Andergrove

An assessment of population growth drivers in Andergrove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, as of Nov 2025, Andergrove's estimated population is around 10,539. This reflects a 6.2% increase since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 9,924. The current resident population estimate by AreaSearch is 10,390, considering latest ERP data from ABS (June 2024) and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,242 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Andergrove has shown resilient growth with a compound annual growth rate of 1.0%. Population growth was primarily driven by natural growth contributing approximately 39.0% during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are used. These state projections lack age category splits; therefore, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 using 2022 data for each age cohort. Future population trends project an above median growth for Australia's regional areas, with Andergrove expected to increase by 1,762 persons to 2041, reflecting a 16.7% total increase over the 17 years.

Recent residential development output has been above average within Andergrove when compared nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Andergrove recorded around 39 residential properties granted approval each year. Over the past five financial years, between FY21 and FY25, approximately 199 homes were approved, with an additional 19 approved in FY26 so far. This results in an average of 3.6 new residents arriving per dwelling constructed over these years.

Demand significantly outpaces supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $470,000, slightly above the regional average, suggesting a focus on quality developments. In FY26, $3.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature.

When compared to Rest of Qld, Andergrove has similar development levels per person, maintaining market balance consistent with the broader area. All new construction in Andergrove has been completely comprised of detached houses, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests (83.0% at Census), indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. Andergrove reflects a low density area, with around 308 people per approval. Future projections show Andergrove adding approximately 1,763 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Andergrove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects that could impact the area. Notable ones include Mackay Port Access Stage 1, Somerset Park Estate, Andergrove Priority Development Area (PDA), and Andergrove Lakes Estate. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

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Andergrove ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Andergrove has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, prominently featuring manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 2.9% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 4.7%.

As of September 2025, 5,754 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.1% lower than Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation stands at 64.5% compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. The dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and mining, with mining being particularly strong at 3.1 times the regional level. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence with only 0.6% employment compared to 4.5% regionally. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 4.7% while labour force increased by 4.7%, with unemployment remaining essentially unchanged.

In contrast, Rest of Qld experienced employment growth of 1.7% and labour force growth of 2.1%, with a rise in unemployment rate of 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov shows QLD employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, broadly in line with the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest a potential growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Andergrove's employment mix, local employment is estimated to increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The suburb of Andergrove had a median taxpayer income of $57,930 and an average income of $72,434 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This was higher than the national averages of $53,146 (median) and $66,593 (average). Based on a Wage Price Index growth rate of 9.91% since the financial year 2023, estimated median income would be approximately $63,671 and average income would be around $79,612 by September 2025. According to Census 2021 data, incomes in Andergrove clustered around the 52nd percentile nationally for household, family, and personal incomes. In terms of income distribution, the majority of residents, 35.2% or 3,709 people, fell into the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket, which was also the dominant range in the broader area at 31.7%. Housing costs consumed 15.8% of income, but despite this, disposable income remained at the 50th percentile.

Andergrove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Andergrove's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 83.0% houses and 16.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 85.1% houses and 14.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Andergrove was at 25.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.9% and rented ones at 32.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,647, lower than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,733. The median weekly rent figure was $350, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $340. Nationally, Andergrove's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Andergrove has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households compose 71.5% of all households, including 29.0% couples with children, 27.0% couples without children, and 14.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 28.5%, with lone person households at 25.1% and group households comprising 3.3%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Qld average of 2.6.

Andergrove faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 13.5%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 10.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.7%) and graduate diplomas (1.7%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 8.3% and certificates at 35.5%. Educational participation is high, with 31.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.2% in primary, 10.4% in secondary, and 3.1% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 21 active transport stops in Andergrove, served by buses. Two routes operate here, offering a total of 210 weekly passenger trips. Residents' access to transport is rated good, with an average distance of 292 meters to the nearest stop.

The service frequency averages 30 trips per day across all routes, which translates to about 10 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Andergrove are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Andergrove shows below-average health outcomes, with common conditions more prevalent than average among both younger and older residents. Private health cover is very high at approximately 56% of the total population (~5,891 people), compared to 58.1% across the rest of Queensland.

Mental health issues affect 8.9% of residents, while arthritis impacts 7.9%. About 68.4% report no medical ailments, compared to 69.7% in the rest of Queensland. The area has 15.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1,612 people), aligning with the general population's health profile.

Andergrove is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Andergrove's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.7% of its population being Australian citizens, born in Australia (88.0%), and speaking English only at home (93.5%). Christianity was the predominant religion in Andergrove, comprising 53.8% of the population, compared to 56.8% across the rest of Queensland. The top three ancestry groups were English (29.0%), Australian (28.2%), and Irish (7.6%).

Notably, Maltese, German, and South African ethnicities had higher representations in Andergrove than regionally: Maltese at 1.4% vs 2.4%, German at 5.1% vs 4.7%, and South African at 0.7% vs 0.5%.

Andergrove's population is slightly younger than the national pattern

Andergrove's median age is 36, which is lower than the Rest of Queensland figure of 41 and Australia's median age of 38. In comparison with the Rest of Queensland average, Andergrove has a notably higher proportion of 25-34 year-olds (15.2%) but fewer people aged 75-84 (4.6%). Between 2021 and present day, the proportion of 25 to 34 year-olds has increased from 14.2% to 15.2%, while the proportion of 5 to 14 year-olds has decreased from 15.2% to 13.8%. The proportion of 55 to 64 year-olds has also dropped, from 12.5% to 11.4%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Andergrove's age profile. The number of people aged 25 to 34 is expected to grow by 585 individuals (37%), from 1,601 to 2,187. Conversely, the 15 to 24 age group is projected to decrease by 22 residents.