St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay's population was 15,469 as of May 2026, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure reflects a growth of 210 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 15,259. The increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 15,444 in June 2025 and an additional 182 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 201 persons per square kilometer. St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay's growth rate of 1.4% since the census is within 1.7 percentage points of the SA4 region's 3.1%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 54.5% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on demographic trends and latest annual ERP population numbers, the area is projected to expand by 3,340 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 21.4% in total over the 16 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay when compared nationally

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has seen approximately 73 new homes approved annually. Between FY21 and FY25, around 365 homes were approved, with another 66 approved so far in FY26. On average, about 1.1 new residents arrived per year for each new home over the past five financial years. However, this has eased to approximately -0.4 people per dwelling over the past two financial years.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $308,000. There have been around $5.7 million in commercial approvals this financial year. Compared to the Rest of NSW, St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has about two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 64th percentile nationally.

New development consists of approximately 79% detached houses and 21% attached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature. The location currently has around 237 people per dwelling approval. Future projections estimate St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay to add approximately 3,315 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 18 projects that are likely to impact the area. Notable projects include Sanctuary Point Library, Mixed Use Development with In-Fill Affordable Housing, St Georges Basin, Paradise Beach Road Multi Dwelling Housing, and Tahnee Street Residential Development. The following list details those projects most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. Essential services sectors are well represented, with an unemployment rate of 4.3% as of December 2025. Employment stability has been relatively consistent over the past year.

There are 5,760 residents currently employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%, which is 0.8 percentage points higher than Regional NSW's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation stands at 45.8%, significantly lower than Regional NSW's 60.5%. According to Census responses, only 10.5% of residents work from home. The key industries employing residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

The area has a notable employment specialization in construction, with an employment share that is 1.5 times higher than the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 0.8% of local workers, lower than Regional NSW's 5.3%. There appears to be limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by a lower Census working population compared to resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 0.4%, while the labour force grew by 2.4%. This resulted in an unemployment rate rise of 1.9 percentage points. In contrast, Regional NSW saw a decrease in employment by 1.2% and a fall in labour force by 0.8%, with unemployment rising by 0.4 percentage points during the same period. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May 2025, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay's current employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over the next five years and 13.4% over the next decade, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

Income data from AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO figures for financial year 2023 indicates that St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay SA2 has incomes below the national average. The median income is $44,006 and the average is $54,361. In contrast, Regional NSW's median income is $52,390 and average income is $65,215. Based on a 10.32% growth in wages since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $48,547 (median) and $59,971 (average). Census 2021 data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay fall between the 7th and 7th percentiles nationally. The largest earnings segment comprises 29.0% earning $400 - $799 weekly, with 4,486 residents falling into this category. This differs from metropolitan trends where 29.9% earn within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay, with only 82.3% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 7th percentile nationally.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay, evaluated at the latest Census in 2016, dwelling structures comprised 88.4% houses and 11.6% other dwellings. In comparison, Regional NSW had 82.6% houses and 17.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay stood at 45.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 30.3% and rented ones at 24.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, lower than Regional NSW's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure was $360, compared to Regional NSW's $330. Nationally, St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 68.3% of all households, including 20.0% couples with children, 35.0% couples without children, and 12.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 31.7%, with lone person households at 28.6% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Regional NSW average of 2.4.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 12.0%, significantly lower than the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 8.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.5%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.7% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.0%) and certificates (34.7%). A total of 24.2% of the population is actively pursuing formal education, with 9.0% in primary, 7.3% in secondary, and 1.9% in tertiary education.

A substantial 24.2% of the population actively pursues formal education. This includes 9.0% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 1.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay has 194 active public transport stops. These are served by 24 bus routes, providing a total of 398 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 162 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars are the dominant mode of transport at 97%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.3 per dwelling, below the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 10.5% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 56 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 2 weekly trips per stop. The map provided shows the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health performance in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high across various age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 47% of the total population (~7,239 people), compared to 51.9% in Regional NSW and 55.7% nationally.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (13.6%) and mental health issues (10.3%). Conversely, 54.4% of residents report no medical ailments, lower than the 63.3% in Regional NSW. Working-age residents face notable health challenges due to high chronic condition rates. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 29.8%, compared to 23.4% in Regional NSW. Health outcomes among seniors are broadly in line with national rankings.

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

St Georges Basin-Erowal Bay, surveyed in Aug-Sep 2016, had low cultural diversity: 85.3% were Australian-born, 90.5% were citizens, and 95.0% spoke English at home. Christianity dominated, at 53.0%, compared to Regional NSW's 55.9%. Top ancestral groups were English (32.0%), Australian (29.9%), Irish (8.1%).

Notably, Australian Aboriginal was overrepresented at 5.5% (vs regional 4.6%), Hungarians at 0.4% (vs 0.2%), and Maltese at 0.9% (vs 0.4%).

St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

The median age of St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay is 49, which exceeds the Regional NSW figure of 43 and is above Australia's median age of 38. The 65-74 age group is notably over-represented in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay at 15.6%, compared to the Regional NSW average, while the 5-14 year-olds are under-represented at 9.5%. This concentration of the 65-74 age group is well above the national figure of 9.4%. Between January 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has grown from 9.9% to 11.3%, while the 25-34 cohort increased from 9.4% to 10.7%. Conversely, the 65-74 age group declined from 16.8% to 15.6% and the 5-14 age group dropped from 10.6% to 9.5%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in St Georges Basin - Erowal Bay's age structure. The 35-44 age cohort is projected to grow by 601 people (34%), increasing from 1,747 to 2,349. Meanwhile, the 15-24 age group grows by a modest 8%, adding 127 people.