Ascot Park

Population growth drivers in Ascot Park are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of November 2025, the population of Ascot Park is estimated at approximately 3,508 people. This figure represents a decrease of 80 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 3,588. The recent estimate is derived from AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and their resident population calculation based on the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, totalling 3,476 people. This results in a population density ratio of 3,508 persons per square kilometer for Ascot Park, placing it among the upper quartile relative to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, ending in November 2021, Ascot Park exhibited resilient growth patterns with an average annual growth rate of approximately 1.2%, outperforming its SA4 region. This growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing around 75% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections are adopted after adjustments using weighted aggregation methods from LGA to SA2 levels. Looking ahead, Ascot Park is projected to experience above median population growth among Australian statistical areas. By 2041, the suburb is expected to expand by approximately 556 persons, reflecting a total growth of around 23.6% over the 17-year period based on aggregated SA2-level projections.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Ascot Park according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Ascot Park had around 20 new homes approved annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 101 homes were approved, with 2 more in FY-26 so far. On average, 2.2 people moved to the area per new home constructed over these years, indicating strong demand supporting property values.

The average construction cost of new homes was $326,000, below regional norms, offering affordable housing options. This financial year, $5.2 million in commercial development approvals were recorded, highlighting Ascot Park's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Ascot Park has about three-quarters the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks at the 46th percentile nationally.

This suggests limited buyer options but increased demand for established dwellings. New building activity comprises 57.0% detached houses and 43.0% townhouses or apartments, providing varied housing options. With around 358 people per dwelling approval, Ascot Park indicates a developed market. Future projections estimate Ascot Park will add 829 residents by 2041. Construction maintains a reasonable pace with projected growth, though buyers may face increasing competition as population grows.

Ascot Park has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified a single project that may impact this area. Key projects include Tram Grade Separation Projects, Tonsley Innovation District, Tonsley Administration Hub Redevelopment Opportunity, and Tonsley Village. The following details those likely to be most relevant.

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Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Ascot Park demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Ascot Park has a well-educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 3.8% as of June 2025, below Greater Adelaide's rate of 4.0%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.8%, based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. There were 2,224 residents in work and workforce participation was 66.1%, compared to Greater Adelaide's 61.7%. Key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. Health care & social assistance has notable concentration with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average, while manufacturing employs just 5.1% of local workers, below Greater Adelaide's 7.0%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited as indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. During the year to June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.8% and labour force increased by 2.8%, keeping unemployment rate relatively stable, contrasting with Greater Adelaide where employment rose by 2.1% and unemployment rose marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 offer insight into potential future demand within Ascot Park. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with growth rates differing significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Ascot Park's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.8% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that income in Ascot Park is below the national average. The median income is $52,320 and the average income stands at $60,429. In contrast, Greater Adelaide has a median income of $52,592 and an average income of $64,886. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.83% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $59,033 (median) and $68,182 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, personal income ranks at the 45th percentile ($783 weekly), while household income sits at the 27th percentile. Income brackets indicate that the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 33.8% of residents (1,185 people). This is consistent with broader trends across the broader area showing 31.8% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.8% of income remaining, ranking at the 24th percentile.

Ascot Park displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Ascot Park's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 42.4% houses and 57.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Adelaide metro's 70.8% houses and 29.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ascot Park stood at 23.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.0% and rented ones at 45.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,500, lower than Adelaide metro's $1,700. The median weekly rent figure in Ascot Park was $320, compared to Adelaide metro's $330. Nationally, Ascot Park's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,500 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375 at $320.

Ascot Park features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 55.8% of all households, including 19.8% couples with children, 23.1% couples without children, and 11.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 44.2%, with lone person households at 37.1% and group households making up 6.8%. The median household size is 2.2 people, smaller than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.4.

Educational achievement in Ascot Park places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 35.6% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the South Australian average of 25.7% and the SA4 region's rate of 28.1%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 24.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 29.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (18.8%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in tertiary education, 7.5% in primary education, and 4.4% pursuing secondary education. Educational facilities appear to be located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access schools in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 14 active transport stops in Ascot Park offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 8 individual routes, collectively providing 1035 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent with residents typically located 172 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 147 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 73 weekly trips per stop.

Ascot Park's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with the level of common health conditions among the general population somewhat typical, though higher than the nation's average among older cohorts

Ascot Park's health metrics are close to national benchmarks, with common health conditions among its general population being somewhat typical but higher than the national average among older cohorts.

Approximately 51% (~1,785 people) of Ascot Park residents have private health cover, which is relatively low. The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are mental health issues (9.0%) and arthritis (7.4%), while 71.1% of residents claim to be completely free from medical ailments, compared to 68.1% across Greater Adelaide. Ascot Park has 15.4% (540 people) of its population aged 65 and over, which is lower than the 19.2% in Greater Adelaide. However, health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

Ascot Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ascot Park has a high level of cultural diversity, with 38.9% of its population born overseas and 35.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Ascot Park, comprising 35.1% of the population. Hinduism, however, is significantly overrepresented compared to the Greater Adelaide average, making up 9.6% of Ascot Park's population.

The top three ancestry groups are English (22.8%), Australian (19.4%), and Other (17.5%). Notably, Russian (0.5%) and Lebanese (0.8%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages.

Ascot Park hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

At 34 years, Ascot Park's median age is considerably lower than Greater Adelaide's average of 39 and substantially under Australia's median of 38. Relative to Greater Adelaide, Ascot Park has a higher concentration of 25-34 year-olds at 22.6%, but fewer 55-64 year-olds at 8.1%. This 25-34 concentration is well above the national average of 14.5%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 15.2% to 16.0% of Ascot Park's population. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 9.4% to 8.1%. Demographic modeling suggests that by 2041, Ascot Park's age profile will evolve significantly. The 25 to 34 cohort is projected to grow strongly at 17%, adding 136 residents to reach a total of 929.