Ascot Park

Population growth drivers in Ascot Park are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of February 2026, the population of the suburb of Ascot Park is estimated at around 3,937 people. This reflects an increase of 349 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,588 people. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population as 3,684 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 13 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,937 persons per square kilometer, placing Ascot Park in the top 10% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 9.7% growth since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA4 region (7.4%) and the state level, marking it as a growth leader in the area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 75.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving this growth.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections by age category are adopted, based on 2021 data and released in 2023, with adjustments made using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Future demographic trends project an above median population growth for Australian statistical areas, with Ascot Park expected to expand by 582 persons to the year 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 10.6% in total over these 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Ascot Park recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis indicates that Ascot Park had approximately 22 dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling around 114 homes. In FY-26 so far, there have been 6 recorded approvals. The average population growth for each dwelling built in the area between FY-21 and FY-25 was about 2 people per year. This suggests a balanced supply and demand dynamic, with stable market conditions.

The average construction cost of new homes over this period was $326,000. There have also been commercial approvals worth approximately $1.2 million in the current financial year. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Ascot Park exhibits 12.0% lower construction activity per capita while ranking at the 62nd percentile nationally among assessed areas.

Recent construction comprises 65.0% standalone homes and 35.0% attached dwellings, offering a variety of housing types from spacious family homes to more compact options. With around 235 people moving into the area for each dwelling approval, Ascot Park is experiencing population growth. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the population is projected to increase by 416 residents by 2041. Given current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting further population growth beyond current projections.

Ascot Park has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 20thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified one major project likely affecting this region. Key projects include Tram Grade Separation Projects, Tonsley Innovation District, Tonsley Administration Hub Redevelopment Opportunity, and Tonsley Village. The following list details those most relevant:.

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Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Ascot Park exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Ascot Park has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 3.6%, lower than Greater Adelaide's 3.9%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.7%.

As of September 2025, 2,247 residents are employed, with a participation rate of 74.1% compared to Greater Adelaide's 66.4%. Home-based workers comprise 8.5% of residents. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training, with healthcare having an employment share 1.4 times the regional level. Manufacturing employs only 5.1% of local workers compared to Greater Adelaide's 7.0%.

Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 3.7%, labour force grew by 3.4%, leading to a unemployment rate drop of 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Adelaide saw employment grow by 3.0%, labour force increase by 2.9%, and unemployment fall by 0.1 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ascot Park's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.8% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Ascot Park's median income among taxpayers is $52,320. The average income in the suburb is $60,429. Nationally, the median income is higher at $61,879 with an average of $85,886. In Greater Adelaide, the median income is $54,808 and the average is $66,852. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.8% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Ascot Park would be approximately $56,924 (median) and $65,747 (average) as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, personal income ranks at the 45th percentile ($783 weekly), while household income sits at the 27th percentile. The income bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 captures 33.8% of the community (1,330 individuals), similar to the surrounding region where this cohort represents 31.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 24th percentile.

Ascot Park displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Ascot Park's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 42.4% houses and 57.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Adelaide metro's 75.2% houses and 24.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ascot Park stood at 23.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.0% and rented ones at 45.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,500, lower than Adelaide metro's $1,562. Weekly rent median was $320, matching Adelaide metro's figure but significantly lower than the national average of $375. Nationally, Ascot Park's mortgage repayments were substantially below Australia's average of $1,863.

Ascot Park features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 55.8 percent of all households, consisting of 19.8 percent couples with children, 23.1 percent couples without children, and 11.1 percent single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 44.2 percent, with lone person households at 37.1 percent and group households comprising 6.8 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

Educational achievement in Ascot Park places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 35.6%, exceeding the South Australian average of 25.7% and the SA4 region's rate of 28.1%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 24.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 29.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (18.8%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.3% in tertiary education, 7.5% in primary education, and 4.4% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Ascot Park indicates that there are currently 14 operational transport stops serving a combination of train and bus services. These stops are supported by 9 distinct routes, collectively facilitating 1,039 weekly passenger journeys. The accessibility to transport is considered excellent, with residents typically residing within 172 meters of the nearest stop. Ascot Park being predominantly residential, most commuters travel outward from the area. The car remains the primary mode of transportation at 77%, while train usage stands at 10% and bus usage at 7%. On average, there are 0.9 vehicles per dwelling, which is below the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census data (which may reflect COVID-19 conditions), only 8.5% of residents work from home. The service frequency averages 148 trips daily across all routes, translating to approximately 74 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Ascot Park is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Ascot Park faces significant health challenges according to AreaSearch's assessment.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~2,004 people). The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues impacting 9.0% of residents and arthritis affecting 7.4%. 71.1% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.9% across Greater Adelaide. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 15.9% of residents aged 65 and over (625 people), which is lower than the 19.3% in Greater Adelaide. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Ascot Park is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ascot Park has a high cultural diversity, with 38.9% of its population born overseas and 35.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Ascot Park, comprising 35.1% of people. Hinduism is overrepresented compared to Greater Adelaide's average, making up 9.6% of Ascot Park's population.

The top three ancestry groups are English (22.8%), Australian (19.4%), and Other (17.5%). Some ethnic groups show notable divergences: Russian at 0.5%, German at 4.9%, and Lebanese at 0.8%.

Ascot Park hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Ascot Park's median age is 34, which is lower than Greater Adelaide's average of 39 and significantly under Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Ascot Park has a higher proportion of residents aged 25-34 (22.3%) but fewer residents aged 55-64 (8.0%). This concentration of 25-34 year-olds is notably higher than the national average of 14.4%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the proportion of residents aged 75 to 84 has increased from 5.4% to 6.2%, while the percentage of those aged 55 to 64 has decreased from 9.4% to 8.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Ascot Park's age profile. The 45-54 age group is expected to grow by 22%, adding 86 residents and reaching a total of 484. Meanwhile, the 0-4 age group is projected to grow by a modest 3%, an increase of just 5 people.