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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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South Mackay has an estimated 7,251 residents, up from 6,918 at the 2021 Census — a change of 333 people, or 4.8%. Growth has averaged 0.9% a year over five years. That puts 1,052 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Demographic assessments by AreaSearch indicate that South Mackay has reached an estimated population of 7,251 as of Aug 2026. This represents an expansion of 333 people (4.8%) compared with the 6,918 people counted during the 2021 Census. These figures draw on the ABS estimated resident population figure of 7,251 as of June 2025 alongside post-Census address validation updates. With 1,052 persons per square kilometer, population density sits comfortably around benchmark averages across AreaSearch study locations. Furthermore, the local 4.8% growth rate since census trails the broader SA3 area (7.0%) by 2.2 percentage points, reflecting resilient local momentum.
Much of this population influx was anchored by overseas arrivals, who accounted for roughly 55.3% of total net gains over the recent period. Projections for each SA2 area utilize ABS/Geoscience Australia models published in 2024 with a 2022 baseline. For periods beyond 2032 or areas outside that coverage, projections rely on Queensland State Government SA2 releases from 2023 based on 2021 numbers. Because state-level datasets lack detailed age breakdowns, AreaSearch applies age-cohort distribution weightings aligned with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (published in 2023 from 2022 data). Under this framework, South Mackay is anticipated to experience a net population contraction of 375 persons by 2041. In contrast to the overall downward trajectory, certain demographics are set to expand, most notably the 25 to 34 age bracket, which is slated to add 156 people. Refer to the age section for comprehensive figures.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
Residential building activity in South Mackay remains subdued, recording an average of 2 new dwellings approved annually, totaling 10 approvals over five years. Such restrained building volume aligns with the district's rural profile, where residential construction typically addresses bespoke local housing requirements rather than broad speculative demand. Given this modest approval pipeline, annual percentages and year-on-year variations can shift markedly due to individual development applications. Dwelling construction volumes in South Mackay lag considerably behind Rest of Qld, while also falling short of nationwide benchmarks. Recent residential building has centered entirely on standalone houses designed for family living and rural space requirements.
Detached formats represent a higher share of new construction than the historical baseline of 73.0% at Census, highlighting persistent appetite for standalone family properties despite broader urban consolidation trends. Given expectations of a flat or contracting local population, residential supply constraints are poised to ease in South Mackay, which could unlock favorable purchasing conditions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around South Mackay
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 4 current infrastructure and development projects inside South Mackay, worth an estimated $126 million. A further 69 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $4.82 billion. 25 are already under construction and 29 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans transport & logistics, residential development and sports & recreation. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Infrastructure delivery, planning schemes, and capital works play a pivotal role in shaping local growth and property market performance. In total, AreaSearch has highlighted 8 projects positioned to influence the surrounding district. Prominent undertakings comprise the Milton Precinct, Mackay Base Hospital Expansion, Mackay Airport Expansion, and Great Barrier Reef Arena Redevelopment, with key details provided below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Mackay Airport Redevelopment
A program of works totalling almost $60 million at Mackay Airport in Queensland. Components include a $20 million runway overlay, with main works scheduled for completion in November 2025, a $3 million car park expansion adding 190 public spaces, and a $3 million terminal enhancement with completion scheduled for November 2026. The $32 million Milton Precinct commercial development had its first stage completed in September 2025, with tenancies opening through 2026. The works are partly supported by a loan from the Northern Australia Infrastructure Facility.Status as at October 2026: terminal works remain scheduled for November 2026.
Milton Precinct
Milton Precinct is a staged business, retail and mixed-use service hub being developed on Mackay Airport land holdings between the Mackay CBD and the emerging Bakers Creek community zone. Stage 1 civil works were completed in November 2025 at a cost of around 9.7 million dollars, activating 25,000 square metres of serviced lots with new roads and services. The first tenancies are scheduled to open in 2026, with further development rolling out through 2027 and 2028 and all commercial operators expected to come online over a 10-year period.The precinct will accommodate retail, food and beverage offerings, short-term worker accommodation, health care and other service providers, and light industrial uses. It is forecast to deliver 134.1 million dollars to the local economy in its first 10 years and support around 280 onsite jobs once operational, with new businesses expected to generate 42.5 million dollars in annual output. Milton Precinct sits within a broader 60 million dollar Mackay Airport infrastructure program that also includes a terminal transformation, a major runway overlay and expanded car parking, with the terminal upgrade starting in January 2026. Local family business Vassallo Constructions delivered the Stage 1 civil works.
Mackay State Development Area
907 hectares designated for renewable energy and biofutures industries. Supports regional economic diversification and sustainable aviation fuel production. Leverages Mackay's agricultural strengths for net-zero transition industries. Declared February 2024 with development scheme approved September 2024. The SDA incorporates two distinct areas: Racecourse Mill area (137 hectares) approximately 5km west of Mackay CBD, and Rosella area (770 hectares) located 10km south of Mackay CBD. Designed to become Queensland's home for emerging biocommodity industry.
