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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Shoal Point - Bucasia has an estimated 6,688 residents, up from 6,084 at the 2021 Census — a change of 604 people, or 9.9%. Growth has averaged 1.5% a year over five years. 120 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Natural increase accounts for 50.3% of that increase. That puts 375 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to research conducted by AreaSearch, the resident count in Shoal Point - Bucasia stands at approximately 6,688 as of Aug 2026. This represents an addition of 604 people (9.9%) compared to the 2021 Census, which tallied 6,084 people. This trajectory is calculated using the ABS estimated resident population of 6,590 recorded as of June 2025 alongside 120 validated new addresses identified following the Census date. With a density of 374 persons per square kilometer, the locality offers generous living space alongside opportunities for ongoing expansion. Shoal Point - Bucasia's 9.9% rate of expansion outpaced both the SA3 area (7.0%) and the wider SA4 region, establishing it as a regional frontrunner in population expansion.
Natural increase was the primary catalyst, generating roughly 50.3% of the recent population additions, with interstate migration and overseas migration also contributing positively. Projections utilised by AreaSearch for each SA2 area stem from ABS/Geoscience Australia data published in 2024 using 2022 as a base year. Where SA2 areas lack coverage, or for periods extending post-2032, Queensland State Government SA2 area forecasts released in 2023 (drawn from 2021 data) are used. Because these state forecasts lack age breakdowns, AreaSearch incorporates proportional growth weightings from the ABS Greater Capital Region forecasts (published in 2023 based on 2022 data) across age groups. Long-term demographic forecasts place the area within the upper quartile among regional Australian localities, with an anticipated expansion of 2,111 persons to 2041 relative to the newest annual ERP population figures, equating to total growth of 30.1% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
220 new dwellings have been approved in Shoal Point - Bucasia over the past five years, an average of 44 a year. That places the area in the 76th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 7 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 44 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 98% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential building approvals in Shoal Point - Bucasia have averaged roughly 44 per annum, amounting to 220 homes across the past 5 financial years. The area added an average of 2.1 new residents per annum for each new residence constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26), demonstrating healthy housing demand that underpins local real estate values. New dwellings feature an average construction value of $443,000, sitting beneath regional benchmarks to provide relatively accessible pricing for purchasers. Meanwhile, commercial construction approvals reached $2.5 million during this financial year, pointing to modest commercial building activity.
Construction intensity (per person) in Shoal Point - Bucasia outstrips the Rest of Qld by 96.0%, giving prospective buyers substantial choice. The profile of new residential development is heavily weighted toward standalone houses at 98.0%, with medium and high-density housing accounting for 2.0%, reinforcing the low-density suburban landscape sought by lifestyle buyers. With approximately 94 people per approval, the locality continues to show clear signs of ongoing expansion. Moving toward 2041, Shoal Point - Bucasia is projected to welcome 2,013 residents relative to the most recent AreaSearch quarterly figures. While home building activity is tracking well against anticipated expansion, incoming purchasers may encounter tighter competition as the population base broadens.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Shoal Point - Bucasia
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 2 current infrastructure and development projects inside Shoal Point - Bucasia, worth an estimated $200 million. A further 73 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $18.9 billion. 27 are already under construction and 28 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans transport & logistics, residential development and sports & recreation. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Regional momentum is heavily guided by capital works, strategic planning, and civil infrastructure. AreaSearch has pinpointed 6 significant infrastructure works likely to influence the district. Among the most prominent developments are the Royal Sands Mackay Estate, the Mackay-Bucasia Road and Golf Links Road Intersection Upgrade, the Bucasia 186 Homes and Childcare Centre, and the Reed Street Extension (Norwood Parade/Reed Street Connection), which are outlined in further detail below.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Royal Sands Mackay Estate
A large-scale master-planned residential estate in Bucasia, Mackay, featuring over 400 residential lots with house and land packages just off Shoal Point Road. The development integrates with natural surroundings, offering beachside living with parklands and tree-lined streets approximately 5 minutes walk from Bucasia Beach and Mackay's Northshore. Stage 10 land is sold out, Stage 11 is around 75 percent sold, and Stage 12 has just been released, with homes under construction by local builders.
Bucasia 186 Homes and Childcare Centre
Proposed masterplanned residential community transforming 27.91 hectares of farmland into a housing estate with 186 homes and an integrated childcare centre in Mackay's fastest-growing northern beaches region. The site is designated as Emerging Community and Rural under the Mackay Region Planning Scheme 2017, with water and sewer infrastructure nearby. Located in close proximity to Bucasia Beach, schools, and local shopping facilities.
Camilleri Street District Park Upgrade
Multi-stage upgrade to a district park in Blacks Beach delivering a youth hub with a skate park, pump track, half basketball court, and hit-up wall. Recent upgrades include a formalised entry off Camilleri Street, concrete perimeter pathways, shade trees, seating, an elevated micromesh boardwalk, new amenities, a dog park, and picnic areas to improve accessibility and community connectivity.
