St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay's population was 15,259 as of the 2021 Census. By Nov 2025, it is estimated to be around 15,383, reflecting an increase of 124 people (0.8%) since the Census date. This change is inferred from the ABS's June 2024 estimate of 15,358 and an additional 177 validated new addresses since then. The population density is approximately 200 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, the area has shown resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 1.1%, outperforming non-metro areas. Overseas migration contributed around 76.9% of recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where applicable, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas from 2032 to 2041. Based on these trends, the area is projected to grow above median non-metropolitan population growth rates, expanding by 3,675 persons to 2041, a gain of 23.7% over 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay when compared nationally

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay saw approximately 73 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 365 homes were approved, with an additional 43 approved so far in FY26. On average, about 1.1 new residents per year arrived per new home over these five years, suggesting a balanced supply and demand that has eased recently to approximately -0.4 people per dwelling over the past two financial years. The average construction cost of new properties was around $308,000.

This financial year, there have been approximately $5.7 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to the Rest of NSW, St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay had roughly two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranked among the 64th percentile nationally. The new development consisted of approximately 79% detached houses and 21% attached dwellings, maintaining the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers with an average of around 237 people per dwelling approval.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay is projected to add around 3,649 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 30thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 19 projects likely to affect the area. Key projects include Sanctuary Point Library, Mixed Use Development featuring In-Fill Affordable Housing, St Georges Basin project, Paradise Beach Road Multi Dwelling Housing, and Tahnee Street Residential Development. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment landscape in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay shows performance that lags behind national averages across key labour market indicators

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Key sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 3.9%, with an estimated employment growth of 2.4% in the past year. There are 5,768 residents currently employed, while the unemployment rate aligns with Rest of NSW's 3.8%. However, workforce participation lags at 44.4% compared to Rest of NSW's 56.4%. The area specializes in construction employment, which is 1.5 times higher than the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 0.8% of local workers, below Rest of NSW's 5.3%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census data comparisons. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.4%, labour force by 3.4%, resulting in a 1.0 percentage point rise in unemployment. This contrasts with Rest of NSW, where employment contracted by 0.5%. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay SA2 has an income below the national average. The median income is $41,818 and the average income stands at $52,714. This contrasts with Rest of NSW's figures where the median income is $49,459 and the average income is $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay would be approximately $47,091 (median) and $59,361 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows that household, family and personal incomes in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay all fall between the 7th percentile nationally. The earnings profile indicates that the largest segment comprises 29.0% earning $400 - $799 weekly (4,461 residents). This is unlike metropolitan trends where 29.9% fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay, with only 82.3% of income remaining, ranking at the 7th percentile nationally.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay, as per the latest Census, 88.4% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 11.6% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to Non-Metro NSW's figures of 87.8% houses and 12.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay stood at 45.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 30.3% and rented ones at 24.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, lower than Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. Weekly rent in the area was $360, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $350. Nationally, St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay had lower mortgage repayments ($1,517 vs $1,863) and rents ($360 vs $375).

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 68.3% of all households, including 20.0% couples with children, 35.0% couples without children, and 12.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 31.7%, with lone person households making up 28.6% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.3 people, aligning with the Rest of NSW average.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.0%, significantly lower than NSW's average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 8.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.0%) and certificates (34.7%). A substantial 24.2% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, comprising 9.0% in primary, 7.3% in secondary, and 1.9% in tertiary education.

A substantial 24.2% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 9.0% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 1.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay shows that there are 191 active transport stops currently operating. These stops offer a variety of bus services, with a total of 24 individual routes running weekly. The combined number of passenger trips facilitated by these routes amounts to 390 per week.

Residents in the area enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 162 meters to the nearest transport stop. On average, service frequency across all routes is 55 trips per day, which translates to approximately two weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Approximately 47% (~7,183 people) have private health cover, lower than Rest of NSW's 49.3% and the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (13.6%) and mental health issues (10.3%), with 54.4% reporting no medical ailments, compared to 59.4% in Rest of NSW.

The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 29.2% (4,497 people), compared to Rest of NSW's 27.8%. Senior health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

St Georges Basin-Erowal Bay showed cultural diversity below average, with 85.3% of its population born in Australia, 90.5% being citizens, and 95.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 53.0%, slightly higher than the Rest of NSW's 52.6%. The top three ancestry groups were English (32.0%), Australian (29.9%), and Irish (8.1%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal people were overrepresented at 5.5% compared to the regional average of 4.4%, as were Hungarians at 0.4% versus 0.2% regionally, and Maltese at 0.9% against 0.6%.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has a median age of 49, which is higher than the Rest of NSW figure of 43 and well above Australia's median age of 38. The 75-84 age cohort is notably over-represented locally at 11.0%, compared to the Rest of NSW average, while the 5-14 age group is under-represented at 9.7%. This 75-84 concentration is significantly higher than the national figure of 6.0%. Between 2021 and present day, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 9.4% to 10.8%, while the 35 to 44 cohort has risen from 9.9% to 11.2%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 age group has decreased from 16.8% to 15.1%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay's age structure. The 35 to 44 age cohort is projected to experience strong growth, expanding by 715 people (42%) from 1,715 to 2,431. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 age group is expected to grow by a modest 10% (146 people).