Blacks Beach

Blacks Beach lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of 4th November 2025, the estimated population of Blacks Beach is around 4,389. This figure reflects an increase of 236 people from the 2021 Census count of 4,153 residents. AreaSearch validated this estimate using the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and additional verified new addresses since the Census date. The population density is approximately 712 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across other locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Blacks Beach has shown consistent growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.9%, outpacing the SA3 area's average. Natural growth contributed about 46.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all factors including interstate and overseas migration were positive contributors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data or years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023, based on 2022 data. Considering projected demographic shifts, the suburb of Blacks Beach is forecast to experience significant population growth in the top quartile of regional areas nationally. By 2041, the area is expected to expand by 1,741 persons, reflecting a gain of 43.1% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Blacks Beach recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Blacks Beach shows an average of around 5 new dwelling approvals annually over the past 5 financial years, totalling approximately 28 homes. In FY-26 so far, 7 approvals have been recorded. This results in an estimated 17.1 new residents arriving per year per dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25.

The demand significantly exceeds new supply, with new properties constructed at an average value of $458,000, reflecting more affordable housing options compared to regional norms. Relative to the Rest of Qld, Blacks Beach shows substantially reduced construction, with 65.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties, although building activity has accelerated in recent years. Recent development has been entirely comprised of standalone homes, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated count of 450 people in the area per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Blacks Beach is expected to grow by 1,892 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Blacks Beach has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 42ndth percentile nationally

Infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified nine projects expected to impact the area. Notable projects include Solana Lifestyle Resort (Northern Beaches Mackay), Blacks Beach Shopping Precinct, Northern Beaches Community Hub, and Camilleri Street District Park Upgrade. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Blacks Beach places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Blacks Beach has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate is 2.0% as of June 2025, compared to Rest of Qld's 3.9%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.2%. Workforce participation is high at 67.0%, exceeding Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, mining, and retail trade. Mining is particularly specialized, with an employment share 3.5 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented at 0.5% compared to Rest of Qld's 4.5%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data comparisons. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 1.2%, while labour force decreased by 0.4%, reducing the unemployment rate by 1.5 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld saw employment grow by 1.8% and labour force expand by 2.0%, with a slight rise in unemployment of 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Blacks Beach's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that median assessed income in Blacks Beach is $65,840 and average income stands at $82,323. This contrasts with Rest of Qld's figures of a median income of $50,780 and an average income of $64,844. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Blacks Beach would be approximately $75,051 (median) and $93,840 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals that incomes in Blacks Beach cluster around the 69th percentile nationally. In income distribution, 37.5% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999, reflecting regional patterns where 31.7% occupy this range. High housing costs consume 16.5% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 65th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Blacks Beach is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Blacks Beach, as per the latest Census evaluation, 86.1% of dwellings were houses while 13.9% comprised other types such as semi-detached units, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 85.1% houses and 14.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Blacks Beach stood at 15.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 29.9% and rented ones at 54.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,733, aligning with Non-Metro Qld's average but lower than the national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure in Blacks Beach was $390, higher than Non-Metro Qld's $340 and the national figure of $375.

Blacks Beach features high concentrations of family households and group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.0% of all households, including 35.5% couples with children, 25.7% couples without children, and 17.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 20.0%, with lone person households at 16.3% and group households comprising 4.1%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.6.

Educational achievement in Blacks Beach places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

The area's university qualification rate is 16.9%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 3.0% and graduate diplomas at 1.8%. Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 44.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (10.6%) and certificates (33.9%). Educational participation is high, with 36.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 15.0% in primary education, 10.8% in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing tertiary education. Schools appear to be located outside the immediate catchment boundaries, requiring families to access them in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Blacks Beach has three active public transport stops operating, each offering bus services. These stops are served by one route collectively providing 98 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated moderate with residents typically located 559 meters from the nearest stop.

Services average 14 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 32 weekly trips per individual stop.

Blacks Beach's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Blacks Beach demonstrates excellent health outcomes, with a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 60% of the total population (2,625 people), compared to 57.0% in the rest of Queensland.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, impacting 8.5% and 7.4% of residents respectively. A significant proportion, 74.8%, declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.7% in the rest of Queensland. The area has a lower percentage of seniors aged 65 and over at 9.4% (412 people), compared to 16.2% in the rest of Queensland. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

Blacks Beach ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Blacks Beach, assessed in 2016, exhibited lower cultural diversity with 82.8% citizens, 83.3% born in Australia, and 93.0% speaking English only at home. Christianity dominated Blacks Beach's religious landscape at 48.8%, compared to 56.8% regionally. Ancestry-wise, the top groups were English (29.2%), Australian (28.0%), and Other (7.4%).

Notably, South African ancestry was overrepresented at 1.6% vs regional 0.5%, Maori at 1.1% vs 0.6%, and Australian Aboriginal at 5.2% vs 3.6%.

Blacks Beach hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Blacks Beach's median age of 31 years is notably younger than Rest of Qld's 41 and significantly younger than the national average of 38 years. The age group of 25-34 shows strong representation at 17.7% compared to Rest of Qld, while the 75-84 cohort is less prevalent at 2.3%. Between 2021 and present, the 65-74 age group has increased from 5.5% to 6.7% of the population. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has decreased from 17.1% to 15.0%, and the 45-54 age group has dropped from 11.5% to 9.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Blacks Beach, with the 25-34 age cohort projected to rise significantly, expanding by 485 people (62%) from 776 to 1,262.