Blacks Beach Shopping Precinct
A 5.7ha mixed-use development featuring the Allied Village healthcare hub and a 126-place childcare centre. The precinct includes a GP practice, pharmacy, veterinary clinic, allied health services, and a convenience store. The project also incorporates 16 residential lots and received council recognition for its role in supporting the growth of Mackays Northern Beaches, with active construction on surrounding infrastructure as of mid-2026.
Northern Beaches Community Hub
The Northern Beaches Community Hub is a multi-stage civic and recreation project developed by Mackay Regional Council in partnership with the Australian Government. Located at 10 Badyari Yalu Road in Rural View, Stage 1A delivers an undercover multi-purpose sporting court, nature play areas, and parklands. Subsequent phases will introduce a district library, multi-purpose community rooms, and a cafe to create a central social hub for the Northern Beaches community.
The Waters Extension
Reconfiguring a Lot application approved for subdivision of two lots into 48 lots (Stages 1, 2A, 2B and 2C) for a residential development in Rural View, Mackay Northern Beaches area. An earlier, related Material Change of Use application for a retirement facility of 48 dwellings was also submitted for the same address.
Solana Lifestyle Resort Northern Beaches Mackay
Over 50s land lease lifestyle resort in Mackay's Northern Beaches featuring single level homes and a central Livewell Centre with indoor and outdoor pools, gym, cinema, library, bowls green, tennis and BBQ areas. Stage 1 sold out; Stage 2 and 3 selling with civil works and home construction underway.
Wallmans Road Upgrade
Upgrade of Wallmans Road in Rural View from a rural road to an urban road standard. This project is a critical infrastructure component supported by $6.55 million in funding from the Queensland Government's Residential Activation Fund, designed to unlock new residential development and support future growth in the area.
3,776 residents of Shoal Point - Bucasia are employed, from a labour force of 3,889. Unemployment sits at 2.9%, with participation at 73.5%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.9% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 5,026, about 75% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local labour market features a mix of white and blue collar vocations, with solid representation across manufacturing and industrial trades, an unemployment rate of merely 2.9%, and a 4.4% rise in estimated employment over the preceding year. As of March 2026, employed residents numbered 3,776, while unemployment sits 1.0% lower than the Regional Qld figure of 3.9%, and the labour force participation rate reaches an elevated 73.5% (compared to 64.2% across Regional Qld). Census returns indicated that a modest 4.7% of the workforce worked from home, a figure potentially shaped by Covid-19 lockdown restrictions.
The primary employment sectors for local residents comprise health care & social assistance, mining, and retail trade. Mining demonstrates exceptional concentration, employing residents at 3.9 times the regional rate. In contrast, agriculture, forestry & fishing accounts for only 0.6% of workers, well below the regional benchmark of 4.5%. Comparing the Census working population against local residents suggests the district offers limited internal employment capacity. AreaSearch evaluation of ABS and SALM figures shows that over the twelve months to March 2026, resident employment expanded by 4.4% while the labour force grew by 5.8%, lifting the unemployment rate by 1.3 percentage points. Across Regional Qld, employment edged up 0.1% and the labour pool rose 0.3%, resulting in a 0.1 percentage point increase in unemployment. Future labour demand insights can be drawn from Jobs and Skills Australia national forecasts from Mar-26, which project five and ten-year workforce shifts across industries. Nationally, total jobs are expected to expand 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Weighting these sectoral forecasts against Shoal Point - Bucasia's industry profile suggests local job opportunities could increase by 5.9% over five years and 12.8% over ten years (representing an illustrative extrapolation that excludes localized population adjustments).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Shoal Point - Bucasia is $2,085 a week (about $108,000 a year), with median personal income at $940 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $64,030 a year against an average of $76,305. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
ATO postcode statistics released for financial year 2023 and analyzed by AreaSearch reveal a median taxable income of $64,030 and an average of $76,305 across the Shoal Point - Bucasia SA2. These figures are elevated nationally, comparing favorably against Regional Qld's median of $53,146 and average of $66,593. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, modeled figures reach roughly $71,304 (median) and $84,973 (average) as of March 2026. Across personal, family, and household earnings, Census figures position the community near the 71st percentile nationwide. The dominant earnings bracket comprises 36.6% of residents (2,447 people) making $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring the regional pattern where 31.7% fall into this range.