Great Barrier Reef Arena Redevelopment
Stage 1 of the project will include a new covered grandstand, elite player, match official and broadcast facilities and an expanded capacity for more than 10,000 people.
Mackay Waterfront Priority Development Area (PDA)
A long-term urban transformation project revitalising Mackay's CBD and waterfront across five precincts. Current active works include the Sydney and River Streets intersection upgrade, Bluewater Trail enhancements, and the redevelopment of the 8 River Street site into a food and beverage destination. The project integrates streetscape improvements, public realm upgrades, and heritage preservation to drive private investment.
Mackay Base Hospital Expansion
The Mackay Base Hospital Expansion delivers a major clinical enhancement under a 15-year strategic master plan for the Mackay Hospital and Health Service. Stage 1 involves the construction of a new Clinical Services Building (P Block) providing at least 128 new overnight beds, a new Mackay Birth Centre, expanded emergency, surgical, endoscopy, and neonatal facilities, a rooftop helipad, and a multi-storey car park. Funded under Queensland's Hospital Rescue Plan, main construction works commence in 2027 with completion slated for 2030.
Mackay Public Transport Hub
Concept for an integrated public transport interchange in Mackay combining bus services, taxi facilities, active transport connections and future public transport integration. As of the latest publicly available information, no active construction or funded delivery program has been identified and the proposal remains at the planning level.
South Mackay Industrial Estate
Situated in the heart of Mackay's burgeoning bioenergy hub, the South Mackay Industrial Estate offers flat, serviced industrial land with excellent transport links to the Bruce Highway, Mackay Harbour, and the airport. It positions businesses to leverage the region's agricultural industry, R&D expertise, the planned Future Foods Biohub, and bioenergy policies. The estate comprises 11 industrial allotments over 12 hectares, with the final lots available for sale as of 2025.
3,869 residents of South Mackay are employed, from a labour force of 4,039. Unemployment sits at 4.2%, with participation at 67.5%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.9% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 5,881, about 81% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The employment landscape in South Mackay is characterized by a mix of white and blue collar jobs, with manufacturing and industrial fields playing a significant role. The area recorded an unemployment rate of 4.2% and an estimated employment growth of 4.0% over the previous year. By March 2026, there were 3,869 residents actively employed, and the local unemployment rate stood at 0.3% higher than the Regional Qld average of 3.9%. Workforce participation in South Mackay was relatively typical at 67.5%, compared to 64.2% in Regional Qld. Census data indicated that only 3.8% of residents worked from home, a figure that should be viewed in the context of the lasting effects of Covid-19 lockdowns.
Major employers of resident workers include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. South Mackay exhibits an exceptionally high concentration in mining, employing workers at 2.3 times the regional average rate. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing accounts for only 0.8% of employment against 4.5% across the broader region. An evaluation of local worker counts against resident labour indicates that employment opportunities within the immediate locality are somewhat constrained. AreaSearch analysis of ABS and SALM metrics indicates that in the 12 months to March 2026, South Mackay recorded a 4.0% rise in employed residents alongside a 5.9% increase in the labour force, lifting the unemployment rate by 1.7 percentage points. Across Regional Qld over the same period, employment expanded by 0.1%, the labour force grew by 0.3%, and the unemployment rate increased by 0.1 percentage points. Future workforce requirements can be evaluated against national employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26. These five and ten-year occupational models have been weighted against South Mackay's local industry composition. Nationwide forecasts anticipate employment expansion of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with notable variation across individual sectors. When mapped to the local industry profile, these projections suggest South Mackay employment could grow by 5.9% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, representing an illustrative baseline that does not factor in specific local demographic shifts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in South Mackay is $1,477 a week (about $77,000 a year), with median personal income at $791 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $57,592 a year against an average of $71,227. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Aggregated ATO figures for financial year 2023 compiled by AreaSearch show that the South Mackay SA2 recorded a median taxpayer income of $57,592 alongside an average income of $71,227. These levels exceed national benchmarks as well as Regional Qld's median of $53,146 and average of $66,593. Factoring in cumulative Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, present estimates for March 2026 reach approximately $64,134 for median income and $79,318 for average income. Census data from 2021 places overall family, household, and personal earnings within moderate bands, ranking between the 34th and 47th percentiles nationally.
