Vincentia

Vincentia lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Nov 2025, Vincentia's population is estimated at around 3842 people. This reflects a decrease of 28 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3870 people. The current resident population estimate by AreaSearch is 3712 following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of additional 23 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 289 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Vincentia has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.8%. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 53% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from these aggregations for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Vincentia is expected to increase by 1100 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 32.6% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Vincentia when compared nationally

Vincentia averaged approximately 24 new dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 124 homes were approved, with an additional seven approved so far in FY-26. This indicates solid demand, with about 2.7 new residents gained per year for each dwelling built during this period.

The average construction value of these dwellings was approximately $564,000, suggesting a focus on the premium market. In FY-26, around $2.5 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting Vincentia's residential character. Comparing development levels per person with Rest of NSW, Vincentia shows similar figures, maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area. Recent construction trends indicate 50% detached dwellings and 50% townhouses or apartments, marking a significant shift from the current housing pattern of 92% houses. This denser development provides accessible entry options for downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers.

Vincentia has around 173 people per dwelling approval, indicating low-density characteristics. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Vincentia is projected to grow by approximately 1,254 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Vincentia has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified four projects that could impact this area: Bayswood Development, Vincentia Coastal Village - Project Modification 9 and Concept Plan Mod 17, HomeCo Vincentia, and Revitalisation of Vincentia Village Shopping Mall Precinct.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Vincentia ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Vincentia has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services. Its unemployment rate is 1.5%, lower than the rest of NSW's 3.8%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.8%. As of September 2025, 1,768 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.3% compared to the regional average. Workforce participation is lower than the rest of NSW's at 52.1%. Key employment sectors include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

Public administration & safety has particularly high concentration, with employment levels at 2.5 times the regional average. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 0.6% compared to the regional average of 5.3%. Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census data comparison between working population and resident population. Over the year ending September 2025, employment increased by 2.8%, labour force by 3.5%, raising unemployment by 0.7 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of NSW's employment decline of 0.5% and unemployment rise of 0.4%. State-level data to November 25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts from May-25 indicate total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though sector-specific projections vary significantly. Applying these projections to Vincentia's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The median taxpayer income in Vincentia is $59,623, with an average of $75,157, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is notably higher than the national figures of $52,390 median and $65,215 average income in Rest of NSW. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $64,906 median and $81,816 average. Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Vincentia rank modestly, between the 38th and 49th percentiles. The largest income bracket comprises 31.1% of residents earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (1,194 residents), which is similar to the surrounding region at 29.9%. After housing expenses, 85.2% of income remains for other expenses. Vincentia's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Vincentia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Vincentia's dwellings were 91.6% houses and 8.4% other types at the latest Census. Non-Metro NSW had 87.8% houses and 12.2% others. Home ownership in Vincentia was 48.5%, with mortgages at 27.2% and rentals at 24.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, higher than Non-Metro NSW's $1,733. Median weekly rent was $425 in Vincentia, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $350. Nationally, Vincentia's mortgage repayments were above the Australian average of $1,863 and rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Vincentia has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 70.9% of all households, including 22.9% couples with children, 38.5% couples without children, and 8.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 29.1%, with lone person households at 27.3% and group households comprising 2.1%. The median household size is 2.2 people, smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.3.

Educational attainment in Vincentia aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

Vincentia's residents aged 15 and above have a higher proportion with university qualifications (29.5%) compared to the broader SA3 area (19.0%) and Rest of NSW (21.3%). Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 18.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.9%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 40.5% of residents holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (13.1%) and certificates (27.4%). A significant portion of the population is actively engaged in education, with 23.4% pursuing formal learning.

This includes 8.4% in primary education, 6.6% in secondary education, and 3.1% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Vincentia has 45 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 19 different routes that together facilitate 435 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from a resident's location to the nearest transport stop is 168 meters.

On average, there are 62 trips per day across all routes, which equates to about 9 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Vincentia is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Vincentia faces significant health challenges with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population (~2175 people), compared to 49.1% across the Rest of NSW.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis, impacting 12.4% of residents, and mental health issues, affecting 8.0%. A total of 63.6% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 59.4% across the Rest of NSW. The area has 28.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1087 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Vincentia ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Vincentia's population, surveyed in 2016, showed low cultural diversity: 80.7% were born in Australia, 91.9% were citizens, and 91.8% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion (50.0%), with Judaism slightly overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to Rest of NSW's 0.1%. Top ancestral groups were English (31.3%), Australian (26.9%), and Irish (9.0%).

Notably, Welsh (1.0%), Maltese (1.0%), and Scottish (8.9%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.6%, 0.6%, and 8.1% respectively.

Vincentia ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Vincentia has a median age of 50, which is higher than the Rest of NSW figure of 43 and well above the national average of 38. The age group of 65-74 years old makes up 16.2% of Vincentia's population, compared to 9.4% nationally and 12.0% in the Rest of NSW. Conversely, the 15-24 age cohort is less prevalent in Vincentia at 8.4%, compared to 13.7% in the Rest of NSW and 16.1% nationally. Following the Census conducted on August 10, 2021, the population aged 75 to 84 increased from 7.8% to 9.0%, while the 15-24 age group grew from 7.3% to 8.4%. Meanwhile, the 65-74 age cohort declined from 18.0% to 16.2% and the 5-14 age group dropped from 10.7% to 9.0%. Demographic projections indicate significant changes in Vincentia's age profile by 2041, with the 45-54 age cohort expected to grow by 216 people (45%) from 476 to 693.