Housing costs consume 14.3% of income, strong local wages place residents in the 74th percentile for disposable funds, and the SEIFA income metric ranks the area in the 5th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Shoal Point - Bucasia had 2,054 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 91% detached houses and 3% apartments. 46% are owned with a mortgage, 30% rented and 24% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $380 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,733 a month. Rent absorbs 18.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 19.2%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
At the latest Census, the local housing landscape consisted of 90.6% separate houses and 9.4% alternative dwellings (such as townhouses, units, and other formats), compared to 76.4% separate houses and 23.6% other options throughout Regional Qld. Outright home ownership sat below the regional baseline at 24.1%, with mortgaged properties comprising 45.5% and rental homes making up 30.4%. Typical monthly mortgage repayments were $1,733, exceeding the Regional Qld standard of $1,655, while weekly median rent stood at $380, above the regional $345 mark. On a national scale, mortgage payments sit below the Australian median of $1,863, whereas rental costs exceed the national baseline of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Shoal Point - Bucasia counted 2,054 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 2,258 today, averaging 2.8 people each. 37% are couples with children, against 29% couples without children. 18% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family arrangements constitute 79.6% of local dwellings, led by couples with children (36.9%), followed by couples without children (28.7%) and single parent families (12.7%). Non-family living situations account for the other 20.4%, consisting of single-person households at 18.4% and shared group homes at 2.4%. With an average of 2.8 people per home, household occupancy exceeds the Regional Qld benchmark of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
16.0% of adults in Shoal Point - Bucasia hold a university qualification, including 11.7% with a bachelor degree and 2.2% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 37.4% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 479 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 967 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Higher education rates indicate that 16.0% of local residents hold university qualifications, remaining noticeably beneath the nationwide standard of 30.4%, highlighting a target area for educational policy. Bachelor degrees are held by 11.7% of the population, alongside postgraduate qualifications at 2.2% and graduate diplomas at 2.1%. In contrast, vocational and technical credentials are widespread, with 46.2% of individuals aged 15+ holding vocational awards, broken down into certificates (37.4%) and advanced diplomas (8.8%). Engagement in learning is strong, with 34.7% of the population participating in structured schooling or study. This group includes 13.6% attending primary school, 11.2% in secondary education, and 3.8% enrolled in tertiary institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Shoal Point - Bucasia means driving: households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit infrastructure in Shoal Point - Bucasia comprises 22 operating bus stops connected by 1 bus route, providing 98 weekly scheduled services. Connectivity is favorable, with the typical resident residing 273 meters from the closest stop. Reflecting its residential character, commuter travel is largely outbound, and private vehicles dominate at 95% of journeys. Vehicle availability averages 1.7 cars per dwelling, higher than the regional average, while 4.7% of workers reported working from home at the 2021 Census, a metric subject to pandemic circumstances. Transit services provide an average of 14 trips per day across the network, translating to roughly 4 weekly trips for each stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
71.7% of residents in Shoal Point - Bucasia report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 75% of areas nationally. 3.4% need daily assistance with core activities, and 57.0% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 3.8 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
General health indicators in Shoal Point - Bucasia remain positive based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality patterns and chronic illnesses, with younger demographics demonstrating minimal incidence of common medical conditions. Private health insurance coverage is notably strong, held by approximately 57% of residents (~3,812 people), compared to 52.5% across Regional Qld. Asthma and mental health conditions are the most prevalent reported ailments, affecting 7.8% and 8.0% of locals, respectively, while 71.7% of residents reported having no long-term medical conditions, outperforming the Regional Qld figure of 67.6%. Working-age health metrics align with regional averages.
Seniors aged 65 and over constitute 13.7% of the community (912 people), below the Regional Qld share of 20.3%. Health outcomes for local older residents remain above average regionally, though their relative ranking is lower against national benchmarks than the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Shoal Point - Bucasia is largely Australian-born, at 84.1% of residents, with 4.4% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (31.6%) and Australian (26.2%). 4.2% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity metrics for Shoal Point - Bucasia sit below national averages, with Australian citizens making up 85.2% of residents, 84.1% born within Australia, and 95.6% speaking only English in their households. Christianity is the primary faith, representing 47.1% of the community, compared to 52.2% across Regional Qld. Looking at parental heritage, the three most prominent ancestry groups are English (31.6%), Australian (26.2%), and Irish (8.6%). Specific ethnic backgrounds also show distinct local differences: New Zealand ancestry stands at 1.0% (compared to 0.9% across the region), Maltese ancestry represents 0.8% (versus 0.4%), and German heritage accounts for 4.5% (versus 4.7%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Shoal Point - Bucasia is 37. That is 1 year older than at the 2021 Census. 25.1% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age distribution in Shoal Point - Bucasia closely tracks Regional Qld trends, with every major cohort remaining within 6.7 percentage points of regional proportions. As of August 2026, the estimated median age is 37, climbing from 36 at the 2021 Census and sitting 4 years below the Regional Qld figure of 41 recorded at that time. Seniors aged 65+ have expanded from 10.4% at the Census to an estimated 13.7% today. Looking toward 2041, adults aged 25 - 44 are forecast to generate the largest numerical gain, adding 734 persons (41%) to total 2,526, while the 65+ cohort will record the fastest relative increase, expanding 49% to reach 1,360 residents.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Shoal Point - Bucasia
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 2 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 120 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (6,084 at the 2021 Census → 6,688 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (312021354). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.