Income distribution shows a primary grouping containing 34.1% of residents (2,472 people) earning between $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring the regional proportion of 31.7%. Significant housing cost pressures persist, leaving 84.6% of income uncommitted and placing the area in the 35th percentile for affordability.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
South Mackay had 2,808 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 73% detached houses and 2% apartments. 33% are owned with a mortgage, 39% rented and 28% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $290 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,500 a month. Rent absorbs 19.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 23.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, housing stock in South Mackay comprised 73.4% houses and 26.6% other dwellings (including townhouses, apartments, and alternative formats), compared to 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings across Regional Qld. Outright home ownership stood at 27.7%, trailing regional benchmarks, with 32.9% of homes carrying a mortgage and 39.3% occupied by tenants. Median monthly mortgage commitments averaged $1,500, below the Regional Qld figure of $1,655, while median weekly rent stood at $290 compared to $345 regionally. Compared nationally, South Mackay mortgage costs remain substantially below the Australian median of $1,863, and weekly rents sit well under the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
South Mackay counted 2,808 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.3 people each. 23% are couples with children, fewer than in 77% of areas nationally, against 25% couples without children. 34% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute 62.7% of all local households, divided between couples with children at 23.1%, couples without children at 24.6%, and single parent families at 13.4%. The remaining 37.3% consists of non-family arrangements, dominated by single-person dwellings at 34.0% alongside group households at 3.4%. Average household occupancy sits at 2.3 people, tracking slightly below the Regional Qld benchmark of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
13.8% of adults in South Mackay hold a university qualification, including 10.7% with a bachelor degree and 1.6% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 34.6% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 1,574 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 992 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Attainment figures highlight educational gaps in South Mackay, where 13.8% of residents hold university qualifications compared to the national rate of 30.4%, pointing to opportunities for targeted skills programs. Higher education qualifications are led by bachelor degrees at 10.7%, postgraduate degrees at 1.6%, and graduate diplomas at 1.5%. Vocational and technical pathways are well established, with 42.3% of persons aged 15+ possessing vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (7.7%) and certificates (34.6%). Formal study engagement is substantial throughout the community, with 27.9% of the local population actively participating in education. This proportion comprises 10.6% in primary schooling, 8.1% attending secondary school, and 3.5% enrolled in higher education programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in South Mackay reaches 25 stops on 4 routes, timetabled for about 220 services a week. The typical home sits about 250 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.3 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit infrastructure in South Mackay includes 25 active bus stops distributed across the suburb. Network connectivity is delivered via 4 distinct routes providing a combined 222 weekly passenger trips. Local transit accessibility is strong, with the typical resident situated 246 meters from a boarding point. As a predominantly residential community, outward travel is common, with private motor vehicles serving as the primary commute mode at 92%. Vehicle ownership stands at 1.3 per dwelling, trailing regional averages, while a modest 3.8% of workers worked from home according to the 2021 Census under pandemic-influenced conditions.
Across all transit lines, route operations average 31 trips per day, translating to roughly 8 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
66.6% of residents in South Mackay report no long-term health condition. 5.7% need daily assistance with core activities, and 54.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health metrics evaluated by AreaSearch indicate outcomes below broader benchmarks, reflecting mortality statistics and chronic disease prevalence. While common medical conditions among the wider population track near typical levels, incidence rates rise above national averages in mature age groups. Meanwhile, private health insurance coverage is solid, held by roughly 54% of the population (~3,922 people). Arthritis and mental health conditions are the most widespread diagnosed health concerns locally, each affecting 8.5 and 8.5% of the community, while 66.6% of residents reported having no long-term medical conditions, compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld.
Chronic condition rates among working-age individuals are higher than average. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 19.6% of the population (1,421 people), exhibiting specific health vulnerabilities that nonetheless compare more favorably against national senior benchmarks than the broader local cohort.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
South Mackay is largely Australian-born, at 83.9% of residents, with 10.0% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (27.5%) and English (27.3%). 4.3% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
South Mackay exhibits lower cultural diversity relative to broader benchmarks, with Australian citizens making up 85.0% of the community, 83.9% born in Australia, and 90.0% speaking only English in domestic settings. Christianity represents the primary religious affiliation, accounting for 59.9% of residents in South Mackay, compared to 52.2% across Regional Qld. The leading parental ancestry backgrounds in South Mackay are Australian (27.5%), English (27.3%), and Irish (8.4%). Several other cultural backgrounds show distinct local concentrations, notably Filipino residents at 4.3% of the community (versus 0.9% across the region), Maltese at 1.4% (versus 0.4%), and New Zealand heritage at 0.9% (versus 0.9%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of South Mackay is 39. 27.6% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Age distributions in South Mackay align closely with Regional Qld, with the largest divergence across the four broad cohorts standing at 1.5 percentage points. The median age remains steady at an estimated 39, matching the 2021 Census result and sitting 2 years below the regional median of 41 recorded at that time. Among mature working-age and pre-retirement cohorts (45 - 64), representation has declined since the Census from 25.9% to an estimated 23.4%. Demographic forecasts to 2041 indicate that the largest expansion will occur among senior and elderly age brackets (65+), adding 137 residents (10%) to reach 1,559, while young people, children, and pre-retiree cohorts are expected to decrease.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for South Mackay
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Oct 2026 this month all 4 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Oct 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (6,918 at the 2021 Census → 7,251 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (312021356). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.