Warradale

Population growth drivers in Warradale are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Warradale's population, as of February 2026, is approximately 18,767. This figure represents an increase of 2,577 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,190. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 17,594 in June 2024 and an additional 245 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 3,122 persons per square kilometer, placing Warradale in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 15.9% since the 2021 census exceeds both the SA4 region (7.4%) and the state average. Overseas migration contributed approximately 94.3% of Warradale's population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections are used, based on 2021 data and adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. According to demographic trends, Warradale is projected to experience above median population growth, with an expected increase of 4,121 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 15.7% over the 17-year period based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Warradale among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Warradale has recorded approximately 180 residential properties granted approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling 901 homes. In FY26 so far, 109 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.7 people per year moved to the area for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25. This indicates a balanced supply and demand, creating stable market conditions.

The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $233,000, aligning with regional trends. This financial year has seen $11.7 million in commercial approvals, indicating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Warradale records 51.0% more new home approvals per person, offering buyers greater choice. New building activity comprises approximately 54.0% standalone homes and 46.0% townhouses or apartments, providing options across different price points.

With around 89 people per approval, Warradale reflects a developing area. By 2041, Warradale is projected to grow by 2,948 residents. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Warradale has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 13thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified seven major projects potentially affecting the region. Key initiatives include Westfield Marion Expansion, Tram Grade Separation at Morphett Road in Morphettville, Oaklands Green development, and Marion Cultural Centre Plaza Upgrade. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Warradale exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Warradale has an educated workforce with strong representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 3.5%, lower than the Greater Adelaide average of 3.9%. Over the past year, employment grew by 4.2% compared to Greater Adelaide's 3.0%.

As of September 2025, 9,349 residents are employed with an unemployment rate of 3.1%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Adelaide at 66.4%. Census data shows 10.3% of residents work from home. Key industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade.

Health care employment is notably high at 1.2 times the regional average, while manufacturing is under-represented at 4.7% compared to Greater Adelaide's 7.0%. Local employment opportunities appear limited as working population counts are lower than resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 4.2%, labour force by 3.6%, reducing unemployment by 0.6 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Warradale's employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.5% over ten years based on industry-specific projections.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

The Warradale SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $55,969 and an average income of $65,629 in the financial year 2023, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. These figures compare with Greater Adelaide's median income of $54,808 and average income of $66,852 for the same period. Based on an 8.8% growth rate from the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $60,894 (median) and $71,404 (average). Census data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Warradale rank modestly, between the 30th and 37th percentiles. Income analysis reveals that 31.4% of Warradale's population falls within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, comprising 5,892 individuals. This is consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region, where 31.8% fall into the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Warradale, with only 81.4% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 27th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Warradale displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Warradale, as evaluated at the latest Census in 2016, comprised 59.4% houses and 40.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Adelaide metro's 75.2% houses and 24.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warradale stood at 28.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.6% and rented dwellings at 36.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,730, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $345. Nationally, Warradale's median monthly mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, as reported in 2021, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Warradale features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 62.8% of all households, including 23.4% couples with children, 25.6% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 37.2%, with lone person households at 32.2% and group households at 5.0%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Warradale exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 31.3% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the South Australian (SA) average of 25.7% and the SA4 region's rate of 28.1%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 20.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 7.7% and graduate diplomas at 2.9%. Vocational credentials are held by 31.4% of residents aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (20.9%).

Educational participation is high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 8.6% in primary, 7.7% in tertiary, and 5.4% in secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warradale has 85 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 68 individual routes, facilitating 6,992 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is deemed good with residents typically residing 203 meters from the nearest stop. Primarily residential, most Warradale residents commute outward using cars (81%), while train usage stands at 8%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.1 per dwelling, below the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, only 10.3% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency across all routes averages 998 trips per day, equating to approximately 82 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Warradale is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across the board, though to a slightly higher degree among older age cohorts

Warradale faces significant health challenges as assessed by AreaSearch.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are high, with common health conditions prevalent across all age groups but more so among older cohorts. Private health cover is slightly below average at approximately 52% of the total population (~9,740 people). The most common medical conditions are mental health issues affecting 9.2% of residents and arthritis impacting 8.8%. Conversely, 66.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.9% across Greater Adelaide. Health outcomes among the working-age population are typical. The area has 20.1% of residents aged 65 and over (3,770 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Warradale was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warradale was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 30.5% of its population born overseas and 22.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Warradale, comprising 39.0% of its population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented in Warradale compared to Greater Adelaide, with 3.9% versus 2.8%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (28.6%), Australian (23.3%), and Other (10.0%). Some ethnic groups show notable differences: German (4.8% vs regional 5.1%), Chinese (4.7% vs 3.1%), and Dutch (1.5% vs 1.2%) are overrepresented in Warradale.

Warradale's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Warradale has a median age of 38, closely matching Greater Adelaide's figure of 39 and Australia's median age of 38. Compared to the Greater Adelaide average, Warradale has an over-representation of the 25-34 cohort at 17.0%, while the 55-64 year-olds are under-represented at 9.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has increased from 14.0% to 15.4% of Warradale's population. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort has decreased from 10.8% to 9.0%, and the 65-74 group has dropped from 11.2% to 10.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Warradale's age profile. The 45-54 cohort is projected to expand by 554 people (28%), growing from 2,008 to 2,563. Meanwhile, the 65-74 cohort is expected to grow modestly by 2% (29 people).