Vincentia

Vincentia lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Vincentia's population is estimated at around 3,852 as of Feb 2026, reflecting a decrease of 18 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 3,870. This change was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 3,712 based on ERP data released by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 27 validated new addresses since the Census date. The suburb's population density is 290 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Vincentia demonstrated a compound annual growth rate of 1.3%, outpacing its SA3 area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 53.0% to overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including interstate migration and natural growth being positive factors. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Vincentia is forecasted to increase its population by 945 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 20.9% over the 17-year period.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Vincentia when compared nationally

Vincentia averaged approximately 25 new dwelling approvals per year based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 126 homes were approved, with a further 11 approved in FY-26. This averages around 2.7 new residents per year for each dwelling built over the past five financial years.

The average construction value of these dwellings is $564,000, indicating a focus on the premium market. In FY-26, $2.5 million in commercial approvals have been registered. Vincentia's development levels are similar to those of the rest of NSW, maintaining market balance with the broader area. Recent construction comprises 50% detached dwellings and 50% townhouses or apartments, a significant shift from the current housing pattern of 92% houses. This trend suggests diminishing developable land availability and responds to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs.

Vincentia has around 170 people per dwelling approval, indicating characteristics of a low density area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Vincentia is expected to grow by 805 residents through to 2041, with building activity keeping pace with growth projections. However, buyers may experience heightened competition as the population grows.

Vincentia has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects that may affect this region. Major initiatives include Bayswood Development, Vincentia Coastal Village - Project Modification 9 and Concept Plan Mod 17, HomeCo Vincentia, and Revitalisation of Vincentia Village Shopping Mall Precinct. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Vincentia ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Vincentia has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate was 1.7% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.5%.

In comparison to Regional NSW's unemployment rate of 3.9%, Vincentia had a lower rate of 2.3%. However, workforce participation was relatively low at 56.4%. According to Census responses, 18.5% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment sectors include public administration & safety, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

Notably, public administration & safety had employment levels at 2.5 times the regional average, while agriculture, forestry & fishing was limited with only 0.6% employment compared to Regional NSW's 5.3%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 1.5%, labour force by 2.4%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate of 0.9 percentage points. In contrast, Regional NSW saw an employment decline of 1.2% and an unemployment increase of 0.4 percentage points over the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Vincentia's employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to its current employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The median taxpayer income in Vincentia is $59,623, with an average of $75,157, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. Nationally, this is high compared to Regional NSW's median income of $52,390 and average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since the financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $64,906 (median) and $81,816 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Vincentia rank modestly, between the 38th and 49th percentiles. The largest income bracket comprises 31.1% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly, with 1,197 residents falling into this category, mirroring the surrounding region where 29.9% occupy this bracket. After housing expenses, 85.2% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.

Vincentia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Vincentia, as evaluated at the latest Census, consisted of 91.6% houses and 8.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Regional NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Vincentia stood at 48.5%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (27.2%) or rented (24.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, higher than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure in Vincentia was recorded at $425, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, Vincentia's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Vincentia has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 70.9% of all households, including 22.9% couples with children, 38.5% couples without children, and 8.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 29.1%, with lone person households at 27.3% and group households comprising 2.1%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

Educational attainment in Vincentia aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

Vincentia's educational attainment is notably higher than broader standards. Among residents aged 15 and above, 29.5% possess university qualifications, compared to 19.0% in the SA3 area and 21.3% across the rest of NSW. This indicates a significant educational advantage for Vincentia, positioning it favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 18.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.9%).

Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 40.5% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas comprise 13.1%, while certificates account for 27.4%. A substantial 23.4% of Vincentia's population is actively engaged in formal education, including 8.4% in primary education, 6.6% in secondary education, and 3.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Vincentia has 45 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 19 different routes that together facilitate 435 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing 168 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most inhabitants commute outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 94% of residents, while 4% walk. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 18.5% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 62 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 9 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Vincentia is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Vincentia demonstrates above-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age cohorts have low prevalence of common health conditions.

The rate of private health cover is very high at approximately 57% of the total population, which is around 2,181 people. This compares to 51.9% across Regional NSW. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 12.4 and 8.0% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 63.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.3% across Regional NSW. Working-age residents show above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 27.2% of residents aged 65 and over, which is around 1,047 people, higher than the 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Vincentia ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Vincentia was found to have a population where 80.7% were born in Australia, with 91.9% being citizens and 91.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the dominant religion, comprising 50.0% of Vincentia's population. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented in Vincentia compared to Regional NSW, with 0.2% of the population identifying as Jewish compared to a regional average of 0.1%.

The top three ancestry groups are English at 31.3%, Australian at 26.9%, and Irish at 9.0%. Other ethnic groups with notable divergences include Welsh (1.0% in Vincentia vs 0.5% regionally), Maltese (1.0% vs 0.4%), and Scottish (8.9% vs 8.0%).

Vincentia ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

Vincentia has a median age of 49, which is higher than Regional NSW's figure of 43 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Comparing Vincentia's demographics with those of Regional NSW, the 45-54 age group is notably overrepresented at 13.4%, while the 5-14 age group is underrepresented at 9.3%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 75 to 84 has increased from 7.8% to 10.0%, and the 15 to 24 cohort has risen from 7.3% to 9.3%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 age group has decreased from 18.0% to 13.8%, and the 55 to 64 age group has fallen from 15.6% to 13.7%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Vincentia's age structure. The 45 to 54 age cohort is projected to grow by 180 people (35%), increasing from 516 to 697. Meanwhile, the 65 to 74 age group is expected to grow modestly by 2%, adding 12 people.