Shoal Point - Bucasia

Population growth drivers in Shoal Point - Bucasia are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Shoal Point - Bucasia's population was approximately 6,636 as of February 2026, according to AreaSearch's analysis. This figure represents an increase of 552 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 6,084. The growth is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 6,530 in June 2024 and an additional 112 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 371 persons per square kilometer. Shoal Point - Bucasia's population grew by 9.1% between the 2021 Census and February 2026, exceeding the SA3 area's growth rate of 7.1%. Natural growth contributed approximately 59.3% to overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted, with proportional growth weightings applied for age cohorts. By 2041, the population is forecast to increase by 2,205 persons, reflecting a total increase of 31.6% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential approval activity sees Shoal Point - Bucasia among the top 30% of areas assessed nationwide

Shoal Point - Bucasia has granted approximately 35 residential property approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 175 homes. As of FY26, 47 approvals have been recorded. On average, around 2.9 people per year moved to the area for each new home constructed between FY21 and FY25. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $345,000.

In FY26, there have been $2.5 million in commercial approvals, indicating limited commercial development focus compared to residential growth. Relative to the rest of Queensland, Shoal Point - Bucasia records 53.0% more new home approvals per capita, offering greater choice for buyers. Recent construction comprises predominantly standalone homes at 96.0%, with townhouses or apartments making up the remaining 4.0%. This preserves the area's low-density nature and attracts space-seeking buyers.

The current population density is approximately 282 people per dwelling approval, suggesting room for further growth. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Shoal Point - Bucasia is projected to grow by 2,099 residents by 2041. Construction pace is maintaining reasonable growth, but buyers may face increasing competition as the population expands.

Shoal Point - Bucasia has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified six projects that may affect this region. Notable projects are Royal Sands Mackay Estate, Mackay-Bucasia Road and Golf Links Road Intersection Upgrade, Bucasia 186 Homes and Childcare Centre, Reed Street Extension (Norwood Parade/Reed Street Connection). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Shoal Point - Bucasia performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Shoal Point - Bucasia has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs. Manufacturing and industrial sectors are prominent. Unemployment rate is 2.5%, with estimated employment growth of 4.5% in the past year.

As of September 2025, 3746 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.5% below Rest of Qld's 4.1%. Workforce participation is high at 73.5%, compared to Rest of Qld's 65.7%. Only 4.7% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 impacts should be considered. Leading industries include health care & social assistance, mining, and retail trade.

Mining is particularly strong, with employment share at 3.9 times the regional level. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence, at 0.6% compared to 4.5% regionally. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparison of working population vs resident population. In the 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 4.5%, labour force by 4.7%, causing unemployment rate to rise by 0.2 percentage points. Rest of Qld recorded employment growth of 1.7%, labour force growth of 2.1%, with unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, May-25, project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Shoal Point - Bucasia's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.8% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Shoal Point - Bucasia SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $64,030 and an average of $76,305 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. These figures are higher than national averages. Rest of Qld's median income was $53,146 with an average of $66,593 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $70,375 (median) and $83,867 (average). According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Shoal Point - Bucasia cluster around the 71st percentile nationally. Income brackets show that 36.6% of residents (2,428 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, similar to surrounding regions where 31.7% occupy this range. Housing accounts for 14.3% of income. Residents rank in the 74th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Shoal Point - Bucasia is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Shoal Point - Bucasia's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consists of 90.6% houses and 9.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Shoal Point - Bucasia stands at 24.1%, with mortgaged dwellings accounting for 45.5% and rented dwellings making up 30.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area is $1,733, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,655. The median weekly rent figure is $380, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $345. Nationally, Shoal Point - Bucasia's mortgage repayments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceed the national figure of $375.

Shoal Point - Bucasia features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 79.6% of all households, including 36.9% couples with children, 28.7% couples without children, and 12.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.4%, with lone person households at 18.4% and group households comprising 2.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

Educational outcomes in Shoal Point - Bucasia fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.0%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.2%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 46.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas make up 8.8% and certificates account for 37.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 13.6% in primary, 11.2% in secondary, and 3.8% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Shoal Point - Bucasia has 22 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. There is one route serving these stops, offering a total of 98 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility in the area is considered good, with residents typically residing 275 meters from their nearest stop. The majority of residents commute outward from this primarily residential region. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 95% of residents. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 4.7% of residents work from home, which could be due to COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, buses run an average of 14 trips per day, equating to roughly four weekly trips per individual stop.

Shoal Point - Bucasia's residents are extremely healthy with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though slightly higher across older, at risk cohorts

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Shoal Point - Bucasia. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were assessed by AreaSearch to be low among the general population.

Prevalence was slightly higher among older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover was found to be very high, with approximately 57% of the total population (~3,782 people) having it, compared to 52.5% across Rest of Qld. The most common medical conditions were mental health issues and asthma, impacting 8.0 and 7.8% of residents respectively. 71.7% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 67.6% across Rest of Qld. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 12.5% of residents aged 65 and over (832 people), which is lower than the 20.4% in Rest of Qld. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, though they rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Shoal Point - Bucasia is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Shoal Point-Bucasia showed lower cultural diversity, with 85.2% citizens, 84.1% born in Australia, and 95.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, at 47.1%, compared to 52.2% regionally. Key ancestry groups were English (31.6%), Australian (26.2%), and Irish (8.6%).

Notably, New Zealanders comprised 1.0% versus regional 0.9%, Maltese 0.8% versus 0.4%, and Germans 4.5% compared to 4.7%.

Shoal Point - Bucasia's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Shoal Point - Bucasia has a median age of 36, which is lower than the Rest of Qld figure of 41 and Australia's median age of 38. The 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented at 15.0% locally compared to the Rest of Qld average, while the 75-84 year-olds are under-represented at 4.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 25-34 age group has grown from 13.2% to 15.0%, the 75-84 cohort increased from 2.7% to 4.0%, and the 5-14 cohort declined from 16.6% to 13.4%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Shoal Point - Bucasia's age profile will evolve significantly, with the 25-34 age cohort projected to expand by 461 people (46%) from 998 to 1,460.