St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay's population is 15,600 as of Nov 2025. This shows a 341 person increase (2.2%) since the 2021 Census which reported 15,259 people. The change is inferred from ABS' June 2024 ERP of 15,357 and an additional 177 validated new addresses post-Census date. This results in a density ratio of 203 persons per sq km. Over the past decade, the area's resilient growth rate was 1.1% CAGR, outperforming Rest of NSW. Overseas migration contributed approximately 76.9% of recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is projected to expand by 3,675 persons based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 22.0% over 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay when compared nationally

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has seen approximately 73 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 365 homes were approved, with an additional 52 approved so far in FY26. On average, about 1.1 new residents arrived per year for each new home over these five years, indicating balanced supply and demand conditions. However, this ratio has eased to -0.4 people per dwelling over the past two financial years due to improved supply availability.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $308,000. This financial year has seen around $5.7 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to the rest of NSW, St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has roughly two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 64th percentile nationally for areas assessed.

New development consists predominantly of detached houses at 79.0%, with attached dwellings making up the remaining 21.0%. This preserves the area's low-density nature, attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 237 people per dwelling approval, further indicating a low-density market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay is projected to add around 3,432 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth in the future.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 19 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Sanctuary Point Library, Mixed Use Development with In-Fill Affordable Housing, St Georges Basin, Paradise Beach Road Multi Dwelling Housing, and Tahnee Street Residential Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment landscape in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar employment. Essential services sectors are well represented, unemployment rate is 3.9%, and estimated employment growth over the past year is 2.4%. As of September 2025, there are 5768 residents in work, while unemployment rate aligns with Rest of NSW's 3.8%.

Workforce participation lags at 45.9% compared to Rest of NSW's 61.5%. Census responses show that 10.5% of residents work from home. Key industries are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction is specialized with an employment share of 1.5 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 0.8%, below Rest of NSW's 5.3%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparison. Between September 2024 to September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.4% and labour force by 3.4%, leading to a 1.0 percentage point unemployment rise. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw employment contract by 0.5%, labour force fall by 0.1%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 indicate potential future demand within St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with industry-specific projections suggesting local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The latest AreaSearch postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates that median income in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay SA2 is $44,006 and average income is $54,361. This contrasts with Rest of NSW's median income of $52,390 and average income of $65,215. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $47,905 (median) and $59,177 (average). According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay fall between the 7th and 7th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile shows that 4,524 residents earn $400 - $799 weekly, comprising 29.0% of the population. In contrast, metropolitan regions have a larger segment earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly at 29.9%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay, with only 82.3% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 7th percentile nationally.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.4% houses and 11.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro NSW's 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. The home ownership level in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay was 45.2%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (30.3%) or rented (24.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,517, below Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $360, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $330. Nationally, St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.3% of all households, including 20.0% couples with children, 35.0% couples without children, and 12.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 31.7%, with lone person households at 28.6% and group households making up 3.0%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NSW average of 2.4.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.0%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 8.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.0%) and certificates (34.7%). A substantial 24.2% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, comprising 9.0% in primary, 7.3% in secondary, and 1.9% in tertiary education.

A substantial 24.2% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 9.0% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 1.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has 194 active public transport stops. These are served by 24 routes, offering 398 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is excellent, with residents typically living 162 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward, primarily using cars (97%). Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 10.5% of residents work from home.

Service frequency averages 56 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 2 weekly trips per stop. The accompanying map displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health performance in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. A range of health conditions affects both younger and older age cohorts. The private health cover rate is very low at approximately 47% (around 7,300 people), compared to 51.9% in the Rest of NSW and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (13.6%) and mental health issues (10.3%). Conversely, 54.4% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.3% in the Rest of NSW. Working-age population health challenges include elevated chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 29.2% (4,561 people), compared to 23.0% in the Rest of NSW. Senior health outcomes present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

St Georges Basin-Erowal Bay's cultural diversity is low, with 85.3% born in Australia, 90.5% being citizens, and 95.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity dominates at 53.0%, compared to 55.9% regionally. Top ancestral groups are English (32.0%), Australian (29.9%), and Irish (8.1%).

Notable differences include higher representation of Australian Aboriginal (5.5% vs 4.6%), Hungarian (0.4% vs 0.2%), and Maltese (0.9% vs 0.4%) groups.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

The median age of St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay is 49, which exceeds the Rest of NSW figure of 43 and is higher than Australia's median age of 38. The 75-84 age group is notably over-represented in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay at 11.0%, compared to the Rest of NSW average and the national figure of 6.0%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group is under-represented locally at 9.7%. Between 2021 and present, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 9.4% to 10.8%, while the 35 to 44 cohort has grown from 9.9% to 11.2%. During this period, the 65 to 74 age group has declined from 16.8% to 15.1%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay's age structure. The 35 to 44 age cohort is projected to grow by 691 people (40%), increasing from 1,739 to 2,431. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 age group is projected to grow by a modest 8%, an increase of 124 people.