St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay
Statistical Area - sa2

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay's population is 15,362 as of Aug 2025. This reflects an increase since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 15,259 people. The change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 15,360 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. Population density is 199 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, the area has shown resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 1.1%, outpacing non-metro areas. Overseas migration contributed approximately 76.9% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Demographic trends project above median population growth for Australia's non-metropolitan areas, with the area expected to expand by 3,675 persons to 2041 based on latest numbers, recording a gain of 23.9% in total over these 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay when compared nationally

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has seen approximately 73 new homes approved annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 365 homes were approved, with an additional 28 approved so far in FY-26. On average, about 1.1 new residents have arrived per year for each new home over the past five financial years. However, this has eased to -0.4 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating better supply availability.

The average construction cost value of new properties is $471,000. This financial year has seen $5.7 million in commercial approvals. Compared to the Rest of NSW, St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 64th percentile nationally.

New development consists predominantly of detached houses at 79.0%, preserving the area's low density nature. The location currently has approximately 237 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. Future projections suggest St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay will add around 3,670 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 46thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 19 projects that could impact this area. Notable ones include Village Grove, Sanctuary Point Library, Mixed Use Development with In-Fill Affordable Housing, St Georges Basin, and Paradise Beach Road Multi Dwelling Housing. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch assessment positions St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well represented, unemployment rate is 2.8%, and employment growth over the past year is estimated at 3.8%.

As of June 2025, 5735 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.8% compared to Rest of NSW's 3.7%. Workforce participation is lower at 44.4%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area specializes in construction employment, which is 1.5 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 0.8% of local workers compared to Rest of NSW's 5.3%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data analysis. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 3.8%, labour force grew by 2.6%, resulting in a 1.2 percentage point decrease in unemployment. In contrast, Rest of NSW saw employment contract by 0.1%, labour force grow by 0.3%, and unemployment rise by 0.4%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.5%% over five years and 13.4% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that income in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay is below the national average. The median income is $41,818 and the average income stands at $52,714. This contrasts with Rest of NSW's figures where the median income is $49,459 and the average income is $62,998. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay would be approximately $47,091 (median) and $59,361 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows that household, family and personal incomes in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay all fall between the 7th and 8th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that the largest segment comprises 29.0% earning $400 - $799 weekly (4,454 residents), unlike trends in the metropolitan region where 29.9% fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay, with only 82.3% of income remaining, ranking at the 8th percentile nationally.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.4% houses and 11.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Non-Metro NSW's 87.8% houses and 12.2% other dwellings. The home ownership level in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay was 45.2%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (30.3%) or rented (24.6%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,517, below Non-Metro NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $360, compared to Non-Metro NSW's $350. Nationally, St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 68.3% of all households, including 20.0% composed of couples with children, 35.0% consisting of couples without children, and 12.6% being single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 31.7%, with lone person households at 28.6% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which aligns with the average for the Rest of NSW.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.0%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 8.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.0%) and certificates (34.7%). A total of 24.2% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, with 9.0% in primary, 7.3% in secondary, and 1.9% in tertiary education.

The area has two public schools, Sanctuary Point Public School and St Georges Basin Public School, serving a combined total of 782 students. Both schools offer primary education only, with secondary options available nearby due to limited local school capacity (5.1 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 12.8).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows that there are 191 active transport stops operating within St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay. These stops offer a variety of bus services. There are 24 individual routes serving these stops, collectively providing 390 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of public transport is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 162 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 55 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 2 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Private health cover is low, at approximately 47% (~7,174 people), compared to 49.3% across Rest of NSW and the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (13.6%) and mental health issues (10.3%).

However, 54.4% report having no medical ailments, slightly lower than the 59.4% in Rest of NSW. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 29.2% (4,491 people), compared to 27.8% in Rest of NSW. Health outcomes among seniors largely align with the general population's health profile.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

St Georges Basin-Erowal Bay, surveyed in 2016, had below average cultural diversity with 85.3% of its population born in Australia, 90.5% being citizens, and 95.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 53.0%, similar to Rest of NSW's 52.6%. The top three ancestry groups were English (32.0%), Australian (29.9%), and Irish (8.1%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal (5.5%) was overrepresented compared to the regional average of 4.4%. Hungarian (0.4%) and Maltese (0.9%) also had higher representations than the regional averages of 0.2% and 0.6%, respectively.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has a median age of 49, which is higher than Rest of NSW's figure of 43 and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 75-84 age cohort is notably over-represented locally at 11.0%, compared to the Rest of NSW average, while the 5-14 year-olds are under-represented at 9.7%. This concentration of the 75-84 cohort is well above the national figure of 6.0%. Between 2021 and the present, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 9.4% to 10.8%, and the 35 to 44 cohort has increased from 9.9% to 11.2%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 age group has declined from 16.8% to 15.1%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay's age structure. The 35 to 44 age cohort is projected to experience strong growth, expanding by 718 people (42%) from 1,712 to 2,431. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 cohort grows by a modest 10% (148 people).