Shoal Point - Bucasia
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Shoal Point - Bucasia are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Shoal Point - Bucasia's population was 6,084 according to the 2021 Census. By Nov 2025, this had increased to around 6,622, a rise of 538 people (8.8%). This growth is inferred from ABS estimated resident population data: 6,530 in June 2024 and an additional 93 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density was 371 persons per square kilometer. Shoal Point - Bucasia's growth exceeded its SA3 area (6.6%) and SA4 region, making it a growth leader. Natural growth contributed approximately 59.3% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted, with proportional growth weightings applied for age cohorts. A significant population increase is forecast for the top quartile of regional areas nationally, with Shoal Point - Bucasia expected to increase by 2,205 persons to 2041, a total increase of 31.9% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Shoal Point - Bucasia among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Shoal Point - Bucasia averaged approximately 35 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25175 homes were approved, with a further 33 approved in FY26 so far. Each dwelling built over these five years resulted in an average of 2.9 new residents per year.

The average construction cost value of new homes was $345,000, aligning with regional trends. This financial year, $2.5 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's predominantly residential nature. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Shoal Point - Bucasia recorded 53.0% more construction activity per person as of FY26. The new building activity comprises approximately 96.0% standalone homes and 4.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's low density nature.

As of FY26, there are roughly 282 people per dwelling approval in the location, indicating potential room for growth. Population forecasts suggest Shoal Point - Bucasia will gain approximately 2,113 residents by 2041. Development appears to be keeping pace with projected population growth, though increasing competition among buyers is likely as the population expands.

Shoal Point - Bucasia has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 46thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified six projects likely affecting this region. Notable projects include Royal Sands Mackay Estate, Mackay-Bucasia Road and Golf Links Road Intersection Upgrade, Bucasia 186 Homes and Childcare Centre, Reed Street Extension (Norwood Parade/Reed Street Connection). The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Shoal Point - Bucasia performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Shoal Point - Bucasia has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, predominantly in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate was 1.8% as of June 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 1%.

There are 3,628 residents employed, while the unemployment rate is 2.2% lower than Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation stands at 68.2%, higher than Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, mining, and retail trade. Mining, in particular, is notable with employment levels at 3.9 times the regional average, while agriculture, forestry & fishing employs just 0.6% of local workers, below Rest of Qld's 4.5%.

Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 1%, labour force decreased by 0.3%, resulting in a fall in unemployment by 1.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May 2025, project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Shoal Point - Bucasia's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 5.9% over five years and 12.8% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Shoal Point - Bucasia had a median taxpayer income of $60,534 and an average of $72,995 in the financial year 2022, according to postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is higher than the national averages of $50,780 (median) and $64,844 (average) for Queensland excluding Shoal Point - Bucasia. As of September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $69,003 and average income $83,207, based on a 13.99% growth in wages since financial year 2022. In Shoal Point - Bucasia, incomes cluster around the 71st percentile nationally, with 36.6% of individuals earning between $1,500 and $2,999. Housing expenses account for 14.3% of income. Residents rank in the 74th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Shoal Point - Bucasia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

The dwelling structure in Shoal Point - Bucasia, as per the latest Census, consisted of 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Non-Metro Qld's 85.1% houses and 14.9% other dwellings. The home ownership rate in Shoal Point - Bucasia was 24.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.5% and rented dwellings at 30.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,733, aligning with Non-Metro Qld's average, while the median weekly rent was $380 compared to Non-Metro Qld's $340. Nationally, Shoal Point - Bucasia's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Shoal Point - Bucasia features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 79.6% of all households, including 36.9% couples with children, 28.7% couples without children, and 12.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 20.4%, with lone person households at 18.4% and group households comprising 2.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.6.

Educational outcomes in Shoal Point - Bucasia fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.0%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 11.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 46.2% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (8.8%) and certificates (37.4%).

Educational participation is high at 34.7%, including 13.6% in primary education, 11.2% in secondary education, and 3.8% pursuing tertiary education. Bucasia State School serves the Shoal Point - Bucasia area with an enrollment of 479 students. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available nearby. School capacity is limited locally (7.2 places per 100 residents vs 17.1 regionally), leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Shoal Point - Bucasia has 20 active public transport stops operating currently. These are served by buses only. There is 1 individual route in operation, providing a total of 98 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility to these stops is rated as good, with residents typically located 279 meters from the nearest one. On average, there are 14 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 4 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Shoal Point - Bucasia is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Shoal Point - Bucasia shows superior health outcomes for both younger and older residents.

Common health conditions have low prevalence: mental health issues affect 8.0%, asthma impacts 7.8%, while 71.7% report no medical ailments, compared to 69.7% in the rest of Queensland. Private health cover is high at approximately 56% (3,708 people). Residents aged 65 and over comprise 12.3% (816 people), lower than the 16.2% in the rest of Queensland. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, mirroring the general population's health profile.

Shoal Point - Bucasia is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Shoal Point-Bucasia had a cultural diversity index below the average, with 85.2% of its population being Australian citizens, 84.1% born in Australia, and 95.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 47.1% of Shoal Point-Bucasia's population, compared to 56.8% across the rest of Queensland. The top three ancestry groups were English (31.6%), Australian (26.2%), and Irish (8.6%).

Notably, New Zealanders were overrepresented at 1.0%, Maltese at 0.8%, and Germans at 4.5%.

Shoal Point - Bucasia's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Shoal Point - Bucasia has a median age of 36, which is lower than the Rest of Qld figure of 41 and Australia's figure of 38 years. The 25-34 cohort is over-represented at 14.5% locally compared to the Rest of Qld average, while the 75-84 year-olds are under-represented at 3.8%. Between 2021 and present, the 25-34 age group has grown from 13.2% to 14.5%, the 75-84 cohort has increased from 2.7% to 3.8%, and the 5-14 cohort has declined from 16.6% to 14.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Shoal Point - Bucasia's age profile will significantly evolve, with the 25-34 age cohort projected to grow by 497 people (52%), from 962 to 1,460.