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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Airlie Beach has an estimated 1,589 residents, up from 1,312 at the 2021 Census — a change of 277 people, or 21.1%. Growth has averaged 3.8% a year over five years, faster than 91% of areas nationally. Overseas migration accounts for 58.0% of that increase. That puts 521 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
In the suburb of Airlie Beach, resident numbers are placed at approximately 1,589 as of Aug 2026, combining regional ABS releases with 35 validated new addresses identified by AreaSearch following the Census. Compared against the 2021 Census count of 1,312 people, this indicates an expansion of 277 people (21.1%). The updated figure builds upon an ERP baseline of 1,582 estimated by AreaSearch after reviewing the ABS June 2025 release. Living density stands at 521 persons per square kilometer, preserving considerable physical room alongside capacity for future development. Outpacing both the wider Rest of Qld and the SA4 region (7.8%), the suburb of Airlie Beach's 21.1% post-2021 census gain positions it at the forefront of regional expansion.
While natural increases and interstate arrivals were both positive, net overseas migration served as the principal demographic engine, accounting for approximately 57.99999999999999% of recent population additions. Demographic modeling relies on SA2 projections published jointly by the ABS/Geoscience Australia in 2024 (using 2022 as a base). For unmapped locations or post-2032 horizons, Queensland State Government SA2 series released in 2023 (utilising 2021 data) are integrated; because these state figures omit age breakdowns, age-group allocations are weighted against the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region release (2022 base). Looking ahead, long-term projections place the suburb of Airlie Beach within the highest tier of non-metropolitan growth across Australia, anticipating a gain of 633 persons by 2041 via aggregated SA2 datasets, representing a 39.4% overall rise over 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
144 new dwellings have been approved in Airlie Beach over the past five years, an average of 28 a year. That places the area in the 63rd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 18 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 30 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 73% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 13, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential construction metrics derived from ABS approvals indicate the locality has sustained an average annual volume of roughly 28 new dwellings, accumulating to an estimated 144 homes across the past 5 financial years, with 13 approvals recorded during FY-25 to date. Between FY-21 and FY-25, population intake relative to construction averaged 1.8 people per year for every home delivered, pointing to balanced conditions; nevertheless, this ratio accelerated to 5.3 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, underscoring rising demand and emerging residential capacity pressures. High-end development remains the primary target for builders, with expected construction costs averaging $1,848,000 per dwelling.
Furthermore, non-residential activity has registered $15.4 million in commercial development approvals during the current financial year, representing a moderate development pipeline. Per capita residential construction in the area exceeds the Rest of Qld benchmark by 209.0%, maintaining generous buyer choice despite recent moderation in activity. This level remains substantially above countrywide averages, illustrating robust builder interest. Detached houses account for 73.0% of recent residential approvals while townhouses or apartments constitute 27.0%, sustaining lower density characteristics and catering to buyers seeking standalone space. This 73.0% standalone share outstrips the existing structural balance recorded at Census (31.0%), highlighting enduring demand for freestanding houses amidst broader urban densification. Overall building intensity is underscored by a metric of approximately 125 people per approval. According to the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch, future population expansion will introduce 626 residents by 2041. Provided current construction volumes persist, upcoming dwelling additions appear fully capable of absorbing this influx, maintaining favorable buyer environments and potentially unlocking expansion beyond current demographic projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Airlie Beach
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 5 current infrastructure and development projects inside Airlie Beach, worth an estimated $735 million. A further 56 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $33.8 billion. 20 are already under construction and 31 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans transport & logistics, residential development and environmental & disaster management. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Strategic infrastructure programs, capital investments, and local planning frameworks play a central role in shaping regional trajectories. Within the locality, AreaSearch has highlighted 9 key projects expected to influence development patterns. Prominent works include the Shute Harbour Road Upgrade, the Whitsunday Cultural Arts Centre, the Whitsunday Regional Sports Precinct (Cannonvale), and the Whitsunday Technology Innovation Hub, with key priority items outlined below.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Whitsunday Community Health Centre Development
The Whitsunday Community Health Centre expansion provides enhanced healthcare services to the Whitsunday region. The facility includes specialist consulting suites, diagnostic imaging, and mental health services, supporting the growing population of Cannonvale and surrounding areas.
Proserpine - Shute Harbour Road Upgrades
Major staged upgrade of Proserpine - Shute Harbour Road including flood immunity improvements at Hamilton Plains and capacity upgrades between Paluma Road and Valley Drive in Cannonvale. Works include road widening, intersection upgrades, raised road levels, drainage improvements, larger culverts and improved facilities for active transport to improve safety, resilience and traffic capacity.
Whitsunday Cultural Arts Centre
Proposed multi-purpose cultural facility for the Whitsunday region featuring performance spaces, art galleries, workshop areas, and community meeting spaces. Intended to showcase local artists and provide cultural programming for residents and tourists. No standalone public project of this name and value was located in council or state records; the Whitsunday region's confirmed nearby community/cultural capital works include the Proserpine Entertainment Centre rebuild (completed 2026) and the Cannonvale Community Hub (library and community facility, in planning).
