St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay
Statistical Area - sa2

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay's population is 15,383 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 124 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 15,259. The change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 15,358 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 200 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, the area has shown resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 1.1%, outpacing non-metro areas. Overseas migration contributed approximately 76.9% of population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024, based on 2022 data. For uncovered areas, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections from 2022 are used, with growth rates by age group applied until 2041. Demographically, the area is projected to grow above median non-metropolitan levels, expanding by 3,675 persons to 2041, a gain of 23.7% over 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay when compared nationally

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has seen approximately 73 new homes approved annually. Between FY21 and FY25, around 365 homes were approved, with an additional 34 approved so far in FY26. On average, about 1.1 new residents arrived per year for each new home over the past five financial years. However, this has eased to approximately -0.4 people per dwelling over the past two financial years.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $308,000. This financial year has seen around $5.7 million in commercial approvals. Compared to the rest of NSW, St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has roughly two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 64th percentile nationally.

New development consists mainly of detached houses (79%) and attached dwellings (21%), maintaining the area's low-density character. There are approximately 237 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low-density market. Future projections suggest St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay will add around 3,649 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 46thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 19 projects likely impacting the region. Notable initiatives include Village Grove, Sanctuary Point Library, Mixed Use Development featuring In-Fill Affordable Housing, St Georges Basin, and Paradise Beach Road Multi Dwelling Housing. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment positions St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs well represented. Essential services sectors are prominent.

The unemployment rate in June 2025 was 2.8%, lower than Rest of NSW's 3.7%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.8%. There were 5,735 residents employed as of June 2025, with a workforce participation rate of 44.4%, significantly lower than Rest of NSW's 56.4%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

The area has a specialization in construction, employing 1.5 times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 0.8% of local workers, below Rest of NSW's 5.3%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 3.8%, labour force grew by 2.6%, and unemployment fell by 1.2 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw employment contract by 0.1%, labour force grow by 0.3%, and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.5%% over five years and 13.4% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2022 indicates that St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has incomes below the national average. The median income is $41,818 and the average is $52,714. In contrast, Rest of NSW has a median income of $49,459 and an average of $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay are approximately $47,091 (median) and $59,361 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 data shows incomes in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay fall between the 7th and 8th percentiles nationally for household, family, and personal incomes. The earnings profile shows that 29.0% earn $400-$799 weekly (4,461 residents), unlike metropolitan trends where 29.9% earn $1,500-$2,999 weekly. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 82.3% of income remaining, ranking at the 8th percentile.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.4% houses and 11.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Non-Metro NSW's 87.8% houses and 12.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay was at 45.2%, with the rest of dwellings either mortgaged (30.3%) or rented (24.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, below Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733 and the national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure was $360, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $350 and the national figure of $375.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 68.3% of all households, including 20.0% couples with children, 35.0% couples without children, and 12.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 31.7%, with lone person households at 28.6% and group households comprising 3.0% of the total. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the average for the Rest of NSW.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area has university qualification rates of 12.0%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 8.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.7% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (10.0%) and certificates (34.7%). A total of 24.2% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, comprising 9.0% in primary, 7.3% in secondary, and 1.9% in tertiary education.

Educational facilities include Sanctuary Point Public School and St Georges Basin Public School, serving a combined total of 782 students. Both schools cater exclusively to primary education, with secondary options available nearby. The local school capacity is limited at 5.1 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 12.8, resulting in many families traveling for schooling.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has 191 active public transport stops. These are served by buses along 24 routes, offering a total of 390 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents located an average of 162 meters from the nearest stop.

Services run approximately 55 times per day across all routes, resulting in about two weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Approximately 47% (~7,183 people) have private health cover, compared to 49.3% across Rest of NSW and a national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (13.6%) and mental health issues (10.3%), while 54.4% claim no medical ailments, slightly lower than the 59.4% in Rest of NSW.

The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 29.2% (4,497 people), compared to 27.8% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are generally aligned with those of the broader population.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

St Georges Basin-Erowal Bay, assessed in 2016, had 85.3% of its population born in Australia, with 90.5% being citizens and 95.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion in St Georges Basin-Erowal Bay, accounting for 53.0%, compared to 52.6% across Rest of NSW. The top three ancestry groups were English (32.0%), Australian (29.9%), and Irish (8.1%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal representation was higher at 5.5% versus the regional average of 4.4%. Hungarian and Maltese populations were also notably higher at 0.4% and 0.9%, respectively, compared to regional averages of 0.2% and 0.6%.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has a median age of 49, which is higher than Rest of NSW's figure of 43 and Australia's figure of 38. The 75-84 age cohort is notably over-represented locally at 11.0%, compared to the Rest of NSW average, while the 5-14 age cohort is under-represented at 9.7%. This concentration in the 75-84 age group is higher than the national figure of 6.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 9.4% to 10.8%, while the 35 to 44 cohort has increased from 9.9% to 11.2%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort has decreased from 16.8% to 15.1%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay's age structure. The 35 to 44 age group is projected to grow by 715 people (42%), increasing from 1,715 to 2,431. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 cohort grows by a modest 10%, adding 146 people.