Vincentia

Vincentia lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, Vincentia's estimated population as of May 2026 is around 3,620. This shows a decrease of 250 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,870. The current estimate is based on AreaSearch's resident population figure of 3,613 from June 2025 ABS ERP data release and an additional 27 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 272 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration contributed approximately 53.0% to recent population gains, with all migration drivers being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Vincentia is forecasted to increase by 882 persons, reflecting a 24.2% total increase over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Vincentia recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Vincentia has averaged approximately 25 new dwelling approvals annually. Between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, around 126 homes were approved, with an additional 14 approved so far in FY-26. This averages out to about 0.6 people moving to the area for each dwelling built over these five years, indicating that supply is meeting or exceeding demand.

The average construction value of new properties is approximately $564,000, suggesting a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26, around $2.5 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting Vincentia's residential character. Compared to the rest of NSW, Vincentia has similar development levels per capita, maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area. Recent construction trends show a shift towards denser development, with 50% detached dwellings and 50% townhouses or apartments. This marks a significant change from existing housing patterns, which are currently 92% houses.

This trend may be due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. Vincentia has around 159 people per dwelling approval, indicating characteristics of a low-density area. Looking ahead, Vincentia is projected to grow by approximately 875 residents by 2041. Building activity appears to be keeping pace with growth projections, though buyers may face increased competition as the population grows.

Vincentia has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Four projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area: Bayswood Development, Vincentia Coastal Village - Project Modification 9 and Concept Plan Mod 17, HomeCo Vincentia, and Revitalisation of Vincentia Village Shopping Mall Precinct.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Vincentia demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Vincentia has a well-educated workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate is 1.9%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, there are 1,557 residents in work and the unemployment rate stands at 2.0%, which is below Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%.

Workforce participation in Vincentia is lower at 51.7% compared to Regional NSW's 60.5%. Based on Census responses, 18.5% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Leading employment industries among residents include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area has a notably high concentration in public administration & safety, with employment levels at 2.5 times the regional average.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence with only 0.6% employment compared to the regional average of 5.3%. Over the year ending December 2025, labour force levels decreased by 0.6% and employment declined by 1.6%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.0 percentage points. In comparison, Regional NSW saw employment fall by 1.2%, labour force contract by 0.8%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Vincentia's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not consider localised population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 shows median income in Vincentia at $59,623 and average income at $75,157. This compares to Regional NSW's median income of $52,390 and average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% from financial year ending June 2023 to March 2026, estimated median income in Vincentia would be approximately $65,776 and average income $82,913 by that date. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Vincentia rank modestly, between the 38th and 49th percentiles. The earnings profile shows 31.1% of residents earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly. After housing costs, 85.2% of income remains for other expenses, placing Vincentia in the 7th decile based on SEIFA income rankings.

Vincentia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Vincentia's dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 91.6% houses and 8.4% other dwellings. Regional NSW had 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Vincentia's home ownership rate was 48.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.2% and rented ones at 24.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Vincentia was $2,000, higher than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent in Vincentia was $425, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Vincentia's mortgage repayments exceeded the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Vincentia has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 70.9% of all households, including 22.9% couples with children, 38.5% couples without children, and 8.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 29.1%, with lone person households at 27.3% and group households comprising 2.1%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Vincentia aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

Vincentia's educational attainment is notably higher than regional benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 29.5% have university qualifications, compared to 19.0% in the SA3 area and 21.3% in the Rest of NSW. University graduates make up 18.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 7.5% and graduate diplomas at 3.9%. Vocational credentials are held by 40.5% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.1% and certificates at 27.4%.

Currently, 23.4% of the population is actively engaged in formal education: 8.4% in primary, 6.6% in secondary, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Vincentia has 45 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 19 different routes that together facilitate 435 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these stops is rated as excellent, with residents on average being located just 168 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport for 94% of residents, while walking accounts for 4%. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling in Vincentia.

According to the 2021 Census, 18.5% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 62 trips per day, equating to roughly 9 weekly trips per stop.

Vincentia's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows Vincentia residents have positive health outcomes, matching national benchmarks for mortality rates and health conditions. Common health conditions are low across all age groups: arthritis affects 12.4%, mental health issues impact 8.0%.

High private health cover is seen in 57% of the population (~2,049 people), compared to 51.9% in Regional NSW. Most residents (63.6%) report no medical ailments, similar to Regional NSW's 63.3%. Working-age residents have above-average chronic health conditions prevalence. Vincentia has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over (27.7%, 1,002 people) than Regional NSW (23.4%). Senior health outcomes are above average, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Vincentia ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Vincentia's population was found to be predominantly Australian-born, with 80.7% having been born in Australia. This is higher than the average for Regional NSW. Similarly, 91.9% of Vincentia residents were citizens and 91.8% spoke English only at home.

Christianity was the dominant religion in Vincentia, practiced by 50.0% of its population. However, Judaism showed a slight overrepresentation with 0.2% of Vincentia's population compared to Regional NSW's average of 0.1%. In terms of ancestry, those claiming English heritage were the largest group at 31.3%, followed by Australian at 26.9% and Irish at 9.0%. Notably, Welsh (1.0%), Maltese (1.0%), and Scottish (8.9%) ethnicities were also overrepresented in Vincentia compared to Regional NSW averages of 0.5%, 0.4%, and 8.0% respectively.

Vincentia ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Vincentia's median age is 49, which surpasses Regional NSW's figure of 43 and exceeds Australia's median age of 38. Compared to Regional NSW, Vincentia has an over-representation of the 75-84 age group at 10.9% locally, while the 25-34 cohort is under-represented at 8.6%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group grew from 7.8% to 10.9%, and the 15-24 cohort increased from 7.3% to 9.4%. Conversely, the 65-74 cohort declined from 18.0% to 13.2%, and the 55-64 group dropped from 15.6% to 13.4%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Vincentia's age structure. The 45-54 cohort is projected to grow by 179 people (38%), expanding from 470 to 650. Meanwhile, the 15-24 cohort grows by a modest 6%, adding 21 people.