Census working population to resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 0.1%, while labour force rose by 2.4%, leading to a 2.2 percentage point increase in unemployment. In contrast, Regional NSW saw employment contract by 1.2%, labour force fall by 0.8%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Burrill Lake's employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

In financial year 2023, Burrill Lake's median income among taxpayers was $40,201 and the average was $53,810. These figures are below the national averages of $52,390 and $65,215 respectively in Regional NSW. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $43,763 (median) and $58,578 (average), based on an 8.86% growth since financial year 2023. According to Census 2021 data, household, family, and personal incomes in Burrill Lake all fall between the 12th and 12th percentiles nationally. Income distribution shows that 29.5% of the population (608 individuals) earn within the $1,500 - 2,999 range, similar to the regional figure of 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Burrill Lake, with only 84.3% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 13th percentile.

Burrill Lake is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Burrill Lake, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 27 August 2016, comprised 90.4% houses and 9.6% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Regional NSW's dwelling structure of 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings during the same period. Home ownership in Burrill Lake stood at 48.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.1% and rented dwellings at 20.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,571 as of this date, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $350. In comparison, Regional NSW had median monthly mortgage repayments of $1,733 and median weekly rents of $330 during the same period. Nationally, Burrill Lake's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375 as of this date.

Burrill Lake has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households represent 68.2% of all households, including 23.7% couples with children, 32.8% couples without children, and 11.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 31.8%, with lone person households at 29.8% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Burrill Lake exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 14.7%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Trade and technical skills are prevalent, with 44.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas at 9.7% and certificates at 34.7%.

Educational participation is high, with 25.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in primary education, 7.1% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Burrill Lake has 25 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 12 different routes that together facilitate 179 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as good, with residents on average located 243 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most commuters travel outward. Cars are the dominant mode of transport, used by 95% of residents. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling, which is below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 10.4% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 25 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 7 weekly trips per individual stop.

Burrill Lake's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Burrill Lake's health metrics are close to national benchmarks. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (around 996 people), compared to 51.9% in Regional NSW and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis, affecting 12.1% of residents, and mental health issues, impacting 8.3%. Around 62.1% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in Regional NSW. Working-age residents show above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 27.3% of residents aged 65 and over (563 people), higher than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Burrill Lake is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Burrill Lake had low cultural diversity, with 89.9% born in Australia, 92.4% being citizens, and 96.5% speaking English only at home (Australian Bureau of Statistics, Census 2016). Christianity was the dominant religion, at 48.5%. Buddhism was overrepresented at 1.6%, compared to Regional NSW's 0.9% (ibid.).

The top three ancestry groups were English (33.2%), Australian (31.6%), and Irish (8.5%). Welsh (0.7%) and Croatian (0.6%) were notably overrepresented, as was Maori (0.6%), compared to regional averages of 0.5%, 0.3%, and 0.3% respectively.

Burrill Lake hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Burrill Lake's median age is 47, which is significantly higher than the Regional NSW average of 43 and substantially exceeds the national average of 38. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 are particularly prominent, making up 15.7% of the population, while those aged 15-24 are comparatively smaller at 7.9%. This concentration of those aged 65-74 is well above the national average of 9.5%. Between 2021 and present, the age group of 35 to 44 has grown from 11.6% to 13.4%, while the age group of 55 to 64 has declined from 15.5% to 13.2%. By 2041, Burrill Lake is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. The age group of 45-54 is projected to grow by 40%, adding 79 people and reaching a total of 280 residents. Meanwhile, the age group of 55-64 will display more modest growth of 8%, adding only 20 residents.