Port of Airlie Marina Development
Major integrated marina, residential and tourism development on the Airlie Beach waterfront, including a 240 berth marina, Cruise Whitsundays ferry and cruise terminal, public boat ramp, village square, and about 510 resort style and standard apartments and houses, delivered as the main new marina supply for the Whitsundays. :contentReference[oaicite:0]{index=0}:contentReference[oaicite:1]{index=1}
Airlie Beach Foreshore Revitalisation
Completed public foreshore upgrade delivered by Whitsunday Regional Council between the Whitsunday Sailing Club and Fairy Tree Park. Works included a 10.5 metre playground with skywalk and rope bridge, 65 sealed car parks, seating, shade, landscaping, a sound stage, refurbished amenities and a 3 metre beachfront path linking the foreshore to the Airlie Beach Lagoon. A separate 2026 Airlie Beach Precinct Master Plan now guides future staged renewal, and the Bicentennial Boardwalk Stage 3 upgrade is being delivered as a separate current project.
Whitsunday Regional Sports Precinct
A 95-hectare regional sports and recreation precinct in Cannonvale. Stage 1 is co-funded by the Federal Government and will deliver multi-purpose outdoor fields, indoor/outdoor courts, and club facilities for sports including netball, football, and touch. The master plan has been adopted with Stage 1 completion anticipated for late 2027.
Cannonvale Business Park
Proposed long-term mixed-use business and industrial precinct within the Carlo Drive industrial area at Cannonvale. The concept is intended to support employment growth through light industrial, warehouse, office, trade, service commercial and supporting business uses. No confirmed master developer or active major development approval for a unified business park has been identified, with the area continuing to develop through individual industrial land releases and private development applications.
Whitsunday Technology Innovation Hub
Concept proposal for a technology and innovation hub in the Whitsunday region incorporating research facilities, startup incubation, collaborative workspaces and conference facilities to support innovation, entrepreneurship and technology-based industries. As of July 2026, no formal development application, government funding commitment or confirmed delivery program has been identified.
1,078 residents of Airlie Beach are employed, from a labour force of 1,140. Unemployment sits at 5.4%, with participation at 75.2%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.9% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 1,121, about 71% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Local employment displays a strong presence in hospitality and tourism sectors alongside a qualified workforce, generating a 5.4% unemployment rate and 5.1% employment growth over the past year based on statistical area figures aggregated by AreaSearch. In March 2026, working residents numbered 1,078, with local unemployment tracking 1.5% higher than Regional Qld's 3.9%. Labor force engagement is remarkably high, recording a 75.2% participation rate against 64.2% in Regional Qld. Census records show that 13.1% of workers carried out their duties from home, though pandemic-related lockdown measures should be kept in mind.
The primary employment fields for the resident workforce include accommodation & food, transport, postal & warehousing, and health care & social assistance. Workforce participation in accommodation & food is extraordinarily pronounced, standing at 3.9 times the regional standard. Conversely, health care & social assistance accounts for only 7.0% of local jobs, substantially below the 16.1% regional mark. Comparing resident worker counts with Census workplace numbers indicates that the residential community primarily relies on employment opportunities outside the immediate area. During the twelve months leading to March 2026, ABS and SALM statistical data compiled by AreaSearch shows that employment grew by 5.1% while the workforce expanded by 7.1%, leading to a 1.9 percentage point increase in local unemployment. In contrast, Regional Qld recorded a 0.1% increase in employment, a 0.3% labor pool rise, and a 0.1 percentage point unemployment uptick. Evaluating local prospects against Jobs and Skills Australia national projections from Mar-26—which forecast wider employment expansion of 6.6% across five years and 13.7% over ten years—reveals notable sectoral variation. When mapped across the local industry profile, these baseline weightings imply employment gains of 5.9% across five years and 12.2% over ten years, purely as an illustrative extrapolation that excludes specific population changes.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Airlie Beach is $1,562 a week (about $81,000 a year), with median personal income at $932 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $52,497 a year against an average of $67,309. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO postcode records for financial year 2023 indicate earnings in the suburb of Airlie Beach track close to national benchmarks, registering a median of $52,497 and an average of $67,309, compared to $53,146 (median) and $66,593 (average) in Regional Qld. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, modelled estimates reach approximately $58,461 for median earnings and $74,955 for average earnings as of March 2026. The 2021 Census placed individual earnings at the 71st percentile ($932 weekly), whereas total household income positioned at the 39th percentile.
