Vincentia

Vincentia lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Vincentia's population is estimated at around 3,852 as of Feb 2026. This reflects a decrease from the 2021 Census figure of 3,870 people, a change inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 3,712 following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release (June 2024) and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 290 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Vincentia has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.8%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 53.0% during recent periods. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year.

Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from these aggregations for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, a significant increase is forecasted for Vincentia, expected to increase by 1,080 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 31.9% in total over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Vincentia when compared nationally

Vincentia averaged approximately 24 new dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 124 homes were approved, with a further 7 approved in FY-26 as of now. Each newly built dwelling resulted in an average of 2.7 new residents over these five years, indicating steady demand that positively impacts property values.

The average construction cost value for new dwellings was $564,000, suggesting developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This financial year has seen $2.5 million in commercial approvals registered, reflecting Vincentia's residential character. Comparing Vincentia to the Rest of NSW, it maintains similar development levels per capita, preserving market balance consistent with the broader area. Recent construction trends show a 50% split between detached dwellings and townhouses or apartments, marking a significant shift from the current 92% houses, potentially due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. Vincentia has around 173 people per dwelling approval, indicating characteristics of a low-density area.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Vincentia is projected to grow by 1,228 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Vincentia has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects expected to affect the region. Notable projects include Bayswood Development, Vincentia Coastal Village - Project Modification 9 and Concept Plan Mod 17, HomeCo Vincentia, and Revitalisation of Vincentia Village Shopping Mall Precinct.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Vincentia ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Vincentia has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 1.5% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 2.7%. As of September 2025, 1,760 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.3%, lower than Rest of NSW's 3.8%.

Workforce participation is 56.0% compared to Rest of NSW's 61.5%. About 18.5% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment sectors are public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Public administration & safety has notably high concentration at 2.5 times the regional average, while agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence with 0.6% employment compared to 5.3% regionally.

The area may offer limited local employment opportunities. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 2.7%, labour force by 3.4%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 0.7 percentage points. Rest of NSW saw employment decline of 0.5%, labour force decline of 0.1%, with unemployment rising 0.4 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Vincentia's employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to its current employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The median taxpayer income in Vincentia is $59,623, with an average of $75,157, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is higher than the national median income of $52,390 and average income of $65,215 in Rest of NSW. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $64,906 (median) and $81,816 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Vincentia rank modestly, between the 38th and 49th percentiles. The largest income bracket comprises 31.1% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly, with 1,197 residents in this category, similar to the surrounding region at 29.9%. After housing expenses, 85.2% of income remains for other expenses. Vincentia's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Vincentia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Vincentia, as per the latest Census evaluation, 91.6% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 8.4% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwelling types. This differs from Non-Metro NSW's composition of 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Vincentia stood at 48.5%, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 27.2% and rented ones making up 24.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,000, surpassing Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. Vincentia's median weekly rent figure was recorded at $425, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $330. Nationally, Vincentia's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Vincentia has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 70.9% of all households, including 22.9% couples with children, 38.5% couples without children, and 8.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 29.1%, with lone person households at 27.3% and group households comprising 2.1%. The median household size is 2.2 people, smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Vincentia aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

Vincentia's educational attainment exceeds broader standards significantly. Among residents aged 15+, 29.5% have university qualifications compared to 19.0% in the SA3 area and 21.3% in Rest of NSW. This notable advantage positions Vincentia favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most common at 18.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.9%).

Vocational credentials are prominent, with 40.5% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 13.1% and certificates at 27.4%. Notably, 23.4% of the population is actively pursuing formal education. This includes 8.4% in primary education, 6.6% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 45 active transport stops operating in Vincentia. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, totalling 19 individual routes that provide 435 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 168 metres from the nearest stop. In this primarily residential area, most commuters travel outward using cars as the dominant mode at 94%, while 4% walk. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 18.5% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 62 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately nine weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Vincentia is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Vincentia demonstrates superior health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age cohorts exhibit low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is notably high at approximately 57% of the total population (around 2,181 people), compared to 51.9% across the Rest of NSW. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 12.4 and 8.0% of residents respectively. Notably, 63.6% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, similar to the 63.3% reported in the Rest of NSW. Working-age residents show a higher prevalence of chronic health conditions compared to the average. The area has a relatively high proportion of seniors, with 28.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1,090 people), compared to 23.4% in the Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are above average and generally align with national rankings.

Vincentia ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Vincentia's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 80.7% of its population born in Australia, 91.9% being citizens, and 91.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Vincentia, comprising 50.0% of people there. However, Judaism is overrepresented, making up 0.2% of Vincentia's population compared to 0.1% across Rest of NSW.

The top three ancestry groups are English (31.3%), Australian (26.9%), and Irish (9.0%). Notably, Welsh (1.0%) and Maltese (1.0%) are overrepresented in Vincentia compared to regional averages of 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively. Additionally, Scottish ancestry is more prevalent at 8.9%.

Vincentia ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Vincentia has a median age of 50, which is higher than the Rest of NSW figure of 43 and also above the national average of 38. The 65-74 age group makes up 16.0% of Vincentia's population, compared to Rest of NSW and the national figure of 9.5%. The 5-14 cohort is less prevalent at 8.5%. According to the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 7.8% to 9.2%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 7.3% to 8.5%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 10.7% to 8.5% and the 65 to 74 group dropped from 18.0% to 16.0%. Demographic modeling indicates that Vincentia's age profile will change significantly by 2041, with the 45 to 54 age cohort projected to grow by 215 people (45%), from 477 to 693.