Warradale

Population growth drivers in Warradale are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Warradale's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 17,835. This figure represents a growth of 1,645 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 16,190. The increase is inferred from the estimated resident population of 17,600 in June 2024 and an additional 241 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,967 persons per square kilometer, placing Warradale in the upper quartile compared to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 10.2% since the 2021 census exceeds that of both the SA4 region (5.4%) and the SA3 area, indicating its status as a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 94.3% of Warradale's population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, the SA State Government's Regional/LGA projections are adopted, based on 2021 data and adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation from LGA to SA2 levels. Looking ahead, Warradale is projected to experience above median population growth, with an expected increase of 4,121 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 21.8% over the 17-year period based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Warradale among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Warradale has recorded approximately 180 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years, totalling 901 homes. As of FY26, 92 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.7 people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built between FY21 and FY25. This indicates balanced supply and demand, with stable market conditions.

The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $233,000, aligning with regional trends. In FY26, commercial approvals totalling $11.7 million have been registered, indicating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Adelaide, Warradale records 51.0% more new home approvals per person, offering buyers greater choice. New building activity comprises approximately 54.0% standalone homes and 46.0% townhouses or apartments, providing options across different price points.

With around 89 people per approval, Warradale reflects a developing area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Warradale is expected to grow by 3,880 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Warradale has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 24thth percentile nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified seven projects potentially impacting the area. Key projects include Westfield Marion Expansion, Tram Grade Separation at Morphett Road, Morphettville, Oaklands Green, and Marion Cultural Centre Plaza Upgrade. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Warradale exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Warradale has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 3.5%, lower than Greater Adelaide's 3.9%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.2%. As of September 2025, 9,349 residents are employed, with a participation rate similar to Greater Adelaide's 61.7% and an unemployment rate of 0.4% lower. Key industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, and retail trade. Health care is notably concentrated, at 1.2 times the regional average.

Manufacturing, however, is under-represented at 4.7%, compared to Greater Adelaide's 7.0%. Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census data comparison of working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 4.2% while labour force grew by 3.6%, reducing unemployment by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Adelaide's employment growth was 3.0% with a 0.1 percentage point drop in unemployment. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows SA employment grew by 1.19% year-on-year, adding 10,710 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.0%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.3%, with SA's employment growth outpacing the national average of 0.14%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Warradale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

The Warradale SA2 had a median income of $53,262 and an average income of $63,223 in the financial year 2022, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is slightly below the national averages for Greater Adelaide, which were $52,592 and $64,886 respectively. By September 2025, based on a Wage Price Index growth of 12.83%, median income is estimated to be approximately $60,096 and average income $71,335. Census data shows incomes in Warradale rank modestly, between the 30th and 37th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. Income analysis reveals that 31.4% of Warradale's population (5,600 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, similar to the broader surrounding region at 31.8%. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Warradale, with only 81.4% of income remaining, ranking at the 27th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Warradale displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The latest Census evaluated dwelling structures in Warradale with 59.4% houses and 40.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Adelaide metro had 70.8% houses and 29.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warradale was at 28.9%, with the rest being mortgaged (34.6%) or rented (36.5%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Warradale was $1,730, higher than Adelaide metro's $1,700. The median weekly rent figure in Warradale was $345, compared to Adelaide metro's $330. Nationally, Warradale's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Warradale features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 62.8% of all households, including 23.4% couples with children, 25.6% couples without children, and 12.3% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 37.2%, with lone person households at 32.2% and group households making up 5.0%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Greater Adelaide average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Warradale exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 31.3% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the South Australian average of 25.7% and the SA4 region average of 28.1%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 20.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.7%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 31.4% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas at 10.5% and certificates at 20.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 8.6% in primary education, 7.7% in tertiary education, and 5.4% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warradale has 85 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 66 individual routes, facilitating 6,986 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy good transport accessibility, with an average distance of 203 meters to the nearest stop.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 998 trips per day, resulting in approximately 82 weekly trips per stop.

Health performance in Warradale is lower than average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Warradale faces significant health challenges, with notable prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 51% of the total population (~9,131 people), slightly lagging that of the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and arthritis, impacting 9.2 and 8.8% of residents respectively. Conversely, 66.5% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 68.1% across Greater Adelaide. As of 30 June 2021, 19.9% of Warradale's residents are aged 65 and over (3,549 people). Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Warradale was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Warradale was found to be more culturally diverse than most local markets, with 30.5% of its population born overseas and 22.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Warradale, making up 39.0% of people. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, comprising 3.9% compared to 4.1% across Greater Adelaide.

The top three ancestry groups are English (28.6%), Australian (23.3%), and Other (10.0%). German (4.8%) and Chinese (4.7%) are also overrepresented compared to regional percentages of 5.0% and 3.8%, respectively, while Dutch is slightly overrepresented at 1.5%.

Warradale's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Warradale's median age is 38, closely matching Greater Adelaide's figure of 39 and Australia's figure of 38. Compared to Greater Adelaide's average, Warradale has an over-representation of the 25-34 cohort at 17.3% locally, while the 55-64 age group is under-represented at 9.2%. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group increased from 14.0% to 15.1%, while the 55-64 cohort declined from 10.8% to 9.2% and the 65-74 group decreased from 11.2% to 10.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Warradale's age profile. The 45-54 cohort is expected to expand by 34%, growing from 1,906 to 2,563 people, while the 65-74 cohort grows modestly by 7% (126 people).