Earnings distribution shows 33.0% of residents (524 individuals) sit within the $1,500 - 2,999 band, matching the wider regional proportion of 31.7%. Living cost pressures are marked, as disposable income after housing sits at 82.9% (39th percentile), placing the community in the 5th decile of the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Airlie Beach had 437 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 31% detached houses and 44% apartments. 17% are owned with a mortgage, 50% rented and 33% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $380 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,925 a month. Rent absorbs 24.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 28.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The local housing stock at the recent Census was weighted heavily toward medium and higher-density living, consisting of 31.2% standalone houses and 68.8% other dwellings (incorporating apartments, semi-detached properties, and 'other' accommodation), differing sharply from Regional Qld's profile of 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Outright property ownership mirrored Regional Qld at 32.8%, while mortgaged properties represented 17.1% and rental housing comprised 50.1%. Typical monthly mortgage commitments stood at $1,925, exceeding both the Regional Qld benchmark of $1,655 and the countrywide figure of $1,863. Median weekly rent reached $380, higher than Regional Qld's $345 as well as the national level of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Airlie Beach counted 437 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 529 today, averaging 1.8 people each. 10% are couples with children, fewer than in 97% of areas nationally, against 35% couples without children. 40% of households are people living alone, and families average 0.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units constitute 49.9% of all local households, consisting of 34.6% couples without children, 10.3% couples with children, and 4.7% single parent families. Non-family households represent 50.1% of the total, divided between single-occupant homes at 39.6% and shared group dwellings at 10.1%. At 1.8 people, the median household size tracks below the Regional Qld benchmark of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
29.7% of adults in Airlie Beach hold a university qualification, including 22.7% with a bachelor degree and 5.2% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 97% of areas nationally. A further 28.3% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Tertiary qualification levels in Airlie Beach surpass wider regional standards by a notable margin, with 29.7% of persons aged 15+ holding university degrees, compared to 15.6% across the SA4 region and 17.7% in the SA3 area, establishing strong foundations for knowledge-oriented enterprise. Bachelor degrees represent 22.7%, postgraduate awards make up 5.2%, and graduate diplomas account for 1.8%. Vocational and technical qualifications are likewise widespread, held by 44.0% of residents aged 15+, consisting of advanced diplomas (15.7%) and certificates (28.3%). Formal study engages 23.8% of the local population. Within this cohort, tertiary students comprise 5.5%, secondary school attendees represent 5.3%, and primary school pupils account for 4.7%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Airlie Beach reaches 12 stops on 2 routes, timetabled for about 340 services a week. The typical home sits about 380 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 0.8 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Local transit infrastructure features 12 bus stops distributed across the suburb of Airlie Beach. These facilities are connected by 2 separate routes providing 343 weekly passenger trips. Overall public transport access is favorable, with residents situated an average distance of 378 meters from their nearest stop. Commuting patterns reflect an outward-traveling residential workforce, led by private vehicle travel at 63%, followed by walking at 26%. Vehicle availability stands at 0.8 per dwelling, trailing regional figures. In addition, 13.1% of the workforce worked from home at the 2021 Census, potentially influenced by COVID-19 settings.
Public transport operations provide an average frequency of 49 trips per day across the network, translating to approximately 28 weekly departures at each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
76.8% of residents in Airlie Beach report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 75% of areas nationally. 2.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 53.9% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.4 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health assessments compiled by AreaSearch demonstrate positive results for Airlie Beach across mortality metrics and chronic illness rates, showing very low levels of widespread ailments across all age groups. Meanwhile, private health insurance uptake slightly exceeds the typical SA2 area benchmark, covering approximately 54% of the community (~855 people). Mental health conditions and asthma represent the most frequently reported diagnoses locally, affecting 6.8 and 6.1% of residents respectively, while 76.8% stated they were entirely free of chronic medical conditions, outperforming the Regional Qld figure of 67.6%. Favorable outcomes are evident across the under-65 cohort.
Residents aged 65 and over represent 14.5% of the local population (230 people), which is lower than the 20.3% observed across Regional Qld. Health indicators for older residents remain remarkably robust, registering national percentiles above those of the broader community.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
36.8% of Airlie Beach residents were born overseas and 13.6% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (33.1%) and Australian (20.2%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Airlie Beach demonstrates greater cultural diversity than most surrounding areas, with 36.8% of residents born abroad and 13.6% speaking a language other than English in their households. Christianity forms the largest religious group, embraced by 36.7% of the local community. Judaism displays the most notable relative overrepresentation, accounting for 0.5% of residents compared to 0.1% across Regional Qld. Regarding parental country of birth, the three most prominent ancestry groups are English (33.1%), Australian (20.2%, sitting under the regional level of 26.5%), and Irish (10.1%). Several other backgrounds exhibit notable divergence from regional patterns, including Spanish at 1.3% (against 0.3% regionally), New Zealand at 1.2% (against 0.9%), and French at 0.8% (against 0.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Airlie Beach is 40. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 38.5% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age distribution in the suburb of Airlie Beach is heavily oriented toward pre-family adulthood. August 2026 estimates indicate that young to middle aged adults (25 - 44) comprise 43.0% of the community, whereas this group makes up 25.5% in Regional Qld. In contrast, children and young adults (0 - 24) represent 14.1%, compared to 29.6% regionally. The estimated median age sits at 40, down from 41 at the 2021 Census and 1 year below the Regional Qld figure of 41 recorded during the same Census. Young to middle aged adults expanded their share from 40.4% at Census to an estimated 43.0%, with forecasts projecting this 25 - 44 cohort to add 342 residents (50%) to reach 1,025 by 2041.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Airlie Beach
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jul 2026 3 months ago all 5 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jul 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 35 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (1,312 at the 2021 Census → 1,589 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL30016). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.