Vincentia

Vincentia lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Vincentia's population, as estimated by AreaSearch using ABS updates and new addresses validated since the Census, is around 3,974 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 104 people from the 2021 Census figure of 3,870. The increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 3,922 in June 2024, which was derived from ABS ERP data and validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 299 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Vincentia has shown resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 1.8%, outpacing its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 53.0% to overall population gains during recent periods, though all drivers were positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2-level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate significant growth in the top quartile of non-metropolitan areas, with Vincentia expected to increase by 1,097 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 28.2% over 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Vincentia when compared nationally

Vincentia averaged approximately 28 new dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers from statistical area data. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 141 homes were approved, with an additional 10 approved in FY-26 to date. Each dwelling built over these five years resulted in an average of 2.4 new residents annually, indicating solid demand supporting property values.

The average construction value of new homes was approximately $564,000, moderately above regional levels, suggesting emphasis on quality construction. This financial year has seen around $776,000 in commercial approvals registered, predominantly focusing on residential development. Compared to the Rest of NSW, Vincentia maintains similar development levels per person, consistent with broader market balance. Recent construction comprises 48.0% detached dwellings and 52.0% townhouses or apartments, marking a significant shift from existing housing patterns (currently 92.0% houses), suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. Vincentia has around 163 people per dwelling approval, indicating low-density characteristics.

According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Vincentia is projected to grow by approximately 1,119 residents through to 2041, with building activity keeping pace with growth projections despite potential heightened competition among buyers as the population grows.

Vincentia has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified four projects likely affecting the region: Bayswood Development, Vincentia Coastal Village - Project Modification 9 and Concept Plan Mod 17, HomeCo Vincentia, and Revitalisation of Vincentia Village Shopping Mall Precinct. These are the most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Vincentia performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Vincentia has a well-educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 1.0%, lower than the Rest of NSW's 3.7%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.6%. As of June 2025, 1,735 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.6% below the regional average and workforce participation at 52.1%, compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key employment sectors include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Public administration & safety has particularly high concentration, with employment levels at 2.5 times the regional average.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence, at 0.6% compared to the region's 5.3%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census data comparing working population and resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 2.6%, while labour force grew by 2.5%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 1.9%. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw a slight decline in employment (-0.1%) with labour force growth of 0.3% and an increase in unemployment (0.4 percentage points). National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued September 2022, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Vincentia's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by approximately 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Vincentia's median taxpayer income was $59,623, with an average of $75,157, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is high nationally compared to Rest of NSW's median income of $49,459 and average income of $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $67,141 (median) and $84,634 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Vincentia rank modestly between the 38th and 49th percentiles. The largest income bracket comprises 31.1% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly, with 1,235 residents falling into this category, similar to the surrounding region where 29.9% occupy this bracket. After housing expenses, 85.2% of income remains for other expenses. Vincentia's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Vincentia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Vincentia, as per the latest Census, 91.6% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 8.4% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This differs slightly from Non-Metro NSW's figures of 87.8% houses and 12.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Vincentia stood at 48.5%, similar to Non-Metro NSW, with mortgaged properties at 27.2% and rented ones at 24.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Vincentia was $2,000, higher than the Non-Metro NSW average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure in Vincentia was recorded as $425, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $350. Nationally, Vincentia's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,000 versus Australia's average of $1,863, while rents were also substantially above the national figure of $375.

Vincentia has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 70.9% of all households, including 22.9% couples with children, 38.5% couples without children, and 8.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 29.1%, with lone person households at 27.3% and group households comprising 2.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.3.

Educational attainment in Vincentia aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

Vincentia's educational attainment is notably higher than broader averages. Among residents aged 15+, 29.5% hold university qualifications, surpassing the SA3 area average of 19.0% and the Rest of NSW average of 21.3%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 18.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.9%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 40.5% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 13.1% and certificates at 27.4%.

A significant 23.4% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, including 8.4% in primary education, 6.6% in secondary education, and 3.1% in tertiary education. Vincentia's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,210 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 983) and balanced educational opportunities. Educational provision follows conventional lines, split between one primary and two secondary institutions. The area functions as an education hub with 30.4 school places per 100 residents – significantly above the regional average of 12.7 – attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 41 active stops in Vincentia serving buses. These are covered by 19 routes offering 433 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent accessibility, with an average distance of 168 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 61 daily trips across all routes, translating to about 10 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Vincentia is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Vincentia faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is high at approximately 57% of the total population (~2,250 people), compared to 49.3% across Rest of NSW.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 12.4 and 8.0% of residents respectively. A total of 63.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 59.4% across Rest of NSW. As of 2016, the area has 28.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1,124 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

Vincentia ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Vincentia, surveyed in June 2016, had a population where 80.7% were born in Australia, 91.9% were citizens, and 91.8% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 50.0%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented compared to Rest of NSW, with 0.2% versus 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (31.3%), Australian (26.9%), and Irish (9.0%). Notable divergences included Welsh at 1.0%, Maltese at 1.0%, and Scottish at 8.9%, all higher than the regional averages of 0.6%, 0.6%, and 8.1% respectively.

Vincentia ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Vincentia's median age of 50 exceeds both the Rest of NSW figure at 43 and the national average of 38. The 65-74 age group comprises 16.2%, higher than Rest of NSW, while the 5-14 cohort is less prevalent at 9.0%. Nationally, this 65-74 concentration is 9.4%. Post-2021 Census, the 15 to 24 age group grew from 7.3% to 8.5%, and the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 7.8% to 9.0%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort declined from 18.0% to 16.2%, and the 5 to 14 group dropped from 10.7% to 9.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Vincentia's age profile. The 45 to 54 cohort is projected to grow by 204 people (42%), from 488 to 693. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 cohort grows by a modest 8% (28 people).