Blacks Beach

Blacks Beach lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of Nov 2025, Blacks Beach's estimated population is around 4,307. This reflects an increase of 154 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,153. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 4,295 residents following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of two new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 699 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Blacks Beach has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.9%, outpacing its SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by natural growth contributing approximately 46.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted, applying proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. Considering projected demographic shifts, a significant population increase is forecasted in the top quartile of regional areas nationally by 2041, with Blacks Beach expected to expand by 1,743 persons, reflecting a gain of 45.9% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Blacks Beach according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis using ABS building approval numbers from statistical area data, Blacks Beach averaged approximately 4 new dwelling approvals annually over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 23 homes. In FY-26 so far, 4 approvals have been recorded. Historically, between FY-21 and FY-25, there has been an average of 20.8 new residents arriving per year for each dwelling constructed. This demand significantly exceeds new supply, which typically results in price growth and increased buyer competition.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost value of $458,000, somewhat higher than regional norms, reflecting quality-focused development. In the current financial year, $1.7 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, indicating the area's residential nature. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Blacks Beach records markedly lower building activity, at 71.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties, though construction activity has intensified recently. The area's recent building activity consists entirely of detached dwellings, preserving its low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

The estimated population count of 750 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Blacks Beach is expected to grow by 1,976 residents through to 2041. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Blacks Beach has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects that could affect the region. Notable projects include Solana Lifestyle Resort (Northern Beaches Mackay), Blacks Beach Shopping Precinct, Northern Beaches Community Hub, and Camilleri Street District Park Upgrade. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market strength in Blacks Beach positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Blacks Beach has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. Its unemployment rate was 2.7% as of September 2025.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 4.6%, based on AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, 2,537 residents were in work, with an unemployment rate of 1.4% below Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation was high at 67.0%, compared to Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, mining, and retail trade.

Mining has a particularly high employment share, at 3.5 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented at 0.5% compared to Rest of Qld's 4.5%. The area may offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by Census data on working population vs resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 4.6%, and labour force increased by 4.6%, keeping the unemployment rate relatively stable at 1.4%. In comparison, Rest of Qld saw employment grow by 1.7%, labour force expand by 2.1%, and unemployment rise to 4.4%. State-level data as of 25-Nov-25 shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% (losing 1,210 jobs), with the state unemployment rate at 4.2%, closely aligned with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Blacks Beach's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Blacks Beach is among the highest in Australia, with a median of $65,840 and an average of $82,323. This contrasts with Rest of Qld's figures of a median income of $53,146 and an average of $66,593. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $72,365 (median) and $90,481 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals that incomes in Blacks Beach cluster around the 69th percentile nationally. The income distribution shows that 37.5% of individuals earn between $1,500 - 2,999, reflecting regional patterns where 31.7% fall within this range. High housing costs consume 16.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 65th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Blacks Beach is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Blacks Beach's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 86.1% houses and 13.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This is compared to Non-Metro Qld's 85.1% houses and 14.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Blacks Beach was at 15.8%, with the rest either mortgaged (29.9%) or rented (54.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, aligning with Non-Metro Qld's average. The median weekly rent figure was $390, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $340. Nationally, Blacks Beach's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Blacks Beach features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 80.0% of all households, including 35.5% couples with children, 25.7% couples without children, and 17.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.0%, with lone person households at 16.3% and group households comprising 4.1% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.6.

Educational achievement in Blacks Beach places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

The area has lower university qualification rates than the Australian average. As of 2019, only 16.9% of residents held a university degree, compared to the national average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees were the most common at 12.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.0%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Vocational credentials were also prevalent, with 44.5% of residents aged 15 and above holding them.

This includes advanced diplomas (10.6%) and certificates (33.9%). Educational participation was high, with 36.8% of residents enrolled in formal education as of the 2017 census. This included primary education (15.0%), secondary education (10.8%), and tertiary education (3.6%).

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Blacks Beach has three active public transport stops operating, all of which service buses. There is one route that operates across these stops, collectively providing 98 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in Blacks Beach is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 559 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, there are an average of 14 trips per day, which equates to approximately 32 weekly trips per individual stop.

Blacks Beach's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Blacks Beach shows excellent health outcomes across all age groups, with very low prevalence of common health conditions.

Private health cover is exceptionally high here, at approximately 60% of the total population (2,576 people). Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in this area, affecting 8.5 and 7.4% of residents respectively. The majority of residents, 74.8%, report having no medical ailments, compared to 69.7% across the rest of Queensland. As of 2021, 9.4% of Blacks Beach's population is aged 65 and over (404 people), which is lower than the 16.2% in the rest of Queensland. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong and largely align with the general population's health profile.

Blacks Beach ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Blacks Beach, surveyed in June 2018, had low cultural diversity with 82.8% citizens, 83.3% born in Australia, and 93.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion at 48.8%, compared to 56.8% regionally. Top ancestry groups were English (29.2%), Australian (28.0%), and Other (7.4%).

Notably, South African (1.6%) and Maori (1.1%) were overrepresented, while Australian Aboriginal was slightly higher at 5.2%.

Blacks Beach hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Blacks Beach has a median age of 31 years, which is younger than Rest of Qld's 41 and the national average of 38 years. The 25-34 age group makes up 17.7% of Blacks Beach's population compared to Rest of Qld, while the 75-84 cohort represents 2.3%. Between 2021 and present, the 65-74 age group has increased from 5.5% to 6.7%, the 5-14 cohort has decreased from 17.1% to 15.0%, and the 45-54 group has dropped from 11.5% to 9.9%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Blacks Beach, with the 25-34 age cohort projected to rise substantially by 502 people (66%), from 762 to 1,265.